Astronomy Paper: Recent multi-kiloton impact events: are they truly random?

psychegram

The Living Force
This paper was just posted on arXiv a few days ago, and I believe it may be of interest to the forum.

Abstract:

It is customarily assumed that Earth-striking meteoroids are completely random, and that
all the impacts must be interpreted as uncorrelated events distributed according to Poisson
statistics. If this is correct, their impact dates must be uniformly spread throughout the year
and their impact coordinates must be evenly scattered on the surface of our planet. Here, we
use a time- and yield-limited sample of Earth-impacting superbolides detected since 2000 to
explore statistically this critical though frequently overlooked topic. We show that the cadence
of these multi-kiloton impact events is incompatible with a random fall pattern at the 0.05
significance level or better.
This result is statistically robust and consistent with the observed
distribution of the longitudes of the ascending nodes of near-Earth objects (NEOs). This lack
of randomness is induced by planetary perturbations, in particular Jupiter’s, and suggests that
some of the recent, most powerful Earth impacts may be associated with resonant groups of
NEOs and/or very young meteoroid streams. An intriguing consequence of this scenario is
that the impact hazard of Chelyabinsk-like objects should peak at certain times in the year.

If you're curious as to its credentials, it is appearing in the Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, one of the most prestigious astronomical journals.

http://arxiv.org/pdf/1409.0452v1.pdf
 
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