Uncertainty is stressful, but that’s not always a bad thing

Eol

Jedi
I found this article very interesting in relation to the incertainty of the actual global situation and the role of knowledge to minimize the possible hypothetical shocks that could arrive in the futur.

Interviewing for a new job is filled with uncertainty, and that uncertainty fuels stress. There’s the uncertainty associated with preparing for the interview — what questions will they ask me? What should I put in my portfolio? And then there’s the ambiguity when you’re left to stew. Did I get the job? Or did someone else?

Scientists have recently shown that these two types of uncertainty — the kind we can prepare for, and the kind we’re just stuck with — are not created equal. The uncertainty we can’t do anything about is more stressful than the one we can. The results help show exactly what in our lives freaks us out — and why. But the findings also show a positive side to the stress we feel when not knowing what’s ahead — the closer our stress levels reflect the real ambiguity in the world, the better we perform in it.

“There is a bias in the public perception” against stress, says Claus Lamm, a cognitive neuroscientist at the University of Vienna in Austria. But stress “prepares us to deal with environmental challenges,” he notes, preparing us to fight or flee, and it keeps us paying attention to our surroundings.

For decades, scientists have been trying to figure out just what makes us stressed and why. It turns out that unpredictability is a great stressor. Studies in the 1960s and 1970s showed that rats and humans who can’t predict a negative effect (such as a small shock) end up more frazzled than those who can predict when a zap is coming. In a 2006 study, people zapped with unpredictable electric shocks to the hand rated the pain as more unpleasant than when they knew what to expect.

What is going on in the brain when judging the uncertainty of a situation and translating it to stress? Lamm and his group recently sought the answer to answer this question by combining measures of electrical activity in the brain (via electroencephalogram) with functional magnetic resonance imaging to show blood flow patterns in 25 participants getting rounds of shocks on their hands. A visual cue told the participants what to expect — sort of. Sometimes the participant knew with 100 percent certainty that either a painful shock or nothing at all was coming. Sometimes there was only 50 percent certainty. No matter what, the shock would happen (or not) in the next 15 seconds, leaving the people in the scanner with nothing to do but wait.

During that waiting period, the brain prepares for a shock in different ways, depending on whether the jolt is certain or uncertain, Lamm and his colleagues reported last February in Human Brain Mapping. During the first two seconds, the brain is processing the visual cue. “You have an initial quick evaluation,” Lamm explains, categorizing whether the stimulus is going to be aversive and whether it is certain or uncertain. If the possibility for a zap was ambiguous, there was a quick increase in blood flow to participants’ visual processing areas. This suggests the brain is getting ready to take in more information and pay more attention — to get a better read on if that shock is really coming or not.

If the zap is definitely going to happen, the last two seconds before delivery saw increased activity in the posterior insula. The insula participates in processing someone’s current state, including pain processing and emotional awareness — “basically reading out the physiological signals of your body,” Lamm says. Pain is coming, brace yourself.

When participants weren’t sure if the shock was coming, the last two seconds of waiting were accompanied by increased brain activity in areas related to sensing the environment and maintaining attention — such as the parietal lobe, orbitofrontal cortex and angular gyrus. The brain was on high alert, continuing to look for any information that could determine when and if the pain would arrive.

But this is only one kind of stress —and one kind of uncertainty. “We know a lot about what happens if you take someone and give them a stressful experience,” says Archy de Berker, a neuroscientist at University College London. “But in a way, that approach is missing out on a whole step: What is it about the experience that makes it stressful?” Is it the ambiguity? Or is it the shock to the hand? Is it both?

But there’s also more than one kind of ambiguity to prepare for. Remember the job interview scenario: You can reduce some of the uncertainty by preparing for your interview. But once the interview has passed, you’re stuck with irreducible uncertainty — that endless wait for the call that may never come.

To separate out these two forms of uncertainty, de Berker recruited 45 participants for a different hand-shock experiment. For each trial, the participant was presented with one of two rocks and asked if there was a snake under it. At first, the snake might be under rock “A” 100 percent of the time. Then it might change, and the snake might be under rock “A” only 60 percent of the time, spending the rest of the time under rock “B.” For some trials, the participant could easily learn to predict where the snake would be, while for others the rock-turner was always uncertain. But one thing remained certain: If they saw the snake, they’d get a shock, even if they predicted the outcome correctly.

As the participants played this painful game, de Berker and his colleagues monitored their skin conductance and pupil size — measures of physical stress. They also asked the participants how stressed out they felt.

The amount of ambiguity the participants had about whether the snake was under the rock was associated with their stress. If they could easily predict when the shock would come, reducing their uncertainty, they shocks were easier to take. But if the outcome remained difficult to predict — if no amount of learning was going to help — the participants were much more stressed out.

But if the participants had a good feel for just how uncertain the odds were — if their measures of stress tracked well with the amount of ambiguity — they ended up with an unexpected benefit: They performed better on the rock and snake task (though they still got shocked for their pains). The scientists published their results March 29 in Nature Communications.

The study “reveals more quantitatively how stress (both self-reported and measured with physiological arousal) is driven by… ‘irreducible uncertainty,’ uncertainty about the state of the world that we can’t control,” says Ross Otto, a neuroscientist at New York University. It’s that irreducible uncertainty — the fact that the job applicant just doesn’t know if he’s got the job until the call comes through, and there’s nothing he can do about it — that really gets to us.

But the part of the stress we can control represents the positive side of an unpleasant feeling. “We always tend to think of stress as a negative effect, you don’t want to be stressed,” Lamm says. “But in the end, if you’re not stressed you will not perform. You need a certain level of arousal to meet challenges.”

- https://www.sciencenews.org/blog/scicurious/uncertainty-stressful-not-always-bad-thing?tgt=nr
 
Very good article Eol, thanks for sharing.

Scientists have recently shown that these two types of uncertainty — the kind we can prepare for, and the kind we’re just stuck with — are not created equal. The uncertainty we can’t do anything about is more stressful than the one we can. The results help show exactly what in our lives freaks us out — and why. But the findings also show a positive side to the stress we feel when not knowing what’s ahead — the closer our stress levels reflect the real ambiguity in the world, the better we perform in it.

This reminds me that it's better to pay attention to reality and suffer the pain of ambiguity and stress rather than remain blissfully unaware and get smacked over the head with a two-by-four.

It also reminded me of what Laura wrote concerning Pavlov's experiments and how that information has been used to 'condition' people. I post the first relevant half here, but the rest can be found here:

In a word, our world has been hystericized - and for a reason and following a well-known process. Back in 2007, I did some research on something called transmarginal inhibition. Transmarginal inhibition, or TMI, is an organism's response to overwhelming stimuli. Ivan Pavlov found that organisms had different levels of tolerance. He commented "that the most basic inherited difference among people was how soon they reached this shutdown point and that the quick-to-shut-down have a fundamentally different type of nervous system". Ironically, the popular acronym TMI means too much information, which can be a common factor of transmarginal inhibition in today's culture. I realized what is happening: the very techniques for inducing stress breakdowns in dogs that were discovered/developed by Ivan Pavlov are being used on the human population all over the globe. Here are the four methods:

1) The first type of stress was simply an increase in the intensity of the signal to which the dog was initially conditioned. If this was gradually increased, at a certain point, when the signal was too strong for its system, the dog would begin to break down.

This one is pretty easy to see: they are trying to stress everyone with fear, so they keep pouring on the "fear signal." Not only are we supposed to be afraid of terrorists, we are supposed to be afraid that if we do anything that is taken the wrong way by the PTB, we will end up in Gitmo, a torture victim.

Of course, there is the long term stress that has been applied for a very long time to the U.S. population: financial insecurity. That one is near the breaking point! But, we notice that those with weak systems shut down quickly, right after 9-11. Heck, they may have shut down before 9-11 and succumbed to the propaganda of the Bush presidential campaign. They were the Bush supporters from the beginning.

Next:

2) The second way of achieving the ultraboundary event was to increase the time between the giving of the signal and the arrival of food. If a dog was conditioned to receive food five seconds after the warning signal, and this period was then prolonged, signs of restlessness and abnormal behavior would become evident in the less stable dogs. Pavlov discovered that the dog's brains revolted against any abnormally long waiting period while under stress. Breakdown would occur when the dog had to either exert very strong, or very prolonged, inhibition. (Human beings also find protracted waiting while under stress to be debilitating: worse than the event that produces the anxiety.)
This one is interesting. We see it playing out again and again and have done for the past 13 years. Back when it was between Dubya and Saddam, we were treated to: "We are gonna bomb Iraq..." soon. Over and over and over again the back and forth about WMDs and all that nonsense. By the time the war was launched, a lot of people were GLAD and fully behind it because their stress levels had maxed out. As for those who were against the war, many of them may have simply been too stressed to care.

Right now, it is being done again with Syria, Turkey, Russia and who knows what else. Everyone knows what is likely to happen: WW III, but the stress of waiting is getting to everyone. Thing is, the puppet masters behind Obama know this. That is their plan! To wear people out with the stress of waiting, hot and cold, yes, no, "it's gonna happen... maybe tomorrow... next week... next month... or maybe not."

This sort of thing is maddening to the system. How many people can stand up under this kind of stress? Not many, I think. Even many progressive types have gone completely mad and switched sides.
 
Thanks for sharing this study, Eol.

[quote author=Eol]
The amount of ambiguity the participants had about whether the snake was under the rock was associated with their stress. If they could easily predict when the shock would come, reducing their uncertainty, they shocks were easier to take. But if the outcome remained difficult to predict — if no amount of learning was going to help — the participants were much more stressed out.

But if the participants had a good feel for just how uncertain the odds were — if their measures of stress tracked well with the amount of ambiguity — they ended up with an unexpected benefit: They performed better on the rock and snake task (though they still got shocked for their pains). The scientists published their results March 29 in Nature Communications.


The study “reveals more quantitatively how stress (both self-reported and measured with physiological arousal) is driven by… ‘irreducible uncertainty,’ uncertainty about the state of the world that we can’t control,” says Ross Otto, a neuroscientist at New York University. It’s that irreducible uncertainty — the fact that the job applicant just doesn’t know if he’s got the job until the call comes through, and there’s nothing he can do about it — that really gets to us.
[/quote]

This irreducible uncertainty is an intrinsic part of reality (discussed more in Hazard ).

To cope with the irreducible uncertainty, we have an adaptive toolbox in our mind which uses various heuristics (discussed more in Making Decisions: Risk, Uncertainty and Rationality .

In Hazard, John Bennett wrote
Intelligence is really the power of adaptation to hazard.

I think at our level, acknowledgement of significant, irreducible uncertainty (hazard) and how we adapt to it are key lessons. As this uncertainty breeds stress, learning to cope with the stress becomes a corollary necessity.
 
Eol Hi and thank you for this relevant article. Personally I have always considered the uncertainty as a polarity that is found in all our acts of everyday life. This polarity seems to be two uncertainties. "The Pessimistic uncertainty" and "uncertainty opotimiste". Apart from our biological and vital reflexes, I think the majority of our acts are choice, so uncertainties. I think that either we are conditioned to reflexes (eating, drinking, sleeping, waking, toileting, or certain acts in our work) or whether we are not subject to the reflexes, in this case, we are in the dommaine choice, decision and waiting. The greater the uncertainty, the greater our indecision is great.
When we have a reflex (non-uncertainty), we act quickly. When we are in uncertainty, we act slowly. This will be even slower if our uncertainty grows. If the uncertainty becomes too great, then we do not move, our actions are paralyzed. However, it does not seem that the great uncertainty is related solely to the pessimistic uncertainty, but can also be present in the optimistic uncertainty. That is to say, that a great fear (uncertainty / opportunity of great suffering) can paralyze us, and a great joy (uncertainty / opportunity to delight) can also paralyze us. I think these two extremes of uncertainties excess emotions and pertuberaient our discernment and reasoning. Also, it seems that without uncertainties, we are either robotic or God (he does not doubt). Knowing that we are not God, we need to accept our uncertainty, but if we can not control the fows our emotions, we can not control our excesses in uncertainty (pessimistic or optimistic) that paralyze our actions physiological.
 
obyvatel said:
In Hazard, John Bennett wrote
Intelligence is really the power of adaptation to hazard.

I think at our level, acknowledgement of significant, irreducible uncertainty (hazard) and how we adapt to it are key lessons. As this uncertainty breeds stress, learning to cope with the stress becomes a corollary necessity.

It sounds very true to me. Uncertaintiy is part of everyone's life. We can reduce it until a certain point (more or less depending on the subject matter) through the knowledge acquired but can't reduce it to 0, wich could mean omniscience (No more learning). In someway, we can say that uncertainty precede the experiences and the lessons. We have some control in specific areas of our lifes but the whole picture is englobed in multiple uncertainties. When I started to realise that it's just like that and will always be like that (Learning never stops) and that uncertainties are opportunities to face new experiences and new lesssons, me, who has since child always been paralysed with the fear and the stress of the unknown, began to release gradually the great (and illusory ?) pressure on my shoulders.
 
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