Near-Earth objects and close calls

Videos.
We have now discovered 30,039 near-Earth asteroids in the solar system—rocky bodies orbiting the sun on a path that brings them close to Earth's orbit. The majority of these were discovered in the last decade, showing how our ability to detect potentially risky asteroids is rapidly improving.

An asteroid is called a near-Earth asteroid (NEA) when its trajectory brings it within 1.3 Astronomical Units (au) of the sun. 1 au is the distance between the sun and Earth, and so NEAs can come within at least 0.3 au, 45 million km, of our planet's orbit.

Currently, near-Earth asteroids make up about a third of the roughly one million asteroids discovered so far in the solar system. Most of them reside in the asteroid belt between Jupiter and Mars.

Asteroids have been cataloged by astronomers for more than two centuries since the very first asteroid, Ceres, was discovered in 1801 by Giuseppe Piazzi. The first near-Earth asteroid, (433) Eros, was discovered nearly one hundred years later, on 13 August 1898.

The roughly 30 km Eros asteroid was discovered by Carl Gustav Witt and Felix Linke at the Urania Observatory in Berlin and independently by Auguste Charlois at the Nice Observatory. The stony asteroid's orbit brings it to within around 22 million km of Earth—57 times the distance of the Moon.

Not only is Eros the first known NEA, but the first asteroid to be orbited by a spacecraft and the first to have a spacecraft land on it. Early calculations of the space rock's orbit also enabled a precise determination of the then imperfectly known distance between the sun and Earth.

We often hear from astronomers and other scientists about "near-earth asteroids"—lumps of rock and metal that orbit through our Solar System, and pass close enough to our planet to pose an impact risk. But many people wonder what this means, and ask additional questions. How many are there? Where do they come from? And why should we care about them? In less than 90 seconds, our video will answer these questions and more, and show what ESA is doing about the risks they pose, helping to safeguard our planet. Credit: ESA.

How to un-Earth a near-Earth asteroid

Naturally, large asteroids were discovered first as they are so much easier to see. They were thought of as minor planets, a term still used today. As telescopes get more sensitive, we are finding many more and at a great rate, even those down to tens of meters in size.

Ground-based survey telescopes such as the Catalina Sky Survey in Arizona, in the United States, discover new asteroids every week. They are designed to scan large sections of the sky, looking for new objects moving in front of the backdrop of "motionless" stars.

More focused, large telescopes, such as the European Southern Observatory's Very Large Telescope (VLT), can then be used for follow-up observations, helping us better understand a "new" asteroid's path, size and even composition.

Gaia, ESA's space observatory on a mission to catalog one billion stars in the galaxy, has also helped us better understand the asteroid risk.

"Because of Gaia, we know more about the stars in the galaxy which act as a backdrop to asteroid observations," explains Tineke Roegiers, community support for the Gaia mission.

"Asteroid's positions are obtained against these background stars, so, the better one knows where the stars are, the more precisely the orbits of asteroids can be computed."

With the use of "Gaia's stars," even the orbits of already-known near-Earth asteroids have been improved, and some asteroids that were "lost" were found again.

ESA's asteroid risk list

"Of course, any asteroid discovered near Earth qualifies as a near-Earth asteroid, but many are found far from home," explains Marco Micheli, Astronomer at ESA's Near-Earth Object Coordination Center.

"New objects are observed over time, their movements are studied and with just a handful of data points from different nights their future positions can be predicted. Depending on the number and quality of observations, this can extend decades, even hundreds of years into the future."

These images represent radar observations of asteroid 99942 Apophis on March 8, 9, and 10, 2021, as it made its last close approach before its 2029 Earth encounter that will see the object pass our planet by less than 325,000 kilometres. NASA Deep Space Network’s Goldstone Deep Space Communications Complex near Barstow, California, and the Green Bank Telescope in West Virginia used radar to precisely track Apophis’ motion, gathering data that rules out any chance of Earth impact for at least a century. Credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech and NSF/AUI/GBO ESA's Near-Earth Object Coordination Center (NEOCC) in ESRIN, Italy, is home to the Agency's asteroid experts and risk assessors. The team activates its network of telescopes around the globe to get observations of new asteroids discovered and determine their impact risk, while also chasing up "old" asteroids that haven't yet been deemed safe.

Currently, 1,425 asteroids with a "non-zero" chance of impact are under their watchful eye, organized in the NEOCC's Asteroid Risk List which is constantly updated and freely available for anyone to see. You can even sign up to ESA's monthly "Asteroid Newsletter," and the asteroid news will come direct to you.

Will any of these asteroids strike Earth?

Currently, none of the near-Earth asteroids discovered so far are a concern, for at least one hundred years. Some of the smaller objects will and do impact Earth—but the most common are also the smallest and have little effect, except for creating trails of shooting stars as they burn up in the night sky.

When it comes to large and potentially devastating asteroids larger than 1 km across and above, the majority have been discovered and none show an impact risk for at least a century. For those that could impact later, we have plenty of time to study them and prepare a deflection mission.

The current priority are the medium-sized asteroids a few hundred meters in diameter. Many are still out there, waiting to be discovered, and at smallish sizes they're not quite as easy to find.

"The good news is that more than half of today's known near-Earth asteroids were discovered in the last six years, showing just how much our asteroid eyesight is improving," explains Richard Moissl, ESA's Head of Planetary Defense.

"As this new 30,000 detection milestone shows, and as new telescopes and methods of detection are built, it's only a matter of time until we've found them all."





THE UNIVERSITY OF SALAMANCA @usal interviews our coordinator, Prof. @Josep_Trigo of @iSpaceSci @CSIC @IEEC_space
about the mission #DART and the expectations in the future exploration of #Didymos by #Hera in which he participates. https://diarium.usal.es/guillermo/2022/10/eureka-la-mision-dart-el-inicio-de-la-defensa-planetaria-contra-asteroides-con-josep-maria-trigo-rodriguez/ @geolmaster @CSICCat

Dated:
 
This is a view of the fireball that flowed at 0:11:16 on October 20, 2022, as captured by a wide-angle camera pointed northeast from my home in Hiratsuka. It exploded twice during its path. It is believed to be a fireball of the Taurid southern meteor shower. (T.Deepl)

The following fireball seems to me to be space debris because of the almost horizontal trajectory.

They capture #meteor fireball in the skies of #Osorno, southern #Chile 🇨.
#Fireball October 15, 2022.
Credits 🎥 @JavierNach96
Via @deZabedrosky

Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:

Asteroid​
Date​
M.D​
VEL​
DT
2022 TS2
2022-Oct-20​
5.9 LD​
14.3​
43​
2022 UG
2022-Oct-20​
3.6 LD​
9.2​
20​
2022 UL
2022-Oct-20​
6.7 LD​
10.4​
17​
2022 TT2
2022-Oct-21​
6.7 LD​
12.1​
36​
2022 UT
2022-Oct-22​
5.5 LD​
12.2​
19​
2022 RB5
2022-Oct-22​
13.1 LD​
5.3​
115​
2005 AZ28
2022-Oct-24​
11.5 LD​
5.4​
48​
2016 TH94
2022-Oct-25​
19.1 LD​
13.5​
43​
2022 TY
2022-Oct-25​
15.1 LD​
5.1​
21​
2019 AN5
2022-Oct-27​
20 LD​
6.8​
215​
2004 UT1
2022-Oct-29​
4 LD​
6.3​
17​
M.D: miss distance LD: Lunar Distance (distance from the center of Earth to the center of the Moon, approximately 400,000 km)
VEL: Velocity (Km/s)
DT: Diameter (m)
SpaceWeather.com
 
Meteor sighting in southeastern Puerto Rico this Monday, October 17, 2022.

A meteorite was reported to have streaked across the skies of southeastern Puerto Rico at 10:00 pm local time on Monday, said the Astronomical Society of the Caribbean (SAC).

Several people reported the sighting of the meteorite, which was bright as the moon with a greenish color and attracted attention because of its apparent size.

"Although some of the so-called Orionids will be seen on these nights, this one belongs to the Taurids and we anticipate that occasionally a bright one could be seen on some of the nights of the next few weeks," said Eddie Irizarry, science communicator of the SAC.

 
Impact on the moon. The flash can be observed almost at the center of the Moon.

This morning there was a lunar impact flash, a meteorite falling and glowing on the night side of the moon, a flash at 1:48:50.2 on October 20, 2022! I took this photo from my home. The moon has no atmosphere, so no meteors or fireballs can be seen, but it glows at the moment of cratering. It fell west of the Sea of Shinsaku and may have originated from the Orionids meteor shower or the Taurids meteor shower. (T.Deepl)
 
This one was close.

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On October 14, a brilliant fireball was seen by many people in Spain, flying over the Gulf of Cádiz . It was generated by a rock that entered the atmosphere at 53,000 kilometers per hour and came from an asteroid. That phenomenon surprised not only Andalusia, but was even seen in many cities such as Tarragona , more than a thousand kilometers away, José María Madiedo , from the Institute of Astrophysics of Andalusia and responsible for the Smart Project , tells ABC . "Due to its high luminosity, it could be seen from practically the entire Peninsula."

In this sense, ABC has wanted to delve into the question of why these fireballs can now be seen more frequently , especially in Andalusia. And the answer is quite clear. According to Madiedo, it responds to two determining factors. The first of these is that there are currently more detectors to visualize this type of phenomenon . These systems are part of the SMART project(Spectroscopy of Meteoroids in the Atmosphere by means of Robotic Technologies), developed by himself and whose mission is to analyze the interplanetary matter that impacts the Earth thanks to meteoroid video detection equipment in various locations in Andalusia and Castilla-La Mancha. Thus, it may seem that there are more in the community than in other locations.

And another factor to take into account is that the frequency with which they occur is not the same as in the rest of the year . "This time is more propitious for them to be sighted, since these fireballs are associated with meteor showers , since they are formed due to rocks that enter the atmosphere," says the astrophysicist. «In August we had the Perseids or tears of San Lorenzo ; in December we will have the Geminids -high activity meteor shower- and now we are reaching the time of the Taurids -between the end of October and the beginning of November the Earth crosses a river of space dust associated with comet 2P/Encke;tiny grains hit our atmosphere at 104,000 kilometers per hour. At that speed, even the tiniest speck of dust causes an intense beam of light , a meteorite, when it disintegrates – so it is more likely that a larger number of fireballs can now be seen, ”says the astrophysicist.

These phenomena can be seen "from anywhere on the planet" , continues Madiedo, "because they are very bright", however, in Andalusia we have numerous detectors that, thanks to the fact that the Institute of Astrophysics constantly monitors the skies, "anything that If it happens, we will detect it." "These fireballs can be seen from many places, due to their luminosity, but one thing is the area where they fall and another is where they are seen from ." In the case of the Sierra Norte in Seville, it would be one of the most propitious to visualize these phenomena due to the lack of light pollution.

Regarding whether it could be the case of the successful Movistar series 'Blackout' in which we could run out of electricity or technology due to a solar storm, the astrophysicist points out that this could not happen in any case (laughing), "only It would be science fiction."

Side-note:
 
●Russia

Fireball seen in skies over Tomsk, Siberia, #Russia (16.10.2022).

Temporary sunrise in Tomsk

#Meteor appeared in #Russia with a very powerful #light with blue and orange tones. Just as happened recently in #Cadiz the black #sky was briefly illuminated as if the #Sun was shown for a few seconds.

● UK

Meteor fireball over the United Kingdom and northwestern Europe on October 23rd.

67 reports of a fireball seen over England, Hauts-de-France, Noord-Brabant, Normandie, Pays de la Loire, Vlaams Gewest, Wales and Zeeland on Sunday, October 23, 2022,,

Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters

Asteroid
Date​
M.D.
VEL​
DT
2022 UC2
2022-Oct-24​
13.9 LD​
8​
16​
2022 UC7
2022-Oct-24​
0.9 LD
10
10
2022 UV7
2022-Oct-24​
0.6 LD
12.6
5
2022 UD7
2022-Oct-24​
3.3 LD​
14.4​
23​
2022 UH2
2022-Oct-24​
5.7 LD​
11.9​
11​
2005 AZ28
2022-Oct-24​
11.5 LD​
5.4​
48​
2022 UY1
2022-Oct-25​
17.9 LD​
9.3​
30​
2022 UC3
2022-Oct-25​
10 LD​
8.4​
11​
2022 UU2
2022-Oct-25​
2.7 LD​
12.7​
13​
2016 TH94
2022-Oct-25​
19.1 LD​
13.5​
43​
2022 TY
2022-Oct-25​
15.1 LD​
5.1​
21​
2022 UV2
2022-Oct-26​
1.5 LD​
5.8​
8​
2022 UU1
2022-Oct-26​
10.8 LD​
7.2​
22​
2022 UV5
2022-Oct-26​
11.2 LD​
7.1​
26​
2022 UF4
2022-Oct-27​
11.7 LD​
13.2​
46​
2019 AN5
2022-Oct-27​
20 LD
6.8
215
2022 UT5
2022-Oct-28​
7 LD​
9.4​
21​
2022 UM3
2022-Oct-28​
8.7 LD​
7.5​
12​
2022 UD3
2022-Oct-28​
8.4 LD​
6.5​
20​
2004 UT1
2022-Oct-29​
3.9 LD​
6.4​
17​
2022 UW6
2022-Oct-30​
11.3 LD​
4.1​
30​

M.D: miss distance LD: Lunar Distance (distance from the center of Earth to the center of the Moon, approximately 400,000 km)
VEL: Velocity (Km/s)
DT: Diameter (m)
SpaceWeather.com
 
Fascinating video clip
Bright Meteor explodes above Sakurajima Volcano

24 Oct 2022
What is happening in this video? It appears as is there are two, one very bright to the left and one smaller, much smaller just above the volcano cloud crater, from where the hot gasses come up. In the following four screenshots it is visible. In the first it is just very weak, like a clear, slightly elongated star. In the last three, it is quite easy to observe. I kept the images in their maximum size to make it easier to spot.

Screenshot 2022-10-25 212609.jpg
Screenshot 2022-10-25 212807.jpg
Screenshot 2022-10-25 212850.jpg
Screenshot 2022-10-25 212942.jpg
Is it real?
 
What is happening in this video? It appears as is there are two, one very bright to the left and one smaller, much smaller just above the volcano cloud crater, from where the hot gasses come up. In the following four screenshots it is visible. In the first it is just very weak, like a clear, slightly elongated star. In the last three, it is quite easy to observe. I kept the images in their maximum size to make it easier to spot.

View attachment 66042
View attachment 66045
View attachment 66044
View attachment 66043
Is it real?

It is an optical phenomena.

Notice that location and movement are in synchronic to the optical axis - so it always appear in the opposite side, so to speak. Especially with mobile phones but also other optical equipment which have an extra filter on top of the lens (either because of ignorance, or protection, such as surveillance equipment) - you get this phenomena !
 
It is an optical phenomena.

Notice that location and movement are in synchronic to the optical axis - so it always appear in the opposite side, so to speak. Especially with mobile phones but also other optical equipment which have an extra filter on top of the lens (either because of ignorance, or protection, such as surveillance equipment) - you get this phenomena !
Thank you @XPan, I knew you would be the person to resolve the issues. And yes, I did notice the parallel down/up but what was the explanation? It is a nice video recording, and a powerful blast. Will it enter the NASA list?
 
Bright Meteor explodes above Sakurajima Volcano

Well, it looks like Japan had another fireball sighting, this time from Mt. Fuji.

"A bright large fireball appeared just now! This is a view of the fireball that flowed at 3:42:22 on October 26, 2022, as captured by a wide-angle camera pointed south from Fuji. It lit up the night sky as bright as day and left a beautiful meteor trail. Hiratsuka has not been able to determine the orbit due to bad weather."

"Fuji, which was covered with snow yesterday, was momentarily tinted green by the light of a fireball! This is Mt. Fuji as captured by a telephoto camera from Fuji at 3:42 a.m. on October 26, 2022."
(T.Deepl)

 
Note on Mars impacts
Translated from French article in relation to NASA's ailing Mars lander records shockwaves from ice-blasting meteoroid impact -- Sott.net

Several kilometers away, the shock waves from the two impacts had indeed been recorded by the SEIS seismometer, designed by CNES. At the Toulouse Space Center, SISMOC operators receive data from the seismometer, process it and redistribute it to scientists. They manage to find the events and date them to September 18 and December 24, 2021.

'These data are very important because these powerful impacts generated waves that passed through the planet to its core. Until now we only had surface wave recordings. We are very happy because we are doing everything to keep the instrument operational and not miss any earthquakes', explains Charles Yana, SEIS-InSight project manager at CNES. Since landing on November 26, 2018, the InSight mission has aimed to understand the inner workings of the planet Mars. It has officially processed data from 5 meteor impacts, more are being analyzed.
Checking up on the NASA list of Fireballs and looking at the ones from this year, there are so far six at or above 1.2 kt TNT equivalent of energy. Only one in ten are at or above 1.0 kt and only one in 12 is at or above, 1.2 kt. This year there have been 35 events, six of that is about one in six.

In the NASA table, one can select the two coordinates, say 26.6N 165.1E right click, search engine, map, and it should give the location. The example and most others end up in the ocean.
 
Fireball in Chile

Many bright meteors and fireballs were seen this morning, and this is a wide-angle camera view of a fireball at 4:03:22 a.m. on October 29, 2022, pointing north from Fuji. It exploded three times during the process. It was a fireball of the Taurid southern meteor shower, which is reaching its peak. This year's Taurid meteor shower is expected to be more active than usual due to orbital resonance with Jupiter.
 

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