Good article on how PTB is going to move forward with cryptocurrencies. Here's summary:
This article by former Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis warns of severe financial risks posed by the Trump administration's promotion of stablecoins through the recently Senate-passed GENIUS Act.
Key Arguments
What Are Stablecoins? Varoufakis describes stablecoins as a "bastard child" of libertarian cryptocurrency ideals and dollar-centric finance - blockchain-based digital currencies pegged 1:1 to the US dollar. While originally beneficial for unbanked populations and cross-border payments, they're now being weaponized for political purposes.
Current Market Scale
Trump's Strategic Motivation The administration sees stablecoins as serving dual purposes:
- Stablecoins currently represent $250 billion in circulation
- Issuers purchased $40 billion in US Treasury bills in 2024
- Transactions jumped 84% to $752 billion
- Crypto wallets holding stablecoins increased from 27 million to 46 million
- Standard Chartered predicts growth to $2 trillion by 2028
Systemic Risks Identified
- Personal enrichment for Trump and allies
- Economic strategy to devalue the dollar and reduce trade deficits while maintaining dollar dominance through increased Treasury bill purchases by stablecoin issuers
The GENIUS Act's Flaws Varoufakis argues the legislation:
- Reserve Instability: As stablecoins grow beyond $2 trillion, risks from inadequate backing could exceed those of 2007 subprime mortgages
- Banking System Disruption: The Treasury predicts $6.6 trillion in bank deposits migrating to stablecoins, creating dangerous interest rate wedges and yield curve distortions
- Market Concentration Risk: When securities trading moves to blockchain, whichever stablecoin dominates could threaten the entire $29 trillion Treasury market if it fails
- International Contagion: Non-US stablecoin crashes could spread globally, with foreign institutions lacking access to Federal Reserve rescue mechanisms
Global Implications Developing countries face a "trilemma": ban stablecoins (losing benefits), create alternatives, or accept deeper dollarization. China wisely banned stablecoins while developing its digital yuan, but most economies remain vulnerable.
- Creates regulatory loopholes (state regulation for issuers under $50 billion)
- Provides inadequate oversight for systemically important stablecoins
- Crucially prohibits the Federal Reserve from issuing its own digital dollar to compete with China's digital yuan
- Leaves the Fed responsible for cleanup without proper tools
Conclusion Varoufakis concludes the GENIUS Act essentially privatizes money creation and outsources dollar dominance to "Trump-friendly tech lords" while maximizing financial meltdown risk. He calls for immediate opposition to prevent what he sees as an inevitable crash caused by inadequate regulation and institutional capture of monetary policy. The article presents stablecoins as a ticking time bomb that could trigger a financial crisis larger than 2008, enabled by misguided legislation that prioritizes political and personal interests over systemic stability.