Fireball report per country and future comet's impact

[Kadam303]

Can we somehow predict if the upcoming comets/asteroids will hit place of most reports?
i know its a bit wild guess but decided to ask the forum what do they think

https://fireball.amsmeteors.org/members/imo_fireball_stats/map_country

 

[axj]

I think that fireball statistics based on peoples' reports are skewed in various ways. There are a couple automatic worldwide fireball monitoring systems though:

https://neo-bolide.ndc.nasa.gov/#/
https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/

Not sure how trustworthy NASA is on this (maybe not much). According to their maps, the fireballs are pretty evenly distributed worldwide, but their numbers keep going up.

 

[chieftain]

Can we somehow predict if the upcoming comets/asteroids will hit place of most reports?
i know its a bit wild guess but decided to ask the forum what do they think

https://fireball.amsmeteors.org/members/imo_fireball_stats/map_country

Context please.

 

[axj]

I think the idea is to look at which countries get more fireballs now in order to estimate which places attract more "stuff from space", including comets. This is based on the theory (talked about by Laura and the C's) that the energy or FRV of large groups of people making "bad choices" can attract cosmic catastrophes.

 

[Kadam303]

I think that fireball statistics based on peoples' reports are skewed in various ways. There are a couple automatic worldwide fireball monitoring systems though:

https://neo-bolide.ndc.nasa.gov/#/
https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/

Not sure how trustworthy NASA is on this (maybe not much). According to their maps, the fireballs are pretty evenly distributed worldwide, but their numbers keep going up.

indeed i thought about that but more or less should be correlation on there , if data is not fraudulent

 

[Kadam303]

Context please.

twin sun making round, comets in bound to happen, so i was thinking is asteroids may be a marker where the proper big boys may be landing .

 

[axj]

indeed i thought about that but more or less should be correlation on there , if data is not fraudulent

It depends on how they collect the fireball reports - is it the same in every country, is it only possible to submit reports in English, etc. Since it is an American organization, they most likely get more reports from Western countries than elsewhere.