Hi rawtruth, and glad to see you back again!
rawtruth said:
However, the Oct. 25 prediction is not being accepted as a total miss by Clif and company due to the swine flu State of Emergency declared by Obama on Oct. 24 and the new deadly flu outbreak in the Ukraine reported the following week....Regarding HPH's "model of modelspace" which had predicted a building of tension in the financial arena, as well as previous HPH predictions of the start of the year-long "death of the dollar," the Oct. 25 call seems to be a miss, although there were a number of articles in the media in the two weeks PRECEDING Oct. 25 which talked about meetings, later denied, among various countries discussing alternatives to the petrodollar, as well as certain financial forecasters (Jim Willie, in particular) talking about the dollar "carry trade" and its certainty to cause eventual collapse .
Yes, I know Oct 25 is being considered a partial hit in retrospect, and I am not sure what to think about it -- I don't have a strong opinion, but it did seem in this case that the buildup was disproportionate to the touted causes which you summarize above. This isn't really the issue that concerns me, though -- if the model itself and/or the interpretations of the data end up being off from time-to-time, then so be it. You just have to remember that its not perfect, and always being refined, and that's that. The more important thing is the nature of the people and motivation behind the project:
rawtruth said:
But Clif's 2012 turn-around on Rense was surprising and disappointing to me as well. I've listened to most of Clif's interviews since the Fall of '08, and his performance here was not only out of character but also wildly inconsistent with his own Bot reports!...Another indicator that his 2012 scenario has a hidden agenda goes to the point of motivation. Clif has always claimed, and I have personally felt his sincerity here, that his motivation in putting out his reports (as well as greatly reducing the price of them this past summer) has to do with his desire to help as many people as possible position themselves for the hard times to come as well as develop their thinking and physical skills such that they will be ready to build local community-based alternatives to the systems of control created by TPTB which he foresees as falling apart in the near future.
I have always had that feeling as well, and the rub is whether or not the sincerity is genuinely there. I think the safest position to take at this point is a neutral one, and to remember that Clif could be honest, but he could also be dishonest, and if he is the latter then the whole point is to obfuscate that fact. I think that the point anart made over on the other HPH thread (note to moderators -- I don't mean to be a pain in the butt, but maybe these two threads should be merged?) is a good one to keep in the back of our minds:
(http://www.cassiopaea.org/forum/index.php?topic=12975.msg116280#msg116280)
I'm also always fascinated by how we tend to assume that others cannot see obvious disinformation artists for what they are - like Rense and Weidner, for instance, and we tend to create benevolent reasons why this is. What is it about our thinking that consistently fills in the blanks for others and comes up with reasons why they can't see the disinformation undercurrent while we can? Oh, yes - I forgot for a moment - it's classic Critical Correction; filling in what is missing in others cognition and behavior with what we would think or do because we assume they are motivated to think and act as we are (when they often are not).
rawtruth said:
So, I'm not ready yet to write Clif off, but just what he's up to recently is certainly puzzling! :P
I'm not writing him off either per se, because I don't believe the evidence exists to firmly identify him as Cointelpro, but I do consider the recent company he keeps worrisome and think the 2012 turn is a red flag. Your hypothesis about his motives could be correct, but I don't think we have any way to be sure at this point one way or another. One thing to remember is that even if sincere, Clif is not networked in the sense that we are on this forum, which makes him vulnerable no matter how smart he might be, and that's another thing that is always a concern since 'there is a program out there for everyone', and that includes Clif. So for now, I am watching and waiting...