Brace Yourselves For War Between Iran and Israel

[Chu]

According to Grok

It probably is AI on further inspection, sorry. There are a lot of genuine videos of cluster warheads coming out but the grouping is much more widespread than in that video, and they're all at night.

 

[Puma]

I've noticed that Grok's guess is just as good as anyone's. For one same video, different people ask Grok and it tells one person that it is real and the next one that it isn't.

Yesterday I asked Grok to verify a video about Kuwait shooting down US planes, and the Ai replied that it was fake.

Then I replied to Grok that I had confirmed a CNN post. The AI replied

 

[Ian]

View attachment 116628

This is the best description I’ve seen. On point.

 

[Ben]

Regarding THAAD interception missile systems, then the Iranians claim on TG that they have knocked out 2 systems in the UAE.


According to Grok, then there are only 10 THAAD batteries in the world, 7 operated by the US worldwide, 2 by UAE and 1 by Saudi Arabia. Each battery has normally 6 launchers with 8 missiles. In the case of UAE, they have 2 batteries with a total of 12 launchers though some are not sure if it is more or less per grok (see spoiler).

So if Iran has knocked out the 2 batteries comprising all 12 launchers then that is a major headache for the UAE. If on the other hand, it only concerns 2 launchers, then it is not so bad as it is made out to be, provided that they still have some missiles left. Yet for every launcher which is disabled, the easier it will be for Iran to bomb with near impunity.

These satellite images confirmed that the second hit was on the radar part. So it's a major headache.

AN/TPY2 radar

Just like last June, if Iran can weather the initial blitzkrieg then it's going to come down to interceptor supplies and availability of functional air defense systems across the region. This is so obvious, especially since it already happened so recently, that it beggars belief that the US and Israel could have walked into such a situation AGAIN. Hubris and wishful thinking again. But we're not there yet and I still think Iran will be very wary about cornering Israel in particular.

Gulf kingdoms are in real trouble though for all sorts of reasons. Hugely vulnerable to this kind of disruption.

 

[Ian]

These satellite images confirmed that the second hit was on the radar part. So it's a major headache.


View attachment 116625

AN/TPY2 radar

View attachment 116626

Just like last June, if Iran can weather the initial blitzkrieg then it's going to come down to interceptor supplies and availability of functional air defense systems across the region. This is so obvious, especially since it already happened so recently, that it beggars belief that the US and Israel could have walked into such a situation AGAIN. Hubris and wishful thinking again. But we're not there yet and I still think Iran will be very wary about cornering Israel in particular.

Gulf kingdoms are in real trouble though for all sorts of reasons. Hugely vulnerable to this kind of disruption.

I hope the Gulf kingdom won’t start striking Iran. There have been some official reports that they just might. And if they do, that would just show who is in the charge of the kingdoms…and that would show other things also…Also, I’m expecting Iran to start stiking with really strong weapons soon. They even said that every new wave will be stronger and more wide spread. It’s obvious that we have not seen their full potential and yet, they are doing pretty good. We’ll see…

 

[broken.english]

I hope the Gulf kingdom won’t start striking Iran.

With what?

 

[Ian]

With what?

I don’t know. But Saudi Arabia,UAE and Oman I think said that they could potentialy strike Iran and that attacks won’t go unanswered

 

[NormaRegula]

This is the best description I’ve seen. On point.

Definitely the Meme of the Day. Gonna steal it and spread it around some more.

 

[broken.english]

I don’t know. But Saudi Arabia,UAE and Oman I think said that they could potentialy strike Iran and that attacks won’t go unanswered

Oman does not attack anybody ever.
Saudi and UAE, even if angry, will not fly fighter jets near Iran. They don't have the cojones.
What may happen is the exchange of diplomatic notes expressing displeasure.

Sorry for being that blunt.

 

[SOTTREADER]

Looks like Iran also has a fresh water problem.

Those desalination plants throughout the ME are important so if any country loses its plants, there's trouble up ahead.

He also says that the Gulf states have a food problem - they import 80% of their food. So if you disrupt that, that's another big problem.

 

[mabar]

I hope the Gulf kingdom won’t start striking Iran.

Some begin

Qatar rejects Israeli media claims that it attacked Iran.

The Qatari Foreign Ministry says it did not take part in any campaign against Iran and is acting only in self-defense to deter Iranian attacks on its territory, urging reporters to use credible Qatari sources.

@DDGeopolitics

Others get tricked

️BREAKING: False flag attacks against Oman.

Iran’s Armed Forces have strongly denied any military attack by Iranian forces against Oman’s territory or ports.

@FotrosResistancee

 

[Avala]

With what?

Cursing. You didn't saw Arab cursing yet!

 

[Ian]

Oman does not attack anybody ever.
Saudi and UAE, even if angry, will not fly fighter jets near Iran. They don't have the cojones.
What may happen is the exchange of diplomatic notes expressing displeasure.

Sorry for being that blunt.

Hope you’re right. I just can’t ignore this possibility. Secrecy about military capabilities exists in every country, so I cannot rule out the possibility that each of them has the means to target another country that we do not know about. Drones are the easiest to make and are the cheapest. Russia is winning the war because of drones, among other things. Iran has been using drones all this time and they are very efficient and effective as we see. I'm guessing they're going to shoot with drones. Drones are great weapons, and they can be really effective if used well.

 

[Ian]

I’m not saying it will happen. I lean towards this not happening, but I’m open to it

 

[axj]

Saudi and UAE, even if angry, will not fly fighter jets near Iran. They don't have the cojones.

The Saudis seem to be the only ones who could do something - no wonder Israel seems to be trying to get them on its side with false flag attacks. Though the Saudis failed to defeat the Houthis in Yemen and are very vulnerable to actual Iranian attacks on its oil industry.

UAE and Qatar are both denying that they participate in any way, so it will probably stay that way. Most likely the same for Bahrain, Kuwait and Oman.