Putin Recognizes Donbass Republics, Sends Russian Military to 'Denazify' Ukraine

Gazprom Declares Force Majeure, Will Halt Gas Flows To Germany Indefinitely​


"Gazprom recently said it can no longer guarantee its "good functioning" due to crucial turbines being previously held up in Canada related to sanctions - the Russian energy giant has declared Force Majeure to one major European customer."

"Reuters continues, citing a source saying the customer in question is Germany"

"EU - Whilst you are distracted by hysterical news reports about climate, the real heat (or lack of) is in Europe.

Russian Gazprom has declared a Force Majeure notice on gas deliveries.

Meaning … there won’t be any!"

"This is huge news.Exclusive: Russia's Gazprom declares force majeure on some gas supplies to Europe

The article below:


Many industries require a constant flow of gas to keep running. They cannot be turned off, or they will break down.

In a sense the real war isn't in Ukraine, it the West's economic war of attrition against Russia. And we are going to lose this one.
 
Europe is saved. The politbureau has found the answer.
Russia has been a most reliable partner for 50-60 years and the only unreliable partner has been Europe, but von der Leyen forgets to mention that part.
The funny part is that the main gas field which is going to supply Europe, the Shah Deniz field, has Russian Lukoil owning 19.9% according to the Russian wikipedia and 25% according to the English wiki. Lukoil bought a 10% share in February 2022 from the Malaysian state owned Petronas. So Russia will profit again from selling gas to the EU and the prices are much higher than before the EU decided to cut the pipelines from Russia.
 
There was a perspective on the history of Donbas within what was Ukraine. The argument is that the present conflict had seeds long ago, but problems were not solved, because Ukrainian nationalists (backed by Western Intelligence) were not interested, or as it is written in the last lines:

Aggressive ‘Ukrainianization’ and a policy aimed at distancing the country from Russia eventually resulted in mounting tensions and a protracted political crisis.

All of that has brought Ukraine to its present state – a country plagued by domestic political crises and economic instability, a nation suffering territorial loss and ravaged by an armed conflict in the southeast that began in 2014. Today, Ukrainians look back on the period, which ended in 2004, as the last peaceful era in Ukraine's modern history. Kiev’s failure to draw the right conclusions from the ‘Severodonetsk case’ contributed to the tragedy Ukraine experienced in 2014. Ukrainian society was never able to bridge its internal divide, and the revolution that came a decade later only split the country further, leading to the loss of Crimea and a bloody war in Donbass.

The whole article:
11 Jul, 2022 11:01
The seeds of the split: How the Russian-speaking Donbass first attempted to win independence from Ukraine in 2004
The foundations for the current Ukraine conflict were laid almost two decades ago

1658180821147.png
FILE PHOTO.Viktor Yanukovich, former Prime Minister of Ukraine, greets his supporters in Severodonetsk, eastern Ukraine, 28 November, 2004. © AFP / PHOTO MIG

In late June, after fierce fighting, the last remaining units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces pulled out of Severodonetsk, a large industrial center in the western part of the Lugansk People's Republic.

Back in 2004, the city hosted the famous congress of the ‘federalists’, Ukrainian politicians – elected at different levels – who backed the presidential candidate Viktor Yanukovych during the Western-backed Orange Revolution. Back then, they declared that the Kiev protests were an attempted coup and warned that an illegitimate government coming to power could prompt the congress to establish southeastern autonomy to protect local residents.

At the same time, regional deputies decided to hold a referendum on changing the country into a federal state and appealed to Russian President Vladimir Putin for support.
In this article, RT recounts the first attempt of Ukraine’s southeastern regions to gain independence from Kiev and explains why the events of 2004 defined the future armed conflict in Donbass.

Just a step away from federation

Political discussions about a possible disintegration and reconfiguration of Ukraine have been going on ever since the country became independent in 1991. Ironically, one of the first people to doubt the country’s unity was Vyacheslav Chornovol, the founder of the national democratic party Narodny Rukh (People’s Movement) and a hero for Ukrainian nationalists. Admittedly, he only mentioned the possibility of turning Ukraine into a federation. The idea of federalization was the focal point of discussions that – until the Maidan political crisis of 2014 – were commonly referred to as “separatist” discourse.
https://www.rt.com/news/549849-natos-expansion-destroyed-dream/
As early as 1989, Chornovol said that Ukraine should be a “union of lands.” “I imagine future Ukraine as a federal state, a union of lands, which have come together throughout the course of history and whose natural, climatic, cultural, ethnographic, and linguistic differences, as well as idiosyncrasies in their economies, habits, and customs define the unique diversity of a single people. I envision the People’s Republic of Ukraine, which includes such lands as the Kiev Region, Podolye, Volhynia, Galichina, Bukovina, Transcarpathia, Getmanshchina, Sloboda Ukraine, Zaporozhye, the Donetsk region, and Tauria, whereas Crimea could be an independent neighbor or an autonomous republic in alliance with Ukraine,” he wrote.

Chornovol added that Ukrainian should be the only state language in the new federation, although local authorities could make certain provinces bilingual.

Two years later, in 1991, Chornovol initiated the convention of the so-called Galicia Assembly, which spoke in favor of administrative reform and the creation of a new autonomous regional entity, Galichina, based on the amalgamation of the Lviv, Ternopol, and Ivano-Frankovsk Regions. Even though the assembly was one of the catalysts of Ukraine’s independence, Chornovol’s supporters were accused of separatism after Leonid Kravchuk was elected president. This was in large part due to ideas to create a Donetsk Republic and Novorossiya in the Russian-speaking southeast of Ukraine, which began circulating in the 1990s. Over time, Chornovol’s proposals came to be viewed as too radical, and opponents of federalization have been linking his designs with the breakup of the country for more than 30 years now.

When the Ukrainian constitution was adopted in 1996, it defined Ukraine as a unitary state, which removed the issue of federalization from the agenda. And yet, apart from the 24 regions and two federal-level cities (Kiev and Sevastopol), Ukraine also included the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, which, for a few years, even had its own constitution and president. Throughout those years, Ukrainian presidents Leonid Kravchuk and Leonid Kuchma managed to strike the right balance in their foreign and domestic policies, especially as regards to handling relations between regions on both sides of the “Subtelny line,” which is traditionally used to divide Ukraine into two distinct parts.

1658180903729.png
FILE PHOTO. Some 3,500 local officials from 17 of Ukraine's 27 regions meet in Severodonetsk, an eastern Ukrainian town 28 November, 2004. © AFP / PHOTO MIG

However, in 2004, when the outcome of the protests was still uncertain, politicians who supported Yanukovych (dubbed 'pro-Russian' in the West, despite his years of negotiations with the EU) revived the idea of federalization. Members of the Party of Regions claimed that Ukraine had failed as a unitary state and therefore had to be reorganized as a federation with a high degree of autonomy at the level of administrative and territorial entities. Ukraine was going through a real crisis, and, probably for the first time, that schism was pushing the country to the brink of an all-out civilian conflict.

“Not going to let Galichina tell us how to live our lives”
The mass protests in Kiev, which would later be known as the Orange Revolution, were met with little enthusiasm in the southeast of Ukraine, especially in Donbass. While protesters at the Maidan claimed their ‘pro-European’ candidate, Viktor Yushchenko, had his victory “stolen from him,” many supporters of Yanukovych felt the same watching their opponents clamor for official election results, which had declared the latter victorious, to be repealed. A response to the protests in the capital was imminent.
https://www.rt.com/russia/556495-restoring-peaceful-life-kherson/
On November 28, the All-Ukrainian Congress of Deputies of All Levels welcomed more than 3,500 pro-Yanukovych delegates from across the country. They declared that the protests were an attempted coup and warned that an illegitimate Yushchenko-led government taking over Kiev could prompt the congress to establishautonomy to protect the residents of southeastern Ukraine.

The final statement of the congress, which had been unanimously adopted by its delegates, said: “If the sociopolitical situation in the country develops according to the worst crisis scenario, we will stand firm and united to defend the vote of the people of Ukraine going as far as holding a referendum on possible changes to the administrative and territorial structure of Ukraine.” The significance of the gathering was further elevated by the presence of Moscow mayor Yuri Luzhkov, who delivered a sharp rebuke to Ukraine’s radical opposition. “On the one hand, we’re seeing this orange-fueled mayhem [orange became the symbol of support for Yushchenko – RT], which claims to represent the majority in Ukraine. On the other hand, we have this quiet force gathered in this room today,” Luzhkov said to a round of applause.

At the same time, the Regional Council of Lugansk came up with an alternative project, proposing the establishment of the South-East Ukrainian Autonomous Republic with Kharkov as its capital city. Along with the initiative, local MPs also asked President Putin to help them organize a referendum on Ukraine’s federalization. The referendum was scheduled for December 5, 2004. At the same time, the Regional Council of Donetsk decided to establish its own police force.

Leaders of Ukraine’s southeastern regions began to voice their support for the idea of reorganizing the country. Kharkov’s authorities decided to set up committees that would have executive state powers. Governor Yevgeny Kushnarev was elected head of the regional executive committee – he was well known as a pro-Russian politician and supporter of federalization, as well as a presidential hopeful according to many journalists and activists. His responsibilities at the time included coordination between other councils in the southeastern territories. The Kharkov Region also stopped making payments to the national budget, waiting for the situation in Kiev to stabilize.
https://www.rt.com/russia/556334-ukrainian-camp-nationalistic-narrative/
It was Kushnarev who put into words the idea that later defined the development of the Donbass armed conflict. Speaking at the Severodonetsk conference, he said, “I’d like to remind you that we are 400 kilometers away from Kiev and 40 kilometers away from Russia. We understand that the east is very different from Galicia in the west. We are not imposing our way of life on Galicia, but we will never let Galicia lecture us either.” Together with Boris Kolesnikov, head of the Regional Council of Donetsk, he proposed organizing a referendum in every city to see if people trusted the government and asked what they thought of ‘relaunching’ Ukraine as a federal republic.

All of this political activity in the country’s southeast caused some serious concerns in the West, where governments started to see that the dissolution of the state was quite possible. The diplomatic channels were activated. EU and Russian representatives began making frequent visits in order to work out some compromises. At the end of the day, they didn’t include a referendum, but a process was agreed on to transfer power to Yushchenko. The compromise worked like this: Yushchenko got the green light at the election, and his win in the runoff was accepted by the opponents. In return, he agreed to change the constitution and have presidential privileges reduced as of January 1, 2005, thus turning Ukraine into a parliamentary republic. The local governments in the southeast wrapped up their plans.

One step closer to the abyss
As time went on, everyone felt comfortable forgetting about the convention of ‘federalists’ in Severodonetsk and the programs announced by the local governments in the southeast. They were only recalled when attempts were made to blackmail or jail the local big wigs. The significance of those events shouldn't be underestimated, however. It was the very first time the southeast made it clear what its response was to "patriots" in Kiev trying to seize power and disregard the opinion of half the country’s population while they were at it. Back then, there were no consequences because the parties to the conflict worked out a solution based on compromise, while Russia abstained from backing and pushing Yanukovych.

A little later, however, the members of the Severodonetsk rally came under severe pressure. A criminal charge was launched against Evgeny Kushnarev – a famous member of the Party of Regions – on the grounds of separatism, to be dropped later. That was enough for Kushnarev to distance himself from the separatism agenda, focusing instead on regional issues. In 2005, he “engaged,” as he called it, Yanukovych by merging his New Democracy platform into the Party of Regions. The two politicians ran together in the parliamentary elections in 2006. It was Kushnarev who addressed the items on the election program the most, including the issue of the status of the Russian language.

In January 2007, Kushnarev was severely wounded during a wolf hunt in the Izyum district of Kharkov Region. He was shot by one of his friends, who had joined him for the hunt. A day later, Kushnarev died in spite of two surgeries. He was regarded as the leading anti-Maidan spokesman and a pro-Russian candidate for presidency.
https://www.rt.com/russia/555541-military-operation-transnistria-ukraine/
The events of those years – Maidan, federalization attempts in southeastern Ukraine and the death of a popular champion of Russia and federalism, Evgeny Kushnarev – marked the end of the first era in the history of an independent Ukraine. The people in power, Kuchma included, were anything but impeccable. They had a lot to answer for. But they were forged in the Soviet era and they had a sense of responsibility for their country and understood how complex the situation really was in Ukraine and abroad.

During that period, politicians avoided any radical steps and tried to resolve conflicts through compromise. But when Yushchenko came to power, he abandoned this approach and attempted to impose on Ukraine an agenda that was alien to millions of its citizens. Aggressive ‘Ukrainianization’ and a policy aimed at distancing the country from Russia eventually resulted in mounting tensions and a protracted political crisis.

All of that has brought Ukraine to its present state – a country plagued by domestic political crises and economic instability, a nation suffering territorial loss and ravaged by an armed conflict in the southeast that began in 2014. Today, Ukrainians look back on the period, which ended in 2004, as the last peaceful era in Ukraine's modern history. Kiev’s failure to draw the right conclusions from the ‘Severodonetsk case’ contributed to the tragedy Ukraine experienced in 2014. Ukrainian society was never able to bridge its internal divide, and the revolution that came a decade later only split the country further, leading to the loss of Crimea and a bloody war in Donbass.

By Alexander Nepogodin, аn Odessa-born political journalist, expert on Russia and the former Soviet Union.
 
The present situation in Ukraine, a possible future, and thoughts about the Baltic countries

There was via Telegram a statement by O. Arestovych
He says:
"They make us go up on the podium, to uphold the psyche of millions of people, to say that everything will be alright and we'll get through this. You know how much I want to be held by mummy at that point, you have no idea.

Everytime I go on FeiginLive (TV show), I just want to go to mummy. Instead of demonstrating courage and telling people we will win..."
Arestovich appears to have realized that he is asked to wear a mask of insanity. That is quite an admission.

What else are Ukrainians thinking about the war?
In the Western media, there is a restricted selection, but elsewhere there is a selection of journalists and reporters, commenting and on the events. There are also some card readers and astrologists, who try their luck. Here is an example from a reader TG channel with a name that does not promise much, who posts little and has few views. So in that sense it is an average Ukrainian.

Pikovay Crazy, [7/17/2022 22:19]
[ Photo ]
WHEN WILL THE MILITARY OPERATIONS ON THE TERRITORY OF UKRAINE END
The military action on the territory of Ukraine will go to completion falsely starting from August. It is worth paying attention to such dates as August 10 and the period from September 14 to September 22. Although I clearly see the completion in mid-November. (by completion, I mean that they will come to a mutual solution of the situation for a given period of time)

Military operations will begin to end when the ground is underfoot and fundamental values are laid,
what can be inherited, what will remain to descendants. A union that can be an example for others, peace, tranquility, security, unity, liberation from all restrictions.

A period of inactivity and lack of freedom. Getting into a difficult situation from which there is no way out or this way out is not obvious. Constant efforts to improve the situation. It is difficult to find a way out, but it is necessary to search.

According to the Queen of Cups, we can get such advice from cards as, do not take wishful thinking. And not to be comforted by the help of those deeply involved in the problem from outside.
Second question:
Pikovay Crazy, [7/17/2022 22:41]
[ Photo ]
On the question of the INTEGRITY of UKRAINE IN the FUTURE, such cards as...

The tower shows us sudden abrupt changes,
these are accidents, deaths, and military actions. Well, that is, everything that is happening right now with us. The tower says that for a long time we considered our position stable and safe, and suddenly everything collapsed. At the same time, just those structures and attitudes that have already surpassed are collapsing, we are talking about both beliefs and life principles, finances, relationships... The tower symbolizes a concept that for a long time provided confidence in the future and a sense of security, and now it has ceased to correspond to perception. When the old suddenly collapses, many perceive it as a lightning strike, and since it is precisely those structures that made up the most basic confidence that are collapsing, it looks like a catastrophe, only when the first shock passes then it will be discovered that it turns out that they got rid of the oldest balance. This realization comes by itself or in the form of a hint from the outside.

The page of swords shows us that Ukraine is being criticized, the country has fallen into an information provocation, and this is a chance to find out something. The page is the Arcana of a painful search for truth. Of course, clarification through conflict.

Queen of wands, they require decisive action, it is necessary to act quickly by showing will and captivating others.

According to the Queen of Wands, we can observe that the tower is collapsing for the self-improvement of self-knowledge and self-realization of other countries.
The last part where it says: "the tower is collapsing for the self-improvement of self-knowledge and self-realization of other countries." leads also to the question if it is possible that the narrative about Ukraine will backfire similarly to the Covid? Or even worse, since the prices people will be paying are so much higher.


If the war slows down in Ukraine, will it continue elsewhere?
The Taro reader said nothing on this question, but let us have a look. A few days ago, there was a press release from the Defence Security Cooperation Agency in the US:
ESTONIA – M142 HIGH MOBILITY ARTILLERY ROCKET SYSTEM (HIMARS)

Press Release - Estonia 22-35 CN.pdf
WASHINGTON, July 15, 2022 - The State Department has made a determination approving a possible Foreign Military Sale to the Government of Estonia of M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) and related equipment for an estimated cost of up to $500 million. The Defense Security Cooperation Agency delivered the required certification notifying Congress of this possible sale today.
In the press release, they say about the weapons:
up to thirty-six (36) XM404 Extended Range GMLRS (ER GMLRS) Unitary Pods with IMPS and SMPS HOB Capability
Consulting the Wiki, it is said the GMLRS have a range of 150 km, which is about the distance between the Estonian border and Saint Petersburg in Russia, but the weapons are still not in operation:
  • ER GMLRS rockets with extended range of up to 150 km (93 mi).[55] Rockets use a slightly increased rocket motor size, a newly designed hull, and tail-driven guidance while still containing six per pod. It will come in unitary and AW variants.[56] The first successful test flight of an ER GMLRS occurred in March 2021.[57] Lockheed Martin anticipates adding the ER to its production line in the fiscal year 2023 contract award, and is planning to produce the new rockets at its Camden facility. Full operational capability is planned for 2025.[58] In 2022 Finland became the first foreign customer to order ER GMLRS.[59]
In an Estonian media, there was USA allows Estonia to buy six HIMARS missile systems:
"This is a Baltic cooperation project. The Baltic defense ministers have agreed that the multiple missile system will be purchased jointly. A cooperation agreement has been signed for this. The idea is that we will all use the same system. Estonia got the go-ahead, but I am absolutely convinced that Latvia and Lithuania will too," he said.

Poland is also planning to buy an additional 500 HIMARS, AK reported.
Seriously, Poland wish to buy 500 of these guns?

The Baltic States dream of bigger guns faster. In Belarus, they have another idea:
President of Belarus Lukashenko practices soft power as he removes the visa regime for Baltic states

People are visiting Belarus to purchase goods in short supply - such as salt, grains and petrol.

Encouraging Baltic people to come and see Belarus for themselves is an effective method in the info war, says Belarussian politician Yuri Voskresensky.

Dire Straits ahead for Baltic countries?
To get to Russia, Kaliningrad and the Baltics, one has to go through the Danish straits, (RU: Датские (Балтийские) проливы) as explained elsewhere:
Scandinavia has strategic importance as it borders the Baltic Sea, which connects to Saint Petersburg and Russia.
1655892434213.png

"The Danish straits are the three channels connecting the Baltic Sea to the North Sea through the Kattegat and Skagerrak."
1655892075527.png
In the second map above, you will find a harbour to the upper left, called Århus, and today there was in a Danish paper:
Four large NATO warships arrive in Aarhus
A Dutch, a British and two Portuguese warships have been training in the Baltic Sea and taking a break in Aarhus.
The harbour in Århus is 700 km from Kaliningrad. Arhus is also a major local container hub. If or when Russia strikes harder in Ukraine, what will the US and allies will do in the Baltics, within which there are countries, that have been very supportive of the war efforts in Ukraine. Will these countries just give up, if large parts of what remains of Ukraine leave the fray?

The future of the Baltic States?
Some days ago, there was an old talk by V. Zhirinovsky with translation posted on TG. Regarding the Baltics and Ukraine, he is ballistic, but oddly enough, the Baltic States are still doing all they can to hasten the outcome Zhirinovsky envisioned, which is their destruction. It may not get that bad, and I take Lukashenko's gesture as an extended hand to the people, but the leaders of the Baltic countries reminds one of Zelensky and the Ukrainian nationalists. Will they lead their countries to a similar outcome? Or will they just realize the west can do little for them except increase their problems.
 
Here are a possible reason for the purge By Zelenski off Hight ranking officer lately.


MILITARY AND POLITICAL VICTIMS REVEAL SECRETS OF RUSSIAN STRIKE IN VINNYTSIA​

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Military And Political Victims Reveal Secrets Of Russian Strike In Vinnytsia
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On July 13th, Russian missiles hit the Ukrainian city of Vinnytsia. LINK The attack was carried out by Russian high-precision sea-based Kalibr missiles which struck the building of the garrison house of officers in the city.
The Russian Ministry of Defence reported that “at the time of the strike, a meeting of the command of the Ukrainian air forces with representatives of foreign arms suppliers was held at this military facility on the transfer of the next batch of aircraft, weapons of destruction to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as well as the organization of repair of the Ukrainian aviation fleet.”
As a result of the strike, the participants of the meeting were destroyed.
The Ukrainian media launched the information campaign claiming that the strike targeted civilian facilities located nearby, including a maternity hospital. The reports stressed on the number of civilian killed during the attack without mentioning the real targets. Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky called the shelling of Vinnytsia a “terrorist attack against civilians,” and he demanded once again Russia to be recognized as a “terrorist state”.
Despite attempts of the Kiev regime to hide the truth behind the loud claims on the attacks on civilians, the reports of the Russian Ministry of Defence were confirmed by the facts.
Soon after the strike, names of high-ranking officers of the Ukrainian Air Force who were killed in the building of the garrison house of officers were revealed but were missed by the media.
So far, the known victims include:
  • Acting Chief of Armament of the Logistics Command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Colonel Dmitry Burdyko.
  • The head of the Military-Scientific Department of the headquarters of the Ukrainian Air Force Command, Lieutenant Colonel Konstantin Puzyrenko.
  • The head of the Armament and Logistics Service of the Ukrainian Air Force, Colonel Oleg Makarchuk.
Military And Political Victims Reveal Secrets Of Russian Strike In Vinnytsia
Colonel Dmitry Burdyko
Military And Political Victims Reveal Secrets Of Russian Strike In Vinnytsia
Lieutenant Colonel Konstantin Puzyrenko
Military And Political Victims Reveal Secrets Of Russian Strike In Vinnytsia
Colonel Oleg Makarchuk
The victims were members of the Ukrainian delegation who held talks with foreign military officials on arms supplies to Ukraine. They are not the only Ukrainian officials killed in Vinnytsia. The real number of casualties remains unknown, as well as the names of foreign officers who took part in the talks that day.
The Russian strike marked the first attack on the Ukrainian decision-making centers. It is likely linked to the further dismissal of the head of the Security Service of Ukraine.
Soon after the incident, President of Ukraine Vladimir Zelensky dismissed the head of the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), Ivan Bakanov, as well as Prosecutor General of Ukraine. The reason of such a decision were links “between employees of the law enforcement agencies of Ukraine and the special services of Russia”.
Zelensky reported on 651 criminal proceedings “on high treason and collaborationist activities” against employees of Ukrainian law enforcement agencies.
 
Without knowing if the following is authentic and to which degree, here goes a post from Intel Sllava Z with a few comments.
Assessment by the Polish intelligence services of the situation in Ukraine

The Intelligence Agency (AW) of the Republic of Poland has prepared a report analyzing the current situation in Ukraine. According to the document, a catastrophic situation has developed in the formations of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

The number of irretrievable losses is more than 300 people per day, and this figure is underestimated by the office of the President to reduce the likelihood of a public outburst and create panic among civilians and the military. The Psheks emphasize that the systematic strikes of the Russian Armed Forces on command posts and training centers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have led to the death of about 4,600 of the most trained military personnel over the past three months, including senior officers, instructors and mercenaries.

The report notes that unprepared formations are sent to the Donbass, the professional level of officers from the battalion commander and below is weak, the functions of commanders in the troops are often performed by fighters of the national battalions. Since May of this year, almost all control functions in the planning and conduct of hostilities have been taken over by foreign advisers from the United States, Great Britain and Canada. At the same time, the fact of their presence at command posts is kept secret in order to prevent the entry of NATO military personnel into the captivity of the Russian Armed Forces.

It is emphasized that Zelensky's office has set the task of keeping the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk-Toretsk line at any cost until the end of August this year.

Below is a Russian map, with a road and alternative for going from Slavyansk in the north to Kramatorsk and the Toretsk. It takes an hour and 20 minutes by car.

Screenshot 2022-07-19 233259.jpg
Here you see a bigger map. Donetsk is about 50 km south of Toretsk. So from their they can reach Donetsk with their artillery.
Screenshot 2022-07-19 233854.jpg
I don't know how much you can see on this map, but it gives and idea that the line is north of Donetsk:
Screenshot 2022-07-19 235831.jpg
Notice the intense fighting in the above area:
It is indicated that at present, accelerated training of Ukrainian military personnel is being carried out in the west of the republic and on the territory of Great Britain and Germany. By the end of August - beginning of September, it is planned to create an additional grouping of 30 thousand people, the basis of which will be four new brigades.

It is noteworthy that the Polish special services are skeptical about Kyiv's statements about the preparation of these four formations in Ukraine. Warsaw does not rule out that the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is misleading the allies in order to obtain new weapons.

According to AW, the leadership of Ukraine also counts on the introduction of two Polish brigades into the western regions of the country - 6 air brigade and 25 air brigade, which, according to the Ukrainian General Staff, will release additional combat-ready units and formations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in August to be sent to the eastern front.

At the same time, the report notes that the American 155-mm M-777 howitzers delivered to Kyiv are not always used for their intended purpose. Instead of conducting counter-battery combat, guns are often used to bombard cities. At the same time, military personnel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, after accelerated training, are unable to independently maintain complex weapons and military equipment systems, therefore foreign instructors from among mercenaries are often in artillery positions.
The last was not clear, but first there was "almost all control functions in the planning and conduct of hostilities have been taken over by foreign advisers from the United States, Great Britain and Canada.", then "guns are often used to bombard cities" and finally "foreign instructor from among mercenaries are often in artillery positions". Did I miss something, or is the bombardment of cities done when the orders from the foreign advisers are not followed and when the foreign instructors from among mercenaries are not there?
 
In this post, I quoted a Ukrainian who had the opinion that the conflict would come to a standstill by November:
Although I clearly see the completion in mid-November. (by completion, I mean that they will come to a mutual solution of the situation for a given period of time)
Does that reflect an official position not to drag it too far? There was:
It is important for Ukraine to end the war before winter, the head of Zelensky's Office, Ermak, said in an interview with NV.

"The main task of Lend-lease is to ensure that we receive everything on time. It is very important for us not to enter winter. After winter, when Russians will have more time to dig in, it will certainly be more difficult. They're pulling us into it. It is very important for us not to give them such an opportunity," he said.
 
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What a concept! In a short clip on Telegram with Ramzan Kadyrov there is
Ramzan Kadyrov says that he and Apti Alaudinov have grandiose plans. "We are already developing a plan for the demilitarization of NATO countries, and Poland is the first in line after the capture of Kiev"
In Western countries, there is much debate about gun control, but can their politicians handle military hardware responsibly? Leaving this discussion for another day, and moving on to the next subject.

Colonel Cassad had a map showing the current activity.
The first in the upper left means a populated area under the control of RF or LNR/DNR (orange), the blue is UAF.
The second means territorial control, orange is RF and LNR/DNR, while blue is UAF
The third orange on the left means area with military activity.
The third on the right means road.

The first red means artillery from RF DNR/LNR,
The next red means military combat.
The blue opposite the red artillery is UAF artillery.

photo_2022-07-19_22-10-17.jpg
The descriptions of the activities of the day were:
In the morning, Ukrainian formations shelled the villages of Novye Yurkovichi and Lomakovka in the Bryansk region.

The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation hit enemy positions in the territories of Chernihiv and Sumy regions bordering Russia.

In the north of the Kharkiv region, the Ukrainian command is scouting the positions of the Russian Armed Forces, using sabotage groups and civilians loyal to Kiev. Russian troops also defeated the AFU facilities in Chuguev.

An operational pause has come in the Donbas. The parties are actively preparing for further actions:
➖ Russian rocket troops and artillery launched a series of strikes on the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration.

In the Seversk area, preparations for an offensive against the dominant heights near the city are continuing.
The Ukrainian formations again fired at the settlements of the DPR and LPR.

At night, the APU attempted to break through the defense of the NM DNR in the area of Ugledar, but suffered losses and retreated. Some of the fighters surrendered.

The Russian artillery struck several targets in Nikopol. One of the targets was the deployment point of the 301 anti-aircraft missile Regiment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

In the Zaporozhye region, the sides are conducting artillery duels on the contact line.

The Ukrainian command is preparing an offensive in the Krivoy Rog direction: a unit of 17 OTB arrived in Arkhangelsk, a false attack is planned in the area of Vysokopolya.
 
In Ukraine, the lines between the Government and organized crime can be very thin.
LAW ENFORCEMENT COLLAPSED IN UKRAINE
Amid the ongoing hostilities in Ukraine, the Kiev regime executed a crackdown on top security officials.

The President of Ukraine Zelensky dismissed the head of the country’s Security Service (SBU) Ivan Bakanov for non-fulfillment of duties that entailed human casualties. Ukrainian Prosecutor General Irina Venediktova was also dismissed from her post.

Zelensky accused officials of betrayal as there is a large number of cases of treason and collaboration with Russian special services in Ukrainian law enforcement agencies. 651 criminal cases have already been launched.

The trigger for the personnel sweep was likely the recent strike of Russian missiles at the Officers’ House in the city of Vinnytsia, at a time Ukrainian and foreign military officials held negotiations there. As a result of the strike, a large group of high-ranking officers of the Ukrainian Air Force were destroyed. Apparently, the strike led to casualties among the foreign officers, and Kiev was forced by its western partners to punish top security officials who were responsible for the leak of information. This led to the resignation of the head of the SBU.
It does not follow they were necessarily responsible, but to make them scapegoats would be easy because of their past.
However, one should not expect that the changes in the Security Service of Ukraine may somehow improve the situation in the country and push Ukraine towards its democratic European dream. Both the former and the future heads of the service dealt with criminal activity.

In early June, a former deputy of Bakanov was detained in Serbia, he tried to illegally transfer emeralds, 600 thousand euros and 125 thousand dollars across the border.

Shortly before the start of the Russian military operation in Ukraine, Bakanov and his friend left Ukraine with 2 billion dollars in cash.
Two months ago Bakanov returned to Ukraine, and his deputy continued buying real estate in Europe.

The deputy head of the security service Vasily Malyuk was appointed as the new acting chief of the Security service. The new official is closely connected with the head of the president’s office.

Vasily Malyuk’s past is carefully hidden by the SBU. Apparently, not in vain. During his service, he did not file income declarations. He is accused of the smuggling and illegal sale of amber, granite rocks and wood from the Ukrainian Zhytomyr region. Being in a high position in the SBU, he made illegal decisions and covered up smuggling to and from the country. He was also accused of ordering numerous tortures.

Despite the dubious biographies of top Ukrainian officials, the United States has already hastened to declare that it will continue to cooperate with the SBU and the Prosecutor General’s Office of Ukraine, despite the resignations of the leadership.
It was reported elsewhere that a still serving Swedish officer had died en Donbas, though some suspect he died during the attack in Vinnytsia, but the location was moved to cover up the issue.
 
Vladimir Putin on energy situation in Europe
Below are a few snips
In Putin notes that the gas price in Europe in the first half of 2020 was 100 Euros, in 2021 250 Euros, in 2022 1700 Euros.
On the same occasion, he also says:
"I have spoken many times about the energy policy of European countries that have neglected the importance of traditional types of energy and relied on non-traditional ones. They are great experts in the field of non—traditional relations, so in the field of energy they also decided to rely on non-traditional types of energy - the sun, wind. The winter turned out to be long, there was no wind — that's all! But Gazprom has always fulfilled, is fulfilling and will fully fulfill its obligations, unless, of course, someone needs it. If they close everything with their own hands, and then look for the guilty — it would be funny if it wasn't so sad"
Notes about what Putin has said according to this TG which also relates to a recent step:
EU will unfreeze Russia's assets to boost food trade amidst looming shortages
▪ gas supplied by the Russian Federation to Germany under long-term contracts is cheaper for Poland than purchased directly, so they turned on the reverse at Yamal-Europe

For gas supplies to Europe, it is possible to launch Nord Stream — 2, but it is already half involved in the domestic market of the Russian Federation

▪️ Kiev refused to fulfill the agreements reached, Ukraine has no desire to fulfill them even now

The United States should stop robbing the Syrian people and exporting oil from there

The Russian Federation will facilitate the export of Ukrainian grain, but proceeds from the fact that restrictions on the export of Russian grain will be lifted

Proposals to limit the purchase of oil from the Russian Federation will lead to the fact that prices will skyrocket
 
It's been dubbed in English!!

Russia’s Lavrov talks Ukraine, sanctions and nuclear war with RT (FULL VIDEO)​


"The Russian foreign minister sat down for an hour-long interview with RT Editor-in-Chief Margarita Simonyan"


 
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