Sol (Sun) and its phenomena

There are 3 days left when Earth is within range from the sunspots, though.

This one just came through:

There is a flash of X4.21 in the Sun! The peak was passed at 15:13.

photo_2026-02-04_13-29-36.jpg

Лаборатория солнечной астрономии (XRAS)
 
@Gaby what are the chances that the 20 + M class flares will be sweep up and arrive with latest x flare? that might sum up to a nice kick?

Not from the data available so far.

video: Flash X4.2 on February 4, 2026

A major event (the third most powerful outbreak in 2025-2026) occurred exactly opposite the Earth today at 15:13 Moscow time. An explosion in the case of confirmation of the release of plasma into space from its epicenter can, with such an arrangement and power, lead to an exceptionally strong impact on the planet, but at the moment there are no signs of matter escaping into interplanetary space. At the moment, a very strong pulsed increase in radiation has been recorded in the explosion area. The event is still ongoing. Repeated bursts are possible.

Video in its original quality (9 MB) — link (https://xras.ru/info/images/20260204_X4.2.mp4 ).

And the magnetic pole shift is not imminent either. Not tomorrow nor in the next few weeks anyway. 🙏
 
And it had no plasma ejection. Maybe the "bird" had something to do with it? Temporary window?

The "bird" again? Or a mistake?
An hour ago, the edge of a plasma cloud from the X8.1 flare hit Earth, about a day earlier than expected. In principle, there's time for the auroras to flare up - you can watch them. Over the course of tomorrow, presumably, everything else will gradually start to unfold. Even if there haven't been any major eruptions yet, 60 strong flares over 3 days can't just disappear without a trace.
 
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