Comet and Asteroids

According to this video by Stefan Burns, its not only 3I/ATLAS and C/2025SWAN, but ALSO 3 other comets in the solar system right now. Thinking that this was rather extraordinary, I asked Grok about it.

Its answer:

"Yes, there is an unusually high level of cometary activity in our solar system right now, particularly in October 2025, with at least three to five bright comets observable from Earth—far exceeding the typical frequency of such events. On average, only about one bright, naked-eye or binocular-visible comet appears every 2.5 years, while great comets (exceptionally bright ones) occur roughly once per decade. This year's cluster stands out due to multiple discoveries in 2025 reaching peak visibility simultaneously, including a rare interstellar visitor.

Key Active Comets Visible Now​


Here's a summary of the most notable ones observable in early October 2025 (brightness estimates in apparent magnitude; lower numbers are brighter):

Screenshot 2025-10-02 at 4.49.56 PM.png

This "month of comets" coincides with meteor showers like the Orionids (peaking Oct. 21), adding to the spectacle. The interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS is especially noteworthy, as only two others (1I/ʻOumuamua and 2I/Borisov) have been confirmed before. For real-time viewing tips, check sites like Heavens-Above or EarthSky."

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In his video, Burns puts the above 'spectacle' in the context of the comets' interactions with solar wind, charged particles, geomagnetic storms and the higher likelihood of high seismic activity on Earth; including the greater possibility of megaquakes, among other things.

But what really struck me is how the cosmic developments mentioned above - seem to so well coincide with the developments down here. And by that I mean the ramping up not only of belligerent rhetoric against Russia, but also the plans and preparations that seem in place by the crazies in the EU/NATO to actually further induce Russia into some kind of expanded war. And if that isn't enough Israel, with the help of the US, appears to be on the verge of attacking Iran once again.

Yes, there are geopolitical agendas that are afoot that are very real, but it all makes you wonder how much these conflicts are, at some level, also being initiated, directed and timed to coincide with what really seems to be some rather interesting celestial events ala Victor Clube's famous statement. I mean, have we yet seen a better example of the below, than right now?

Cynics … would say that we do not need the celestial threat to disguise Cold War intentions; rather we need the Cold War to disguise celestial intentions!
 
Well, the examples that Pierre used in his book "Earth Changes" included 17 visible comets in November 2013 with a small telescope, of which 5 could be seen either with binoculars or with the naked eye. These comets included a couple with very eccentric orbits, Lovejoy with an estimated orbit of over 10000 years. These all discharged the solar capacitor quite nicely. There were EIGHT X flares between October 25th and November 19th 2013, despite the average of 0.5 X flares per month the preceding 2 years.

The comets currently flying around are definitely discharging the solar capacitor, but the last X flare was in June 2025. The recent typhoon was probably related. We'll see if the current solar cycle (SC25) follows the newly predicted path.

It definitely has more action. See an updated chart here:

Screenshot 2025-10-03 at 21-26-30 Solar Cycle Progression NOAA _ NWS Space Weather Prediction ...png
 
Well, the examples that Pierre used in his book "Earth Changes" included 17 visible comets in November 2013 with a small telescope, of which 5 could be seen either with binoculars or with the naked eye. These comets included a couple with very eccentric orbits, Lovejoy with an estimated orbit of over 10000 years. These all discharged the solar capacitor quite nicely. There were EIGHT X flares between October 25th and November 19th 2013, despite the average of 0.5 X flares per month the preceding 2 years.

The comets currently flying around are definitely discharging the solar capacitor, but the last X flare was in June 2025. The recent typhoon was probably related. We'll see if the current solar cycle (SC25) follows the newly predicted path.

It definitely has more action. See an updated chart here:

View attachment 112477
Although there probably is a correlation between the number of comets zipping through the (inner) solar system and number of X class solar flares in that specific period of time, the observational data seem to indicate that comets alone are not the main factor in triggering strong solar flares.

This 'discrepancy' between the observations and Pierre's proposed hypothesis of solar capacitor discharge mechanism based on EU theory might have something to do with the 'assumption' that the solar capacitor is similar to 'ordinary' electrostatic capacitor, which it basically is not, as heliosphere is highly dynamic rotating system where everything in it is, if nothing else, at least permeated with a 'baseline' solar magnetic field. From this point alone, in periods when heliospheric magnetic field lines are configured in a manner to 'lead' the charge that might appear in the capacitor away from the capacitor's electrodes, or 'shadow' any potentially locally created charge disbalance in the same capacitor, even if a comet with highly eccentric orbit passes through the plane of the ecliptic, a triggered discharge, if it even happens, would be of significantly lower intensity than when different, more 'favorable' solar or heliospheric magnetic field configuration would have been present.

You said that there were eight X class solar flares in that period of more than 3 weeks in 2013 when there were 17 comets that could have been observed passing across the sky. According to that premise, how many comets should have been there, if they are the sole main reason behind the strong solar flares, to produce 12 X class flares in just 6 days in May 2024, from the same active region on the Sun's disc?


Last year 2024, "witnessed an astonishing total of 54 X-class solar flares—an all-time high since records began in 1996," with an overall average of more than 2 X class solar flares per week.


I haven't followed exactly how many comets there were in total last year, and when in particular, so can't exclude the possibility that they were in fact actual triggers for all those flares, but going from memory what I remember mentioned on the Forum at the time about their rates of occurence, realistically assigned probability to that possibility would not be very high, or maybe even notable, not to say not really worth mentioning.

In adition, even within the same cycle of solar activity, SC24, considering recalibrated data (attached plot below), neither year 2013 was the record one nor those 8 flares from October 25th til November 19th were the highest 'local' surge in X class solar flares occurence.

V6hV4oimSXk9UgGeN2GjjG-650-80.jpg


Image taken from web article:

To bring this post closer to home, I'd just like to draw the attention to the 'fact' that current official descriptions of most main phenomena that could be associated with the discharge of the solar capacitor, observed on solar disc and in solar atmosphere, like prominences, flares, CMEs and even ordinary sunspots, all include in one way or another magnetic interactions and effects. Leaving open the possibility that those descriptions might not be the closest thing to actual truth, they still suggest that marginalization of the role magnetic fields as such might play in general dynamics in the universe, and in particular observed phenomena associated with the Sun, can potentionally create gaps in awareness and understanding of the true nature of our reality.

From Wikipedia page about solar flares:
Flares occur when accelerated charged particles, mainly electrons, interact with the plasma medium. Evidence suggests that the phenomenon of magnetic reconnection leads to this extreme acceleration of charged particles.[10] On the Sun, magnetic reconnection may happen on solar arcades—a type of prominence consisting of a series of closely occurring loops following magnetic lines of force.[11] These lines of force quickly reconnect into a lower arcade of loops leaving a helix of magnetic field unconnected to the rest of the arcade. The sudden release of energy in this reconnection is the origin of the particle acceleration. The unconnected magnetic helical field and the material that it contains may violently expand outwards forming a coronal mass ejection.[12] This also explains why solar flares typically erupt from active regions on the Sun where magnetic fields are much stronger.

Taking into account also the non-linearity, which seems to be an intrinsic ingredient of almost all true real interactions and dynamics, that usually transcends our linear 3-dim modern scientific viewpoint, considering magnetic fields only as byproducts of electrical currents or of charges in motion, seems to me like observing and seeing the worlds around us and within us with only one eye through its eyelid half closed.

FWIW.
 
There are always plenty of comets

Here is the homepage of Seiichi Yoshida, listing the brighter comets in our solar system. I have been visiting this page for many years, and it's always been a long list. There are also images of the comets, people have made across the world

Current brighter comets (link makes weekly updates, i believe)


In this link, you have back numbers of bright comets, going back to 1998


Visual Comets in the Future (Northern Hemisphere)


Visual Comets in the Future (Southern Hemisphere)

Main entrance of Seiichi Yoshida's homepage
 
Well, the examples that Pierre used in his book "Earth Changes" included 17 visible comets in November 2013 with a small telescope, of which 5 could be seen either with binoculars or with the naked eye. These comets included a couple with very eccentric orbits, Lovejoy with an estimated orbit of over 10000 years. These all discharged the solar capacitor quite nicely. There were EIGHT X flares between October 25th and November 19th 2013, despite the average of 0.5 X flares per month the preceding 2 years.

Thanks for the added perspective. I had forgotten about 11/13.

There are always plenty of comets

Yes, it sure is an on-going phenomena. In retrospect, and largely because of all the attention 3I/ATLAS has drawn, I think that my, and our, awareness of it as a phenomena, has been greatly jump-started. So in one sense, at least for me, its a bit like seeing things anew. But in another sense, of course, all the massive public speculation about 3I/ATLAS, and the context in which its occurring, ie. other cosmic phenomena, the situation down here, etc. - makes it seem to take on a much wider significance. But what that significance is (or isn't), remains to be better understood.
 
Last year 2024, "witnessed an astonishing total of 54 X-class solar flares—an all-time high since records began in 1996," with an overall average of more than 2 X class solar flares per week.
This is embarassing. :-[
There are 52 weeks in a year and with 54 reported flares I somehow got an average of "more than 2 per week."

Maybe a good reminder to leave math, even as simple as in this example, to a time of the day when the mind is a bit more rested than at 3 AM on a smartphone.
 
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