The AMOC

The official science start to catch up:

Abrupt weakening of deep Atlantic circulation at the last glacial inception​

Full article:
Published 14 August 2025

Not only do we see collapses during Heinrich events, but at the end of the last warm interglacial like the one we're in now, it happened too. The glacial cycle has Earth fairly warm for about 10 to 12,000 years. Then we spend about 90 to 100,000 years in glacial conditions. We have been in this warm interglacial about 12,000 years. We are due for the drop in the is collapsing once again.

Glacial-interglacial cycles over the past 450,000 years


Session 18 March 2000

Q: You also made a remark once that ice ages occur much, much faster than people ever thought...
A: Oh yes, and faster when in response to global"warming."


Session 17 August 2003

Q: (Perceval) Can we expect an ice age any time soon?
A: wait a couple of years and check the thermometer!!!


Session 6 July 2010

Q: (L) What about an ice age?

A: Ice ages grip the south somewhat, but the greatest damage is via drought, floods, and earthquakes.


Session 22 July 2010

Q: (L) Okay, so what's going to happen? Is the Gulf Stream breaking up, and is that going to bring on an ice age?

A: It is, it will.

Q: (L) Is that like imminent?

A: The cause is more than the oil. But the people will only see the oil reason and turn against the elite for bringing on such a disaster. Also note that the nonlinear effects will take some time to develop fully.


Session 8 April 2023

Q: (Obi) How close are we to the rebound of the Ice Age?

A: Soon. Wait and see
 
Study, the Amazon would certainly not support the collapse of the AMOC:

The Amazon rainforest and the AMOC are two key components of the Earth system and may both collapse under climate change. Due to its influence on precipitation patterns, a collapsed AMOC influences the dynamics of the Amazon rainforest. We investigate this effect using a coupled conceptual AMOC-Amazon model.
[...]
Moreover, we are able to quantify the importance of the AMOC in this tipping cascade by computing the conditional probability that the collapse of the Amazon rainforest follows that of the AMOC, given that the Amazon rainforest turns into a savannah within 200 years.

Source:
Quantification of the cascading tipping probability from the AMOC to the Amazon rainforest - June 2025
 
Study, the Amazon would certainly not support the collapse of the AMOC:

Source:
Quantification of the cascading tipping probability from the AMOC to the Amazon rainforest - June 2025
Apparently there is no consensus on what the Amazon was like during the Ice Age. The leading theory was that most of it was a Savannah, but new evidence shows that it was a thriving tropical rain forest:

 
A new study try to model the influence of the Cold Blob. Look like it can accentuate the cooling.

The models agree that the cold blob leads to significant shifts in wintertime wind patterns and an increase in summertime cloud cover, which could reinforce the cooling by blocking sunlight. However, the study also finds that different models produce different patterns of atmospheric response, suggesting that how a model is built plays an important role in how the atmosphere reacts to the cold blob. The findings highlight both the subtle but real effects of regional ocean cooling on the atmosphere, and the importance of using multiple models to understand how these interactions play out in the climate system.

Source:
 

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