Near-Earth objects and close calls

By Samantha Mathewson Published 18 hours ago

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Construction of the world's largest telescope moves forward with progress of the structure's dome and housing for the primary mirror.

NASA JPL discovers two types of comets that move like asteroids and discover dark comets.

Dec. 9, 2024
These celestial objects look like asteroids but act like comets now come in two flavors.

The first dark comet — a celestial object that looks like an asteroid but moves through space like a comet — was reported less than two years ago. Soon after, another six were found. In a new paper, researchers announce the discovery of seven more, doubling the number of known dark comets, and find that they fall into two distinct populations: larger ones that reside in the outer solar system and smaller ones in the inner solar system, with various other traits that set them apart.

The findings were published on Monday, Dec. 9, in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Scientists got their first inkling that dark comets exist when they noted in a March 2016 study that the trajectory of “asteroid” 2003 RM had moved ever so slightly from its expected orbit. That deviation couldn’t be explained by the typical accelerations of asteroids, like the small acceleration known as the Yarkovsky effect.

When you see that kind of perturbation on a celestial object, it usually means it’s a comet, with volatile material outgassing from its surface giving it a little thrust,” said study coauthor Davide Farnocchia of NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Southern California. “But try as we might, we couldn’t find any signs of a comet’s tail. It looked like any other asteroid — just a pinpoint of light. So, for a short while, we had this one weird celestial object that we couldn’t fully figure out.”

Weird Celestial Objects

Farnocchia and the astronomical community didn’t have to wait long for another piece of the puzzle. The next year, in 2017, a NASA-sponsored telescope discovered history’s first documented celestial object that originated outside our solar system. Not only did 1I/2017 U1 (‘Oumuamua) appear as a single point of light, like an asteroid, its trajectory changed as if it were outgassing volatile material from its surface, like a comet.

“‘Oumuamua was surprising in several ways,” said Farnocchia. “The fact that the first object we discovered from interstellar space exhibited similar behaviors to 2003 RM made 2003 RM even more intriguing.”

By 2023, researchers had identified seven solar system objects that looked like asteroids but acted like comets. That was enough for the astronomical community to bestow upon them their own celestial object category: “dark comets.” Now, with the finding of seven more of these objects, researchers could start on a new set of questions.

[...]

Comet one day, asteroid the next and vice versa another one, for all eternity.
But they choose to call them 'dark comets', as if they were not the same in different electrical surrounding. You know, this habit of always putting things in different boxes without understanding the link between them.

From our dearest Pierre in Earth Changes and the Human-Cosmic Connection, p.78:
"The fundamental difference between asteroids and comets is not their chemical composition, i.e. dirty, fluffy icy comets vs. rocky asteroids? Rather, as has long been put forward by plasma theorists, what differentiates 'comets' from 'asteroids' is their electric activity.

When the electric potential difference between an asteroid and the surrounding plasma is not too high, the asteroid exhibits a dark discharge mode or no discharge at all. But when the potential difference is high enough, the asteroid switches to a glowing discharge mode. At this point the asteroid is a comet. From this perspective, a comet is simply a glowing asteroid and an asteroid is a non-glowing comet. Thus, the very same body can, successively, be a comet, then an asteroid, then a comet, etc., depending on variations in the ambient electric field is is subjected to."
Amen.
 

Very bright fireball, sonic boom over Indiana, U.S.

A very bright fireball was observed over central Indiana at around 09:05 UTC (04:05 local time) on Tuesday, December 10, 2024. The event lasted about 3 – 5 seconds and was accompanied by a sonic boom.
The American Meteor Society (AMS) received 31 reports from people living in Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Missouri and Wisconsin.

One observer from Big Rapids, Michigan said he first saw a dark orange tail that went into a bright orange round fireball.

A man from Kokomo, Indiana, described it as a fiery orange ball – big and amazing.

Another person, from Clay City, Indiana, described the event as bright blue or white light that took over the sky, followed by another flash as the object broke through the cloud cover.
Videos related to the event AMS 7647-2024
 
It's a bit weird to me that people are waking up to these kinds of fireballs and thinking they are something new or shocking. Anyone who has been watching the Sott ECS monthly videos will have seen at least one of these (usually several) that are reported every single month going back many years.

I am subscribed to various astronomy channels in Russian, and there was an excessive and over the top reaction to this bolide. People have been sharing videos and pictures of this bolide from all the possible angles. And they discussed "the event" at length as if it was something extraordinary. While in fact it is nothing of the sort. It is a pretty ordinary bolide, and something like this happens on a daily basis if you follow SOTT or American Meteor Society.

But these channels do provide an explanation for the excitement. Apparently it is the first ever "forcasted" asteroid fall over Russian territory. And they wanted to get as much information about it as possible, in order to make the forcasting/predicting capabilities better. They said that this event, just like in case of Chalyabinsk meteorite, may help with improving detection capabilities.

Here's a link to a paper about Chelyabinsk meteorite that was written based on the data from the videos that people took.

Also apparently this is only the 11th asteroid to be discovered before it hit the Earth's surface since 2008, and the 4th in 2024. Astronomers say that this shows progress in discovering dangerous asteroids, but clearly this is still a very low rate and indicates a very serious problem. It is indeed a cosmic turkey shoot!
 
I am subscribed to various astronomy channels in Russian, and there was an excessive and over the top reaction to this bolide. People have been sharing videos and pictures of this bolide from all the possible angles. And they discussed "the event" at length as if it was something extraordinary. While in fact it is nothing of the sort. It is a pretty ordinary bolide, and something like this happens on a daily basis if you follow SOTT or American Meteor Society.

But these channels do provide an explanation for the excitement. Apparently it is the first ever "forcasted" asteroid fall over Russian territory. And they wanted to get as much information about it as possible, in order to make the forcasting/predicting capabilities better. They said that this event, just like in case of Chalyabinsk meteorite, may help with improving detection capabilities.

Here's a link to a paper about Chelyabinsk meteorite that was written based on the data from the videos that people took.

Also apparently this is only the 11th asteroid to be discovered before it hit the Earth's surface since 2008, and the 4th in 2024. Astronomers say that this shows progress in discovering dangerous asteroids, but clearly this is still a very low rate and indicates a very serious problem. It is indeed a cosmic turkey shoot!
thank you, and for the thorough analysis
 

AMS Idaho
Dec 20, 2024
This video has been uploaded on the American Meteor Society Website.AMS Event: 7872-2024, Report 363576 (7872a-2024) Eagle, ID, This video may not be related to a fireball event. More info: https://fireballs.amsmeteors.org/even...Do not share this video.
All rigth reserved


THE #ÚRSIDA BRIGHTEST #SPMN211224Z FLYED OVER #SEVILLA LAST NIGHT at 23h31m44s UTC (0h31 CET today). This is how Antonio J. Robles @AJ_Roblescaptured it from Estepa. Its swarm, from the comet 8P / Tuttle, delights us these nights with luminous fireballs. To the list🌠➡️https://ice.csic.es/news/citizen-s

 
From earlier in December:
The last screenshot of the CNEOS list was from this post, Aug 11, 2024. Here are those that have entered since then, including the last in July. The calculated total impact energy varies between 0.076 and 0.38 kt TNT, so as they appear in the list, the latest fireballs are quite small.
And then on December 20. there was from the CNEOS list:
2024-12-23 233458.png
3.4 kt of TNT is the second largest recorded impact this year, behind 5.1 calculated for an impact on July 20, five months ago. In total, there have so far been four impacts with a calculated total energy higher than 1 kt of TNT.
 
The Quadrantids (QUA) are a meteor shower that peaks in early January and whose radiant lies in the constellation Boötes. The zenithal hourly rate (ZHR) of this shower can be as high as that of two other reliably rich meteor showers, the Perseids in August and the Geminids in December,<a href="Quadrantids - Wikipedia"><span>[</span>4<span>]</span></a> yet Quadrantid meteors are not seen as often as those of the two other showers because the time frame of the peak is exceedingly narrow, sometimes lasting only hours. Moreover, the meteors are quite faint, with mean apparent magnitudes between 3.0 and 6.0

The name comes from Quadrans Muralis, a former constellation created in 1795 by the French astronomer Jérôme Lalande that included portions of Boötes and Draco. In early January 1825, Antonio Brucalassi in Italy reported that “the atmosphere was traversed by a multitude of the luminous bodies known by the name of falling stars.”<a href="Quadrantids - Wikipedia"><span>[</span>1<span>]</span></a> They appeared to radiate from Quadrans Muralis. In 1839, Adolphe Quetelet of Brussels Observatory in Belgium and Edward C. Herrick in Connecticut<a href="Quadrantids - Wikipedia"><span>[</span>9<span>]</span></a> independently made the suggestion that the Quadrantids are an annual shower.<a href="Quadrantids - Wikipedia"><span>[</span></a>

1735866885385.jpeg

The Quadrantids meteor shower is associated with the asteroid 2003 EH1,which is estimated to be around 5.5 years old. The asteroid was discovered in 2003, and it orbits the sun once every 5.5 years.

The Quadrantids meteor shower occurs when Earth passes through the debris trail left by the asteroid. The shower peaks in early January, and the meteors appear to radiate from the northeast corner of the constellation Boötes. The shower is named after the now-defunct constellation Quadrans Muralis, but is also sometimes called the Bootids after Boötes.

The Quadrantids are known for their bright fireball meteors, which can last longer than the average meteor streak. The meteors are caused by space rocks entering Earth's atmosphere and heating up, making them look like shooting stars.

Asteroid 2003EH1 is a candidate for the parent body of the Quadrantids meteor shower. This is the movement of dust in the Quadrantids, visualized by NASA's CAMS observations. The blue ellipse is the Earth's orbit, the dust is the white dot, and 2003EH1 is the white ellipse. The orbital plane is vertical, which is one of the reasons for the short activity period. https://meteorshowers.org

The number of meteors increases at dawn when the radiant point is high, and there are fewer in the middle of the night when the radiant point is still low. This is a diagram showing how meteors appear on the celestial sphere; as they move away from the radiant point, their paths lengthen, and if they follow the line of sight, they become stationary meteors. The radiant point is in the once-mythical constellation "Quadrantes", which remains as the name of the meteor shower in modern times.

We are also conducting a collaborative observation campaign for lunar impact flashes. Many meteors from the Quadrantids meteor shower will be seen in the early morning of January 4th, but on the moon's surface in the evening, a lunar impact flash from the Quadrantids may occur. Try to take a photo so that the earthshine is visible. I was unable to capture the flash last night. https://hirahaku.jp/kyoushitsu_cir

 
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