Brace Yourselves For War Between Iran and Israel

I spoke with an Iranian at work, who works in my team. This is his view not mine - Approx. 10K people have died from a source he knows back in Iran. I think he mentioned the source works in the hospital etc where they have a count of the dead bodies. 12 of his friends have died during the protests. He and a few others are very active on X, writing to US senators for help. He is also calling it a genocide by the Iranian government. I didn't counteract him or ask any leading questions as don't want to risk stepping on sore toes.

I just did a search for when the protests started and the answer I got was Dec 28th. That’s three weeks ago.

10,000 people in three weeks sounds a bit much to me.
 
I spoke with an Iranian at work, who works in my team. This is his view not mine - Approx. 10K people have died from a source he knows back in Iran. I think he mentioned the source works in the hospital etc where they have a count of the dead bodies. 12 of his friends have died during the protests. He and a few others are very active on X, writing to US senators for help. He is also calling it a genocide by the Iranian government. I didn't counteract him or ask any leading questions as don't want to risk stepping on sore toes.
An alleged Iranian official (anonymous, so take this with a grain of salt) reportedly told Reuters that authorities had confirmed 4,500 deaths (+500 security agents).

The numbers still seem high to me, but if we take the deaths of the 500 agents as true, we could assume that the atmosphere was very violent. There is another even more important detail, which is that the main outbreaks of violence are said to have occurred in the Kurdish regions (curiously, the atmosphere is also heated with the Kurds in Syria). If this is the case, the figure of 4,500 deaths could be plausible, or at least the death toll could be quite high without necessarily reaching this figure.

Iranian official says verified deaths in Iran protests reaches at least 5,000
Jan 18 (Reuters) - An Iranian official in the region said on Sunday the authorities had verified at least 5,000 people had been killed in protests in Iran, including about 500 security personnel, blaming "terrorists and armed rioters" for killing "innocent Iranians".
The official, who declined to be named due to the sensitivity of the issue, also told Reuters some of the heaviest clashes and highest number of deaths were in the Iranian Kurdish areas in northwest Iran, a region where Kurdish separatists have been active and where flare-ups have been among the most violent in past periods of unrest.
"The final toll is not expected to increase sharply," the official said, adding that "Israel and armed groups abroad" had supported and equipped those taking to the streets.
The Iranian authorities regularly blame unrest on foreign enemies, including Israel, an arch foe of the Islamic Republic which launched military strikes on Iran in June.
The U.S.-based HRANA rights group said on Saturday the death toll had reached 3,308, with another 4,382 cases under review. The group said it had confirmed more than 24,000 arrests.
The Iranian Kurdish rights group Hengaw, based in Norway, has said that among regions where there were heavy security measures during protests in late December were Kurdish areas in the northwest.
(This Jan 18 story has been corrected to say 'clashes' to 'security measures' in paragraph 6)
Reporting by Reuters; Editing by Edmund Blair and Louise Heavens.
 
I just did a search for when the protests started and the answer I got was Dec 28th. That’s three weeks ago.

10,000 people in three weeks sounds a bit much to me.

Yeah, it sounds like a lot. There's a rumour going around that a cache of 60,000 weapons was confiscated by Iranian authorities. Could be BS justification, but if true, one could easily imagine thousands of armed radicals across Iran being taken out by the IRGC, especially in light of the decades-long neocon dream of turning all of Iran into a new Syria.

 
Obviously, (especially) nothing that comes from mainstream media should be taken at face value in the same way that things posted on social media shouldn’t be taken at face value either.

Having said that, in this day and age, especially in the west, it is all to easy to forget what real world consequences and amounts of death, suffering and chaos can be caused (and have been caused) by actions like “taking out Iran“.

It is easy to talk about things “happening over there“ for westerners in general. It hits far closer though when you are more directly affected.

So, I think it is no joke at all when countries like Russia speak of existential threats when talking about what the west is doing. It is quite literally an existential threat and thus an existential fight because the consequences of western actions are as bloody, devastating and chaotic as they can get.

So, if a country like Iran is arguably confronted by exactly that kind of threat (while having a lot less abilities to counter it compared to the Russians) it wouldn’t surprise me at all if they could and would take rather vigorous actions to fight back and prevent just that from happening, including possibly taking a lot of people out that are trying to help “the evil ones“ to achieve their goals.
 
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