Comet Honda?

[axj]

I just read about this comet on _http://elenin.org

With 1.6 km it has a pretty big core and it will come within 0.0601 AU (8,990,000 km; 5,590,000 mi) from the Earth on August 15, 2011, according to:

_http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/45P/Honda-Mrkos-Pajdu%C5%A1%C3%A1kov%C3%A1

Here is what they say about Comet Honda on _http://elenin.org:

And then, there were two - Comet Honda

Amidst the ongoing controversy over the little known Comet Elenin, a more likely suspect for an ELE (Extinction Level Event) has been left relatively untouched. Comet 45P/Honda-Mrkos-Pajdusakova is projected to reach aphelion (closest orbital distance to earth) in mid-August 2011, with an estimated proximity to earth of 0.06 A.U (astronomical unit), or approximately 9 million kilometers, the closest comet since D/1770 L1 (Lexell) in 1770 and C/1983 H1 (IRAS-Araki-Alcock) in 1983.

The 45P/Honda was first discovered on December 3 1948 by Minoru Honda, an amateur astronomer from Japan. The 45P/Honda is believed to have a diameter of 1.6km, which is significantly larger than both Lexell and IRAS-Araki-Alcock. It follows an elliptical, five and a quarter years orbit around our Sun commencing from the Ophiuchus constellation at the Galactic Equator. The 45P/Honda has a perihelion (closest orbital distance to the Sun) of 0.58A.U, which will occur on September 30 this year.

With the exception of 1954 and 1990, the 45P/Honda’s aphelion has become increasingly closer to earth, as shown below.

[...]

Another interesting aspect of 45P/Honda is its forecasted flyby with Comet Elenin. They will cross path approximately around October 8 this year.

Comet Honda and Comet Elenin seem indeed to almost intersect orbits pretty close to the Earth in October 2011. I wonder what kind of electrical effects this might have on us.

And it is interesting that, according to some calculations which take into account errors in the Gregorian/Julian calendar, the actual end date of the Mayan calendar may be October 28, 2011 instead of December 21, 2012.

Here is what they say about the calendar errors on elenin.org:

To be as brief as possible, the solar dating system that is the Gregorian calendar that you swear by, inherited a number of flaws in them. The most obvious one would be of the missing day every century, owing to the rounding up of 365 days, 5 hours, 48 minutes, 45.25 seconds to 3651/4 days in the Julian calendar that was used before the Gregorian one, which by the 16th century, saw to the ‘disappearance’ of 14 days! In addition, Pope Gregory, who authorized the conversion to the Julian calendar in 1582, shifted the calendar by 11 days, which saw the calendar leap from March 4, 1582 to March 15 the next day. In addition, the new calendar is still losing 30 seconds from the solar cycle annually. Add to the fact that the Julian calendar that was adopted by, who else, Julius Caesar in the eight century made a leap of 67 days to sync with the solar cycle, and upon his death, there were confusions with the methodology involved, with the most damaging being the three years leap years (instead of the now common four). Recalculating the Great Cycle in its entirety against the modern calendar, taking into account the faults and adjustments incorporated into it would reveal that the prophesized date would in fact be on October 28, 2011 – within weeks of Elenin’s projected perihelion, and more alarmingly, within 12 days of its forecasted perigee (closest orbital distance to the center of earth).

 

[1984]

Comet Honda has passed in close proximity with Earth, Venus and Jupiter since it's discovery in 1948. Interestingly, when it passed Earth at 0.23 AU from Earth on February 5, 1975, China had a 7.3 magnitude earthquake on February 4, 1975. Another note about this 1975 earthquake:

"Seismologists sent out warnings about this earthquake a day before it took place and ordered evacuations. This successful prediction saved many lives.[citation needed] This was the first and the only successful earthquake prediction in history.[citation needed] In the days leading up to the event cats and other animals were thought to have acted strangely. Also snakes were reported to have been emerging from hibernation.[citation needed] There are some claims that this aided in the prediction of the earthquake."

This earthquake is just one I've found so far that ties to these dates below. It will be interesting to see if we can tie these dates to other phenomena.

http://cometography.com/pcomets/045p.html

Close approaches to planets: This comet made 11 close approaches to Earth and 2 close approaches to Jupiter during the 20th century. It makes 1 close approach to Venus, 5 close approaches to Earth, and 1 close approach to Jupiter during the first half of the 21st century. (From the orbital work of Kazuo Kinoshita)

* 0.62 AU from Earth on 1900 July 31
* 0.64 AU from Earth on 1906 March 20
* 0.26 AU from Earth on 1917 January 16
* 0.35 AU from Earth on 1927 November 24
* 0.08 AU from Jupiter on 1935 August 15
o decreased perihelion distance from 0.64 AU to 0.58 AU
o decreased orbital period from 5.53 to 5.27 years
* 0.83 AU from Earth on 1943 July 12
* 0.43 AU from Earth on 1948 November 16 (contributed to comet's discovery)
* 0.59 AU from Earth on 1954 March 15
* 0.30 AU from Earth on 1969 August 11
* 0.23 AU from Earth on 1975 February 5
* 0.11 AU from Jupiter on 1983 March 26
o decreased perihelion distance from 0.58 AU to 0.54 AU
o increased orbital period from 5.28 to 5.30 years
* 0.29 AU from Earth on 1990 August 1
* 0.17 AU from Earth on 1996 February 4
* 0.09 AU from Venus on 2006 June 4
* 0.06 AU from Earth on 2011 August 15
* 0.09 AU from Earth on 2017 February 11
* 0.57 AU from Earth on 2027 July 20
* 0.17 AU from Jupiter on 2030 August 3
o increased perihelion distance from 0.56 AU to 0.63 AU
o increased orbital period from 5.34 to 5.52 years
* 0.37 AU from Earth on 2032 November 6
* 0.39 AU from Earth on 2043 November 21

 

[mkrnhr]

Just before the discovery of comet Elenin, comet Honda-Mrkos-Pajdusakova (with the return of the famous Schwassmann_Wachmann 3) was THE comet of 2011, and many were predicting as usual that it is the end of the world... It's a periodic comet who returns every five years and three months roughly. This year, it is supposed to approach the Earth (perigee) at 0.07AU in August (the 15th closest approach by a comet in recorded history) and its closest distance to Elenin will be 0.35AU in September (no collision). Problem is, these estimations are based upon observations made up to 2006 (last passage by perihelion). New observations are needed to estimate its movement in the solar system and it hasn't been observed yet.

 

[Palinurus]

Hi axj,

Comet Honda and Comet Elenin seem indeed to almost intersect orbits pretty close to the Earth in October 2011. I wonder what kind of electrical effects this might have on us.

(my bold).

Not knowing anything (yet) about the EU-theories, I first of all was wondering about possible effects of this near flyby from those two comets upon themselves. Any chance one of them (or maybe both) being blown to pieces? And what about the fragments, what would their impact be (if any) on nearby earth? Just asking...