Rising fluxes of cosmic rays inside the solar system

[Antony]

I thought this point and the speculation was interesting:

Nemesis? The Wave?


Also posted here: 'Goddess particle': Earth slammed by ultra-powerful cosmic ray, and we have no idea where it came from -- Sott.net

Chad,
Yep, if best humanity scientists claim that it is totally unexplainable, that should be out off our 3d ‘reality’.

 

[Olivierlejardinier]

Study, published Feb 11 2026, finds statistical correlation between galactic cosmic rays and virus outbreaks:

Environmental Synchronization Between Background Galactic Cosmic Radiation and the Non-Random Timing of Viral Outbreak Emergence

Abstract

Background: The temporal emergence of major viral outbreaks has traditionally been regarded as largely
stochastic, with limited capacity for long-range anticipation. Increasing evidence from heliophysics and
atmospheric science suggests that Galactic Cosmic Ray (GCRs) flux—modulated by solar magnetic
activity and Earth–atmosphere coupling—constitutes a persistent background source of ionizing
radiation and may represent an overlooked environmental driver capable of organizing biological
phenomena across multiple timescales. As a ubiquitous component of the planetary radiation
environment, GCRs continuously interact with biological systems, providing a plausible environmental
context for large-scale temporal modulation without implying direct deterministic causation.

Methods: A total of 514 viral outbreak events (EM-DAT, 1964 to 2025) and GCRs intensity data (Oulu
Cosmic Ray Station) were analyzed using SARIMA forecasting, PELT change-point detection, Granger
causality, cross-spectral and Wavelet Transform Coherence (WTC), and a Vector Error Correction Model
with exogenous harmonic components (VECMX). These methods were applied within an environmental–
ecological time-series framework to evaluate whether large-scale GCRS variability aligns with population-
level viral outbreak dynamics. Harmonic structures corresponding to the Hale (~22-year), Schwabe (~11-
year), annual/semi-annual, and Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) cycles were incorporated to assess
phase synchronization, ecological timing cues, and long-range temporal alignment between cosmic
radiation variability and viral emergence patterns.

Results: GCRs variability signicantly Granger-caused viral outbreak occurrence across all tested lags up
to 12 months (p < 0.05), with maximal signicance within the rst four months (p < 0.0001), while no
reverse causality was detected. Spectral coherence revealed robust phase-locked coupling at the Hale
and Schwabe solar cycles (coherence = 0.91 and 0.85, respectively), indicating long-term
synchronization. Additional statistically signicant coherence was identified at quasi-biennial, annual,
and semi-annual timescales, consistent with GCRs secondary particles modulation by the Quasi-Biennial
Oscillation and seasonal atmospheric shielding. WTC demonstrated sustained coherence at the ≈11-
year Schwabe periodicity. Burst detection analysis further showed clustering of viral outbreak onsets
during periods of low solar activity, notably around the 2009 and 2019 solar minima. Conditional
harmonic VECMX and SARIMA projections indicate a renewed increase in GCRs intensity toward ~2030,
coinciding with the anticipated solar cycle A<0, 25/26 minimum and a corresponding phase-aligned rise
in viral outbreak activity.

Conclusions: Global viral outbreak dynamics exhibit statistically robust, multi-scale synchronization with
GCRs variability. While GCRs are unlikely to act as direct causal agents, they may function as
environmental timing cues or permissive triggers that modulate viral emergence or ecological
susceptibility windows. Incorporation of heliophysical indicators as contextual environmental risk
modiers may enhance early-warning systems and global outbreak preparedness when integrated with
conventional epidemiological surveillance frameworks.

 

[iamthatis]

Study, published Feb 11 2026, finds statistical correlation between galactic cosmic rays and virus outbreaks:

Environmental Synchronization Between Background Galactic Cosmic Radiation and the Non-Random Timing of Viral Outbreak Emergence

It's a good article, in particular for the description of some effects of how the electromagnetic activity of the earth and the sun affect our physiology. Quite a time to be alive, what with PTB bioweapons amidst genetic and immune pressure caused by increased cosmic ray influx.

Biological impact of Galactic Cosmic Rays [GCRs]

The biological impact of GCRs is primarily governed by their high linear energy transfer (LET) and high ionizing potential, characterized by dense energy deposition along the tracks of the charged particles as they traverse biological matter [17, 18]. Unlike low-LET radiation such as X-rays or gamma rays, GCRs and particularly heavy ions with high charge and energy (HZE) like carbon atoms (C), oxygen (O), neon(Ne), silicon (Si), calcium (Ca), and iron (Fe) can produce dense ionization columns that induce complex, clustered genetic lesions that are difficult for cellular mechanisms to repair [18, 19]. When primary GCRs interact with the Earth’s atmosphere, they undergo nuclear spallation. This process generates secondary particle cascades, including neutrons, protons, pions, and muons [19]. Neutrons, despite being uncharged, possess high Relative Biological Effectiveness (RBE) (Fig. 1B). Because they are highly penetrating, they frequently collide with hydrogen nuclei in biological tissue, producing recoil protons that can cause localized, high-density damage [19–21]. These secondary cascades can penetrate the troposphere, contributing to a continuous background of ionizing radiation that fluctuates with solar activities and Earth atmospheric conditions [22, 23].

The resulting genetic damage may occur via two primary pathways, in which high-energy particles directly strike DNA, causing double-strand breaks (DSBs) and locally multiply damaged sites (LMDS) [19,24]. The radiation can induce the radiolysis of water molecules, generating reactive oxygen species(ROS) such as hydroxyl radicals (⋅OH). These radicals cause oxidative base modifications and systemic oxidative stress [19]. In the context of viral dynamics, GCR-induced mutagenic pressure may alter viral quasispecies structure. At moderate levels, such mutational stress could enhance viral diversification, potentially facilitating reactivation or amplification. However, if the mutation rate exceeds the error threshold, viral populations may enter an error-catastrophe regime [24].

Furthermore, GCRs flux is modulated by solar cycle and the Hale Cycle. During solar minima, the weakened HMF allows for increased GCRs penetration into the inner solar system [16]. These periods of elevated GCRs flux, particularly during specific solar magnetic polarities (A < 0 or A > 0), have been hypothesized to act as external mutagenic drivers that may promote abrupt viral genetic shifts, potentially enhancing viral virulence or facilitating zoonotic spillover events [25, 26]. In host populations, chronic exposure to GCR induced secondary radiation can theoretically lead to altered immune responsiveness, potentially compromising the host’s ability to clear emerging viral variants [19, 27–30].

 

[Gaby]

the weakened HMF allows for increased GCRs penetration into the inner solar system

Notice how all papers as of late favors the magnetic pole or the galactic stuff. Not that it's wrong, but comets shine by their absence.

The weakened heliospheric magnetic field could be due to increased cometary-dust from a comet cluster penetrating the solar system, favoring virus-carrying meteoric material to load Earth's atmosphere.

Massive overhead cometary explosion in 536 AD produced almost a 2 year long long dust veil, possibly favoring Justinian's plague.

The Black Death in 1347 was preceded by intense cometary activity. It then saw the big Maunder Minimum with multiple comets witnessed throughout the various centuries while people were dying from the plague up to the 17th century.

And the upcoming grand solar minimum predicted to take place around 2030 could be the incoming comet cluster.