pessimists-guide-to-2016

[Sodajaxon]

Merry Xmas everyone! Found this little tidbit surfing financial news today. Here is just a snippet.

It is an Interactive topTen List, i want to show you the exact same web page , but alas, my coding is not up to par. ;)

_http://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/pessimists-guide-to-2016/


A Pessimist's Guide to the World in 2016 By Flavia Krause-Jackson, Mira Rojanasakul, and John Fraher December 15, 2015 Oil prices soar after Islamic State destroys facilities across the Middle East. Angela Merkel is forced to resign, throwing the European Union into disarray. The dollar slumps as Russian and Iranian hackers team up to launch cyber-attacks on U.S banks. Bloomberg News asked dozens of former and current diplomats, geopolitical strategists, security consultants, and economists to identify the possible worst-case scenarios, based on current global conflicts, that concern them most heading into 2016.
Scenario #1

Oil climbs to 100$ a barrel ... l.eading to - IS attacking oil producing Middle east states... leading to .. Saudi Arabia and Opec unable to offset disruptions leads to a shortage. Market effect = Spike in Oil Prices, Fed reduces restrictions, China's economy goes into recession.


Scenario #7

Putin Sidelines America. Putin outfoxes Obama by orchestrating transition of power in Syria, as part of agreement to squash ISIS. The agreement slows the refugee's west europe is no longer under pressure, and Merkel lifts sanctions on Russia. Leading to Russia extending its influence over european countries and german stocks rise.

Scenario #10

Trump Wins US Presidency ..... (need i say more) Read more here -->
__http://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/pessimists-guide-to-2016/

 

[mArowmErowmEr]

The prospect of Trump winning the presidency is terrifying.
But on the other hand, would it be that bad if Putin sidelined America and the West? ;D

 

[striveforselflessness]

Is a complete child (Trump) more terrifying than someone who belongs in a mental asylum (Cruz, Rubio, Clinton, Bush, and most other Republicans)? I cannot tell, but the prospect of anyone winning, outside of a few not presently projected to get anywhere, looks to me like an escalation of the same, more paranoia and bigotry.

I like the Putin thing too! (minus the transition part)

 

[Solie123]

Is a complete child (Trump) more terrifying than someone who belongs in a mental asylum (Cruz, Rubio, Clinton, Bush, and most other Republicans)? I cannot tell, but the prospect of anyone winning, outside of a few not presently projected to get anywhere, looks to me like an escalation of the same, more paranoia and bigotry.

Well in reality what's scary is how overt he (Trump) is in his insane proposals and how willing people are supporting him. That's scary! O_O

 

[striveforselflessness]

I agree. I don't think Trump is healthy. He insults others consistently for silly reasons and usually cannot take criticism (especially that based in fact), and he proposes things with a nationalistic bent, devoid of empathy for immigrants and refugees human beings. He suggests nonsense and cannot find his error. He is probably a 'primitively integrated' sort, with no chance to grow up.

I meant only to add, hopefully without any 'false argument' effect or defensiveness, that likewise most of those on stage winning, particularly the politicians spouting paranoid and aggressive propaganda, is terrifying. And also that there is possibly a slight difference to Trump, more independent (or maybe I should take that as more random) than others in the election drama, but I am no expert by any means.

It could be that I have some trouble wording things nicely/informatively.