Near-Earth objects and close calls

BOLID #SPMN110222 REGISTERED TODAY OVER TOLEDO at 2h26m30s TU. Color was captured by Dr. Jaime Izquierdo
@Fisicas_UCM @ObservaUCM . This green/blue hue is usually characteristic of meteoroids of cometary origin: aggregates rich in mafic silicates, with abundant primordial Mg

#BoladeFuego last night on the beaches of #Orihuela ( #Alicante ) Spain Probable entry into the atmosphere of a Satellite #Starlink , of the company @SpaceXof #ElonMusk Video: Ana Hernandez Track @MeteOrihuela


Comets visible in February 4 comets observable through small telescopes : the brightest are 19P/Borrelly and C/2019 L3 (ATLAS) between magnitude 9 and 9.5. A little weaker we will have 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko and 104P/Kowal
https://t.co/ZFtra7qwPm
 
We received 32 reports about a fireball seen over CO, KS, NE, NM, OK, SD and TX on Sunday, February 13th 2022 around 12:46 UT.




A bright fireball streaked through the night sky over the Castilla-La Mancha, Spain.

Sidenote:
https://twitter.com/ReaIDonJTrump45/status/1493328155964289027
 

GREAT BOLID #SPMN180222 REGISTERED TODAY at 1h02m45s TUC from our stations. This is how Antonio J. Robles captured it flying over Castilla y León. Despite their spectacular nature, the Delta Leonids do not usually produce meteorites. More details in the listing: https://t.co/CRfB0fblVv
🤩#SPMN180222 REGISTERED TODAY at 1h02m45s TUC from our stations. This is how Antonio J. Robles captured it flying over Castilla y León. Despite their spectacular nature, the Delta Leonids do not usually produce meteorites. More details in the listing: http://spmn.uji.es/ESP/SPMNlist.html…
 
GREAT BOLID #SPMN180222 REGISTERED TODAY at 1h02m45s TUC from our stations. This is how Antonio J. Robles captured it flying over Castilla y León. Despite their spectacular nature, the Delta Leonids do not usually produce meteorites. More details in the listing: https://t.co/CRfB0fblVv
🤩#SPMN180222 REGISTERED TODAY at 1h02m45s TUC from our stations. This is how Antonio J. Robles captured it flying over Castilla y León. Despite their spectacular nature, the Delta Leonids do not usually produce meteorites. More details in the listing: http://spmn.uji.es/ESP/SPMNlist.html…
A bright fireball streaked through the night sky over the Caceres, Spain.

Published on Feb 18, 2022 (2:00)
 
Awesome great
It will be a really good exercise to consolidate my own learning and always fun to do with real data !
I’ll review everything you’ve posted and get back to you next week.
Hi @Cosmos
It’s been a hectic week, all sorts of stuff happening around me and have had to pitch in and help lots of people out, been quite strange.
I have time set aside Tuesday to get into this. Apologies for the delay
 
Hi @Cosmos
It’s been a hectic week, all sorts of stuff happening around me and have had to pitch in and help lots of people out, been quite strange.
I have time set aside Tuesday to get into this. Apologies for the delay

No worries! Don't put yourself under pressure, there is no deadline. You can do it whenever you like and if there is more important stuff you have to attend to at the moment, I think you should just stick to that and try to do it when you really have time and energy for it.
 
#SPMN220222D OVER THE PYRENEES RECORDED THIS EARLY MORNING at 4h34m24s TUC. This is how Marc Corretgé captured it from Alpicat, #Lleida . Several fragmentations can be seen along the route. Go to the updated list of racing cars http://spmn.uji.es/ESP/SPMNlist.html…

@IGNSpain . We received queries about whether they were caused by falling meteorites that we can already rule out thanks to the work carried out in our network by Dr. Mar Tapia @mar_tapia and @geologoenapuros
: http://ign.es/web/ign/portal/ultimos-terremotos/-/ultimos-terremotos/getDetails?evid=es2022dslwf&zona=1

Red de Investigación Bólidos y Meteoritos (SPMN) @RedSpmn
1:19 AM · Feb 22, 2022 Vid
SPORADIC BOLID #SPMN220222 REGISTERED TODAY from various stations. This is how Jordi Donet captured it @DonetJorge flying over #Tarragona from Barx-La Drova, #València . Of cometary origin, it disintegrated without generating meteorites. Soon in the updated list: https://t.co/CRfB0fblVv

Red de Investigación Bólidos y Meteoritos (SPMN) @RedSpmn
11:59 AM · Feb 22, 2022
DELTA LEONIDA #SPMN220222D OVER THE PYRENEES RECORDED THIS EARLY MORNING at 4h34m24s TUC. This is how Marc Corretgé captured it from Alpicat, #Lleida . Several fragmentations can be seen along the route. Go to the updated list of racing cars: https://t.co/CRfB0fblVv



By Joanna Barstow published 1 day ago
Rogue planets: How wandering bodies in interstellar space ended up on their own We now know of almost 5,000 planets outside the solar system.
1645677636181.png
The locations of 115 candidate free floating planets in the region between Upper Scorpius and Ophiuchus (
(Image credit: European Southern Observatory, CC BY-SA)

This article was originally published at The Conversation. The publication contributed the article to Space.com's Expert Voices: Op-Ed & Insights.

Joanna Barstow, Ernest Rutherford Fellow, The Open University

We now know of almost 5,000 planets outside the solar system. If you were to picture what it would be like on one of these distant worlds, or exoplanets, your mental image would probably include a parent star — or more than one, especially if you're a "Star Wars" fan.

But scientists have recently discovered that more planets than we thought are floating through space all by themselves — unlit by a friendly stellar companion. These are icy "free-floating planets," or FFPs. But how did they end up all on their own and what can they tell us about how such planets form?

Related: The 10 biggest exoplanet discoveries of 2021

Finding more and more exoplanets to study has, as we might have expected, widened our understanding of what a planet is. In particular, the line between planets and "brown dwarfs" — cool stars that can't fuse hydrogen like other stars — has become increasingly blurred. What dictates whether an object is a planet or a brown dwarf has long been the subject of debate — is it a question of mass? Do objects cease to be planets if they are undergoing nuclear fusion? Or is the way in which the object was formed most important?

While about half of stars and brown dwarfs exist in isolation, with the rest in multiple star systems, we typically think of planets as subordinate objects in orbit around a star. More recently, however, improvements in telescope technology have enabled us to see smaller and cooler isolated objects in space, including FFPs — objects that have too low a mass or temperature to be considered brown dwarfs.

What we still don't know is exactly how these objects formed. Stars and brown dwarfs form when a region of dust and gas in space starts to fall in on itself. This region becomes denser, so more and more material falls onto it (due to gravity) in a process dubbed gravitational collapse.

Eventually this ball of gas becomes dense and hot enough for nuclear fusion to start — hydrogen burning in the case of stars, deuterium (a type of hydrogen with an additional particle, a neutron, in the nucleus) burning for brown dwarfs. FFPs may form in the same way, but just never get big enough for fusion to start. It's also possible such a planet could start off life in orbit around a star, but at some point get kicked out into interstellar space.

The different characteristics of free floating planets, brown dwarfs and low mass stars. 13 Jupiter masses is often used to distinguish planets from brown dwarfs. Please note that size and mass are different entities – brown dwarfs are roughly the size of Jupiter although more massive.

The different characteristics of free floating planets, brown dwarfs and low mass stars. 13 Jupiter masses is often used to distinguish planets from brown dwarfs. Please note that size and mass are different entities — brown dwarfs are roughly the size of Jupiter although more massive. (Image credit: Joanna Barstow)

How to spot a wandering planet

Rogue planets are difficult to spot because they are relatively small and cold. Their only source of internal heat is the remaining energy left over from the collapse that resulted in their formation. The smaller the planet, the quicker that heat will be radiated away.

Cold objects in space emit less light, and the light they do emit is redder. A star like the sun has its peak emission in the visible range; the peak for an FFP is instead in the infrared. Because it's challenging to see them directly, many such planets have been found using the indirect method of "gravitational microlensing," when a distant star is in just the right position for its light to be gravitationally distorted by the FFP.

Read more: Rogue planets: hunting the galaxy's most mysterious worlds

However, detecting planets via a single, unique event comes with the disadvantage that we can't ever observe that planet again. We also don't see the planet in context with its surroundings, so we’re missing some vital information.

To observe FFPs directly, the best strategy is to catch them while they are young. That means there is still a reasonable amount of heat left over from their formation, so they are at their brightest. In the recent study, researchers did just that.

The team combined images from a large number of telescopes in order to find the faintest objects within a group of young stars, in a region called Upper Scorpius.

They used data from large, general purpose surveys combined with more recent observations of their own to generate detailed visible and infrared maps of the area of sky covering a 20-year period. They then looked for faint objects moving in a way that indicated they were members of the group of stars (rather than background stars much further away).

The group found between 70 and 170 FFPs in the Upper Scorpius region, making their sample the largest directly identified so far — though the number has significant uncertainty.

Rejected planets

Based on our current understanding of gravitational collapse, there seems to be too many FFPs in this group of stars for them all to have formed in that way. The study authors conclude that at least 10% of them must have started out life as part of a star system, forming in a disk of dust and dust around a young star rather than through gravitational collapse. At some point, however, a planet could get ejected due to interactions with other planets. In fact, the authors suggest that these "rejected" planets may be just as common as planets that have been alone from the beginning.

If you're panicking about Earth suddenly spinning off into the depths of space, you probably don't need to worry — these events are far more likely early on in the formation of a planetary system when there are a lot of planets jostling for position. But it's not impossible — if something external to an established planetary system, such as another star, were to disrupt it, then a planet could still be detached from its sunny home.

While we still have a long way to go to fully understand these wandering planets, studies like this one are valuable. The planets can be revisited for further, more detailed investigation as new telescope technology becomes available, which might reveal more about the origins of these strange worlds.

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

Follow all of the Expert Voices issues and debates — and become part of the discussion — on Facebook and Twitter. The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.


 
A huge asteroid will fly past Earth on March 4, 2022.

By Svetlana Ekimenko - 6 hours ago


A bright fireball lit up the night sky over the Santa Catarina and Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil.

Published on Feb 25, 2022 (1:07)

More here.
 


24/02/2022
In brief
For a few tense days this January, a roughly 70-metre asteroid became the riskiest observed in over a decade. Despite the Moon’s attempt to scupper observations, the asteroid is now known to be entirely safe.

*Join ESA, NASA and Asteroid Day LIVE from 19:00 CET this evening in "Killing asteroids - with the experts", to find out more*.

In-depth

Initial observations of an asteroid dubbed ‘2022 AE1’ showed a potential Earth impact on 4 July 2023 – not enough time to attempt deflection and large enough to do real damage to a local area should it strike.

Worryingly, the chance of impact appeared to increase based on the first seven days of observations, followed by a dramatic week ‘in the dark’ as the full Moon outshone the potential impactor, ruling out further observations. As the Moon moved aside, the skies dimmed and ESA’s Near-Earth Object Coordination Centre (NEOCC) took another look, only to find the chance of impact was dramatically falling.

It has since been confirmed that 2022 AE1 will not impact Earth and has been removed from ESA’s risk list. So, what’s the story behind the excitement, and how can we trust this seemingly ‘meandering’ impact risk?

Never seen anything like it

“In January this year, we became aware of an asteroid with the highest ranking on the Palermo scale that we’ve seen in more than a decade, reaching -0.66” explains Marco Micheli, astronomer at ESA’s NEOCC.

“In my almost ten years at ESA I’ve never seen such a risky object. It was a thrill to track 2022 AE1 and refine its trajectory until we had enough data to say for certain, this asteroid will not strike”.
The Torino scale is a simplified version of the Palermo scale, used as a communication tool to illustrate the impact hazard of asteroids from a combination of their probability of impact and the energy they could strike with.]
The Torino scale is a simplified version of the Palermo scale, used as a communication tool to illustrate the impact hazard of asteroids from a combination of their probability of impact and the energy they could strike with.]

The Palermo scale is used by planetary defenders to categorise and prioritise the impact risk from near-Earth objects (NEOs) by combining the potential date of impact, the energy they would strike with and the impact probability.

There are asteroids out there that will certainly hit Earth but are so small they are almost imperceptible as they burn up in our atmosphere. Others might be giant, extinction-level event asteroids which could do immense damage but are travelling in orbits around the Sun that are entirely safe.

Values less than -2 on the Palermo Scale reflect events with no likely consequences; those between -2 and 0 indicate situations that merit careful monitoring, and positive values generally indicate situations that merit some level of concern.

Planetary defenders – always alert

Asteroid 2022 AE1 observed with the Calar Alto Schmidt telescope in Spain
Asteroid 2022 AE1 observed with the Calar Alto Schmidt telescope in Spain

On 7 January, one day after its discovery by the Catalina Sky Survey, asteroid 2022 AE1 was flagged for a potential future impact by the Asteroid Orbit Determination (AstOD) automated system that makes up part of the NEOCC’s suite of tools to assess the asteroid risk.

Every day, the system automatically calculates the orbits from asteroid observation data provided by telescopes and observatories around the world. It then computes the Palermo Scale values, immediately publishing the results on the NEOCC web portal.

More risky cases – when asteroids are categorized as -2 or above on the Palermo Scale – are first cross-referenced with analysis from NASA JPL, to be extra certain of calculations before they’re published on the public page.

“I was surprised at first when I heard about this asteroid as it is very rare to have such high Palermo scale, at first rated -1.5. Yet, I wasn’t too concerned as we get notifications like this – though at a lower level – few times per year,” explains Luca Conversi, Manager of the NEOCC.

“As it is custom in these cases, we activated our global network of telescopes to immediately get more observations and it soon seemed this asteroid was unlike any other we’d seen.”

The Sun never rises on ESA’s eyes on the sky …

On the evening of Saturday 8 January, Marco ‘the impactor killer’ Micheli got hold of the 80 cm Schmidt telescope in Calar Alto, which the Coordination Centre has nearly continuous access to (weather permitting), to get more data.

“There’s no waiting till Monday when you’re back in the Office with this job,” explains Marco, whose role is to gather enough data on asteroids in ESA’s ‘risk list’ such that they can be deemed safe, at which point they are removed.

ESA NEOCC has near-real-time access to a global network of telescopesESA NEOCC has near-real-time access to a global network of telescopes

“But I love it, it’s part of the challenge. What makes this ‘detective work’ so much easier is that we have a network of telescopes on every continent that we can access in near real-time. It’s actually a unique capability of ESA which means it’s always night-time somewhere in our network, necessary to make asteroid observations”.

ESA continued to monitor the asteroid, verifying results with NASA JPL which confirmed a worrying increase in the large rock’s chance of impact. Unfortunately, as the probability of impact peaked, observations became impossible.


 
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