The global geopolitical situation

[Ellipse]

I really found helpful to understand the current global geopolitical situation an article which express this key point:

Shadow Diplomacy as the New Geopolitics​

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Witkoff’s shuttle diplomacy represents a structural shift: diplomacy is no longer the domain of foreign ministries but of political families, corporate intermediaries, and resource-based alliances.​

The article continue:

This is why Kushner’s presence in Moscow matters profoundly. The December talks were not simply high-level negotiations; they were the emergence of a new system of geopolitical conduct, in which trust between individual power networks outweighs institutional protocols.​

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The Trump–Putin paradigm is built on three principles: (i) commercial logic over ideological confrontation; (ii) resource extraction as the foundation of geopolitical stability; and (iii) bilateral trust over multilateral institutions.​

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[...]​

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The Economic Heart of the New Architecture​

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The emerging Washington–Moscow understanding is grounded in four economic pillars:​

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– Arctic and Northern Sea Route Resource Extraction: Joint participation in Arctic minerals, hydrocarbons, and rare earths is central. The US is far behind Russia in icebreaker capacity and Arctic infrastructure, and cooperation is a pragmatic solution.​

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– Energy Corridors and Post-War Reconstruction: American investors eye Russian energy as an undervalued frontier market. Simultaneously, reconstruction of Ukraine (potentially funded by frozen Russian assets) creates massive opportunities for US construction and energy firms.​

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– Reintegrating Russian hydrocarbons into global markets: This is a long-term American objective, both to stabilise global energy prices and to manage China’s growing leverage over Russia.​

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– Replacing NATO’s military logic with economic interdependence: This is the core of Trump’s thinking: build a Washington–Moscow axis rooted in profitability, thereby reducing the incentive for armed confrontation.​

The rest of the article talk about Europe desperation, the main point being:

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The Moscow meetings are not a negotiation between equals; it is a negotiation between systems of power. Trump and Putin understand one another because they speak the language of transactional geopolitics. Europe speaks the language of norms, laws, and bureaucratic procedures—in a world that is no longer governed by them.​

So the article focussed on US/Russia/Europe and does not talk about China/Israel/India and is certainly not fully neutral. But the angle of view through the Trump/Poutine deep personal relation, at least for commercial reasons, bypassing traditional channels and overseeing the whole theatre seems to be a good piece of the puzzle. Now, will they be stopped? It's another thing.

The full article:

The Beginning of the End for Europe’s Old Security Order: Towards a Geoeconomic Architecture Emerging from the Washington–Moscow Dynamic

Europe’s long-standing security framework is undergoing profound strain, increasingly overshadowed by economic instruments that shape geopolitical

journal-neo.su

 

[KJS]

Kushner, as well as Larry Fink, being present during the Ukraine negotiations reminded me of this series of articles by Iain Davis:

City-States Without Limits – Part 1

A powerful group of Silicon Valley oligarchs are using the Trump administration to push for the construction of privatized city-states in the US. Their interests are aligned with a global network of oligarchs who want to move away from the global governance of nation-states to the global...

unlimitedhangout.com

City-States Without Limits – Part 2

In Part 1, we discussed the NRx technocrats’ ideas and how they have influenced the city-state model that seeks to capitalise on the global proliferation of Special Economic Zones (SEZs). We examined the role of functional oligarchies in this endeavor. In Part 2, we look at how that city-state...

unlimitedhangout.com

The push to dissolve the EU project by US technocrats fits well with the agenda:

 

[Ellipse]

I think this analyst have a point:

In plain terms, what Mr. Trump aims to do is create what could be called an American fortress—a kind of geographical zone where the United States would be in complete control. That is, the rest of the world wouldn't matter to them, but what happens in North and South America would be under their exclusive authority.

The desire to rename it the "Gulf of America," to reclaim the Panama Canal, and to claim Greenland—all because it's geographically close—illustrates this ambition. In essence, it's about establishing a kind of geographical zone where the United States would be the undisputed master.

Charles Gave

 

[ziutek]

I think this analyst have a point:

Will a new Atlantis be created?

 

[Ellipse]

Will a new Atlantis be created?

Perhaps if the density change enough in this part of the world.