'Eventually there will be a solar Katrina'

daveOS

Jedi
Searching along the lines of the SOTT find of New York Association of Towns leads the way in readiness for an 'EMP event', I came across this article from NPR Solar Storms Could Be Earth's Next Katrina. The NPR article pretty well echoes the dangers and preparadness needed for such events as told by the Space Daily article but moreso from the solar storm perspective sparing any mention of the possibility of a high-altitude nuclear burst.

The emphasis on the solar storm as the origin for such a catastrophe gave me more pause on this round of considering the possibility of such an event especially in the context of the previous solar storms they reference.
[quote author=Jon Hamilton, NPR article "Solar Storms Could Be Earth's Next Katrina"]Bogdan and Fugate say that eventually there will be another storm as big as the ones in 1921 and 1859 — a sort of solar Katrina.[/quote]

Here's the whole article:
[quote author=Jon Hamilton, NPR article "Solar Storms Could Be Earth's Next Katrina"]A massive solar storm could leave millions of people around the world without electricity, running water, or phone service, government officials say.

That was their conclusion after participating in a tabletop exercise that looked at what might happen today if the Earth were struck by a solar storm as intense as the huge storms that occurred in 1921 and 1859.

Solar storms happen when an eruption or explosion on the surface of the sun sends radiation or electrically charged particles toward Earth. Minor storms are common and can light up the Earth's Northern skies and interfere with radio signals.

Every few decades, though, the sun experiences a particularly large storm. These can release as much energy as 1 billion hydrogen bombs.

How Well Can We Weather The Solar Storm?

The exercise, held in Boulder, Colorado, was intended to investigate "what we think could be close to a worst-case scenario," says Tom Bogdan, who directs the Space Weather Prediction Center in Boulder. The Center is a part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

"It's important to understand that, along with other types of natural hazards, (solar) storms can cause impacts," says Craig Fugate, Administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), who also took part in the tabletop exercise.

Bogdan and Fugate say that eventually there will be another storm as big as the ones in 1921 and 1859 — a sort of solar Katrina.

But the impact is likely to be far worse than in previous solar storms because of our growing dependence on satellites and other electronic devices that are vulnerable to electromagnetic radiation.

In the tabletop exercise, the first sign of trouble came when radiation began disrupting radio signals and GPS devices, Bogdan says.

Ten or 20 minutes later electrically charged particles "basically took out" most of the commercial satellites that transmit telephone conversations, TV shows and huge amounts of data we depend on in our daily lives, Bogdan says.

"When you go into a gas station and put your credit card in and get some gas," he says, "that's a satellite transaction."

Disabled Satellites Are Just The Beginning

The worst damage came nearly a day later, when the solar storm began to induce electrical currents in high voltage power lines. The currents were strong enough to destroy transformers around the globe," Bogdan says, leaving millions of people in northern latitudes without power.

Without electricity, many people also lost running water, heat, air conditioning and phone service. And places like hospitals had to rely on emergency generators with fuel for only two or three days, Bogdan says.

In many ways, the impact of a major solar storm resembles that of a hurricane or an earthquake, says Fugate.

But a solar Katrina would cause damage in a much larger area than any natural disaster, Fugate says. For example, power could be knocked out almost simultaneously in countries from Sweden to Canada and the U.S., he says. So a lot more people in a lot more places would need help.

Individuals don't need to make any special preparation for a solar storm, Fugate says. The standard emergency kit of water and food and first aid supplies will work just fine.

"If you've got your family disaster plan together, you've taken the steps, whether it be a space storm, whether it be a system failure, whether it be another natural hazard that knocks the power out," Fugate says.
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Not a pleasant event to think about, for sure. People just don't think about how fragile our civilization's infrastructure really is, and that it has been created based on the erroneous idea of "that will never happen." Hubris will bring civilization to a halt if cataclysm doesn't do it first.
 
Laura said:
Not a pleasant event to think about, for sure. People just don't think about how fragile our civilization's infrastructure really is, and that it has been created based on the erroneous idea of "that will never happen." Hubris will bring civilization to a halt if cataclysm doesn't do it first.

Exactly. And I don’t know whether to be more frightened by dissociative denial such as “that will never happen” or purposeful renunciation like “I can’t think about that.” Maybe I’m splitting hairs pondering the difference, but I have a better sense of how to interact with those refusing to acknowledge the possibility of something than those who acknowledge the possibility and then refuse to give it consideration.

Out here in the Emerald city where I’m surrounded by educated professionals who can read better than me, I’ve had more than one lawyer friend raise the exact same thoughts Laura mentions about the fragile infrastructure on which we’re functioning and then comment that they ‘can’t see how it’s going to hold together’. The conclusion to such ponderings has invariably been, ‘but I can’t think about it.’

However ‘turning a blind eye’ is accomplished, that “Hubris will bring civilization to a halt if cataclysm doesn’t…” seems a given for more than are willing to forthrightly admit it. As it seems to me, recently reading “High Strangeness” with all the veils it strips away, I now have the sense civilization has been groomed for a collision of those two worst case scenarios.
 
It is really fragile. People forget that for example just one week without electricity would bring us back to horses and steam power.
 
Avala said:
It is really fragile. People forget that for example just one week without electricity would bring us back to horses and steam power.

IMO I would be surprised if most of the population (in the so-called West) would be able to even manage bare survival.
 
rylek said:
IMO I would be surprised if most of the population (in the so-called West) would be able to even manage bare survival.

No, I'm not counting on it. Although this winter has been incredibly mild out here in the PNW, last year was our year for all the "snowpocalypse", "snowmageddon" PR and I was completely knocked sideways by all the support family and friends required to get by. People were running out of basic food, and getting completely stranded. I kept getting volunteered by virtue of my 4x4 and skills navigating mountains in the winter and I couldn't keep up with the calls and all the demands the extreme weather circumstances placed on my basic responsibilities.

It's just amazing to me that despite some of the truly harrowing situations friends and family faced out here last year, that after the dangers passed nobody wants to talk about their poor preparedness and instead insist on focusing on how the government didn't deliver on keeping the streets clear. I've tried to use the situation to make myself more popular by recommending the book When All Hell Breaks Loose (by Cody Lundin) but on top of all the information I'm raining down on folks about ponerology, Secret History and such it doesn't seem to be working ;) .
 
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