Voila! Macron is saved and he has reappointed Sebastien Lecornu as prime minister, just four days after he quit. France is heading to turmoil.
The end of the road for Macron? French political crisis
- Thread starter Niall
- Start date
I don't want to blow our own trumpet, but a key factor in Lecornu and Macron's strategy is the situation in New Caledonia, a French territory sui generis, which is in a race against time to pass a law putting our provincial elections back to mid-2026.
Currently, there are about 40,000 (mostly metropolitan, pro-France) voters out of 200,000 who are locked out of the provincial elections (due to having arrived in NC after 1998) to offer more weight to the pro-independence minority (essentially a majority, but certainly not all of the indigenous population). Just several weeks ago, the Conseil Constitutionel ruled that depriving those French citizens of the vote is not unconstitutional, even though it is recognised as an exceptional measure. So unless the Senate passes that law in the next week or so, the provincial elections will take place in late November with the restricted electoral roll and offer the pro-independence parties a shot at a higher representation in our Congress. However, a sitting government is required to present the bill to the Senate and behold! Lecornu has formed a new government just in time!
Why does this matter? Well, the Bougival Accord to lay the foundation for a new status for NC in the French Republic was signed by all political parties and the State in July (a terrible Accord for the pro-French majority, but that's another story), though the pro-independence radicals have since withdrawn their signatures: the basis of an independence-association with France has been established, as have the almost impossible democratic conditions to obtain it. The pro-independence strategy is based around blocking the 40,000 extra pro-French votes, which gives them a (very slim) chance of gaining sufficient seats in Congress to pressure the State. The pro-France strategy is based around abolishing the electoral restrictions, which would be the case if the Bougival Accord is passed by a referendum in February, which then allows the provincial elections take place with an expanded French-leaning electoral roll.
Should New Caledonia become independent in any shape or form, it would be a massive blow to the Republic and set the path for other overseas territories to follow. I'm not sure Macron's ego would take being remembered as the Man who destroyed the Republic!
To get to the crux of the situation, Sébastien Lecornu has very strong personal ties with the leading pro-French parties after his time as Overseas Territories Minister and settling the situation in NC is one of his two stated priorities, along with the budget. Pro-France New Caledonians are praying that Lecornu gets the bill through the Senate before his government is once again toppled - which it clearly will be very soon!
In Paris, the moving chairs is about gaining time. The question is indeed what will happen once the deadline passes?
Just to clarify my earlier post, the Bougival Accord is itself essentially an ambiguous accord for a form of independence-association, which establishes the almost unobtainable conditions required (under the current institutional and social structure) for New Caledonia to become fully independent.
I hope that makes everything perfectly clear
I hope that makes everything perfectly clear
axj
The Living Force
I wonder what the real reason is why Sarkozy is being punished. He seemed to be the same kind of globalist puppet like Macron.
www.rt.com
Sarkozy to be put in solitary confinement – media
Convicted of campaign-funding irregularities, the ex-president has become the first French leader in modern history to serve prison time
Don Cesar
The Living Force
Difficult to say, what is happening in France currently is unspeakable chaos and the country's institutions are sinking. In any case, his friends in the political class do everything to make him look like a martyr, a beautiful inversion of values.I wonder what the real reason is why Sarkozy is being punished. He seemed to be the same kind of globalist puppet like Macron.
Sarkozy to be put in solitary confinement – media
Convicted of campaign-funding irregularities, the ex-president has become the first French leader in modern history to serve prison time
How telling:
A few 19th century French symbols of empire, wealth and power were stolen on October 19th 2025:
Thieves steal French crown jewels from Louvre in daytime raid, (RFI)
See also ‘Priceless’ jewels stolen from France’s Louvre Museum in four-minute heist (Al Jazeerah), The Paris Jewel Heist - What's Been Stolen from the Louvre? (Video).
A few 19th century French symbols of empire, wealth and power were stolen on October 19th 2025:
Thieves steal French crown jewels from Louvre in daytime raid, (RFI)
Fortunately for Macron the thieves left the crown behind.
See also ‘Priceless’ jewels stolen from France’s Louvre Museum in four-minute heist (Al Jazeerah), The Paris Jewel Heist - What's Been Stolen from the Louvre? (Video).
zak
The Living Force
It is certainly Macron's marketing team that, in order to divert some of the frustration and anger of the French people, threw them the Sarkozy bone to keep them occupied, just to buy time to continue plundering France as much as possibleI wonder what the real reason is why Sarkozy is being punished. He seemed to be the same kind of globalist puppet like Macron.
Sarkozy to be put in solitary confinement – media
Convicted of campaign-funding irregularities, the ex-president has become the first French leader in modern history to serve prison time
I don’t know how likely it is, but it wouldn’t surprise me if Brigitte Macron is walking around the Elysee Palace in these stolen jewels now - Macron being ‘Little Napoleon’ and on shaky ground, unsure whether he can hang on to the presidency for another two years.
I can imagine they’ve had their eye on the Napoleonic jewellery for years and often talked about owning them, simply because it’s them, and they’re entitled to them. If they were ever going to have them, it had to be now.
axj
The Living Force
It also sets the precedent of a recent president in jail once he is out of office. Maybe Macron thinks he has better protection against something like that happening to him.It is certainly Macron's marketing team that, in order to divert some of the frustration and anger of the French people, threw them the Sarkozy bone to keep them occupied, just to buy time to continue plundering France as much as possible
They can dream of course, and probably do, but there are people behind them, don't you think.
Oddly enough a storm went through Ermont, a suburb north of Paris on Monday, some large construction cranes came tumbling down:
And today Nicolas Sarkozy is off to prison accompanied to the destination by his wife:
Macron is still so high up there are people to take care of details
Andrew Bridgen thinks other European leaders could be prison candidates too. He does not mention money or covering up a second man/first lady, but for crimes against humanity:
Dylou
Jedi Master
I completely agree with you, Zak. Sarkozy's imprisonment allows us to preserve the illusion that our institutions are functioning properly. Meanwhile, the plan is unfolding smoothly... but for how long?C'est certainement l'équipe marketing de Macron qui, afin de détourner une partie de la frustration et de la colère du peuple français, leur a jeté l'os de Sarkozy pour les occuper, juste pour gagner du temps pour continuer à piller la France autant que possible
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