Thank you for the book recommendation. Sanford's work is a great complement to Behe's. He really does a great job of dismantling Fisher's Fundamental Theorem of Natural Selection, "That most mutations would be neutral and that beneficial mutations would be just as common and impactful as negative ones," thus meaning that, over time, 'beneficial' mutations might beat out the negative ones, creating ever more complex lifeforms. Sanford just beats you over the head with the details, and that's what makes it such a great work.
I've tried to boil down Sanford's basic argument that demolishes this 'Primary Axiom' that evolution is just random mutation plus natural selection. On the nature of mutations:
- On a range from deleterious, to neutral, to beneficial most mutations are 'near neutral' on the negative end, meaning they're deleterious yet inobservable to the naked eye
- Nearly no mutations are beneficial - this is an empirical fact
- Thus the steady increase of 'near neutral' mutations without any beneficial mutations leads to genetic entropy, not evolution
The major problem seems to be that a truly beneficial mutation would have to be an informed and intelligent one - not a random one. That leads to the problem of whether Selection, whether artificial or natural, can solve this problem. He says no, due to:
- The Princess and the Nucleotide Paradox
- The breeding population cannot see or, thus, actually select for near-neutral mutations (early Darwinists got around this by coming up with the idea of a 'gene pool' that could sort itself out) but,
- Genetic units cannot sort independently - they are so complex and multi-dimensional that one is good in one environment and not another
- We cannot identify carriers of a typical nucleotide mutation apart from DNA testing the entire population
- The Cost of Selection
- Remove too many people from the gene pool and you may go extinct - remove too few and it doesn't amount to anything
- Population geneticists believed that the human fertility rate could not deal with a mutation rate of .1 - however we now see that we're dealing with numbers thousands of times higher than that so,
- Even if we could pick and choose which mutations we wanted we run into the problem that most of us are 'mutants' and
- Even removing 2 billion people from the gene pool would leave billions of mutations per generation and,
- Most of the mutations that we might want to get rid of are not even heritable - they are a product of environment, epigenetics, epistasis, etc
The quote that I think best illustrates the last point:
Sources of phenotypic variation: The primary source of phenotypic variation is environmental variation, This variation is not heritable and interferes with selection. The second major source of variation is the interaction of the environment with the genotype. This variation is also not heritable and interferes with selection. Within the genetic component of variation, there is variation due to: epigenetics, epistasis, and dominance. None of these genetic components are heritable and all of them interfere with true long-term selection. There are other genetic components which would otherwise be selectable but are "neutralized", either by homeostatic processes or such things as cyclic selection. All these non-heritable components account for the vast bulk of all phenotypic variation. This leaves additive genetic variation as a relatively insignificant component of phenotypic variation. For a very general phenotypic trait, such as reproductive fitness, additive variation can account for less than 1% of total phenotypic variation. In other words, more than 99% of any selective elimination based upon phenotypic superiority is entirely wasted.
Following this line of thinking it's impossible to conclude that random mutations and natural selection could ever, ever, ever create something as complicated as the genome - at their best their damaging information turns out to be adaptive, at their worse they just rust the whole thing out. There's really no getting around it.
But he does seem prone to catastrophizing, which seems understandable given the data he discusses lends one to the inevitable conclusion of the extinction of the human genome. The chapter concerning the rapid mutation rate of the human genome is pretty concerning. The problem is that this conclusion is still itself based on the primacy of the Primary Axiom. As others have pointed out, and as Sanford's own work suggests, we could reverse the Primary Axiom from "man is merely the product of random mutations and natural selection" to "man is not and never could be merely the product of random mutations and natural selection". They do not explain evolution. And, though they do explain for a large part de-evolution, they certainly aren't the whole picture.
Now in the last chapter of the book Sanford talks about
Biological Information: New Perspectives. I found an 8-article series dedicated to this publication on Evolution News. I highly recommend it.
https://evolutionnews.org/2013/08/biological_info/