Managed Decline- Quo Vadimus?

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Managed decline is a phrase that refers to the management of the decline (or "sunset") phase at the end of a lifecycle, with the goal of minimizing costs or other forms of losses and harm. The concept originated in business where it referred to the management of companies and industries, but has since spread beyond to be used in other contexts.

Examples of managed decline include the handling of the textiles, shipbuilding, coal and steel industries in North America and Europe in the 1980s[1][2] (in 1981, it was proposed for the English city of Liverpool by Chancellor Geoffrey Howe[3]); of the postal delivery services in Europe and the United States in the first decades of the 21st century,[4] of the established churches in western Europe since the 1970s,[5] and that of an individual's quality of life in their final years as they face old age or terminal illness.

Decline can be managed through multiple means, including public or industrial policy efforts such as government provision of retraining.

The expression "managed decline" has been used to describe United Kingdom's economic decline after the turn of millennium.[6][7][8] The phrase "managed decline" was also used in private advice to Margaret Thatcher from Geoffrey Howe with regards avoiding investment in Liverpool after the 1981 Toxteth riots.[9] The documents were confidential until 2011 when they were released by The National Archives under the thirty-year rule.[10]"

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Other examples apart from the ones given above are: the Eastern Europe industrial capacity since 1989 (as an incentive to join the EU) or the post colonial economies and infrastructure in Africa as an incentive to become completely underdeveloped and subservient.

The only part of the World that has developed is East Asia, and in specific China.

What is next or Where are we going?

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The only part of the World that has developed is East Asia, and in specific China.

What is next or Where are we going?
China's population decline (some of it admitted and some not) means that it too is either already in managed decline or will be soon.

In the West it seems to be managed decline too for the foreseeable future, unless shock therapy in the form of a financial crash, big war, large natural disasters or massive cyberattacks occur.
 
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