Brace Yourselves For War Between Iran and Israel

Just a thought, but it looks like Israel might be trying to shift the blame away from themselves.

First they pretended nobody destroyed the school, then they tried to blame it on the AI targeting the school (and since it's AI, then nobody is to blame!), and now it looks like blaming the US for it.

Also, since that info comes from NY Times, it might also be Democrats trying to stick that one to Trump before the incoming midterm elections (better Trump to blame than Israel, no?).

Does it matter anymore? Israel, whoever sits on the presidential chair in Washington... isn't it all the same? It was an us-rael strike against a school full of children, little girls.
 
You know how it is hard to find footage of missile strikes or the damage on Israel because of censorship, and then you need to decide if it's AI or not or an older video of last year's war? I found this account which appears to be from a local resident and as far as I can tell the videos look genuine: Misa Roumi
Even she got pulled up by Community Notes, yesterday, for passing off June 2025 footage of Tel-Aviv being bombed as 'current'.

By they way, I came across many of last night's images and videos of the Iranian 'cluster bomb' missile on X, but I found it curious that none of them showed the moment of impact. Some because the cluster would go behind a building, but others clearly because the video was cut early. Is that some sort of censorship as well? Or were those not really cluster bombs but a fragmented missile with no significant damage on the ground? Or decoys not meant to explode?

Finally, remember the insane aspirations for a 'Greater Israel'? Well, Pete Hegseth is now talking of 'Greater North America'. 😲 Totally crazy language. The US admin people have lost touch with reality, and that includes Trump, who clearly wanted a weekend-war as in Venezuela, and from there he went to 4-5 weeks, several months, talking about ammo available for an eternal war, and now only accepting 'unconditional surrender' from Iran. A bad case of sunken cost fallacy?

Here's Hegseth:

Interesting interpretation of 'Global South' from Hegseth. :umm:

His mention of 'everything north of the equator' is also interesting in the context of this week's joint US-Ecuadorian 'narco-trafficante' operation in that LatAm country.

And 'quarter sphere defense'? I presume this means something like "the Western hemisphere is our 'quarter slice' of the world!" ??
 
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Iranian Air power INTEL

At least four SU-35s war jets serving Iran now.

Intel source:
Powerful Russian Mi-28 helicopters are now in Iran, in unknown numbers. Upgraded with latest tech, to make them ideal against Western drones and even some missiles.
These helis and jets are net-centric = able to receive and exchange fully computerized targeting data from the entire Iranian, Russian and Chinese army on (Starlink-free) separate and secure military satellite channels. Also able to perform in case of loss of communication with 'central command': do decentralized warfare. Against the Kurdish and Azeri Proxy Army:
Iranian_Mi-28_helis_from_Russia.jpg


Iranian Su-35 jets:
The last foreign fighters obtained by the Iranian Air Force were Russian twin-engine multi-purpose fighters of the 4++ Su-35 generation (4.5 gen), delivered in the amount of up to four units under the 2023 contract. But given the ongoing special operation in Ukraine and the transfer of production facilities of the Russian defense industry to domestic demand, Iranian pilots are unlikely to receive all 50 ordered machines in the next couple of years.

Iran has old jets on its own:
According to Military Balance in 2025, the Iranian Air Force had up to 150 serviceable fighters before the war with Israel. The vast majority of them are outdated models of American production, inherited by the country in the days of Shah Pahlavi or acquired in the first years after the Islamic Revolution, including the F-4 Phantom II (64 units), the F-5E/F Tiger II (35) and the F-14A Tomcat (41), whose maintenance due to the sanctions was extremely difficult.

Chinese J-10C war jets are cheaper than Russian ones:
The fact that Iran is again considering the possibility of buying an export version of the J-10C, the Chinese average multi-purpose 4++ fighter, the Iranian newspaper Kharosan reported. In the same context, local experts assess the visit of the head of the Iranian defense department, Brigadier General Aziz Nasirada, to the SCO summit in the Chinese city of Qingdao.
source
Iran has been interested in this car for a long time. In 2015, it became known about the preparation for the conclusion of a firm contract for the supply of up to 150 fighters, but the parties could not agree on payment.

China, which had at that time vast energy reserves, abandoned the barter calculation of oil and gas, while Iran was experiencing an acute shortage of foreign exchange and could not afford such a deal. The situation was exacerbated by the UN sanctions on the purchase and sale of weapons to Iran since 2010. After the lifting of the restrictions in October 2020, negotiations resumed, but, although it was already about buying only 36 units, they broke down for the same reasons.
The Chinese J-10CE is a single-engine multi-purpose fighter. Positioned by Chinese developers as a more affordable alternative to Western F-16V and Gripen E. The price per unit can range from $60 million (the base set) to $90 million (with spare parts, warranty, weapons and training of pilots).
 
Today (March 6) former intelligence analyst Larry Johnson while speaking on 'Judge Napolitano' declared that the Landstuhl Military Hospital in Germany is urgently looking for blood donations. Landstuhl lies right next to Ramstein Air Force Base.

Landstuhl usually handles combat casualties.
According to "Stars And Stripes" they have suspended their obstetric and pediatric services for pressing needs.

Johnson believes that U.S. casualties in the Persian Gulf must either have been much higher than expected or that there will be dramatic action in the days to come.

He mentioned that the 82nd Airborne Division has cancelled a command exercise for this weekend and expects that the 82nd could be in for combat or ground action soon.
 
Here's the longest video I could find. At first, I thought, because of the speed of the incandescent objects, that it was some kind of decoy missile, but no other nearby missiles or parallel ammunition can be seen (someone said that the brightest light was the missile that shut down the engine, but no impact can be seen or heard and its speed is the same, so I think it's just material or other ammunition that, for various reasons, shone brighter).

Of course, the light that stands out above the others could be the main missile, which shuts down after completing its mission of delivering the submunitions. Apparently, there was another similar attack recently.


US fleet was forced to retreat 16 miles out into the Arabian sea. Iran could have killed both ships closest to the Strait of Hormuz - with all hands on board - with its advanced Mach 5 missiles, but probably Russia and China gave them tactical advice to spare US ships, don't decimate them yet.
(Col. L.W.)
It could also be the case that Iran doesn't want to attack them intensely at the moment, thus giving the US some space to de-escalate the conflict. Damaging or intimidating them would be acceptable since it could disable them without the US suffering public humiliation.

Damaging infrastructure and radars or damaging an aircraft carrier is not the same as sinking it. If they only damage it, Epstein's coalition can deny the incident to some extent.
According to RT-Tasnim, yesterday Iran fired a coastal anti-ship missile at the Lincoln.

 
Account of a Indian Journalist who was in Tel Aviv and was evacuated by Indian Govt. Tweet video conversation is in Hindi, but this is the english translation. My comment in {..}
The video in the post (from @ShahidHussainJM ) features an Indian journalist (not Arfa Khanum Sherwani) ...

"When a bomb explodes, they don't even see if it's Indian or Israeli. If bullets next to you, right & left get injured but not otherwise.

Rumors said bunkers very good—we saw 100ft deep { does the bunkers are that deep, or this guy making metaphorical depths} ones where people died. No one told reality.

Thank our Indian govt {for evacuating Indians} : strict censorship, can't film dead bodies or hospitals. We don't know where to go.

Journalists claimed 1 casualty; locals smoking there said nobody alive—shows scale. Alarms failed: 5am loud noise, no ring. Tech faileddrones/missiles come without warning, unknown range over 200m. All American MCs targeted in Middle East, maybe by Tel Aviv. We didn't know."
So It looks Israel was getting hit pretty badly. I don't see any reason for this type of person (who just escaped from the war) to lie.
Formal and Informal Analysis

✡️🇵🇰 Greater Israel in South Asia? Pakistan warns that Iran war could bring Israel to its doorstep

Deputy PM and Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar warned that if Israel succeeds in knocking out Iran, then Pakistan could soon find itself in the crosshairs.

💬 “War has been imposed on Iran. The agenda is to bring Israeli influence up to Pakistan’s border. Afghanistan, Israel and India could share a common agenda of hostility toward Pakistan. The nation must understand this conspiracy,” Dar said, in a statement by Daily Pakistan.

💬 “Pakistan is a nuclear power, and the capabilities of our armed forces are recognized around the world,” he added.

Pakistani officials in recent months have accused of India and the Taliban in Afghanistan of establishing an informal alliance.

Pakistan has a strained relationship with both neigbors, and is currently engaged in active border clashes with Afghanistan.

But Dar’s statement is the first time Islamabad has officially claimed the existence of an Israel-India-Afghanistan coalition against Pakistan.

💬 Dar framed the conflict in ideological terms: “Since the creation of Israel, every calamity in the Islamic world has been linked to Zionist ideology. Zionism has controlled the global economic system for a century.
I had to laugh at this, even though i am little tired of laughing at these types of Pakistani utterances. They always has to remind people that they have a nuclear bomb. I wouldn't take Pakistani's statements seriously. Pakistani's can't help themselves other than pulling India for every thing as a diversion to their internal basic needs issues. Heck, they can't release Imran Khan from Jail, though he was going blind. They want to him die in the Jail ( accoding to their own minister).

Best way to understand Pakistani utterances is "Beggar is NOT a chooser".

When India hit entrances of Nuclear bunkers few miles from their capital in May 2025 (part of Operation Sindhoor in response Pahalgam terrorist attacks), there were videos of nuclear leakage and US took over that facility. There are many social media videos in which Pakistani officers complaining that US military guys not even allowing Pakistani Military any where near. There is one rumour that, the nuclear weapons were stored by Americans. Who is running the show there?

In short, Islam is for public consumption (so does Anti-India stance) and sell the country whoever gives money? Who is giving money to them? - Saudi's, Americans and Chinese. Don't ask who is making these Americans run around with Wars? Israel never said about greater Israel reaches India. It is Pakistani's putting the words in Israeli's mouth for their own self importance and local public consumption ( in the name of Islam). Not that Israeli don't wants to rule the entire world, if it comes to them free. You get the point.

Indian media's throwback to this General's tweet is this.
 
An analyse of the situation which lead about Israel finally using the nuclear option. Knowing that the "Gods" don't really like that, I wonder if that would be the point that make Israel ultimately stumble.

The United States and Israel may not be in a position to win a prolonged war of attrition against Iran. By late 2024, Iran's arsenal is estimated at around "2,000 ballistic missiles," likely far higher one year later following the so-called "12-Day War." Americans themselves speak of approximately "600" missiles already fired. On the other side, U.S. and Israeli missile-defense stocks are dwindling rapidly: "in 15 days there will be none left," even if assets currently stationed in South Korea or Okinawa are repatriated. Many high-end Iranian missiles are MIRV systems—Russian warheads with multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles—"with several projectiles spreading over their targets." To intercept one such payload, three to four Western interceptor missiles may be required, with no guarantee of success. All this unfolds in a context where Western production is strangled by China's embargo on rare minerals, and the Canadian refinery facility intended to bypass Beijing will not open "until early next year."

The result: a war that costs Washington and Tel Aviv an astronomical sum ("a fortune"), while Israel has had reservists mobilized "almost continuously since October 7, 2023." Behind this lies a grim scenario: if the Israeli sky is no longer protected, Netanyahu could invoke his "vital interests" and brandish the nuclear option, as Golda Meir did in 1973. It is precisely this shift into the "realm of the unreasonable" that worries the most.

Source (French)
 
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