Brace Yourselves For War Between Iran and Israel

mabar said:
I don't think Trump loses any sleep over upsetting/offending millions of Catholics. I might say that this is the last straw, -for the Catholics in this case, but that's not true—the cup has been overflowing for quite some time.

Latest posts of Trump on Truth Social


How dare Pope Leo is considering the Iranian people.

Is not just from today, though.

The Pentagon Threatened Pope Leo XIV’s Ambassador With the Avignon Papacy

https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PEzO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5d4d3cc9-c3b5-4bc1-a580-3b1d8b0dd6fb_1500x812.jpeg
https://twitter.com/x/status/2041933630017302735

Add: what is supposed to be this?
View attachment 117973
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Reminds me of Witch King Nazgul of Angmar...
 
The naval blockade is a poorly thought out plan, but it doesn't necessarily require US ships to be any nearer the Strait of Hormuz itself. They can intercept tankers elsewhere on their route, in international waters, in a similar way to what they have already been doing but on a larger scale. Some would argue that was always the goal, with disruption of shipping heading to China the main objective.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2043538658599518666

Brian's been talking about this for a while now.

For people saying the US cannot approach let alone block The Strait of Hormuz - the most likely scenario is US ships remaining out of range of Iranian missiles and drones and using ISR capabilities to first track ships, then use small boarding boats and helicopters to interdict ships - boats and helicopters Iran has no real means of striking once targeted ships leave the Strait.

These are capabilities I talked about when news first broke of US Marine Expeditionary Units being sent to the region - "coincidentally" MEUs were reorganized under Biden specifically to interdict shipping in precisely this manner.
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The US could theoretically interdict ships ANYWHERE outside the Strait, especially since they are specifically looking to disrupt shipping primarily to China - a scenario I warned about weeks ago when the war started and have been warning about for years.

There are only so many routes to be taken and the targeted ships must outrun helicopters and fast boats, not the US military vessels launching them...

There is no need for any US ship to approach the Strait itself.
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You can see how many of these routes converge on China, and Venezuela happens to be among the countries involved.

20260413_131043.jpg


It's a reckless plan because any escalation and energy price increases would affect the US themselves, despite them being less dependent on imports of energy. They have been fairly successful at gaming the markets so far, suppressing prices when things threaten to get out of control. That surely has a finite lifespan though, as real shortages mount up and traders become numb to rhetoric and focus more on the reality. So whatever happens the US might have to back off periodically to keep things sustainable. If the Red Sea routes are shut down, for example, then it's quickly going to be a problem.
 
Joe said:
So who wants to vote on how successful Trump's "blockade" is gonna be? Only applied to ships going to or coming from Iranian ports. Those going to/coming from Saudi, Qatari, Kuwaiti, UAE ports will be allowed to pass. That's a pretty big undertaking, and alone too it seems.
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My guess is that some sailors in the U.S. Navy will stage their own "blockade" of the toilets on board ship. Trump will then post that we don't need a blockade and the mission was successful. This will happen before the end of the day today (osit).
 
Don Cesar said:
Reminds me of Witch King Nazgul of Angmar...
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I immediately thought of Sauron, with the one ring to rule them all and in the darkness bind them.

One Ring to rule them all, One Ring to find them,
One Ring to bring them all and in the darkness bind them
In the Land of Mordor where the shadows lie.
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The US hormuz blockade:
Prof Jiang called this pirate navy state move from usa/trump about 2 weeks ago. With the hormuz blockade and controlling every other naval chokepoint. After air trade is affected due to surging jetfuel prices and global lockdown. Taking out china's rail network is crucial for this and peace/ceasefire would be useless for this goal.


R

Post in thread 'Brace Yourselves For War Between Iran and Israel'

Okay, iran ate humble pie and tried with the ceasefire when daddy china set the table.

But the zionist mad dogs are too rabid to follow orders and it's a case of (trump) tail wagging the dog. So trump will lose out hard on the rare earth chinese dinner table if he even gets a seat at this rate.

He backtracked on the ceasefire that lebanon is a separate conflict. So much for deescalation.But be did get a few fake PR wins in a row. Pilot Rescue, annihilation to truce, the slumbering people gobbling up the fake ceasefire and going bullish on the market.

And of course Israel is blowing up...
  • Like

Professor Jiang said that trump and usa want to control all the maritime chokepoints such as alaska, panama, blockade hormuz if they cannot control it, and they already have bases in the south east asian chokepoint.

So blowing up chinese silk trade rail routes is very much beneficial to trump. Combine that with air trade lockdown and all trade is dominated by the pirates of good ol US of A.


Edit: alaska/Greenland. I forget if they are the same chokepoint due to geography.
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Prof said that Trump will change the strategy where America facilitated global trade to being a mafia pirate state and allowing you trade access.


The empire has to change its
strategy. Now the main source of
American power is its ability to control
sea lanes. Okay? Because it has military
bases all around the world. Okay? So in
the red these are all areas with US
bases and before it used these US bases
in order to maintain global trade. But
with nations choosing
to opt out of your system, now your
option, now your strategy is to blockade
them, right? Could enable blockade,
starve them of resources, which forces
them to come beg to you for trade
access. Okay, so we've gone from a
strategy where America guaranteed global
trade to America basically being a mafia
state, being pirates and allowing you to
use um seal lanes and giving you trade
access. Okay, does that make sense? And
believe it or not, but America does not
actually need to do that much work in
order to control trade around the world.
it just it just needs to control certain
trade or um certain choke points. Okay.
So the Panama Canal is one choke point
and that's why about a third of
um America's navy is deployed to the
Caribbean right now. All right. And its
main purpose is to block off trade
um in the Western Hemisphere. So if you
are China, if you are Japan and you are
South Korea, if you want to access
Western resources, Western hemisphere
resources, you need the permission from
the US government. And the um example of
course is Venezuela where they remove
the president and now they basically
have a blockade over Venezuela. And so
the Venezuelan government is very
cooperative. Okay, they're basically
over obedient. There's um and so what we
can expect next is for Trump to exert
authority over Greenland. Why? Because
this is the Arctic choke point. Okay,
which gives you access to Canada uh and
to Europe as well. We're going to also
expect um America to basically create a
choke point over the straight home
moves. Right? So right now the issue is
that the Iranians control the st. But
the Americans can also choose to
blockade the shoo. Okay? Does that make
sense? All right. The major choke point
in the world of course is something
called the straight of Malaka.
Why? Because that this is where China
gets most of its resources from Africa
from the Middle East. Okay, through this
very small choke point and again
unfortunately there are lots of US
military bases in this area. So as long
as America is able to maintain these
three major choke points, the Panama
Canal um the Middle East and Malaka oh
and also sorry Greenland as well then
America can control naval access okay
trade access maritime navigation it can
control all these things
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They must have enough ships to get these 4 chokepoints to be able to control global naval trade:
Panama, Arctic (Greenland), Hormuz blockade, Strait of Malacca.

Strait of Malacca is one of the world's most critical and busiest maritime choke points, carrying over 25% of global trade and 80% of China’s oil imports.

The GIUK gap (Greenland-Iceland-United Kingdom) is the primary naval chokepoint in the Arctic, acting as a crucial maritime barrier between the Arctic Ocean and the North Atlantic. It enables NATO to monitor Russian submarine and surface ship movements from the Kola Peninsula into the Atlantic and protects transatlantic shipping lanes.
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Joe said:
So who wants to vote on how successful Trump's "blockade" is gonna be? Only applied to ships going to or coming from Iranian ports. Those going to/coming from Saudi, Qatari, Kuwaiti, UAE ports will be allowed to pass. That's a pretty big undertaking, and alone too it seems.
Click to expand...
I vote for the "as successful as this entire conflict" option. :D

Nothing but a series of successes and victories in on the TV and internet, everything going according to plan, and Iranians in awe how successful the US is.
Meanwhile, prices of everything will keep going up, while more people starting to wonder how come it feels like we're losing when we are supposedly winning.
 
Oh my god, Donnie wanted to partner with Iran and control the hormuz chokepoint and global trade - Prof Marandi, who was in pakistan for the ceasefire talks.

ra888 said:
Prof said that Trump will change the strategy where America facilitated global trade to being a mafia pirate state and allowing you trade access.




They must have enough ships to get these 4 chokepoints to be able to control global naval trade:
Panama, Arctic (Greenland), Hormuz blockade, Strait of Malacca.
Click to expand...
 
Ben said:
The naval blockade is a poorly thought out plan, but it doesn't necessarily require US ships to be any nearer the Strait of Hormuz itself. They can intercept tankers elsewhere on their route, in international waters, in a similar way to what they have already been doing but on a larger scale.
Click to expand...
Indeed, but then the US fleet would be running around the oceans chasing tankers all over the place. The more stretched out, the less effective. I imagine that will be like herding cats. And if they stay in range of Iran, there will be 'laundry fires' and such. So yeah, once again a plan that was not well thought out at all. That seems to be happening a lot lately in Donald's admin.

And on that note, antagonizing the whole of the Catholic world with his rant against the Pope, and probably all the Christian world also with the 'Jesus Trump' image - is that 4d or 5d chess?
 
unkl brws said:
My guess is that some sailors in the U.S. Navy will stage their own "blockade" of the toilets on board ship. Trump will then post that we don't need a blockade and the mission was successful. This will happen before the end of the day today (osit).
Click to expand...
Ooo, you misestimate this, the UnMan Donnie can use this. All he has to say is that he had six sips involved in the Blockade today, you think it was other ships that he halted but we know, it was just that toilet on the third level backing up again. Haiku ...
 
Joe said:
So who wants to vote on how successful Trump's "blockade" is gonna be? Only applied to ships going to or coming from Iranian ports. Those going to/coming from Saudi, Qatari, Kuwaiti, UAE ports will be allowed to pass. That's a pretty big undertaking, and alone too it seems.
Click to expand...

And it’s a lose-lose situation for the US. Even if they had the capability and were successful in blocking countries from getting their oil, the US will only create greater tension and hostility towards them, and if they fail Trump will just reinforce his position as a lame duck.
 
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