The global geopolitical situation

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The Living Force
FOTCM Member
I really found helpful to understand the current global geopolitical situation an article which express this key point:

Shadow Diplomacy as the New Geopolitics
Witkoff’s shuttle diplomacy represents a structural shift: diplomacy is no longer the domain of foreign ministries but of political families, corporate intermediaries, and resource-based alliances.

The article continue:

This is why Kushner’s presence in Moscow matters profoundly. The December talks were not simply high-level negotiations; they were the emergence of a new system of geopolitical conduct, in which trust between individual power networks outweighs institutional protocols.
The Trump–Putin paradigm is built on three principles: (i) commercial logic over ideological confrontation; (ii) resource extraction as the foundation of geopolitical stability; and (iii) bilateral trust over multilateral institutions.​
[...]​
The Economic Heart of the New Architecture
The emerging Washington–Moscow understanding is grounded in four economic pillars:​
– Arctic and Northern Sea Route Resource Extraction: Joint participation in Arctic minerals, hydrocarbons, and rare earths is central. The US is far behind Russia in icebreaker capacity and Arctic infrastructure, and cooperation is a pragmatic solution.​
– Energy Corridors and Post-War Reconstruction: American investors eye Russian energy as an undervalued frontier market. Simultaneously, reconstruction of Ukraine (potentially funded by frozen Russian assets) creates massive opportunities for US construction and energy firms.​
– Reintegrating Russian hydrocarbons into global markets: This is a long-term American objective, both to stabilise global energy prices and to manage China’s growing leverage over Russia.​
– Replacing NATO’s military logic with economic interdependence: This is the core of Trump’s thinking: build a Washington–Moscow axis rooted in profitability, thereby reducing the incentive for armed confrontation.​

The rest of the article talk about Europe desperation, the main point being:
The Moscow meetings are not a negotiation between equals; it is a negotiation between systems of power. Trump and Putin understand one another because they speak the language of transactional geopolitics. Europe speaks the language of norms, laws, and bureaucratic procedures—in a world that is no longer governed by them.

So the article focussed on US/Russia/Europe and does not talk about China/Israel/India and is certainly not fully neutral. But the angle of view through the Trump/Poutine deep personal relation, at least for commercial reasons, bypassing traditional channels and overseeing the whole theatre seems to be a good piece of the puzzle. Now, will they be stopped? It's another thing.

The full article:
 
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Kushner, as well as Larry Fink, being present during the Ukraine negotiations reminded me of this series of articles by Iain Davis:

The push to dissolve the EU project by US technocrats fits well with the agenda:
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