What's going on in Africa...

From Russian sources.

It's becoming more obvious that something is brewing in Niger, likely sprouting from the conflict in Ukraine... After Macron's behaviour regarding weapons' support, the Niger's coup is clearly a retaliation aimed at France and its allies.
Many agendas are meeting here IMHO, all this folowing Russia/Africa summit last week in St Petersburg.

From Reuters (video in the article):

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West Africa threatens force on Niger coup leaders, French embassy attacked​

By Boureima Balima and Felix Onuah
July 31, 20231:19 AM GMT+2Updated 4 hours ago

NIAMEY/ABUJA, July 30 (Reuters) - West African nations imposed sanctions and threatened force on Sunday if Niger's coup leaders fail to reinstate ousted President Mohammed Bazoum within a week, while supporters of the junta attacked the French embassy in Niamey.

The 15-nation ECOWAS bloc's response to the Sahel region's seventh coup of recent years came as crowds in Niger's capital Niamey burned French flags and stoned the former colonial power's mission, drawing tear gas from police.
Images showed fires at the embassy walls and people being loaded into ambulances with bloodied legs.

At an emergency summit in Nigeria to discuss last week's coup, leaders of the Economic Community of West African States called for constitutional order to be restored, warning of reprisals if not. "Such measures may include the use of force," their communique said, adding that defence officials would meet immediately to that effect.

Chad's President Mahamat Idriss Deby, who came to power in 2021 after a coup, met his Nigerian counterpart Bola Tinubu on the sidelines of the summit and volunteered to speak to the military leaders in Niger, two presidential aides told Reuters, asking not to be identified. Niger's state TV showed Deby arriving and meeting them.

ECOWAS and the eight-member West African Economic and Monetary Union said that with immediate effect borders with Niger would be closed, commercial flights banned, financial transactions halted, national assets frozen and aid ended. Military officials involved in the coup would be banned from travelling and have their assets frozen, it added.

Niger's prime minister under Bazoum's government, Ouhoumoudou Mahamadou, said ECOWAS sanctions would be disastrous because the country relies heavily on international partners to cover its budgetary needs.

"I know the fragility of Niger, I know the economic and financial context of Niger having been the finance minister and now prime minister," Mahamadou, who was abroad when the coup occurred, told France24 television from Paris. "This is a country that will not be able to resist these kinds of sanctions. It will be catastrophic."

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken welcomed ECOWAS's action on Sunday.

"We join ECOWAS and regional leaders in calling for the immediate release of President Mohamed Bazoum and his family and the restoration of all state functions to the legitimate, democratically-elected government," said Blinken in a statement.

CAN SANCTIONS WORK?​

Similar sanctions were imposed by ECOWAS on Mali, Burkina Faso and Guinea following coups in those countries in the past three years. Although the financial sanctions led to defaults on debt - in Mali in particular - such measures have tended to hurt civilians more than the military leaders who seized power in some of the world's poorest countries, political analysts say. Timelines to restore civilian rule have been agreed in all three countries, but there has been little progress implementing them.


The military coup in Niger, which began unfolding on Wednesday, has been widely condemned by neighbours and international partners including the United States, the United Nations, the African Union, the European Union and former colonial power France. They have all refused to recognise the new leaders led by General Abdourahamane Tiani.

Niger has been a key ally in Western campaigns against insurgents linked to al Qaeda and Islamic State in the Sahel, and there are concerns that the coup could open the door to greater Russian influence there. Thousands of French troops were forced to withdraw from neighbouring Mali and Burkina Faso following coups there.

Niger is one of the poorest countries in the world,
receiving close to $2 billion a year in official development assistance, according to the World Bank.

The United States, France, Italy and Germany have troops there on military training and missions to fight Islamist insurgents. Niger is also the world's seventh-biggest producer of uranium, the radioactive metal widely used for nuclear energy and in nuclear weapons, as well as for treating cancer.

Ahead of the summit, Niger's junta had warned that ECOWAS was considering an imminent military intervention in collaboration with other African and some Western nations. "We want to once more remind ECOWAS or any other adventurer, of our firm determination to defend our homeland," junta spokesperson Colonel Amadou Abdramane said.

'COUP ERA MUST STOP'​

At their invitation, thousands of people rallied in the capital on Sunday, some heading to France's embassy. "We are here to express our discontent against France's interference in Niger's affairs. Niger is an independent and sovereign country, so France's decisions have no influence on us," said protester Sani Idrissa.

Similar to events in neighbouring Burkina Faso in September last year following a coup, some protesters tried to climb the embassy walls, while others stomped on burning French flags.

They were dispersed by Niger national guard.

France condemned the violence and said anyone attacking its nationals or interests would face a swift and stern response. "The era of coups d'etat in Africa must stop. They are not acceptable," French foreign minister Catherine Colonna Catherine Colonna told RTL radio, adding that the situation had calmed by the afternoon and no evacuation of French citizens was planned.

The European Union and France have cut off financial support to Niger and the United States has threatened to do the same.

Sunday's ECOWAS communique thanked nations in line with the bloc's stance but "condemned the pronouncement of support by foreign governments and foreign private military contractors."

Russia's Wagner mercenary boss Yevgeny Prigozhin, who remains active despite leading a failed mutiny against the Russian army's top brass last month, has hailed the coup as good news and offered his fighters' services to bring order. "

Here's an article (published may 24 2022 after the SMO begin) giving some context to the above :

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Kopore Metals acquires Agadez uranium project in Niger​


The Agadez Project includes one exploration licence application and three granted exploration permits in the Tim Mersoi Basin.

Kopore Metals has acquired a 100% stake in the Agadez uranium project in the highly prospective Tim Mersoi Basin, Niger, from Endeavour Finance.
The Agadez Project includes three granted exploration permits and one exploration licence application in the Tim Mersoi Basin, which is claimed to be one of the world’s major uranium-producing areas.
According to the binding share sale agreement, Kopore Metals has issued 120 million of its shares, 80 million performance shares, and 50 million performance options to Endeavour Financial.

The performance shares and options will be subject to Kopore declaring a mineral resource estimate of at least 16Mlb of U₃O₈ on any one of the permits.
Kopore managing director Caroline Keats said: “The coming period is a very exciting time for the company, with an update of the Takardeit Mineral Resource in compliance with JORC 2012 Guidelines underway and drilling and soil sampling to commence immediately.
“We also have further exploration planned, which is expected to include geological and structural mapping, an airborne EM survey (VTEM) and an extensive mud rotary drilling programme.
“We look forward to advancing Agadez with the aim of capitalising on the increasing demand for nuclear fuels, as the world continues to shift towards a decarbonised energy system.”
Kopore is planning to start drilling and soil sampling with a comprehensive drilling and exploration programme.

This will be followed by an exploration programme, which will include geological and structural mapping, an airborne EM survey, diamond hole drilling, and a mud rotary drilling programme."
 

With immediate effect, the Republic of Niger under the leadership of General Abdourahamane Tchiani, and supported by the people of the Republic, announced the suspension of the export of uranium and gold to France on Sunday.

In parallel to the decision, protestors were surrounding the French Embassy in Niger calling for the end of French colonial practices repeating the slogan “Down with France!” and reaffirming their support to the coup leader, Tchiani.

Simultaneously the Nigerien coup leader has faced condemnations and threats from African governments that maintain ties with the European linked institutions such as the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and the EU as well as the African Union. In that regard, Tchiani said, "We want to once more remind ECOWAS or any other adventurer of our firm determination to defend our homeland.”

It is also worth noting that Niger, according to the World Nuclear Association (WNA), is the world's seventh-biggest producer of uranium. The WNA also confirms that Niger, in 2022, produced 2020 tU which would be considered just over 4% of world uranium output.


Currently, uranium production in Niger occurs mostly through a French majority-owned company called Orano which owns 63.4% of Société des Mines de l’Aïr (SOMAÏR). The remaining 36.66% of this is owned by Niger's Société du Patrimoine des Mines du Niger, known as Sopamin.

In 2021, the European Union utilities purchased 2905 tU of Niger-produced uranium making Niger the leading uranium supplier vis-a-vis the EU.

Earlier, on July 28, Orano released a statement arguing that "the situation remains unstable" in Niger following the overthrowing of French ally and President of Niger Muhammed Bazoum. The company then added that it has "set up a crisis unit to prioritize the safety of its employees" and underscored that "this event to have any immediate impact on its activities in Niger or on the value of its assets."
 
I know Africa very well and love it. it's an incredible country and objectively fuck*ng complicated. Best not to believe, narratives of any kind. Right now, as in the past, as in the future, there are at least a hundred different factions, also fed in money and weapons from anywhere in the first world, kicking each other's asses. Take the Ukraine and multiply it by a hundred. Pan-Africanist sovereignism seems to be rising, along with Marxist-inspired subaltern studies and practical military as the new fuck*ng cool male tele-genial sexy scarface leader of the TRANSITION in burkina faso. Whatever sh*t the first world does through its African puppets will also have direct consequences in the host countries of the diaspora and proxy refugees. France in primis. There are fantastic entanglements behind it.
 
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'Seems that establishing US "democracy" in Niger is inevitable.'

3 Aug, 2023

4 Aug, 2023

(Translated by Google)

Niger rebel leader refuses to meet with ECOWAS delegation

2023-08-04

2 hours ago
 
'"Intervention for "democracy": ECOWAS is preparing to secretly strike Niger with US assistance.'

4 Aug, 2023
[...]
Musah added that the final decision will be made at the political level, but that ECOWAS will not telegraph when and where it will strike.

5 Aug, 2023
 
The plot twists. At stake for Niger is a way out from under the overwhelming influence of France, i.e., in fact, its freedom.
The units of the Wagner PMCs arrived in Niger
After the military coup that took place on July 26 in Niger, the country continues to exert influence both on the African continent and indirectly on the whole world. Niger, which is the largest producer of uranium in the world and an important ally for Western countries, stopped military cooperation with France after the coup. According to the Turkish publication Haberler, as a result of this development, a new contract was signed with the private military company Wagner, and the PMCs units have already arrived in this country.

It is known that the head of the Wagner PMCs, Yevgeny Prigozhin, met with representatives of Niger immediately after the coup in the country, which may be evidence that the Wagner PMCs may indeed be in Niger

The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) demanded the release of President Bazuma, who came to power in a coup, and threatened to carry out military intervention if the demand was not met within a week.
Подразделения ЧВК "Вагнер" прибыли в Нигер

ECOWAS announces readiness to attack Niger
Serious events in Niger after the coup continue to attract international attention. The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) has announced a possible intervention to return the legitimately elected President to office.

After the coup, when elements of the Presidential Guard seized power in Niger, the situation in the region was under threat of instability. ECOWAS has confirmed the development of a plan for military intervention in the country to return the legitimate President Mohammed Bazum to his post.

However, ECO VAS noted that the details of a possible intervention will remain secret until the moment of implementation. The defense ministers of West African countries decided not to disclose information about the exact time and place of a possible strike against the new government in Niger. The decision on the military operation will be made by the leaders of the ECOWAS States.

It should be noted that the ultimatum presented to Niger expires today.
ЭКОВАС объявило о готовности атаковать Нигер

Сюжет закручивается. На кону для Нигера выход из под подавляющего влияния Франции, т.е. фактически его свобода.
 
I think France loses control of the whole region if they attack Niger.

I think Nigeria introduces chaos into its borders if it allows itself to be used i.e. similar to how Ukraine is allowing itself to be used.

I basically think the strategy here will be to introduce chaos within the new ruling regime and show them to be corruptible. I don't think there are any good short term solutions for France. It has to be patient and use its network inside Niger.

My 2 cents.
 
I think Nigeria introduces chaos into its borders if it allows itself to be used i.e. similar to how Ukraine is allowing itself to be used.
This applies not only to Nigeria.
I understand that the French, following the example of the Americans in Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, and Syria, are trying to portray an "international coalition" from controlled countries. I.e., the same Western double standards or, as it is fashionable to say now, a world based on rules (which they themselves invent and change at will). Despite the fact that in some countries the French themselves changed power with the help of the army (Ivory Coast), now they are strictly supporters of the constitution.
4 countries have threatened to invade Niger. Has the West assembled a coalition?

And so, the new military Government of the Republic of Niger actually rejected the ECOWAS ultimatum, which expires on August 6. ECOWAS, as is known, threatened to use force. And now 4 African countries are openly threatening to invade the republic, which has risen up against French influence.

1. Nigeria. It is this country that makes the harshest statements to the new Government in Niamey. Its command and officials (including the head of the ruling party) directly threaten intervention.

They have already moved from words to actions - they have cut off the electricity supply to the Republic of Niger. It imported almost seventy percent of its electricity from Nigeria.

The number of the Nigerian army is more than 160 thousand people. This is one of the strongest armed forces in Africa. They have extensive combat experience - against Biafran separatists, criminal groups, radical Islamist groups, participated in conflicts in Cameroon and Sierra Leone. The weaknesses of the Nigerian army are frequent cases of desertion from its ranks and ethnic differences (conflicts between soldiers from southern and northern Nigeria often occur).

There is a fairly large (by African standards) number of artillery and armored vehicles in service, including T-72 tanks, infantry fighting vehicles BMP-2, MLRS of Soviet and Czechoslovak production. As well as dozens of helicopters (including 15 Mi-24 attack aircraft), fighters and attack aircraft of Chinese, French and Italian production.

2. Senegal. The fact that Senegal is ready to send troops to participate in the intervention became known today. However, now there are mass protests against the country's leadership, in the suppression of which not only the police, but also the army and gendarmerie are involved. Therefore, it makes no sense to consider Senegal in detail. Against the background of internal problems, he will be able to send only a small number of soldiers to participate in the intervention.

3. Benin. The Beninese authorities announced their readiness to invade Niger under the auspices of ECOWAS today. The army there is very small - about 4 thousand people. There are few vehicles, mostly old French armored cars. Most likely, their statement is a symbolic gesture of loyalty to ECOWAS and France.

If Benin is able to send something, it is most likely a parachute battalion, which is an elite unit of the Benin army.

4. Ivory Coast. Pro-French President Ouattaru is in power (his predecessor Gbagbo was overthrown, including by French troops). Therefore, it is not surprising that this country has expressed its readiness to participate in the intervention.

There are more than 20 thousand people in the Ivorian army. There are armored vehicles of Soviet, French, South African and Turkish production. However, riots often occur in the army of this country due to non-payment of monetary allowances and poor conditions of service.

The combined forces of these four ECOWAS countries greatly exceed the military potential of the Republic of Niger. However, Mali and Burkina Faso have already declared their readiness to help Niamey in the event of an intervention.

What is the plan of the West and ECOWAS?

The Republic of Niger has virtually no air defense forces. Therefore, if the intervention begins, the Nigerian Air Force will try to land ECOWAS troops in Niamey. The French are based at the local airport, which is most likely to provide them with a landing. Further, ECOWAS forces may try to seize key Niamey state institutions, including the presidential palace. Or to put forward to the military government of the Republic of Niger a repeated ultimatum of surrender.

At the same time, the Nigerian army may launch an offensive on Niamey across the border of the two countries. Niamey is located at a distance of just over 60 kilometers from the border of Nigeria.

Meanwhile, the United States and Western European countries are taking their diplomats and citizens out of Niamey. Biden publicly demands to restore the deposed pro-Western president Bazum to power. Obviously, the situation is heating up.

It remains to be hoped that in the event of intervention, the Republic of Niger and its allies will be able to repel a Western attack. It would be great if the French colonialists and their satellites suffered a complete defeat.
https://dzen.ru/a/ZMvYJ5JqqXzauDnw

Это касается не только Нигерии.
Я так понимаю, что французы по примеру американцев в Югославии, Афганистане, Сирии пытаются изобразить "международную коалицию" из подконтрольных стран. Т.е. на лицо опять все те же западные двойные стандарты или как сейчас модно говорить- мир, основанный на правилах (которые они сами выдумывают и меняют по своему желанию). Несмотря на то, что в некоторых странах французы сами меняли власть с помощью армии (Кот-д'ивуар), теперь они строго поборники конституции.
 
This applies not only to Nigeria.
I understand that the French, following the example of the Americans in Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, and Syria, are trying to portray an "international coalition" from controlled countries. I.e., the same Western double standards or, as it is fashionable to say now, a world based on rules (which they themselves invent and change at will). Despite the fact that in some countries the French themselves changed power with the help of the army (Ivory Coast), now they are strictly supporters of the constitution.

https://dzen.ru/a/ZMvYJ5JqqXzauDnw

Это касается не только Нигерии.
Я так понимаю, что французы по примеру американцев в Югославии, Афганистане, Сирии пытаются изобразить "международную коалицию" из подконтрольных стран. Т.е. на лицо опять все те же западные двойные стандарты или как сейчас модно говорить- мир, основанный на правилах (которые они сами выдумывают и меняют по своему желанию). Несмотря на то, что в некоторых странах французы сами меняли власть с помощью армии (Кот-д'ивуар), теперь они строго поборники конституции.
Dont forget Algeria, who said that if Ecowas intervene they will intervene with Mali and Burkina Faso. And Algeria is stronger than all Ecowas armies combined. (One of the rare real armies on african soil) Count in Wagner and russian technical help and we are to witness another West's debacle through their proxies.
 
Dont forget Algeria, who said that if Ecowas intervene they will intervene with Mali and Burkina Faso. And Algeria is stronger than all Ecowas armies combined. (One of the rare real armies on african soil) Count in Wagner and russian technical help and we are to witness another West's debacle through their proxies.

I had no clue just how great the equipment, if not manpower, too, advantage of Algeria over Nigeria was until you drew my attention to this, Nenad.

With both (potentially) warring sides lead equally competently, Nigeria would be lucky not to be entirely on the back foot and struggling to defend its own important Northern cities from Algeria just months into the (potential) war.
 
In the following video (mainly about Ukraine):


There's also some updates about Niger:

- Nigeria's senate rejected " the army's military intervention in Niger under ECOWAS mandate" on Aug 6.

- Wagner's personel arrived in Niger to start preparing infrastructure for deployment in this country by the 10th of august.

- There was a call between Algerian and EU autorities.
From an algerian news'site (Source in french),
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Josep Borrell informs Ahmed Attaf "of EU measures against the perpetrators of the coup in Niger"
August 5, 2023

The Minister of Foreign Affairs and the National Community Abroad, Ahmed Attaf, received a telephone call on Saturday from the European Union's High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Josep Borrell, during which they discussed developments in the situation in Niger, said a statement from the Ministry.

The telephone conversation focused on "worrying developments in the Republic of Niger", said the same source, which added that the two parties exchanged views and analyses on the latest developments in this brotherly neighboring country and the dangers they entail for this country and for the Sahel region in general.

In this context, Josep Borrell informed Attaf "of the measures decided by the EU against the perpetrators of the coup d'état in Niger", says the press release.

The two parties also stressed "the need to work together to exert political and diplomatic pressure to ensure a return to constitutional order in the Republic of Niger, through the reinstatement of Mohamed Bazoum as the country's legitimately elected President", reads the communiqué.

For his part, Ahmed Attaf reaffirmed "Algeria's conviction of the need to prioritize the political and diplomatic process, in view of the repercussions of the option of resorting to force on the situation, which risks worsening further at local and regional level", the statement concluded.
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My wife deducted in the telegram the amounts that France receives from 14 African countries as a colonial tax. In total, about 500 billion a year. Amazing! They are also good candidates for the title of "hail on the hill". Getting such resources for free, you can safely talk about human rights, promote LGBT people and do other nonsense. I hope that now we are witnessing the gradual collapse of this vile predatory system.
Niger unexpectedly delivered an ultimatum to France
France must leave Niger within a month: Denunciation of the 1977 cooperation Agreement.

In light of recent political developments, Niger has demanded that France completely withdraw its military forces from the country within the next 30 days. This decision is based on the termination of the agreement on Cooperation in the field of security and defense concluded between the two countries in 1977.

At the moment, about 1,500 French troops are stationed on the territory of Niger. This contingent was deployed as part of a joint effort to combat extremism and terrorism in the West African region. However, relations between Paris and Niamey have recently become increasingly tense due to the military coup that took place in that country.

France has not yet provided an official response to this demand. However, it is more than likely that the situation in the region will develop according to a military scenario, in particular. We are talking about the intentions to send large troops to Niger from both France and the ECOWAS countries.
Нигер неожиданно поставил ультиматум Франции

PMCs "Wagner" began deployment on the territory of Niger
According to recent reports from various sources, the private military company Wagner has begun deploying its fighters in Niamey, the capital of Niger. For the first time, information about this appeared on the web, causing an active discussion and reaction from the public.

At the moment, it is said about the deployment of a limited contingent, whose main mission will be the protection of the capital. The reasons for this decision remain a matter of conjecture, however, it is obvious that this was done against the background of threats by ECOWAS to launch an intervention in Niger to overthrow the new government of the country.

Meanwhile, the political situation in the region remains tense. According to a number of data, troops of a number of countries are already located near the Niger border, however, the decision on a military operation has not yet been made.

Many experts believe that the appearance of the Wagner Group in Niger can play a key role in stabilizing the situation in the region. However, there are also those who have expressed concerns about increased external interference in the country's affairs.
ЧВК "Вагнер" начала развёртывание на территории Нигера

Моя жена вычитала в телеграмме суммы, которые получает Франция с 14 стран Африки в качестве колониального налога. В общей сложности около 500 млрд в год. Потрясающе! Тоже хорошие кандидаты на звание "града на холме". Получая такие ресурсы на халяву можно смело говорить о правах человека, продвигать ЛГБТ и заниматься прочей чепухой. Я надеюсь, что сейчас мы наблюдаем постепенное крушение этой мерзкой грабительской системы.
 
I will give some more data about French affairs.
Over the past half century, 67 military coups have taken place by the hands of France in 26 African countries. In 16 countries, French influence remains mainly through the financial system. France takes up to 85% of the budgets of African countries to its central bank under various pretexts (these amounts are not included in 500 billion) and then these countries can receive a maximum of 20% of what is transferred to France, and if they need more, then in the form of loans from the French central bank. The nominal GDP of the African countries controlled by France is 196 billion, and the GDP at purchasing power parity is more than 400 billion! In short, the French rob Africans simply mercilessly and in every possible way and, although they do not reach the world hegemon in this activity, there is definitely a bigger scale there, but in principle they do not differ from them in any way.

Приведу еще немного данных про французские делишки. За последние полвека руками Франции произошло 67 военных переворотов в 26 странах Африки. В 16 странах сохраняется французское влияние в основном через финансовую систему. Франция забирает в свой центробанк под разными предлогами до 85% бюджетов африканских стран (эти суммы не входят в 500 млрд) и далее эти страны могут получить максимум 20% от переведенного во францию, а если им нужно больше, то в виде кредитов от французкого центробанка. Номинальный ВВП подконтрольных Франции африканских стран составляет 196 млрд, а ВВП по паритету покупательной способности более 400 млрд! Короче французы ошкуривают африканцев просто беспощадно и хоть и не дотягиваются в этой деятельности до мирового гегемона, там масштаб однозначно побольше, однако в принципе ничем от них не отличаются.
 
David DuByne’s summing-up of the Africa situation.

Not only does Africa provide a wealth of the natural resources that we presently use, but it “could be” a huge new bread basket for the world. The western militaries and central banking system has kept Africa in poverty and disease for hundreds of years, but cannot “handle them” if they all throw off the shackles at once. He suspects more countries to up-rise quickly. And this, because of the assistance of Russian and China. IMO worth the watch. I needed the maps of pipelines, terminals, sea ports, and which country borders which etc. that he used, for perspective, as I get lost if you only use the names of the countries.

 
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