Lebanon

Rabelais

Dagobah Resident
FOTCM Member
With the saber rattling coming from Israel about preparation for another Gaza Cast Led II, this bit of news is interesting. I could imagine that the Gaza noise is just that. Gaza is the distraction and Lebanon is the real next objective, unless Hezbollah has some new surprises in store. Israel is bound and determined to get that Litani River water... and end the Golan Heights dispute once and for all.

A devastating war between Israel & Hezbollah is on the horizon

Elias Bejjani
February 08, 2010

*Israel is preparing to invade Lebanon with massive ground troops.

Israel will not spare any kind of weaponry, including phosphorous and cluster bombs.

Israel is secretly evacuating its northern region residents.

Israel intends to create a new security zone inside Lebanon, south of the Litani to enhance her long term occupation.

While the war of words is escalating around the clock between Israel on the one side and Hezbollah and Syria on the other, analysts in the Middle East and Europe strongly believe that war is inevitable and will break out within a few months.

In this scary context, senior Lebanese sources told the Saudi daily Al-Okaz that Hezbollah has announced emergency readiness in all areas of the country where it operates. Senior figures of the organization were asked to exercise greater caution in their movements amid fears they would be targeted by Israel. Hezbollah´s leaders are bragging that they are capable of defeating, humiliating and destroying Israel´s war machine.

Meanwhile, the verbal sparring between Jerusalem and Damascus continued over the weekend, even if in lower tones. The official Syrian newspaper Tishrin said in an editorial that "the threats from Israel make it clear that it intends to initiate a new war whose limits are unknown." The editorial added that "death and destruction may occur if Israel responds to the logic of some of its leaders, in whose veins flows crime. Damascus is ready for any path that Israel chooses, whether it is peace or war." The editorial's author is the newspaper's editor-in-chief, who wrote that the "logic of war and threats is the dominant logic in Israel. Talk of peace is chatter void of substance that is mere media propaganda. There is no real political decision for peace in the Zionist entity, despite promises of this, on the basis of restoring rights to their rightful owners."

Syrian Foreign Minister Walid Moallem last week threatened that an Israeli attack against Syria would be total war. His Israeli counterpart, Avigdor Lieberman, warned that Syrian President Bashar Assad and his family would not remain in power as a result of the next war.

In a report written by Hamid Ghoriafi, Middle East analyst and journalist, that was published today by the Kuwaiti Daily Al-Seyassah, Ghoriafi drew a very dim picture for the whole situation and predicted a very devastating imminent war that will be according to the Israelis the last one with on their northern borders. Below are some excerpts from this report:

Reliable European intelligence reports in London unveiled on Monday an extensive secretive Israeli ongoing operation to evacuate hundreds of families living in the Galilee settlements adjacent to the border with Lebanon to safer locations inside Israel, especially west Jerusalem, Tel Aviv and surrounding areas. These families are transported by trucks and buses and priority is given to families with many children, the elderly and the physically disabled. The evacuees' houses are put under the control of the Northern Military Command for reasons not yet known."

A German report that was recently distributed to those concerned in the European Union capitals revealed that there is a serious Israeli military intention to reoccupy the former border strip inside Lebanon with a distance of 5 to 6 kilometers. This strip was known as the "security zone" before the Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon in May 2000. Initially it was established in the aftermath of the Israeli invasion of Lebanon and occupation of her capital in 1982. The aim was to create a semi-demilitarized zone along the area of Lebanese Christian and some Shiite villages that are scattered near the Israeli border in a bid to safeguard the Jewish settlements from shelling and infiltration.

The same intelligence report quoted Israeli Defense Ministry sources saying that their military engineers have finished putting designs for building two military airports inside the Lebanese "new security zone", which will stretch temporally up to the Litani River in the early stages of the war. This area has been under the control of the UNIFIL troops since 2006. Israel expects that the UNIFIL troops will withdraw in case the war breaks out. The first airport will be built on the middle and eastern region boundaries towards Shabaa Farms, Mount Hermon; and the second in the western sector region towards the coastal town of Naqoura.


All technical and logistic equipments required for the erection of these two airports are already in locations situated behind the front lines of the Israeli army that is extensively present on the northern border. Analysts say that this kind of preparations gives the impression that Israel is definitely planning for a long-term occupation to the south Litani area. The Israeli occupation accordingly will not endonce the coming military operations cease."

The report quoted the Israeli defense sources saying that the war will actually begin in the northern region of the Litani Rriver and all though the Bekaa Valley and eastern Lebanese mountainous areas that separate Syria and Lebanon because the presence of Hezbollah in the south of the Litani is no longer as heavy as it was in 2006. The UNIFIL troops took control of this region after the 2006 war. The report disclosed that the backbone of the coming Israeli war will be based on two plans:

The first plan is for extensive jet plane aerial bombardment of Hezbollah's scattered military weaponry caches and missile bases with phosphorus and cluster bombs, replicating the kind of devastation the southern suburbs of Beirut (Hezbollah's ministate) suffered during the 2006 war.

The second plan is to execute for the first time, air-landing operations behind Hezbollah's lines after weakening and destroying its bases in the south, Bekaa Valley and Beirut.

These two plans in contrast to the 2006 war aim to practically occupy many Lebanese areas and locations as was the situation in the 1982 invasion led by Ariel Sharon, who occupied Beirut and its surrounding mountainous and coastal areas.

British sources claimed that another European intelligence report prepared by the UNIFIL French contingent in southern Lebanon revealed that the Israeli army command has made ready another SOS war scenario to deal with Syrian and the Palestinian troops who might cross from Syria and enter the Bekaa Valley equipped with advanced anti-aircraft missiles to hunt the Israeli jets.

The scenario speaks about Israeli war inside Syria in a bid to completely destroy these troops. Syrian Foreign Minister Walid Moallem last week threatened that an Israeli attack against Syria would lead to total war.

The report said that 60% of the Israeli air force has already been put on full alert and is well prepared for action on the first day of the coming war in an extensive attack on the Lebanese. Israel is planning to fulfill all its objectives and finish the war within a few weeks. The remaining 40% of the Israeli air force will be ready to join in swiftly and effectively if the Syrian army gets involved.

The same French report added that Israel is determined to make this war the last one on her northern borders. The Jewish military command will not spare any advanced and destructive kind of weaponry that is stored in its caches. Hezbollah will not be the only target within the Shiite regions that are under its control, but also the Lebanese army, all Lebanese institutions and infrastructure. Israel is well convinced that Hezbollah is in full control of the Lebanese government and accordingly its army will not spare the country's infrastructure as was the situation in the 2006 war. Israel is planning to end Hezbollah the same way it ended the PLO in the 1982-1983 war.

Elias Bejjani

Canadian-Lebanese Human Rights activist, journalist and political commentator

_http://www.americanchronicle.com/articles/view/140634
 
Seems to me that the main reason they would do this is because a date for an attack on Iran has been fixed and they want to deal with Hizb'allah (and maybe even Syria) in advance.

Btw, on that topic. I've heard a lot of talk about hitting Irans nuclear facilities over the past years from the warmongers, but I haven't really heard anyone wonder what would be the result of blowing up a nuclear power plant with a bunker buster, which is basically a low yield nuclear device.
 
Perceval said:
Btw, on that topic. I've heard a lot of talk about hitting Irans nuclear facilities over the past years from the warmongers, but I haven't really heard anyone wonder what would be the result of blowing up a nuclear power plant with a bunker buster, which is basically a low yield nuclear device.

In the last couple ALTA reports that HalfPastHuman put out, they discuss something in their dataset called the [Israeli mistake]. The accuracy of the interpretation is up for speculation, but Clif has connected this rather grim scenario to exactly the situation you are wondering about above, FWIW. He discusses it in a couple of interviews from last summer/fall.
 
Shijing said:
Perceval said:
Btw, on that topic. I've heard a lot of talk about hitting Irans nuclear facilities over the past years from the warmongers, but I haven't really heard anyone wonder what would be the result of blowing up a nuclear power plant with a bunker buster, which is basically a low yield nuclear device.

In the last couple ALTA reports that HalfPastHuman put out, they discuss something in their dataset called the [Israeli mistake]. The accuracy of the interpretation is up for speculation, but Clif has connected this rather grim scenario to exactly the situation you are wondering about above, FWIW. He discusses it in a couple of interviews from last summer/fall.

Interesting. Not sure it would be an Israeli mistake though, unless there was some unforeseen backlash against Israel. But the real victims in such a scenario would be the Iranians. There are 165,000 people living 8 miles from the Bushehr nuclear power plant. It's actually pretty amazing to hear the US and Israeli hawks talking nonchalantly about bombing it. The result would be genocide on a large scale. In total there are about 2 million Iranians living very close to the facilities that these psychos say they want to bomb. I wouldn't for a second put it past them.
 
Perceval said:
Interesting. Not sure it would be an Israeli mistake though, unless there was some unforeseen backlash against Israel.

That's the first reason (see second reason). The second is (once again, in Clif's interpretation) that Israel would miscalculate the net result of hitting either a nuclear reactor, or otherwise something else that Iran is hiding underground, with a bunker-buster and it would release a radioactive cloud that would ultimately encircle the northern hemisphere 9 times.
 
Shijing said:
Perceval said:
Interesting. Not sure it would be an Israeli mistake though, unless there was some unforeseen backlash against Israel.

That's the first reason (see second reason). The second is (once again, in Clif's interpretation) that Israel would miscalculate the net result of hitting either a nuclear reactor, or otherwise something else that Iran is hiding underground, with a bunker-buster and it would release a radioactive cloud that would ultimately encircle the northern hemisphere 9 times.

And there's your sudden ice age right there!
 
Perceval said:
Shijing said:
Perceval said:
Btw, on that topic. I've heard a lot of talk about hitting Irans nuclear facilities over the past years from the warmongers, but I haven't really heard anyone wonder what would be the result of blowing up a nuclear power plant with a bunker buster, which is basically a low yield nuclear device.

In the last couple ALTA reports that HalfPastHuman put out, they discuss something in their dataset called the [Israeli mistake]. The accuracy of the interpretation is up for speculation, but Clif has connected this rather grim scenario to exactly the situation you are wondering about above, FWIW. He discusses it in a couple of interviews from last summer/fall.

Interesting. Not sure it would be an Israeli mistake though, unless there was some unforeseen backlash against Israel. But the real victims in such a scenario would be the Iranians. There are 165,000 people living 8 miles from the Bushehr nuclear power plant. It's actually pretty amazing to hear the US and Israeli hawks talking nonchalantly about bombing it. The result would be genocide on a large scale. In total there are about 2 million Iranians living very close to the facilities that these psychos say they want to bomb. I wouldn't for a second put it past them.

If I remember correctly Clif stated that the Israeli mistake dataset appears in ALTA research for several years. And the scenario is that such an attack on Iran's nuclear plant would cause radioactive clouds which will drift around the Globe circa 9 times causing 200 millions or more deaths.
 
un chien anadolu said:
If I remember correctly Clif stated that the Israeli mistake dataset appears in ALTA research for several years. And the scenario is that such an attack on Iran's nuclear plant would cause radioactive clouds which will drift around the Globe circa 9 times causing 200 millions or more deaths.

Yep, that's more or less it -- hence the backlash against Israel, who would have killed people all around the globe under this scenario when they were only meaning to target Iran. I'm not sure if that would lead to an ice age -- maybe it would, depending on whether the clouds were dense with anything other than radiation.
 
Speaking of deliberate provocation...

_http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/3-lebanese-soldiers-journalist-killed-in-clash-on-israel-lebanon-border-1.305734
Israel Defense Forces exchanged fire with the Lebanese army on Tuesday, killing three Lebanese soldiers and a Lebanese journalist, in what appeared to be the most serious military confrontation since Israel's month-long war with Hezbollah in 2006.

The Lebanese army confirmed that two of its troops had been killed when Israeli forces fired on a vehicle in which they were traveling, setting it on fire and wounding another.

In Lebanon, security sources said that Israeli shells fired at the southern Lebanese border village of Aadassi hit a house, wounding two - a soldier and a civilian.

Lebanese troops responded with artillery fire, Lebanese press reports said, while eyewitnesses said fire had broken out in two buildings in the village.

"It started when the Israelis wanted to cut a tree down inside Lebanon," one security source in Lebanon said. "The Lebanese army fired warning shots at them and they responded by shelling."

The Lebanese al-Nahar newspaper reported that a journalist from the al-Akhbar newspaper was killed during the clash.

Haaretz says that it is possible that today's incident was caused by one of the sides misidentifying the correct location of the border. In Lebanon, there was a report that Lebanese soldiers had demanded that Israeli troops leave the area before the exchange of fire took place.

Lebanon's state-run National News Agency said the exchanges began after Israeli troops tried to install surveillance cameras near Adeisseh.

Basically, the story begun with Israelis trying to remove a tree on Lebanon's territory, while Israelis say that it was still Israel's territory and they were clearing the vegetation along the border. Both countries filed a complaint with the UN, and diplomatic steps are taken to calm down the situation before it escalates. But what Israeli media reports now is that it was a deliberate provocation and ambush by Lebanon's snipers, and it looks like they are going to use the situation to its fullest. Perhaps there is another war or at least terror attacks or kidnapping in store. There was a lot of military aircraft activity around this time in the North of the country.
 
There is a news report here (in Hebrew, and it loads really slowly) that shows the recording of the incident. There you can see UN soldiers screaming repeatedly at someone to stop what they are doing. Israelis say that they were screaming at Lebanon soldiers who wanted to fire on Israelis. But it is quite possible that they were actually screaming on Israelis who moved beyond the border on a special crane to clear the vegetation and install surveillance cameras.
 
Seems like IDF is really eager to pick up a fight.

_http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3931658,00.html
IDF fires at Lebanese fishing boat

The Lebanese army said Saturday night that the IDF fired towards its territorial waters in the early morning hours. The Israeli army confirmed that forces opened fire on a Lebanese fishing boat that was sailing in a restricted area and did not respond when it was ordered to return to Lebanese territory.

There were no reports of injury in the incident.

In a statement, the Lebanese army said, "As part of the continued violations of Resolution 1701, a hostile Israeli warship dared to open fire at 4 am."

According to the statement, the Israeli vessel "fired a number of bullets towards Lebanon's territorial waters."

The IDF said forces fired warning shots when the boat did not return to the "permitted area."

The incident occurred just four days after heavy exchanges of fire along the Israeli-Lebanese border left a senior IDF officer and three Lebanese dead.
 
Seeing this headline on sott.net today, "Is Lebanon next on the imperial hit list?" reminded me of a short youtube video I saw some time ago. In it General Wesley Clark says wars in 7 countries, including Lebanon, were planned:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9RC1Mepk_Sw
General Wesley Clark: Wars Were Planned - Seven Countries In Five Years
 
I think, and hope, that 'time' is against them combined with cosmic changes which they don't seem to acknowledge . Wait and see, I guess...
 
Back
Top Bottom