Avalanche

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Avalanche Dangers

If you’re planning to visit the back country at risk from avalanches, have fun, but become aware of the conditions; micro sites with higher risk factors such as slope, elevation, upslope and changing temperature gradients, wind-loading and slope aspect etc. Look for weak layers by digging a pit, use a magnifying glass to distinguish crystallization and weak layers – read, visit research sites and just be aware.

See Sott article; http://www.sott.net/articles/show/220271-Avalanche-Danger-Could-Be-Worst-In-Colorado-History

Avalanche hazard and resource centers in Canada

http://www.avalanche.ca/caa/

http://itunes.apple.com/ca/app/cac-avalanche-bulletins/id348430895?mt=8


Avalanche hazard and resource centers in US

http://avalanche.state.co.us/index.php

http://avalanche.org/

http://www.avalanche-center.org/Bulletins/

European Avalanche Warning Services

http://www.avalanches.org/

Physics of snow

http://www.its.caltech.edu/~atomic/publist/rpp5_4_R03.pdf

Physics of Snow Avalanche

http://ffden-2.phys.uaf.edu/212_fall2003.web.dir/Sarah_Schlichting/Avalanche_Index.html

Here is a link to engineering factors of the weight of snow

http://www.islandnet.com/~see/weather/almanac/arc2007/alm07feb.htm

When you look at the basic building block of snow, the ice crystal, it looks so gossamer small and delicate that you assume it has no weight at all. And while individual snow crystals are quite light on the grand continuum of weights, when they aggregate by the billions and billions, a little becomes a lot. And those crystal accumulations make very good masses for holding liquid water — through rainfall or melting — which can increase the weight of a specific volume of snow immensely.

Meteorologists developed a rule of thumb years ago that said ten inches (25 cm) of snow would melt down to 1 inch (2.5 cm) of water (or be the equivalent amount of rain if it fell as liquid), and that proportion was often used to determine the amount of equivalent precipitation from a snowfall. But that 10:1 ratio, we now know, is far from exact, and generally wrong across the breadth of conditions under which snow falls, even within an individual storm.

Exact measurements of the snowfall to water ratio are made at some climatological stations in many areas of the continent. In European climatological summaries, they do not generally report the depth of a snowfall or the snowpack but report instead the liquid water equivalent. Such knowledge is extremely important in assessing avalanche dangers, forecasting flooding potential or degree of blowing and drifting snow, and assessing water resources. One method of conversion is simple, a sample of the snow collected in the gauge is simply melted with gentle heat, so as to minimize evaporation, and the remaining water depth measured. Another way is to add antifreeze to the gauge that melts the snow as it falls. The increase in the amount of liquid in the gauge indicates the water equivalent of the snow.

When snow falls at air temperatures around freezing (32 oF / 0 oC), the ratio of snow to water equivalent comes close to the 10:1 ratio. However the full range is from around 100:1 to 3:1, depending on other weather factors such as air temperature, snow crystal structure and wind speed. In the United States, the ratio typically falls in the 8:1-20:1 range: the standard value used by the US National Weather Service for converting snowfall into liquid water equivalent when observers cannot melt down the gage-caught snow is 13:1.

We generally characterize a snowfall as dry when the ratio is higher than the 15:1 mark, and as wet when the ratio is below 6:1. Because of the high water content, wet snow is sticky snow and good for packing into snowballs and snowmen, but bad for shovelling and accumulation on structures.

Annual Average Snow:Water Ratio for United States

Among the greatest variations in snow–water ratio are found in the western mountains of the US and Canada. Studies in the Rockies indicate that the lowest ratios — 20:1 to 100:1 — are found in the fluffy snows falling under light winds and temperatures around - 9 oC (15 oF). At colder temperatures, the snow crystals change shape and are generally smaller and thus pack more closely. Near and below -18 oC (0 oF), the snow to water ratio is usually 10:1 or less.

In the great East Coast of March 1993, the snow–water ratio ranged across the Appalachian Mountain chain from 4.2:1 at Asheville, North Carolina to 14.0:1 at Binghamton, New York.

Snow Density

We know that pure water density is around 1000 kg (or one tonne) per cubic metre or 62.4 lb per cubic foot. Pure ice is just slightly less dense than pure water at about 917 kg per cubic metre (that is why ice floats on a pond or in our drink). Snow on the other hand has less density because it contains more air in a given volume than the ice. Heavily compacted snow, called firn, can be nearly as dense as ice (around 910 kg per cubic metre) but newly fallen snow more typically weights in at 70 to 150 kg per cubic metre (4.4 to 9.4 lb/cubic foot), but this increases rapidly once snow is on the ground and it begins to compact due to wind, the addition of liquid water and its own weight.

Once on the ground, a snowfall becomes a snowpack unless it quickly melts. The density of the snowpack reflects the conditions during the snowfall and processes that occur to and within the snowpack as it ages. These include compaction by weight and wind, snow melt and cycles of thaw-freeze. Drifted snow is usually denser than undisturbed snow because the crystals are initially smaller and more compact, as I recently rediscovered. Additional rain falling on a snowpack can quickly increase the snow load because a snowpack can absorb rain until it's about 45% saturated. (The snowpack will start melting when the saturation is above 45%.) The density of a snowpack and changes in the density with depth are essential ingredients for avalanche forecasting and danger warnings.

Typically winter snowpacks have a density of 200-300 kg per cubic metre (12.5-18.7 lb per cubic foot), but this can vary with the moisture content of the snow and that can vary across climatic regions. Dave Phillips of Environment Canada reports that one cubic metre of old snowpack in Winnipeg, Manitoba typically weighs around 190 kg (419 lb) and the same volume weights 220 kg (485 lb) in Quebec City. In the wetter climate of British Columbia it is generally higher, at Whistler, BC the same cubic metre may weigh 430 kg (948 lb).

The figure here from the National Atlas of Canada shows the mean snowpack density across Canada for March. The spatial pattern is characterized by higher snowpack densities in warmer coastal regions and lowest densities over the boreal forest zone.

A freshly fallen snow may be light and fluffy, but it can easily and quickly turned to a hard and thick material, that can be used for construction — of snow forts and even snow shelters. Compressed snow may have less strength than ice, but it has significantly better insulating properties because of the many air pockets between the snow crystals.

So how heavy is that snow covering your driveway or sidewalk that demands to be shovelled? You can estimate that rather quickly. First, 1 mm of water spread over a square metre weighs one kilogram. We'll assume here a 10:1 snow–water ratio, so 1 cm of snow on a square metre weighs a kilogram. Next calculate the area of your driveway or walk in square metres. For this example, let's assume a driveway of 15 x 4 metres which gives 60 square metres. Then multiply that by the average depth of snow on the surface, I took 5 cm. Finally multiply that number by 1 kg. That gives 60 x 5 x 1 kilograms or 300 kg. If the drive is covered with heavy, wet snow, you could increase the weight by a factor of two to four, giving 0.6 to 1.2 tonnes!

For Imperial units and the same snow–water ratio, one inch of snow over a square foot of surface weighs about 0.52 pounds. So here, multiply the surface area to be shovelled, say a 45 ft by 10 ft driveway, which is 450 square feet by the depth of snow, say 2 inches, and then multiply that by 0.52 lb gives 468 lb of "normal" snow to move, and 900 to 1800 lb of wet snow.

Weighing Down the Roof

A driveway can be a heavy load of snow to shovel off, but it has Mother Earth to hold up the weight. A roof or other structural component may need to hold that weight and more. My roof is basically flat and has an area of around 100 square metres, so if 5 centimetres of "average" snow accumulated on it, my home must supports weight of 500 kg (1100 lb), wet snow could triple or quadruple the amount.

During the 1996 snowstorm in Victoria, many commercial greenhouses and boat sheds around town collapsed under the weight of snow as well as an airplane hanger at the airport. I am sure many canvas or plastic topped carports, gazebos, awnings and home greenhouses were damaged as well by the wet of the fresh snow and the added rainfall soaked up by the snow.
 
The higher latitudes of Europe are pretty much getting buried.



Ski patroller killed by avalanche in Swiss canton of Valais
14 January 2019 20:27 CET+01:00 The Local Switzerland
2-3 minutes read Snip:
A 24-year-old ski patroller was killed on Monday when he and a colleague were caught by an avalanche while attempting to ensure the safety of ski pistes in the Portes du Soleil ski area.

The two men were laying explosive charges to artificially trigger avalanches in a bid to boost safety in the huge skiing area which straddles the French and Swiss borders.

They were struck by an avalanche at around 11.25am in the area between Champoussin and Les Crosets, regional newspaper Le Nouvelliste reported.

Snip; short read
Parts of the Swiss Alps have been placed on maximum alert for avalanches after heavy snow in recent days.

In a rare move, the Swiss institute for snow and avalanche research (SLF) has assessed the avalanche risk for a large area of the Alps stretching from the east of the Bernese Oberland to the canton of Graubünden at level 5 – the highest risk level.

Under level 5 conditions, the risk of avalanches is “very high”. According to information on the SLF website, in locations at level 5 risk, “numerous very large and extremely large natural avalanches [that is, not caused by human interference] can be expected.” These can reach roads and settlements in valleys.
 
15 January, Avalanche in Vinadi, Switzerland
--using google traductor
_https://www.scienzenotizie.it/2019/01/15/enorme-valanga-a-vinadi-in-svizzera-il-video-0729189 said:
A huge avalanche struck the valleys of Vinadi, in the Engadine Valley, in the canton of Grisons, in Switzerland.
New avalanche in Switzerland. This time to be swept away by snow is the Engadine Valley and precisely the municipality of Vinadi, the easternmost center of the canton of Girgioni, on the border with Austria. In a short film published on the social media and shared by thousands of users we witness a colossal avalanche that comes down on the trees to settle down in the valley, under the impressive eyes and at the same time enjoyed a group of tourists, positioned in an area of complete security.

Today's is just the latest in a long series of avalanches that is currently affecting the Alps. Thursday, January 10, a slavina , with a front of 300 meters, struck Thursday at the foot of Mount Säntis, in the Swiss Prealps, overwhelming a hotel-restaurant on the Schwägalp. Three people were injured, but no missing. The budget in Austria is more serious. In Lech, a tourist resort in the Bludenz district of Vorarlberg, to the west of the country, snow has killed three skiers. Six German students were overwhelmed by an avalanche in Wildkogel, in the province of Salzburg, and partly buried. In this case the unfortunates were quickly rescued, resulting unharmed.
 
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