However, we must also consider the very real possibility that Russia is merely bringing Ukraine to such an energy brink for the sake of deterring Ukraine’s own further strikes on Russia’s energy sector, which have been painful in conjunction with the various ongoing Western sanctions instruments, albeit not anywhere near existential as claimed.
For Russia and Putin a kind of war ‘status quo’, where Russia can continue to maintain economic health, is the ideal scenario, and Russia would much rather have no strikes on its own energy centers in exchange for walking back the same on Ukraine. This is because Putin knows the AFU is already collapsing even without the focus on Ukraine’s energy grid, so taking out the grid is not a particular prerequisite for victory.
After all, as stated earlier, what could Russia’s goal really be in the total collapse of the Ukrainian energy grid? It would do little good to have a new Holodomor campaign be launched by the West’s global information machine. But this is merely to play devil’s advocate and muse on the possibilities; it could very well be wrong, and Russia may actually seek to bring down the grid once and for all, though I remain somewhat skeptical of the long-term moral efficacy of this.