Kniall said:
bltay said:
Just to clarify a point in my previous post, the heat from the sun did not cause the asphalt to melt, but may have contributed to it staying in a liquid/melted state. The mistake was letting people drive continuously over wet/soft tar immediately after it was laid down.
Kniall said:
Yeh, the air temps seem to be irrelevant. They said
the temperature on the road itself was 160F. Meanwhile we see remaining winter snow on the ground next to it.
I went down that road today. There is no winter snow in that area. What you are probably seeing is the very light colored geyserite minerals from the thermals which has a high percentage of silica.
Kniall said:
bltay said:
I don't know what your sources consider unusual
The extent to which it melted? The speed at which it melted? I dunno.
Not meaning any disrespect, but I think you are missing the point. It did not melt. Thin wet tar was placed on the road's surface and was never hard. Cars were allowed to drive through it wet. There was no melting. If there were melting from heated land surface, the road would have been melted from the bottom up and several inches of asphalt would have just grabbed hold of cars and they would have been stuck in place. Asphalt would have been running like liquid off to the sides of the paved area. Look at the picture on SOTT. Only the surface was wet and cars could still drive through it because there was a hard surface underneath.
As I said, I was on that road today. What they have done is scrape the surface tar off the top. The road is still intact and still bumpy. This would not be the case if it had melted from below.
Also, if this ground were actually heating up, they would keep that area closed to the public just as they did when Norris Geyser basin heated up in 1993. That road opened again for public use after they scraped the wet tar off the surface of the road.
Kniall said:
bltay said:
there is no unusual thermal activity there. Great Fountain and other geysers in the area are not exhibiting any unusual behavior. The ground is not 'heating up'.
Are you sure?
On the move? Scientists discover geothermal activity outside Yellowstone zone
What I said was that there was no unusual activity by geysers on that road area. Great Fountain Geyser, Pink Cone Geyser, White Dome Geyser, Narcissus Geyser, etc. are all behaving quite "normally." Normally is in quotes because geyser behavior does change. These geysers in that area are sticking to their usual eruption patterns and water volumes. Any new thermal activity outside the park would not affect this area. Geothermal activity is a surface activity, and should only be read in context of the area where it occurs.
Kniall said:
Land in Yellowstone is always rising and falling. It is moving at the rate of 1 inch per year over the hotspot and this movement will cause changes in thermal activity, earthquakes, etc. This hotspot can be traced from the western Oregon-Nevada-California across the continent to its present position. There have been many supervolcano eruptions during this movement, many larger than the Yellowstone eruptions.
There are 2 areas called resurgent domes in Yellowstone: The Mallard Lake Dome and the Sour Creek Dome. These are areas which were pushed up several hundred feet by the underground lava. If these areas are not exhibiting any unusual activity, I would not attribute the rise and fall of a few centimeters any great significance.
I found the helium reports interesting until I found out that it was old news recently released. I cannot source that right now so take it for what it is worth.
Kniall said:
This is totally meaning less in the grand scheme of things. Not only do geysers routinely start and stop, there eruption characteristics can change with time. For example, Plume geyser erupted for many years and quit in January 2012. Giant Geyser has periods of dormancy, but it came alive and erupted every 7 to 10 days for 3 years 2005-2007. It has been dormant since. Victory Geyser erupted from a hole in the ground several times in 1999 and then turned into a pool of water. Suddenly in 2009 it erupted for about a month and returned to being just a pool of water. Steamboat Geyser, the largest in the world, had a 50 year dormany and then came back to life. It erupted last summer after being quiet for 8 years. I could list many examples of geysers coming and going and this happens for many reasons, sometimes the reason is not known. The SOTT article about Giantess Geyser erupting after being quiet for 2.5 years is true, but in Yellowstone it is not unusual. Go to _http://www.geyserstudy.org/oldsite/index.htm or _http://geysertimes.org and you can see the history of many geysers and how many have come and gone. Or try Scott Bryan's The Geysers of Yellowstone (considered the bible for geyser enthusiasts) and see the history of many geysers come and gone. These records are maintained by private citizens. There are people who spend time in the park and know a lot more about what is happening there than any Park Service or government employee.
One thing that makes Yellowstone so fascinating is that there is always something changing.
Kniall said:
What happened is that they found it was bigger than previously thought by using modern sensing equipment. To say the hotspot is growing in size is a misquote of the actual study.
Kniall said:
See previous statement.
Kniall said:
See previous statement.
Kniall said:
No news here. Yellowstone averages 100 quakes a day. This is an average. Sometimes more, sometimes less. If the 7.5M quake of 1959 did not set it off, I doubt anything will.
Kniall said:
Yellowstone is an active volcanic region, so it's hard to gauge all this against long-term background activity.
What stands out for me though, from the pov of a newshound, is that the media, govt, and authorities in general, typically play down anything that might seem out of the ordinary in our environment.
I agree that they do this. However, this has caused things that are perfectly normal for Yellowstone to be taken way out of context and extremely sensationalized. For example: the bison on the road youtube video. During the Spring and Fall you can see bison on the road 7 days a week. At least half of that time you can see them trotting or running. The people that know Yellowstone were almost literally ROTFLTAO (if you will excuse the language) over the video of bison 'rushing to leave the park'.
Kniall said:
On the tip of everyone's tongue these days, wrt to Yellowstone, is awareness that there's a 'supervolcano that could blow any time'. I can't dispute your take on the road melting - incompetency is very plausible. But for the 'official position' to 'play into' this fear would be an unusual stance. What usually happens is that someone is found to blame, and if no one is found, they invent a scapegoat. They could easily have blamed shoddy and poorly timed road repairs, but they didn't.
Yes, this is true. But then someone would have to take the blame for making such a stupid decision, and that is not going to happen with government or any subdivision thereof. So they found another way to try to save face. Who wants to admit they made a bonehead decision which closed a popular area of a national park and at the same time wasted taxpayer's money? Yet the facts don't fit the story. The road is still there. People are using it. If it had melted from the bottom up, there would be no road. What was incredible was that one report said that the gravel "turned to oatmeal." Now I don't know for sure what temp melts gravel, but that never happened at all.
Kniall said:
Instead the official position on this is that geothermal activity caused the road to melt from below, and in a way that they reported was "unusual". Alone it doesn't mean much, I think. Yellowstone probably isn't 'going to blow' anytime soon. But in the global context of 'Earth opening up' in numerous ways across the planet - sinkholes swallowing folks alive, increased earthquakes, previously dormant volcanoes waking up, underwater subsidence, etc - this may be another sign of the times.
I agree with you completely that I, nor anyone else, cannot say that Yellowstone will not erupt tomorrow. But this road issue is nothing more than government bungle. You guys are doing a great job reporting these earth changes, but this one instance is something I know about personally and felt obligated to set the record straight. I can only tell what I know and am not trying to force my opinion on anyone. Please accept all my previous statements as prefaced by"in my opinion."