Brace Yourselves For War Between Iran and Israel

[Joe]

The CIA's plan to spark an uprising in Iran, and a ground operation by Kurdish opposition forces

Same old tactics every time.

 

[Macrocosm]

Apparently, the Israeli operation was originally named differently. I wonder if they changed the name to sound less religious, or to go with the lion symbolism explained by other members?

On the morning of February 28, 2026, Israel, with US support, launched a large-scale military operation against Iran under the code name “Magen Yehuda” – “Shield of Judah.” Israel’s defense minister, Israel Katz, announced the start of the attack. A state of emergency has been declared in the country, and air-raid sirens are sounding nationwide.

...

Later, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu renamed the operation “Roar of the Lion,” yet the original title, “Shield of Judah,” had already entered international media circulation.

Judah is the fourth son of the patriarch Jacob and the forefather of the tribe from which Israel’s kings descended, including David and Solomon. The word “magen” – “shield” – echoes the name of the best-known Jewish symbol, the Magen David (“Shield of David,” or the Star of David). In other words, the operation was framed from the outset not merely as a military campaign, but as one carrying historical and religious-national meaning: Israel presents its actions as the defense of the Jewish people in the spirit of biblical tradition.

 

[Avala]

Operation Epic Fury slowly glides to operation Epic Fail, thanks to wishful thinking.

First we had: "kill the leader, and they will want their shah back". The shah they banished 50 years ago. Nobody in Iran moved a finger about their shah and the "democracy".

Then we had: "Europe will jump in, Britain and France!". Wind melancholically blows leafs from the last autumn across the british airfields. French sailor watches the sunset in peace from aboard Charles De Gaule, slowly sipping wine. Spain refuses service to US planes.

Then it was: "the Gulf states are forming a coalition to attack Iran". American pilot gets almost beaten with an iron bar in Kuwait after they shot down his plane. Mosad's agents get arrested in Saudi Arabia.

Now its: "Kurds are rising and liberating the people of Iran!" Not a single sign of that.

And all of that in just 4 days. Ultimate wishful thinking. They obviously don't understand that for something to happen one must work on it, not just wishing it.

Meanwhile, Iran's defence is still working despite that there is no single leader, Israel's too getting bombed despite their try to censor everything. The public in the West is slowly shifting to Iran's side.

It's logical that the Epsteiners will try some big "shock & awe" action in the next couple of days. Just to keep focus on their thing and possibly as a last try to frighten Iran.

 

[Alma.Innovadora]

"Says Dozens" of what? pencils? notebooks?

I think that the figure of the lion is an archetype or divine name.

I think this may interest you since it goes with the symbolism. I saw it a while ago and I thought about passing it on to you but I forgot it so now that for the second time you're talking about it about the symbolism, I remembered it so let's see, I hope you haven't seen it yet or you'll take away the drama (laughs).

This guy, Ari Lijalad, I think he has commented in this video very interesting things about all the discourse, symbolism, sayings, subliminal elements, etc. around everything that today seems without a doubt, with the desperate control that USA and company demonstrates, the continuation of Nazism.

Dog Whistles: In politics, a dog whistle consists of the use of coded or suggestive language in political messages to gain the support of a specific group without provoking opposition.

The video is from an Argentine radio program. It has subtitles in English (automatic translation), in case someone from another country is interested.

From the 16:30 minute he explains the Nazi references of the USA applied in communication.

 

[Bluegazer]

I think this may interest you since it goes with the symbolism. I saw it a while ago and I thought about passing it on to you but I forgot it so now that for the second time you're talking about it about the symbolism, I remembered it so let's see, I hope you haven't seen it yet or you'll take away the drama (laughs).

This guy, Ari Lijalad, I think he has commented in this video very interesting things about all the discourse, symbolism, sayings, subliminal elements, etc. around everything that today seems without a doubt, with the desperate control that USA and company demonstrates, the continuation of Nazism.

Dog Whistles: In politics, a dog whistle consists of the use of coded or suggestive language in political messages to gain the support of a specific group without provoking opposition.

The video is from an Argentine radio program. It has subtitles in English (automatic translation), in case someone from another country is interested.

From the 16:30 minute he explains the Nazi references of the USA applied in communication.

I think it's much more complicated than that. To begin with, media outlets in Argentina such as C5N, El Destape, and TN are simply media mercenaries. It's already difficult to separate the wheat from the chaff when it comes to independent journalists who can be found on YouTube or other lesser-known platforms.

Then, we always have the phenomenon of “everything I don't like is—insert ideology to be defenestrated/person here.”

Is the US government Nazi? Technically, it is Zionist, considering that Zionism is what really governs there. But in terms of how they act, Zionism and Nazism behave in the same way.

So I'm not sure if there is an obvious symbolism, as the journalist suggests. For now, the observation should be directed at the actions they take.

I am of the opinion that the STS forces will simply take the ideology that best suits their plans. One day they are communists, the next they are fascists. The following month they will be Nazis, and then they will be Zionists.

I may be contradicting myself. I say we should not pay attention to the symbolism pointed out by the journalist, but in the previous post I talked about the symbolism of the lion.

However, I think we must examine which symbolism has a real, ancient, visceral heritage and which is a symbol fabricated to mislead the masses.​

 

[aragorn]

Who understands this guy:

Macron accuses the US and Israel of violating international law



And then Vucic said that Europe would face hell due to the situation in the ME, which leads me to think that surprisingly this one war is what could become the catalyst for the EU to return to Russia for energy supplies.

Macron’s Napoleon-complex shows again. He wants to make himself, or actually think he is, an important ’statesman’. I think he makes these statements because he wants to give the impression that he’s better and adheres to higher moralistic principles than the ’lower class’. In the end, he is just a pawn and a lowlife just as the rest of the elite perverts.

 

[Chu]

It's logical that the Epsteiners will try some big "shock & awe" action in the next couple of days. Just to keep focus on their thing and possibly as a last try to frighten Iran.

Logical, but maybe not that likely? Because at this point, Iran (China/Russia) may have even fancier "shock and awe" weaponry which they know of, or suspect... Or they could try, only to then get a much bigger than expected response back. Many things can happen still, me thinks.

 

[Bluegazer]

Because at this point, Iran (China/Russia) may have even fancier "shock and awe" weaponry which they know of, or suspect...

Could China take down Starlink satellites with a new microwave weapon?

The compact pulse-power driver could enable high-power microwave attacks that are harder to detect and attribute than conventional anti-satellite weapons, potentially putting China ahead of the United States and Russia in the space-weapons race.

www.euronews.com

Development of a 20 GW compact lightweight Tesla-transformer pulsed power driver

<sec> <b>Background</b> <div>The rapid development of high-power microwave application technology presents significant challenges for the reliability and installability of pulsed power drivers. </div></sec><sec> <b>Purpose</b> <div>The design methodology of a compact, lightweight Tesla-type...

www.hplpb.com.cn

 

[Alma.Innovadora]

are simply media mercenaries.

Then, we always have the phenomenon of “everything I don't like is—insert ideology to be defenestrated/person here.”

Oh! Interesting, thanks!

_________

And so begins the Iranian "danger"... Canada must be invaded before it's too late! or forget its product war with the United States and unite for a "common enemy".

Gunfire hits Iranian-Canadian activist’s gym amid fears of Tehran-linked intimidation

https://www.iranintl.com/en/202603024296

boxing gym owned by an Iranian-Canadian political activist and vocal critic of the Islamic Republic was struck by gunfire early Sunday morning near Toronto, raising concerns within the community about possible intimidation targeting dissidents in Canada.

York Regional Police said officers responded shortly after 3 a.m. on March 1 to reports of gunfire at a commercial plaza north of Toronto, where investigators found damage consistent with multiple rounds fired at a business. The building was unoccupied at the time and no injuries were reported.

Surveillance footage shows a suspect dressed in dark clothing exiting a dark-colored sport utility vehicle before fleeing the scene, police said.

The targeted business, Saliwan Boxing, is owned by Salar Gholami, an Iranian-Canadian political activist and Canadian cruiserweight boxing champion who has organized demonstrations against the Islamic Republic across the Greater Toronto Area in recent months.

The shooting came hours after supporters gathered at the gym and elsewhere in Toronto following US and Israeli military strikes that killed Iran’s Supreme Leader, events that drew large crowds waving Iran’s Lion and Sun flag.

“Seventeen bullets in the middle of Toronto,” Gholami told Iran International. “This is not just about the Iranian community anymore. It’s about Canadians.”

Gholami said the gym is used by families, teenagers and children and could have been occupied when the shots were fired.

“Our gym is just a regular gym. Girls, teenagers, kids,” he said. “The shooting at the gym... is so dangerous.”

He said he believes the attack may have been intended as a warning linked to his activism, though police said no motive has been confirmed.

York Regional Police acknowledged concerns within the community that the incident could be connected to broader geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Investigators said they are working with policing and intelligence partners and reviewing all available evidence, including the possibility of politically motivated or transnational elements.

Canadian intelligence officials have previously warned that Iranian state actors and their proxies have targeted dissidents abroad, including individuals living in Canada. The Canadian Security Intelligence Service has said it has disrupted potentially lethal threats linked to foreign interference operations in past cases.

Former Canadian Justice minister Irwin Cotler, for example, was previously the subject of an alleged Iranian plot to kill him on Canadian soil.

 

[Ian]

Rethoric from both sides, the American side and Iranian side, is a little bit concerning. They are both saying there is no negotiations anymore between the two. Absence of diplomacy just means war. In this case war non-stop. That’s why Russia and China are pushing the path to diplomacy between the two. Only through diplomacy you can start to resolve the conflict. So if you take this as your axiom then the war will stop only when one or the other falls. It also looks like, to me at least, that Israeli/America government or the so called deep state has finally decided to go all in, till the end. This correlates with the claims of Iranian officials that this is an ‘existential’ war. That points to the possibility that the deep state is, in fact going all in, till the end. Declaring Jihad (Holy War) also goes hand in hand with this framework. To me this situation really does look like The Last Trump. What do you guys think?

 

[Alma.Innovadora]

They will try to kill him in the next 48 hours.

Well, first they must agree on who will eliminate them or who will overthrow them. If Israel eliminates it then the people cannot overthrow them, they have to agree. At least they already openly say that they are murderers, that's an advance.

Israel: Any new Iranian leader will be "unconditional target of elimination"

Israel: Cualquier nuevo líder iraní será "objetivo incondicional de eliminación"

El ministro de Defensa israelí, Israel Katz, asegura que Tel Aviv y Washington continuarán trabajando para que el pueblo de Irán "derroque" y "reemplace" al Gobierno iraní.

actualidad.rt.com

Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz assures that Tel Aviv and Washington will continue to work for the people of Iran to "overthrow" and "replace" the Iranian government.

"Every leader appointed by the Iranian terrorist regime to continue and lead the plan to destroy Israel, threaten the United States and the free world and the countries of the region, and repress the Iranian people, will be an unequivocal target of elimination," Katz wrote Wednesday on X. "It doesn't matter what his name is or the place where he hides," he added.

"We will continue to work with all our might, together with our American partners, to crush the capabilities of the regime and create the conditions for the Iranian people to overthrow and replace it," he added.

 

[axj]

Rethoric from both sides, the American side and Iranian side, is a little bit concerning. They are both saying there is no negotiations anymore between the two. Absence of diplomacy just means war. In this case war non-stop.

Trump's public blustering should not be taken too seriously, I think. He may say the opposite after some time.

I think one of the bigger news is how Trump is treating Spain, claiming that he could disregard their sovereignty and use the US bases on their soil by force. That's a NATO member we are talking about. And he "ended all trade" with Spain. Looks like extreme hybris and it is easy to see how the entire world will hate the US like Nazi Germany, as the C's have said.

 

[KJS]

Below is a machine-generated report from today’s web searches using Professor Jiang Xuequin’s framework, focusing on economic aspects as a proxy marker for the general collapse of the West.

The Two Grand Strategies

US/Israeli Strategy: Ethnic Fracture + Water Deprivation

1. Destroy Iran's water infrastructure — dams, reservoirs, power plants (Iran already has severe drought; Lake Urmia, once the world's 6th largest saltwater lake, has essentially dried up)
2. Exploit ethnic fault lines — Iran's borderlands contain Kurds, Baloch, Azeris, and Arabs who have more in common with neighboring countries than with Tehran
3. Arm and fund separatist movements to fracture Iran into competing ethnic enclaves
4. These enclaves fight each other over increasingly scarce water, permanently preventing Iran from reconstituting as a coherent nation-state

This strategy is never publicly stated because it would expose the war's true objective as civilizational destruction rather than nuclear nonproliferation. But the targeting pattern (civilian infrastructure, water systems, the Assembly of Experts) reveals the operational intent.

Iranian Strategy: Pax Islamica

1. Destroy the GCC to collapse the petrodollar system and bankrupt American empire
2. Target desalination plants, oil infrastructure, and American military bases
3. Ignite a global Shia jihad — already underway (US embassies attacked in Pakistan and Iraq, Hezbollah activated on the Lebanon front, Houthis threatening Bab el-Mandeb)
4. Eventually unite the broader Muslim world against US-backed dictatorships (Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Algeria — all unpopular monarchies/autocracies sustained by American support)
5. Establish Iranian leadership of the Islamic world — not just the Shia minority, but the entire ummah

The irony of the Allied bombing campaign: the urban, educated, progressive Iranians most likely to support regime change are concentrated in the cities being bombed. The rural Shia militants most committed to fighting to the death are dispersed through mountains the bombs can't reach.

Casualty and Damage Accounting (as of March 4)

Metric	Figures
US military killed	6
US military injured	18+
US aircraft lost	3 F-15Es (friendly fire, Kuwait)
Iranian dead	787+
Iranian civilian (Minab school)	168+ children
Iranian naval vessels destroyed	17 (including primary submarine)
Israeli civilian dead	12
Israeli civilian injured	1,000+
Iranian attack waves on Israel	119+
Iranian crypto outflows post-strike	+873% above baseline ($10M+ rapid)

Diplomatic Landscape

Diplomacy is effectively dead. The Geneva negotiations that preceded the strikes were used by the US and Israel as a smokescreen to finalize targeting — trust in diplomatic mechanisms has evaporated.

• China and Russia: Condemn the strikes, blocked the US UNSC programme of work for March, but neither is committing to direct military intervention. Russia can't let Iran fall (they're next), but is opting for strategic patience while the US exhausts itself. China is genuinely neutral — it can work with either outcome, though its energy supply lines are severely threatened.
• GCC: Trapped. They hate Iran, but their infrastructure is being destroyed by Iranian retaliation. Saudi Arabia warned it reserves "full right" to respond militarily. Gulf states may be forced into direct confrontation, which would globalize the conflict and guarantee $200/bbl oil.
• Europe: Divided. UK provided logistical support via Cyprus (and took Iranian drone fire for it). Spain refused base access and got US trade ties severed by Trump. France and Germany are focused on mitigating energy shock and refugee crisis.
• Pahlavi option: The US/Israel are positioning Cyrus Reza Pahlavi (exiled Shah's son) as transitional leader. This is fantasy — he has no armed force inside Iran, faces opposition from other dissident groups, and the IRGC will not peacefully cede power to a foreign-backed diaspora figurehead.

Economic and Market Impact
Oil

• Pre-war JPM forecast: $60/bbl. Instantly invalidated.
• Current: Brent past $85 (13% spike).
• JPM revised scenarios: $120-130 sustained (if storage exhausted in ~3 weeks), $180-200 spike (if Saudi/UAE infrastructure hit).

Gold

• Shattered records, surging past $5,400/oz. JPM and Goldman targeting $6,000-$6,300 by year-end. Driven by central bank reserve diversification, inflation hedging, and systemic geopolitical fear.

Fed

• Stagflation trap. Can't cut rates (energy inflation driving headline CPI above 3%). Can't maintain restrictive rates (economy will implode). Summer rate cuts completely off the table. Running stealth QE via "Reserve Management Purchases" to prevent funding market seizure.

Equities

• $3.2T+ global market value wiped. Korean Kospi -8% (trading halt), Nikkei -6%. Defense stocks surging (BAE +5%). S&P 500 whipsawing.

Crypto

• Initial dump: BTC pierced $64k, $350B total market cap evaporated. Failed the "digital gold" safe-haven test in immediate panic.
• Recovery: BTC bounced to $71k by March 4. Mechanism = institutional ETF buying (BlackRock IBIT saw hundreds of millions in daily inflows during the dip).
• Arthur Hayes thesis: war costs → deficit expansion → Fed forced to print → BTC is a hedge against fiscal debasement, not the war itself.
• Iranian capital flight into crypto: +873% outflow spike, $10M+ via USDT and decentralized networks as citizens fled the collapsing Rial.

Scenario Probabilities

Best Case (<15% probability)
IRGC collapses internally, mass desertions, internal coup, transitional government. Hormuz reopens in 14-21 days. Oil crashes back to $60-65. Fed cuts rates. Massive relief rally.
Watch for: IRGC mutiny reports, Iranian internet restoration, civilian protests, diplomatic overtures from Interim Leadership Council.

Base Case (55% probability)
4-6 week intense aerial campaign. Regime functionally crippled but no surrender. Protracted low-intensity insurgency. Porous but lethal Hormuz threat via asymmetric tactics (mines, fast-attack craft, suicide drones). Oil volatile at $85-110. Global economy skirts technical recession but suffers severe stagflation. Gold consolidates above $5,500.
Watch for: Continued P&I insurance cancellations, failure of US Naval escorts to secure transit, persistent drone attacks on GCC infrastructure.

Worst Case (30% probability)
Full escalation. Mass-casualty attacks on US bases or Saudi/UAE infrastructure. Iran fully mines Hormuz. US forced to deploy ground troops for multi-year, multi-trillion-dollar occupation. Complete cessation of 20% global oil + LNG. Immediate global recession (75%+ probability). Brent rockets to $180-200. Sustained deep equity bear market. Gold and BTC see hyper-inflationary capital flight.
Watch for: US or allied warship sunk, Qatari LNG terminals destroyed, mass-casualty attack on American soil, nuclear escalation.

Key Escalation Triggers to Monitor

1. US warship hit — transforms the conflict from "manageable" to existential for US domestic politics
2. Desalination plant destruction — humanitarian crisis in GCC within days, not weeks
3. Saudi Ras Tanura refinery or Fujairah terminal hit — instant $200/bbl oil, global recession
4. Sleeper cell activation on Western soil — DHS already elevated alert status
5. Nuclear breakout attempt — surviving IRGC may view a device as their only regime survival mechanism
6. Shia uprising in Bahrain — Professor Jiang predicts Bahrain falls first, then GCC dominoes
7. European entry — UK already targeted, Germany/France may be forced in to secure energy supply
8. Russia/China escalation — if either provides direct military support to Iran

Structural Assessment

Both analytical sources converge on the same conclusion: the market is under-pricing duration and severity. The stated war aim is total regime change, which eliminates traditional diplomatic off-ramps. The asymmetric drone economics favor Iran in a war of attrition. The GCC's structural vulnerabilities (water, food, demographics) mean that Iran doesn't need to "win" militarily — it just needs to sustain enough pressure to collapse the petrodollar ecosystem.

The game theory framing is particularly useful: this is a game of chicken between a side with religious conviction and willingness to die (Shia martyrdom culture) and a side built on material comfort and capital flows (GCC + American empire). In games of chicken, the player who credibly commits to not swerving wins. Iran has made that commitment. The question is whether the US and its allies understand that the other side isn't bluffing.

 

[Ian]

Iranian Intelligence reportedly SEIZED AK rifles and Starlink devices in Tehran

The armed cell, reportedly linked to Israel-US had planned to carry out attacks from within, but their planes were thwarted

In addition to weapons, euros and dollars were also seized

@worldpravda

World Pravda

‼️🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱 Iranian Intelligence reportedly SEIZED AK rifles and Starlink devices in Tehran The armed cell, reportedly linked to Israel-US had planned to carry out attacks from within, but their planes were thwarted In addition to weapons, euros and dollars were also seized @worldpravda

t.me

 

[Ian]

This is really expanding fast…

Iran launched MISSILES at NATO base in Turkey — all projectiles intercepted

Turkey's MoD says the missile crossed Iraqi and Syrian airspace before was engaged by NATO air defense assets

@worldpravda

World Pravda

‼️🇮🇷🇹🇷Iran launched MISSILES at NATO base in Turkey — all projectiles intercepted Turkey's MoD says the missile crossed Iraqi and Syrian airspace before was engaged by NATO air defense assets @worldpravda

t.me