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Albania's Census Shows Population Fell by 14% Since 2011

Albania's population fell from 2.8 million in 2011 to 2.4 million, according to the newly-published results of the 2023 census – with figures showing a sharp rise in the percentage of elderly citizens.

Figures published on Friday from Albania’s 2023 headcount shows the total population has fallen by around 409,000 people, or some 14 per cent, since the 2011 census, when some 2.8 milion people lived in the country.

“There are [now] 2,412,113 inhabitants, who make up 755,950 families with an average size of 3.2 members per family and who live in 1,082,529 ordinary homes,” the head of the Institute of Statistics, INSTAT, Elsa Dhuli, told a press conference.

The census took place from September to November 2023 after being delayed several times because of the COVID-19 pandemic and an earthquake in 2019.

Jorida Tabaku, an opposition MP, told BIRN that the long delay in the publication of the final results had been “pointless”, noting that the 2011 census did not need six months for the publication of the results, and when the technology has become better now.

“This shows not only a lack of seriousness on the part of the government but also a weak administration. I don’t know why it needed so much time for such a small country,” Tabaku told BIRN.

Tabaku highlighted the migration issue and the clear ageing of the population.

“Unfortunately, Albanians have decreased by 400,000 inhabitants, proving the immigration crisis and the continuous depopulation that has not only increased the average age of our country by two years to 42 years but also the decrease in the number of young people. From the INSTAT figures … young people have decreased by 6.4% while the elderly have increased by 13.7%,; we have more elderly people, and less and less young people,” she noted.

Tabaku said the trend was alarming. “In relation to historical data, the Albania of 2024 is less in number than the Albania of 1976, and this is another alarming sign, not just because we have decreased [compared] to the population five decades ago but because … the aging of the country is [now] inevitable,” she concluded.

Albania’s government has been the target of criticism from the opposition over mass migration, which Socialist Prime Minister Edi Rama has dismissed many times, claiming it is a normal “historical trend”.

In the summer of 2022 alone, some 12,000 Albanians crossed the sea from France to Britain in small boats. According to the Migration Observatory at the University of Oxford, some 16,000 Albanians applied for asylum in Britain in 2022; roughly 12,000 of them arrived irrregularly by small boats across the Channel.

The 2011 census drew widespread criticism for allegedly under-counting the Roma and Egyptian communities in Albania, which had a knock-on effect, as budgetary funds allocated for minorities for education, employment and social welfare are relsted to their overall numbers.

 
Albania's Census Shows Population Fell by 14% Since 2011

Came across historical data some time ago here. There is a table and interactive graph that I failed to save other than with a screenshot. IMF's numbers are, in million:
2011 - 2.905
2023 - 2.858
Difference: 47.000 inhabitants. Change: -1.6%

Why such a huge discrepancy? IMF has 100K more for 2011 and over 400K more for 2023 than the numbers in BI's article.

Albania - population.jpg

Checked other sources and all have numbers similar to IMF's: database.earth (source: the UN); worldeconomics (several sources, no IMF); worldometers (the UN, others); even ceicdata (Institute of Statistics of Albania)
Yes, there is still a decrease in population but it's decreasing and is much closer to zero than around 2005. Here is Growth Rate graph (1950-2024)

Against the above, the data provided by BI/INSTAT seems a bit fishy to me. Is it possible that what we see is a part of a political game and someone is highly interested in overestimating "the immigration crisis and the continuous depopulation" of Albania? The article is politically loaded...
 
Came across historical data some time ago here. There is a table and interactive graph that I failed to save other than with a screenshot. IMF's numbers are, in million:
2011 - 2.905
2023 - 2.858
Difference: 47.000 inhabitants. Change: -1.6%

Why such a huge discrepancy? IMF has 100K more for 2011 and over 400K more for 2023 than the numbers in BI's article.

View attachment 97786

Checked other sources and all have numbers similar to IMF's: database.earth (source: the UN); worldeconomics (several sources, no IMF); worldometers (the UN, others); even ceicdata (Institute of Statistics of Albania)
Yes, there is still a decrease in population but it's decreasing and is much closer to zero than around 2005. Here is Growth Rate graph (1950-2024)

Against the above, the data provided by BI/INSTAT seems a bit fishy to me. Is it possible that what we see is a part of a political game and someone is highly interested in overestimating "the immigration crisis and the continuous depopulation" of Albania? The article is politically loaded...
There is even bigger problem with the Kosovo's census of this year. Officially there are some 1,8 - 9 million people in Kosovo, but allegedly police data show only around 800 - 900.000. people. There were some unofficial statements that they included in the census people who are living abroad (in the EU), but have their residence permit in Kosovo. Which means that they do exist, only not in Kosovo.

Serbian mobile operators have data on some 600.000 smartphone cards operating in Kosovo.

The problem with numbers of Albanians in Kosovo dates since socialist Yugoslavia. There were always rumours that there is "only" 10% of Serbs in Kosovo. The number of Serbs was known and it was around 400 - 500.000. Which implies that the number for the whole Kosovo were around 4.000.000. Well, no, the number for whole Kosovo never was bigger than 2.500.000. And so on . . .
 
Why such a huge discrepancy? IMF has 100K more for 2011 and over 400K more for 2023 than the numbers in BI's article.

Those organisations always have wrong numbers about populations. I think that they use projections, and not the real numbers from censuses.

Against the above, the data provided by BI/INSTAT seems a bit fishy to me. Is it possible that what we see is a part of a political game and someone is highly interested in overestimating "the immigration crisis and the continuous depopulation" of Albania? The article is politically loaded...

Well, the opposition in Albania was claiming that there are only 1.4 million of people in Albania, so that could be an overestimation, but 2.4 million sounds realistic to me.

There is even bigger problem with the Kosovo's census of this year.

The big drop in population of Kosovo will probably be seen in the next census because this year they finally got the visa for EU.

 
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