The Ice Age Cometh! Forget Global Warming!

[angelburst29]

Ahead of Tropical Storm Hermine making landfall, Georgia's Governor Deal declared a state of emergency for 56 counties.

Governor Deal issued the declaration on "recommendation from the state's Emergency Operations Command in anticipation," according to a release.

State of emergency declared for 56 Georgia counties (Video)
http://www.11alive.com/weather/state-of-emergency-declared-for-56-georgia-counties/312449535

“Georgia is expected to receive severe weather related to Tropical Storm Hermine through Saturday,” Deal said. “We are working to ensure counties in south, central and coastal Georgia have access to the state resources necessary to prepare and respond when Tropical Storm Hermine enters Georgia. Our Emergency Operations Command will continue closely monitoring this storm and additional counties may be included in this declaration as needed.”

Deal declares state of emergency ahead of Tropical Storm Hermine
http://gov.georgia.gov/press-releases/2016-09-01/deal-declares-state-emergency-ahead-tropical-storm-hermine

September 1, 2016

Acting on a recommendation from the state's Emergency Operations Command in anticipation of Tropical Storm Hermine’s imminent Florida landfall, Gov. Nathan Deal today signed an executive order declaring a state of emergency for 56 counties. The state of emergency goes into effect at noon today and extends through midnight Saturday.

A hurricane warning is in effect for Florida's Gulf Coast from the Suwannee River to Mexico Beach. Watches and warnings are in place throughout the Panhandle stretching up to North Carolina. A tropical storm warning is also in effect for Geneva, Henry and Houston counties in southeast Alabama.

Tropical Storm Hermine: State of emergency in 51 Florida counties; area includes Panama City, Destin
http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2016/09/tropical_storm_hermine_state_o.html

Gov. Rick Scott has declared a state of emergency in 51 counties, including Bay and Okaloosa counties, home to Panama City and Destin, respectively.

The declaration comes as the state braces for Tropical Storm Hermine, which is likely to reach hurricane strength by the time it makes landfall later today. The storm has winds of 65 mph, just 9 miles short of the hurricane threshold.

The Florida Division of Emergency Management said it is monitoring the storm situation and is urging residents to take precautions.

"At this time, we expect storm surge of upwards of 6 feet in some parts of our state. We also anticipate total rainfall amounts of five to 10 inches of over portions of Northwest Florida and isolated tornadoes," Scott said. "Now that Tropical Storm Hermine is approaching our state, it is even more important for all Floridians to get a plan and prepare for severe weather."

Scott said state offices in the 51 counties named in his declaration will close at noon Thursday.

 

[mabar]

And there is also the metioning of the studies of linking cosmic rays with "cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death in the general population" and read also a interesting comment and since we are seeing an increase in "crazyness" not just in humans but animals as well, I put it here:

Jeff Miller: There are also strong correlations between cosmic rays and psychiatric hospital admissions for acute depression and psychotic episodes.
...
Jeff Miller To be more specific, solar energy particles (SEP) - a type of cosmic ray has been associated with increased psychiatric admissions.

Also the study that I has shared speak about Galactic cosmic rays (GCR) and not SEP which are often related as cosmic rays. Thus we can't extrapolate this findings in the field of the possible unknow effects of GCR on the population.

Thanks Eol, I did not noticed that detail, theeffects on population coming from both GCR/SEP, it would interesting to know if there are differences on such effects. I will read your GCR articles, I did not yesterday.

 

[Ca.]

With the University of Colorado allowing professors to remove and ban students from studies that have opinions and information that run contrary to 100% CO2 man-made warming, the signal is clear that universities are turning into obedience training centers.

Adapt 2030

IPCC Fails, Universities Now Take Over Censorship Role on Global Cooling (213)
Sep 1, 2016

http://<iframe width="560" height="..._M" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

 

[Eboard10]

Not exactly sure what to make of this, but it is definitely telling that this wind pattern in the stratosphere that was first measured in 1953 and seen following a stable shift, alternating from a westerly to an easterly direction every 28 months, suddenly changed late 2015 and held for nearly half a year before going back to the same pattern in July 2016. Maybe someone with more expertise here could comment on this?

A strange thing happened in the stratosphere

This disruption to the wind pattern - called the "quasi-biennial oscillation" - did not have any immediate impact on weather or climate as we experience it on Earth's surface. But it does raise interesting questions for the NASA scientists who observed it: If a pattern holds for six decades and then suddenly changes, what caused that to happen? Will it happen again? What effects might it have?

"The quasi-biennial oscillation is the stratosphere's Old Faithful," said Paul Newman, Chief Scientist for Earth Sciences at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, and lead author on a new paper about the event published online in Geophysical Research Letters. "If Old Faithful stopped for a day, you'd begin to wonder about what was happening under the ground."

Winds in the tropical stratosphere, an atmospheric layer that extends from about 10 to 30 miles above Earth's surface, circulate the planet in alternating easterly and westerly directions over roughly a two-year period. Westerly winds develop at the top of the stratosphere, and gradually descend to the bottom, about 10 miles above the surface while at the same time being replaced by a layer of easterly winds above them. In turn, the easterlies descend and are replaced by westerlies.

This pattern repeats every 28 months. In the 1960s scientists coined it the "quasi-biennial oscillation." The record of these measurements, made by weather balloons released in the tropics at various points around the globe, dates to 1953.

The pattern never changed - until late 2015. As the year came to a close, winds from the west neared the end of their typical descent. The regular pattern held that weaker easterly winds would soon replace them. But then the westerlies appeared to move upwards and block the downward movement of the easterlies. This new pattern held for nearly half a year, and by July 2016 the old regime seemed to resume.

"It's really interesting when nature throws us a curveball," Newman said.

The quasi-biennial oscillation has a wide influence on stratospheric conditions. The amount of ozone at the equator changes by 10 percent between the peaks of the easterly and westerly phases, while the oscillation also has an impact on levels of polar ozone depletion.

With this disruption now documented, Newman and colleagues are currently focused on studying both its causes and potential implications. They have two hypotheses for what could have triggered it - the particularly strong El Niño in 2015-16 or the long-term trend of rising global temperatures. Newman said the scientists are conducting further research now to figure out if the event was a "black swan," a once-in-a-generation event, or a "canary in the coal mine," a shift with unforeseen circumstances, caused by climate change.

 

[Eol]

Maybe the 2015-16 El Niño has something to do with this.

Here is the theory about the QBO :

[...]When the QBO was first discovered in the late 1950s, it took scientists some time to figure out what was causing it, but by the early 1970s the basic physics was established. Waves propagate up from the troposphere into the stratosphere and, by a process known as critical layer absorption, some of these waves break and deposit momentum at just the right altitude to reinforce the zonal winds and cause them to migrate downwards. The waves involved are both large-scale equatorial waves, of the kind that ECMWF’s Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) can resolve, and small-scale gravity waves which must be parametrized. The waves carry both eastward and westward momentum, but the absorption process extracts the momentum at different levels, giving the alternative easterly and westerly winds.[...]

_http://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/news/2015/why-quasi-biennial-oscillation-matters

The theory of the QBO

Holton and Lindzen (1972) were the first to propose a model of the QBO based on vertically propagating waves. Originally it was thought that the Semi Annual Oscillation (SAO) in the upper stratosphere played an important role in the QBO. More recently they showed that while the SAO was important, it was not necessary for the formation of the QBO.The mechanism was further explained by Plumb (1977) who showed that the maximum acceleration occurs just below the maximum phase speed, leading to descent of the maximum with time.

It is now thought that equatorially trapped Kelvin waves provide the westerly momentum and Rossby-gravity waves provide easterly momentum to produce the QBO oscillation.

Fig 4. Plumb's analog of the QBO in six stages. Wavy blue and red lines indicate penetration of easterly and westerly waves.

In Fig. 4(a) both easterly and westerly maxima are descending as the upward propagating waves deposit momentum just below the maxima. When the westerly shear zone is sufficiently narrow, viscous diffusion destroys the westerlies and the westerly waves can propagate to high levels through the easterly mean flow, Fig. 4(b).The more freely propagating westerlies are dissipated at higher altitudes and produce a westerly acceleration leading to a new westerly regime, Fig. 4(c). Fig. 4(d) shows both regimes descending downwards until the easterly shear zone becomes vulnerable to penetration and the easterlies can then propagate to high altitudes, Fig. 4(e), and so onto the formation of a new easterly regime in Fig. 4(f).

_http://ugamp.nerc.ac.uk/hot/ajh/qbo.htm

[...]The pressure changes influence the wind patterns. The average (non-El Niño) state of the atmosphere over the tropical Pacific features convection and rainfall over Indonesia, low-level easterly winds (the trade winds that blow from east to west), and upper-level westerly winds[..]. These are the basic components of the Pacific Walker Circulation.

During El Niño, the system shifts: we see weaker trade winds over the Pacific, less rain than usual over Indonesia, and more rain than usual over the central or eastern Pacific. During some El Niño events, the trade winds along the equator even reverse, and we see low-level westerlies… but not every time. In fact, every El Niño is different, and both the ocean and atmospheric characteristics vary quite a lot from event to event–but that’s a topic for another post![...]

_https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/en-so

And I searched rapidly if westerly winds have occured for the last El Nino :

Strong Westerlies Push El Nino Toward Extreme Event

For the past two weeks, winds have been blowing in an anomalous west-to-east pattern across the Western Pacific. It’s the third such pattern since El Nino conditions began to become more prevalent during March of this year. And forecast model response to the most recent westerly wind burst is an overall shift toward predicting a record event. Models are starting to settle on at least a strong El Nino come fall (1.5 degree Celsius anomaly or greater for Nino 3.4) with many ensembles predicting something even more intense than the super El Nino of 1998.[...]

https://robertscribbler.com/2015/07/02/strong-westerlies-push-el-nino-toward-extreme-event/

And it led my to this :

Third Warm Kelvin Wave to Raise Extreme El Nino by Fall?

[...]Today, 20 to 35 mile per hour westerly winds are prevalent along a 2,500 mile stretch of ocean running from just east of the Philippines, across an equatorial zone just north of New Guinea, and on eastward for hundreds more miles in the direction of the Date Line. The winds are associated with numerous low pressure systems developing both north and south of the Equator — their cyclonic wind patterns joining in a daisy chain like feature to drive a large synoptic westerly wind back-burst (WWB).

Over the next few days, winds within the zone are predicted to strengthen to near gale force intensity. But it’s the size of the zone that may have the greatest impact.

Strong, long-fetch westerlies in this region of the world have a tendency to push warm surface waters, now topping off at 31 degrees Celsius (and 1-2 C above the already hotter than normal 1979 to 2000 average), downward and eastward. This heat pump action generates what, in meteorological parlance, are known as warm Kelvin Waves. And warm Kelvin Waves are high energy fuel for strengthening El Ninos.[..]

It's also interesting to note that the link you provided Eboard10 speak about a come back to the usual pattern, a thing that i didn't read in other articles speaking about this "weirdness". So maybe the strong El nino of 2015-16 disrupts in some way the QBO, in respect to the main meteorological theroy explanation, and further, the oscillation came back to normal with the weakening of El Nino and the shift expected regarding La Nina.

 

[Duke]

Interesting.......

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Og6Yihyqrz4

 

[Laura]

Interesting.......

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Og6Yihyqrz4

What is it about and why is it interesting? Please provide at least a quick summary.

 

[angelburst29]

A good portion of Northeastern Pennsylvania, the Pocono's and heading towards the New York and New Jersey Borders are dotted by natural habitats and State Game Lands. Very scenic in the Fall, with the change of foliage in the Autumn leaves. Very noticeable are small patches of dead trees, due to die off. Even in residential areas and around my neighborhood, swatches of several dead tree limbs can be seen, in otherwise healthy trees. Varieties of Maple trees, especially Sugar Maple seem to be most affected but nothing like what is happening in California.

The Sierra Nevada and North Coast forests of California are suffering as millions of dead and dying trees have rapidly become a massive fire risk.

Enormous California Tree Die-offs Causing Wildfires, Habitat Destruction
https://sputniknews.com/us/20160907/1045040951/california-wildfire-drought.html

Since 2010 and the beginning of the California drought, the number of dead trees in the central and southern Sierra Nevada has reached a conservative 66 million by some estimates.

According to scientists, there are several factors at play causing the devastation of the forests and contributing to an increasingly dire fire hazard.

The intense ongoing drought in California is contributing to the Sierra Nevada forest deadfall. Also, global warming has led to warmer winters that no longer balance a growing bark beetle population devastating conifers in the mountains. Finishing the job, fungi and a foreign-borne plant pathogen brought to California through global trade are affecting moist areas where oaks and other deciduous trees grow.

The human factor worsens the situation as a lack of forest management, especially in the clearing of combustible dead wood, has exacerbated an already gloomy forecast. As David Rizzo, chairman of plant pathology at the University of California, Davis, stated, "It's never just one thing that brings down trees. It's always a combination. The first may weaken trees; the next stresses trees over time. Then comes a third, shutting down the trees' immune and defense systems. Finally, the last may come along to disrupt nutrient systems. When all this happens at once, or in rapid succession, trees are no longer able to save themselves."

Rizzo and Matteo Garbelotto, a professor of environmental science policy and management at the University of California, Berkeley, have been conducting long-term research, and have discovered that widespread conifer loss is largely attributed to a fungus-like pathogen that infected deciduous trees years before they fell.

"Phytophthora ramorum is the cause of both Sudden Oak Death, a forest disease that has resulted in widespread dieback of several tree species in California and Oregon forests, and Ramorum blight, which affects the leaves and twigs of numerous other plants in forests and nurseries," according to the suddenoakdeath.org website.

The source of the disease is not known but is believed to be spread by rain splash. The pathogen is hosted by the bay laurel tree, a plant that does not succumb to the disease. But the bay laurel then infects neighboring oaks and tanoaks through rain droplets running off its leaves. The pathogen pours into the tree and leaves lethal spores that rob the tree of nutrients. Fungi and pests soon follow, as the tree has been weakened, soon dying, in as little as two years. As long as tanoaks spread the pathogen, sudden oak death will follow.

Coastal residents of California are working toward eliminating the problem, seeking signs of disease, collecting samples and sending them to laboratories. But a cure is far from guaranteed.

The number of dead trees in Sierra Nevada and the Lake Tahoe Basin is likely to grow. According to the New York Times, "Neither of the two enormous die-offs seems to be ending anytime soon, and the Big Sur blaze is still burning — with more than 90,000 acres destroyed."

As US Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack put it earlier this summer, "Tree die-offs of this magnitude are unprecedented and increase the risk of catastrophic wildfires that put property and lives at risk. We must fund wildfire suppression like other natural disasters in the country."

 

[angelburst29]

A Strange Thing Happened in the Stratosphere
http://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2016/a-strange-thing-happened-in-the-stratosphere

High above Earth’s tropics, a pattern of winds changed recently in a way that scientists had never seen in more than 60 years of consistent measurements.

This disruption to the wind pattern – called the “quasi-biennial oscillation” – did not have any immediate impact on weather or climate as we experience it on Earth’s surface. But it does raise interesting questions for the NASA scientists who observed it: If a pattern holds for six decades and then suddenly changes, what caused that to happen? Will it happen again? What effects might it have?

“The quasi-biennial oscillation is the stratosphere’s Old Faithful,” said Paul Newman, Chief Scientist for Earth Sciences at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, and lead author on a new paper about the event published online in Geophysical Research Letters. “If Old Faithful stopped for a day, you’d begin to wonder about what was happening under the ground.”

Winds in the tropical stratosphere, an atmospheric layer that extends from about 10 to 30 miles above Earth’s surface, circulate the planet in alternating easterly and westerly directions over roughly a two-year period. Westerly winds develop at the top of the stratosphere, and gradually descend to the bottom, about 10 miles above the surface while at the same time being replaced by a layer of easterly winds above them. In turn, the easterlies descend and are replaced by westerlies.

This pattern repeats every 28 months. In the 1960s scientists coined it the “quasi-biennial oscillation.” The record of these measurements, made by weather balloons released in the tropics at various points around the globe, dates to 1953.

The pattern never changed – until late 2015. As the year came to a close, winds from the west neared the end of their typical descent. The regular pattern held that weaker easterly winds would soon replace them. But then the westerlies appeared to move upwards and block the downward movement of the easterlies. This new pattern held for nearly half a year, and by July 2016 the old regime seemed to resume.

“It’s really interesting when nature throws us a curveball,” Newman said.

The quasi-biennial oscillation has a wide influence on stratospheric conditions. The amount of ozone at the equator changes by 10 percent between the peaks of the easterly and westerly phases, while the oscillation also has an impact on levels of polar ozone depletion.

With this disruption now documented, Newman and colleagues are currently focused on studying both its causes and potential implications. They have two hypotheses for what could have triggered it – the particularly strong El Niño in 2015-16 or the long-term trend of rising global temperatures. Newman said the scientists are conducting further research now to figure out if the event was a “black swan,” a once-in-a-generation event, or a “canary in the coal mine,” a shift with unforeseen circumstances, caused by climate change.

The EOS article on the strange pattern:
https://eos.org/research-spotlights/mysterious-anomaly-interrupts-stratospheric-wind-pattern

The paper is available at:
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL070373/abstract

 

[Yupo]

I'm watching kind of a B movie on youtube called ICE 2020. Starts out with global warming, population migrations, corrupt police state, totalitarianism, corporate greed and finally an ice age that comes from oil drilling into a thermal vent, melting the polar ice. Not a great movie, but it does tick a lot of the boxes.

http://<iframe width="560" height="...Yc" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

 

[Ca.]

Sprinkles coat Santa Cruz Mountains as snow falls in the Sierra
http://www.sfgate.com/bayarea/article/Sprinkles-coat-Santa-Cruz-Mountains-as-snow-falls-9219629.php
By Bill Hutchinson Updated 8:35 am, Tuesday, September 13, 2016

National Weather Service in Sacramento posted photos on Twitter of snow coating the ground in the Sierra near Lake Tahoe Tuesday morning.

Drizzle in the Santa Cruz Mountains and a flurry of snow in the Sierra made Tuesday morning look more like winter than the tail end of summer.

Light snow fell at Kirkwood Mountain Resort near Lake Tahoe, where a cold front sent temperatures plummeting into the 30s.

“It’s just a dusting. It looks kind of nice,” said Brian O’Hara, a meteorologist for the National Weather Service in Reno.

Kirkwood Mountain Resort, which is above 7,800 feet, posted photos on Twitter showing the ground and trees coated in white flakes.

Meteorologist at the National Weather Service office in Sacramento also posted photos of a snow-covered area near Lake Tahoe, writing, “If you’re geeking out like us this morning, here’s more snow!”

Closer to the Bay Area, sprinkles were reported in the Santa Cruz Mountains, prompting morning commuters on and around Highway 17 to turn on their windshield wipers.

“If it’s showers, it’s extremely light,” said Bob Benjamin of the National Weather Service in Monterey. “It’s more like heavy drizzle.”

In San Francisco, temperatures are expected to climb no higher than the mid-60s on Tuesday, Benjamin said.

“It’s going to be cooler than normal, cloudy in the morning with sunny breaks during the day,” he said.

Most inland Bay Area cities will see temperatures in the mid to upper 70s, Benjamin said.

“There might not be any 80s in the Bay Area today,” he said.

Not One mention of the snow fall in The High Sierras of South Lake Tahoe.
http://www.ktvn.com/category/90453/todays-forecast

South Lake Tahoe 33°
Look for a stormy and colder Tuesday with scattered showers and thunderstorms and highs only in the 60s for our valleys and 50s for the Tahoe Basin with northerly winds 5-10mph adding a chill to the air. Some areas could see .25" of rain with these storms, along with gusty winds and dangerous lightning, with the best chances in central and eastern Nevada.

A red flag warning is up for much of eastern Nevada with very high fire danger. There a slight chance for a few storms on Wednesday, but dry and sunny weather heads our way for the weekend with highs warming back in the mid to upper 80s.
Meteorologist Jeff Martinez 76° to 45°

http://<iframe width="560" height="...wQ" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

http://<iframe width="560" height="...7Y" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

 

[angelburst29]

An ice floe with a surface area comparable to that of the Greek island of Crete or the Indonesian island of Bali is about to break off from Antarctica. The crack is the Antarctic shelf ice has grown considerably in the last few months. In a worst-case scenario, the sea level may rise by up to ten centimeters.

Antarctica to Shed 'Really Cool and Really Scary' Bali-Sized Iceberg
https://sputniknews.com/environment/20160922/1045585573/antarctica-ice-floe-global-warming.html

A long crack in the Larsen C ice shelf has grown dramatically in recent months, researchers from Project Midas, linked to the British Antarctic Survey, found. According to satellite pictures, the crack has grown by 22 kilometers and is now some 130 kilometers long. A 6,000 square kilometer segment of the Larsen C floe will splinter off." It's so big! It will produce a big crash and large waves. This will hardly be a safe spot for onlookers. But it would be really cool and really scary," Nina Kirchner, a glacier researcher at Stockholm University, which plans to send a robotic submarine under the shelf ice in Greenland and Antarctica, told Swedish national broadcaster SVT.

The rift has also become wider, from about 200 to 350 meters. Now that the Antarctic summer brings more heat, the crack will be filled with melt water that destroys the ice at an increasing speed. Meltwater pools on top of the floe can also do considerable damage. Researchers are unable to predict a concrete date for the breakoff, yet indicate a time bracket of several years.

Global warming has been blamed for the split; many scientists attribute rising temperatures to the anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases. According to researchers, the Antarctic ice melts both from the top due to sun radiation, but also from below by means of warmer ocean water. Calculations showed that the sea water is melting an average of 30 centimeters of ice a year. According to Nina Kirchner, the rise of the ocean water temperature, despite being only a fraction of the air warming, makes the ice unstable and likely to decompose.

Furthermore, a major breakoff may start a chain reaction that may lead that the whole Larsen C ice shelf, which is slightly larger than Denmark, breaking down completely. In 2002, a similar process happened with the adjacent Larsen B, whereas Larsen A disappeared in 1995.

When the edge of the flow is no longer able to hold back the ice mass, the underlying glaciers begin to gush into the sea in a process similar to pulling a plug. If this happens to Larsen C, sea levels may rise by up to ten centimeters. Situated in the northern part of the Weddell Sea, Larsen C is the fourth largest ice shelf in Antarctica and is estimated to be 20,000 years old. The Ross and Ronne-Filchner ice shelves, Antarctica's largest, are both the size of Sweden. If they disappear and glaciers release more fresh water into the sea, the Earths' entire ocean circulation will be affected.

 

[angelburst29]

The global warming has notoriously lifted a number of formally dormant environmental issues. Researchers sound the alarm that the climate change may unearth a snow-covered former top secret US base in Greenland, leaking toxic pollutants into the environment and raising difficult questions of response for the thorough clean-up.

Greenland's Glaciers Uncover Secret Cold War US Base With Tons of Toxic Waste
https://sputniknews.com/military/20160926/1045702868/usa-denmark-greenland-toxic-waste.html

In the Cold War's heyday, US Army engineers constructed a futuristic secret military base in northwestern Greenland. The so-called Camp Century accommodated up to 200 soldiers in a network of tunnels, containing everything from research facilities to a hospital, a cinema and a church — all powered by a nuclear reactor.

Officially, Camp Century was built to provide the US a laboratory for Arctic research projects, but it was also home to a secret US effort to deploy nuclear missiles. This effort was code-named Project Iceworm and, although never mentioned in the treaty between the US and Denmark, even included a railway under the snow. However, since US scientists found that the Greenland glacier was shifting at a much higher pace than expected, the base was effectively abandoned in 1967, after only three years in action.

Left behind were left copious amounts of polychlorinated biphenyl used in building supplies, tanks of raw sewage and radioactive coolant used in the nuclear reactor that was used in Camp Century. All the toxic waste may soon end up being released into the environment on account of higher temperatures.

"When the waste was deposited there nobody thought it would get out again," William Colgan, an assistant professor in the Lassonde School of Engineering at York University in Canada, told AFP.

The US Army evacuated the nuclear reactor, but left the toxic waste equivalent to the mass of 30 Airbus A320 airplanes buried in Greenland seemingly permanent ice and snow, betting on Mother Nature's own fridge. However, the chemicals may start leaking into the environment by the year 2090, as the temperatures in the Arctic are now rising faster than in the rest of the world and the melting is now longer offset by snowfall, the study led by Colgan found earlier this year.

An in-depth cleansing of the site is both pricey and difficult to execute, which is why the US and Denmark may end up in a bitter dispute over the future of Camp Century's ruins. This nascent dispute has left Greenland, a nation of 55,000, which achieved home rule from Denmark in 1979, in fear.

Greenlandic Foreign Minister Vittus Qujaukitsoq called the study's finds "worrying" and pledged to establish who would be responsible for the clean-up. Previously, the former Greenlandic government requested a report on the environmental Camp Century from Copenhagen, yet did not receive any assessment.

Subsequently, both Danish Foreign Minister Kristian Jensen and the US Department of Defense promised to cooperate in close dialogue to address mutual security concerns. Since establishing which country would be responsible for the cleanup seems a tricky task, the US and Denmark may renew their environmental cooperation in Greenland after having previously cleaned up a site where a US B-52 strategic bomber had crashed in 1968. The bomber carrying four hydrogen bombs fell near the Thule air base, which is located some 240 kilometers from Camp Century.

 

[Shared Joy]

Hi,

This is a good compilation about the times we are facing now and in the near future, with comparative analysis of past and present events :

_https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MHm5bxf8X8I

September 29, 2016
This time on Disclose TV, ADAPT 2030 discusses longer cosmic cycles to arrive at the present time for a grand solar minimum, a time line for the cooling and how governments of the world are preparing for the event and how they are going to try to control the population during the event.

 

[angelburst29]

Hurricane Matthew is showing some unusual patterns?

The unprecedented South Caribbean Hurricane remains on path for a direct hit with Kingston in the next 48 hours in what would be Jamaica’s worst natural disaster in history before menacing the East Coast of the United States.

Matthew May Hit The United States as a Category 5 Hurricane Next Week (Graphs - video)
https://sputniknews.com/us/20161001/1045911698/hurricane-matthew-jamaica-united-states.html

UPDATE: The forecast track has Matthew splitting between Jamaica and Haiti before taking a Northwestern turn into the East Coast of the United States after the tropical system made a full 360 degree circle during a major intensification phase.

As of the latest advisory by the National Hurricane Center at 5PM EDT, Hurricane Matthew has reintensified with winds upgraded to 150 MPH and pressure dropping to 940 millibars (MB) with the eye wobbling altering the forecast path as a result of the intensification phase.

On Wednesday, Hurricane Matthew became the 13th named tropical cyclone for the 2016 Atlantic Hurricane season defying historical norms developing in a high-intensity wind shear environment facing headwinds of 30MPH and forming below the 15 degree north latitude marker – an area traditionally too close to the equator to allow the requisite spin for tropical formation and development.

As of the latest advisory by the National Hurricane Center at 2PM EDT the storm packed maximum winds downgraded to 140MPH, but despite a reduction in the system's wind strength it increased in relative intensity with pressure dropping to 943 millibars (MB). The system is also currently defying the tracking pattern moving southward at 2 MPH according to Hurricane Hunter reconnaissance jets. Despite the non-conducive environment for tropical development, the National Hurricane Center based in Miami, Florida could see that now Hurricane Matthew was an unusually strong tropical wave that appeared to be strengthening and predicted the storm would be a minor hurricane with winds of 80MPH by Friday – but Matthew doubled expectations in all the worst ways intensifying rapidly to 160MPH as of the 11PM EDT advisory on Friday Night. As a meteorological marvel, Matthew is profound becoming the first Category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic Ocean in 9 years – the last being Hurricane Felix in 2007 – with only two Atlantic tropical cyclones having seen intensification levels comparable Matthew is also the lowest latitude category 5 hurricane on record in the Atlantic Ocean lending to the novelty of the powerful system.

While onlookers may think of Hurricane Matthew as a weather wonder, in the next 48 hours it will also be a mass casualty event whether it maintains its current path towards Kingston, Jamaica or shifts slightly to the East to impact an even more vulnerable Haiti before slamming into Eastern Cuba. Historically, a hurricane has never taken a southern path for a direct blow to either Jamaica or Haiti with storms traditionally sliding into the islands from a westward path with the deadly storm surge and wave action blunted by islands, but with Matthew the island nations now face the specter of a potentially catastrophic 30 foot + storm surge along with, by some model estimations, 160 MPH winds at landfall. Factors Impacting Hurricane Matthew’s Strength 24-48 Hours Ahead The Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast system (HWRF), commonly the most accurate in predicting the intensity of the rare cadre of tropical cyclones that have undergone what is known as “rapid intensification” or RI predicts wind strength of 155MPH to 160 MPH upon impact with the islands. Officially, the National Hurricane Center is predicting that Matthew will undergo a substantial weakening over the next 48 hours due to wind shear and system re-organization with forecast wind speeds of 125MPH at the time of impact with Jamaica or Haiti – the latter only if it makes its northward turn more sharply and slightly ahead of schedule – based on a composite of hurricane intensity models.

Unfortunately, there are several factors that are working in favor of Hurricane Matthew that suggests secondary intensification of the system is likely in the next 24-48 hours. As Matthew treks off towards the north it will face more favorable environmental conditions capturing more of the planetary spin enabling the system’s large tail end convection to tighten around the center of circulation while the system is expected to face less dry air and wind shear that can negatively impact the storm. Under ordinary circumstances, the environment Matthew is entering is much more conducive for rapid intensification than its current location.

However, satellite imagery and reconnaissance flights by the US Air Force’s “hurricane hunter” aircraft show that the system is currently weakening with its circulation and eye wall appearing more ragged.

​For the sake of adequate preparation for the worst, it should be cautioned that this may be an illusion as Hurricane Matthew’s pressure has remained relatively constant while winds have fallen consistent with an eyewall redevelopment cycle (ERWC) wherein the winds taper slightly in a major hurricane for a short period of time while the tropical cyclone is reorganizing before quickly popping back up in strength.

In weather geek jargon, predicting the worst is maligned as “wishcasting” while forecasting below strength levels is blasted as “downcasting.” Given that the islands of Jamaica and Haiti had less than the critical 72 hours to prepare for a major, potentially catastrophic, hurricane based on the major error in initial forecast models for intensity – Jamaica and Haiti should both be preparing for a Category 5 event. Where is Hurricane Matthew Going? There are two leading computer models for forecasting the location of a hurricane – America’s GFS model and the European ECMWF model – with the European model vastly outperforming the US model in predicting tropical cyclones in recent years. The European model has struggled thus far in predicting the path of Matthew with its potential “solutions” mixed with 5% rushing into the Gulf of Mexico, deemed to be exceedingly unlikely, about 30% into Jamaica and then into the US Eastern Seaboard, and approximately 65% taking a harder northern turn directly into Haiti and then floating out to sea.

The GFS model, which has more accurately predicted the storm thus far has edged a little towards the east in recent runs, but continues to have Jamaica in its crosshairs with some lower potential for the storm to avoid direct collision with both land masses riding between Jamaica and Haiti – given the storm’s size and that the majority of the storm’s power is typically in the northwest eyewall quadrant this scenario may be worse in terms of loss of life with impacts similar to a direct hit on Haiti.

​The major steering patterns for the hurricane are an upper-level trough, or low pressure system, that directs winds in a counter clockwise direction and a high pressure ridge over the Atlantic Ocean that steers winds in a clockwise direction. These two competing steering currents direct the storm like a boat in a river in the stream between the two.

The big question that remains in terms of steering is whether the Atlantic ridge of high pressure will remain strong steering Hurricane Matthew into Jamaica and then the US Eastern Seaboard or whether it will eventually give way to the low pressure system pushing the storm into Haiti and then out to sea. Historically for this time of year the low pressure trough would win the battle nudging the high-pressure ridge to the East steering the tropical cyclone out to sea, but the ridge has proven stronger than previous forecasts and directional models have underestimated the power of the Atlantic high pressure throughout this hurricane season due possibly to the unprecedentedly hot Atlantic Ocean waters. The best forecast is open-ended – everybody in Jamaica, Haiti, and the US Eastern Seaboard from Florida on up to New York City should watch this tropical system very carefully throughout the weekend.