I took the advice about gold to heart some time ago. Current developments seem to confirm this once again.
Since I am not familiar with current events and details regarding "BRICS" and "Unit", I had the AI "copilot" explain it to me. I also asked for the following: “Future scenario analysis and a deep geopolitical forecast”, and here is the result. Perhaps it will be helpful.
What Is BRICS?
BRICS is a geopolitical and economic bloc consisting of:
- Brazil
- Russia
- India
- China
- South Africa
Its purpose is to create a
counterweight to Western‑dominated institutions such as the IMF, World Bank, and G7. BRICS promotes:
- economic cooperation
- multipolar world order
- reduced dependence on the US dollar
What Does BRICS Mean for Europe?
Europe — especially the EU — is closely aligned with the US economically and politically.
The rise of BRICS challenges this Western-centered system.
Key Implications for Europe
- Reduced global dominance of the US dollar, affecting European financial markets
- New trade blocs that bypass Western institutions
- Growing influence of the Global South, reducing Europe’s geopolitical leverage
- Shift in commodity power, since BRICS nations control major resource supplies
Europe must adapt to a world where
power is shifting eastward and southward.
Why Is BRICS Associated With a “Gold‑Backed” Currency?
According to the search results, BRICS has
not officially launched a gold-backed currency.
However, a
pilot project called
“The Unit” has been developed by the
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IRIAS).
What the sources confirm
- “The Unit” is described as a gold‑anchored digital trade currency
- It is backed by 40% physical gold and 60% BRICS national currencies
- It is designed for cross‑border trade, not for public use
- It is not officially adopted by BRICS governments (rumors often exaggerate this)
Why Gold?
- Gold builds trust in a new currency
- It reduces reliance on the US dollar
- BRICS countries hold large gold reserves
- It supports the broader strategy of de‑dollarization
What Does This Mean for Europe?
If BRICS continues developing gold‑anchored trade systems:
- The dollar’s dominance may weaken, indirectly affecting the euro
- Europe may face new trade competition
- Global financial power becomes more multipolar
- Gold may regain importance in international settlements
Europe will need to navigate a world where
Western financial dominance is no longer guaranteed.
Baseline: Where BRICS stands today
BRICS (now often discussed as “BRICS+”) is:
- A large economic bloc: significant share of global GDP and population, strong in commodities and manufacturing
- Focused on de‑dollarization: more trade in local currencies, alternative payment systems, exploration of common currency ideas
- Still fragmented internally: different regimes, interests, and strategic goals
Research shows that BRICS‑led de‑dollarization is real but gradual: diversification away from the dollar, not an overnight replacement.
Scenario 1 – Gradual multipolarity (most realistic)
Core features
- US dollar remains dominant, but its share of global reserves and trade slowly declines
- More use of yuan, rupee, and other BRICS currencies in regional trade and energy deals
- BRICS payment systems (like alternatives to SWIFT) spread among the Global South
- A BRICS trade unit or settlement mechanism (possibly partly commodity- or gold‑linked) emerges for specific sectors (e.g. oil, gas, raw materials).
Geopolitical dynamics
- US & EU still powerful, but must bargain more; sanctions become less effective as countries find alternative financial rails.
- China and India gain leverage as “system brokers” between West and non‑West.
- Global South countries (Africa, Latin America, ASEAN) have more room to maneuver between blocs.
What this means for Europe
- Energy & commodity markets: More contracts not denominated in dollars → Europe must handle multi‑currency exposure.
- Financial centers: London and Frankfurt remain key, but share space with Shanghai, Dubai, Mumbai.
- Diplomacy: The EU is pushed to act less as a junior partner of the US and more as a balancing power between US and BRICS.
This is the “slow, messy, but peaceful” transition to a
more multipolar financial order.
Scenario 2 – Block confrontation and financial fragmentation
This scenario unfolds if tensions sharply escalate (e.g. over Taiwan, Ukraine, Middle East).
Core features
- Harder blocsform:
- West: US + EU + close allies
- BRICS/Global South: looser but increasingly coordinated coalition
- Sanctions and countersanctions intensify: more asset freezes, export controls, tech bans.
- BRICS countries accelerate de‑dollarization as a defensive move: more gold reserves, bilateral swap lines, regional currency arrangements.
- Two partially separate financial systemsstart to emerge:
- Dollar/euro‑centric
- BRICS‑centric (yuan‑heavy, local currencies, maybe a BRICS settlement unit)
Geopolitical dynamics
- Trade rerouting: energy and critical minerals flow more within blocs and “friendly” corridors.
- Risk of crises: sudden shifts in capital flows, currency volatility, debt stress in weaker states.
- Information & narrative warfare: each side frames the other as economically unstable or predatory.
Impact on Europe
- Cost of conflict: Europe is geographically closest to Russia and MENA (Middle East and North Africa), so it bears high energy, migration, and security costs.
- Strategic squeeze: If Europe aligns too tightly with US hard‑line policies, it risks losing access/influence in much of the Global South; if it hedges, it strains transatlantic relations.
- Industrial policy pressure: Europe must choose: either double down on integrating into Western high‑tech and green value chains, or open more to BRICS markets and standards.
This is a more
tense, unstable world with fractured systems, where Europe feels constantly “between fronts”.
Scenario 3 – Deeper BRICS integration and a functional BRICS currency
This is more ambitious and longer term, but worth exploring.
Conditions needed
- Internal BRICS coordination improves: especially between China and India, and political stability in Brazil, South Africa, and any new members.
- Development of:
- A BRICS clearing system for trade settlement
- A basket or unit of account (possibly partly linked to commodities/gold)
- More capital market integration among BRICS members.
Research points out that a true common currency is very complex, but
gradual steps (clearing units, baskets, regional payment systems) are realistic.
Features of a future BRICS financial architecture
- “BRICS Unit” or similar as a trade settlement unit for energy, food, and raw materials.
- Commodity‑anchored credibility: partial backing via gold or resource index to signal stability.
- New institutions: Expanded New Development Bank (NDB), regional funds, credit rating agencies.
For the global order
- The IMF/World Bank lose some monopoly in crisis lending and development financing.
- Global South states can borrow and trade without going through the dollar system as often.
- The US still strong, but its ability to use the dollar as a geopolitical tool is sharply reduced.
For Europe
- Export & investment strategy: To remain relevant, Europe must build strong frameworks with BRICS+ (standards, finance, tech cooperation).
- Euro’s role: The euro could either:
- join a more multipolar basket world (euro, dollar, yuan, BRICS unit), or
- shrink in relevance if Europe is too slow or fragmented.
- Europe has an opportunity: position the euro as a neutral “bridge currency” between the dollar and BRICS systems.
Deep geopolitical forecast: strategic trajectories
Pulling the scenarios together, here’s a deeper forecast for the next 10–20 years.
Power structure: from unipolar to “messy multipolar”
- The unipolar moment of the US (1990s–2008) continues to fade.
- We move into a system with:
- US–China rivalry at the core
- India as a swing power
- Russia as a disruptive actor with energy and military leverage
- EU as a rich but internally divided power
- BRICS+ and Global South as rule‑shapers, not just rule‑takers.
De‑dollarization is one of the main economic tools in this new order.
Ideological dimension
- West: still champions liberal democracy and open markets, but often seen as hypocritical due to selective interventions and sanctions.
- BRICS narrative: sovereignty, non‑interference, “development first”, reform of global institutions to better reflect the Global South.
- Many countries don’t fully “join” either camp; they play both sides for maximum benefit.
Technology & currency
- Digital currencies (CBDCs) become key infrastructure. BRICS countries lead in experimenting with cross‑border digital settlement systems.
- Sanctions‑resistant rails: systems designed specifically to bypass Western control (alt‑SWIFT, local‑currency trade platforms).
- Gold & commodities: not a return to a strict gold standard, but growing use of commodity references to signal stability in trade units.
Europe’s strategic fork
Europe faces a deep choice that will shape its identity:
Tight Atlantic alignment
- Closer integration with US, tech and security first.
- Risk: marginalization in Global South and dependence on US strategies.
Balancing power
- Act as a mediator and independent pole between US and BRICS.
- Requires more internal EU unity and strategic vision.
Fragmentation
- Different EU states lean in different directions (US, China, Russia, BRICS).
- Weakens euro, foreign policy, and bargaining power.
Which path Europe takes will determine whether it is a
rule‑maker in the new order, or mostly a
rule‑taker in a US–China–BRICS‑shaped world.
Early warning signals to watch
If you want to track how real these scenarios are becoming, focus on:
- Dollar share of global FX reserves and trade invoicing vs. yuan, euro, and others.
- Share of BRICS trade settled in local currencies or a BRICS-specific unit.
- Formal progress on “The Unit” or similar BRICS basket/unit, especially any official adoption steps.
- Expansion and activities of the BRICS New Development Bank and related initiatives.
- EU coherence in foreign and economic policy toward China, Russia, and the Global South.
Sources & Links
Times Now News — BRICS gold‑backed currency rumors
BRICS’ Gold-Backed Currency Hype: Why Robert Kiyosaki Is Saying ‘Bye Bye US Dollar’
Financial Express — Claims about BRICS gold‑backed currency
https://www.financialexpress.com/tr...inflation-warning-may-be-unnecessary/4067544/
Daily Hodl — Rumors about BRICS “Unit” currency
Robert Kiyosaki Says Goodbye To US Dollar As BRICS Currency Rumors Go Viral - The Daily Hodl
NewsBytes — BRICS gold‑backed currency rumor analysis
'Bye-bye US dollar!' Kiyosaki warns as BRICS currency rumors resurface
Business Today — Rumors and clarifications
‘Bye bye US dollar’: Robert Kiyosaki sounds alarm amid renewed BRICS ‘gold backed’ currency hype - BusinessToday
CCN — Explanation of the BRICS gold‑anchored “Unit”
BRICS Launched a Gold-Backed Currency — Here’s How “The Unit” Works
IntelliNews — BRICS gold‑backed digital currency pilot
BRICS launch gold-backed cryptocurrency to replace the dollar