Brace Yourselves For War Between Iran and Israel

Ellipse said:
https://twitter.com/x/status/2046680813354336349
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That’s not a source. It’s a post.

IMG_0427.jpeg
 
T.C. said:
That’s not a source. It’s a post.

View attachment 118356
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Grok's post is also incomplete, There are others not mentioned by it in this article , and also others not mentioned in the article (Dos Bocas, Olmeca at Mexico, and Esmeraldas at Ecuador). Perhaps is also the use of word "blown up" by Grok versus "wave of fires and explosions"-- tittle of the article. 1-8 links in the article.

And a couple of recent ones.

1 Valero Port Arthur refinery, TX
2 oil well fire near Etoile, TX
3 Viva Energy Geelong refinery, Australia
4 Vedanta power plant , India
5 HPCL Pachpadra refinery, India
6 CET Vest power plant, Romania
7 NORSI refinery, Russia
8 Tuapse refinery, Russia
9 Dos Bocas, Mexico
10 Olmeca, Mexico
11 Esmeraldas, Ecuador
12 Oil tankers in flames at Homalin Port, Myanmar --22 April
13 Fire at Topsail oil refinery, Russia -- 23 April
 
Had initially though i had posted an earlier Helmer article on the sinking of the IRIS Dena, yet see it is on SOTT.net

www.sott.net

The sinking of the Iranian frigate Iris Dena was murder executed by the US Navy and then covered up by India

In the pre-dawn hours of March 4, the Iranian frigate, Islamic Republic of Iran Ship (IRIS) Dena, was racing eastward on the Indian Ocean. From the southwest, a tailwind of 7 knots and swell of 1.5 metres added to the Mowj-class vessel's top...
www.sott.net www.sott.net

It is an in-depth account from the initial blink, and was quickly dropped by most journalists:

Niall said:
It's also Nazi-like to do a sneak attack on a vessel that is far from the 'war theater'.
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Yes, a cowards move on the high seas, and India did not help - Modi etcetera seemed by the initial evidence to have committed a crime.

Here is an interview with the surviving captain (he did not go down with the ship) and the article:

https://twitter.com/x/status/2046568428283027755

johnhelmer.net

THE MURDER OF THE IRIS DENA – FIRST PUBLIC TESTIMONY BY THE SURVIVING CAPTAIN AND FIRST OFFICER

By John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with Testimony from the survivors of the Iranian frigate, IRIS Dena, attacked and sunk in a US Navy opera
johnhelmer.net

Zarri said the local time was 3:35 am. At 5:06 am, US and other reports indicate the Dena was hit in the aft section with a large explosion breaking the keel. This evidence of a 90-minute interval between the torpedo firings is new and has not been explained. If confirmed, it indicates that after its first strike, the Charlotte asked for orders from its base at Pearl Harbour, Hawaii, the US Pacific Fleet, and the Pentagon. The time in Washington, DC, was between 4 and 5 in the afternoon of March 3.

In that interval, the testimony of the Dena’s first officer indicates that Zarri ordered the crew to assemble on the aft deck and prepare for evacuation, surrender, scuttling, or other options which have not been revealed by Zarri; return of fire was impossible without sub-surface torpedoes. “The second torpedo killed 104 of our friends, our comrades, our dear brothers,” Zarri added, confirming he knew “that was their intention.”
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T.C. said:
That’s not a source. It’s a post.
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Yeah, posts and comments I saw on the net. I did not search further. This is why I was wondering if it was something really anomalous or something blow up out of all proportion. But I agree, ideally I should have put a better disclaimer in my post about the source of the data itself. I guess the map have been done with AI and does not come from a real article.

Now, the article found by Mabar seems to show the trend is above normal but may be due to from installations stress:

Systemic fragility, not coordinated sabotage​

No government has confirmed deliberate sabotage in any of the non-Russian incidents. Australia, India, and the United States have all pointed to industrial or mechanical causes.

But security analysts note that a system under extreme stress does not need coordinated attacks to produce clustered failures, it needs only a higher-than-normal baseline of operational risk, sustained over time, affecting facilities with deferred maintenance and compressed safety margins.
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Is it only the real source of disturbances? I don't know.

Bobo08 said:
I don't believe for a minute the explanation that the Australian one was an accident. Grok was just regurgitating the mainstream explanation for you.
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Seems suspicious to me too.
 
The US calls Israel an 'ally', although no formal or official treaty or agreement appears to exist between them. It seems curious, given the apparent close relationship between the US and Israel, that the US does not use Israeli territory to launch attacks on Iran. The US uses SA, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait etc and even the distant Diego Garcia territory. But it seems to formally keep Israel off the launching list. Anyone have any ideas why?
 
T.C. said:
Why?
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There was circumstantial evidence such as the sighting of a military drone in the area around the time of the incident. Even the mainstream media had to bring it up to deny that the drone had any involvement, which, of course, only made it more likely that it was involved.

But the main thing was the series of fire and explosions involving key energy infrastructure around the world in the last month. They have been happening every few days. At some point, it becomes too much to be coincidence.
 
ECsFd said:
The US calls Israel an 'ally', although no formal or official treaty or agreement appears to exist between them. It seems curious, given the apparent close relationship between the US and Israel, that the US does not use Israeli territory to launch attacks on Iran. The US uses SA, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait etc and even the distant Diego Garcia territory. But it seems to formally keep Israel off the launching list. Anyone have any ideas why?
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I think it's because Israel basically is a US military base - 'America's unsinkable aircraft carrier in the Middle East' and all that jazz. It's not quite that clear cut, as there are distinctions between the two in a sort of 'toxic relationship' struggle, with various internal factions of each 'partner' trying to seduce or control the other. So I wouldn't say Israel is 'off the US launching list', it's the main launching pad.
 
Ricardo said:
Question now is if the devil ( or its double ) is in Israel as the press conference goes live ...

Iranian air defense systems were activated in Tehran and several other cities in response to the presence of small drones, according to local media on Thursday.

Fars News Agency reported that the sounds of air defenses were heard after micro aerial vehicles were spotted in multiple locations across the country.

Military expert Abdolreza Sediq told the agency that several additional factors contributed to the activation of air defenses during the ceasefire period.

He said operators remain on “full alert” and are required to respond to any suspicious signal or light, while fighter jets such as the MiG-29 are routinely used as part of the capital’s air defense ring to monitor and intercept potential drone threats.

Sediq also noted that the ceasefire period is used to overhaul air defense systems, install new radars, and test equipment, making such activity “unavoidable.”

He added that Iran is also working to implement a new deployment model for its air defense network, shifting from a centralized “spider” system to a more decentralized “mosaic” structure, with exercises ongoing to stabilize the new approach.

Earlier, the state news agency IRNA said that the sound of air defenses was heard in both western and eastern areas of the capital.

Iranian media outlets, however, said later that the activation of the air defenses in Tehran was part of a test.
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The IRGC-affiliated Fars News Agency reported that recent air defense activity heard in Tehran and several other cities was in response to small drones, including Orbiter-type UAVs, detected in multiple locations across the country.

The Orbiter Mini UAV system is an Israeli-made, compact and lightweight unmanned aerial vehicle. Israel had earlier denied launching any attack against Iran on Thursday night.

Air defenses responded to small drones across Iran - IRGC outlet

www.iranintl.com www.iranintl.com
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Hmm, I was reading on X during the peace talks about many small drones and “Orbiter” drones appearing in multiple cities in Iran (I can’t find the post now).


My first impression was: okay, there are important talks happening, and suddenly lots of “drones” — “Orbiter” types — almost like UFOs? Similar to what people mention in the U.S.?


It made me think: could this be some kind of attempt to influence people or “activate” something psychologically? Just a thought about those drone sightings during the peace talks.


And another one from 02.2026

Mysterious UFO Sighted Over Karaj | Glowing Object Sparks Speculation​

​

A viral video shows a strange glowing orb in the sky over Karaj, Iran. This sighting occurred just minutes before airstrikes in Iraq, raising eyebrows and igniting debate worldwide. Many are questioning the phenomenon's timing and potential implications.

What Happened?​

The footage captures a luminous orb changing colors from blue to orange and moving erratically without any sound. The sighting has triggered discussions about its possible connection to the military actions taking place shortly after.

Heightened Tensions​

Commenters on forums debated the event, with responses sharply divided. Some suggested it could be a surveillance drone, while others jumped to the conclusion that it could signal extraterrestrial activity.

"Lights in the sky during wartime??? MUST BE ALIENS," one commenter quipped, highlighting the intrigue around the unusual sighting.
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Many are linking this event to historical accounts of similar phenomena. For instance, reports of foo fighters—unexplained aerial lights seen by pilots during World War II—have resurfaced in discussions.
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https://twitter.com/x/status/2027656430954942624
 
I am concerned about engineered famine because what I see is not an ineffectual blockade. Quite the contrary. If jet fuel , kerosene ,diesel and gas are already compromised and have a long way to go , all agricultural produce will be too. That is the food that millions in what is called the third world, I include Latin America , already deep in poverty, need to barely subsist. Kissinger gave warnings of the plan. He relished it in fact.He knew what genocide through food control was . I don't claim to understand who holds the ultimate levers of our dystopian hellscape but some of us do know of the many that are being swallowed whole, battling against lacks and "smeared with toil". And that is in the so called first world with unaffordable food.
What better than a war plan systematically carried out with far reaching consequences devised by walking cesspools blowing smoke.
 
Bobo08 said:
But the main thing was the series of fire and explosions involving key energy infrastructure around the world in the last month. They have been happening every few days. At some point, it becomes too much to be coincidence.
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It does seem suspicious, though those who point out that these numbers of fires and breakdowns at refineries are not unusual also have a point:

https://twitter.com/x/status/2044813721415926243

There are ~700-800 active refineries globally. Publicly reported major fires/explosions average several per month worldwide in normal years (e.g., ~9 significant ones in the US alone throughout 2025, per industry trackers). The list in the image (11 events over ~45 days) includes mechanical failures (Valero TX fluid release), second fires at the same site (Pemex Mexico), aging infrastructure issues, and geopolitical strikes (Russia drones amid Ukraine conflict)—not all "mysterious."

This stuff happens more often than casual observers realize due to aging plants, complex ops, and variable reporting, but current data shows no clear global spike beyond typical variability + known regional factors like conflict or maintenance backlogs. Clusters occur; they're not new.
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"In a sharp reversal, Trump has personally canceled the Witkoff-Kushner trip to Pakistan"

“I’ve told my people a little while ago they were getting ready to leave, and I said, ‘Nope, you’re not making an 18 hour flight to go there. We have all the cards. They can call us anytime they want, but you’re not going to be making any more 18 hour flights to sit around talking about nothing.’”

"Iran denies that FM Abbas Araghchi's trip to Pakistan will include new talks with US, rejecting reports that Trump is sent his negotiating team to restart negotiations."

"Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has reportedly already left Islamabad, Pakistan, following Saturday talks with the country's prime minister."

"We Have All The Cards": Trump Cancels Witkoff-Kushner Trip To Pakistan For Iran Talks<!-- --> | ZeroHedge

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
www.zerohedge.com www.zerohedge.com
 
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