Brace Yourselves For War Between Iran and Israel

[mabar]

It does seem suspicious, though those who point out that these numbers of fires and breakdowns at refineries are not unusual also have a point:

Clusters occur; they're not new.

Of curse, we have been reporting here for decades. I guess is just as Grok say by clusers, in certain point in time, regarding certain circumnstances as with weather, asteroids (and the like), airplanes (Boeings), shootings, food and electric shortages, etc, etc.

We can't pinpoint the causes with certainty, but it's interesting to observe them, observe the signs of the times.

 

[axj]

Fits with a current article I was reading by Clif High today.

I checked Clif High's recent substack posts and he still seems to think that Trump is playing 4D chess and is a master strategist in this war. A lot of the comments criticized him for it.

 

[Niall]

Mohammed Ghalibaf - Speaker of the Parliament of Iran - is quite a character, apparently posting directly on X in fluent English. His latest:

https://twitter.com/x/status/2048492561350717700

If you're scratching your head at his somewhat cryptic post, I think this reply correctly deciphers it:

https://twitter.com/x/status/2048511500432912879

The West has “cards” like oil reserves, demand cuts, and price control.

But Iran has real physical cards: Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb, and pipeline pressure.

Oil is not just numbers on a screen. It must move through real chokepoints.

And with US summer travel coming, demand will rise unless Americans cancel vacation.

So his message is: don’t brag about paper market power when Iran can pressure the real oil routes.

 

[Philippe]

This war's untold business model:

 

[hesperides]

This war's untold business model:

I've only been listening half of the video, and so far the way she explains why Iran/usa war has nothing to do with what we think is quite well broken down. Thank you Philippe, I didn't know this woman.

 

[sToRmR1dR]

The US is preparing to deploy its fourth aircraft carrier to the Middle East, the biggest build up since 2003.

 

[axj]

This war's untold business model:

Her main point seems to be:

The US wants to disrupt the main maritime trade routes and create new ones that they control, eg. the IMEC route (India-Middle-East-Europe-Corridor) for Asian trade to go through Saudi Arabia and Israel and then to Greece, Italy or France by ship, by-passing the Suez Canal.

This may be indeed part of what Israel and the US hope (and the EU also wants it, especially after the EU-India free trade deal signed this year), but this trade route depends on the Saudis and Israel getting along. The Saudis stopped construction of the railway for it due to the Gaza genocide.

She does not seem to mention the Greater Israel plans, which seem to include Israel taking Saudi land at some point. If anything, this IMEC plan seems to be how Israel wants to position itself "at the center of everything".

India–Middle East–Europe Economic Corridor - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

 

[Joe]

Her main point seems to be:

The US wants to disrupt the main maritime trade routes and create new ones that they control, eg. the IMEC route (India-Middle-East-Europe-Corridor) for Asian trade to go through Saudi Arabia and Israel and then to Greece, Italy or France by ship, by-passing the Suez Canal.

This may be indeed part of what Israel and the US hope (and the EU also wants it, especially after the EU-India free trade deal signed this year), but this trade route depends on the Saudis and Israel getting along. The Saudis stopped construction of the railway for it due to the Gaza genocide.

She does not seem to mention the Greater Israel plans, which seem to include Israel taking Saudi land at some point. If anything, this IMEC plan seems to be how Israel wants to position itself "at the center of everything".

Yeah, nothing new there. Basic American geopolitical positioning in the context of an emerging multi-polar world. We've been talking about that for years. She's a bit deluded about Israel. She thinks Hamas decided to do Oct 7th to stop a rapprochement between Saudi and Israel. Clueless!

 

[A Jay]

This war's untold business model:

Stopped watching after hearing this brilliant bit of insight from her intro:

"I don't think Iran was days away from a nuke and there's no universe where Trump was blind-sided by Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz."

Who wants to tell her?