I've been watching relatively closely the gas storage situation in Germany for several months. Last year in May, the new government declared that the gas storage should only be filled up to 80% until the end of November, instead of 90%. This is 10% less than in the last few years. Last year in April, the gas storage already reached about 28% and was already a record low. Right now the German capacity is about 35%, and there are still two more months to heat, since officially the winter goes until the end of March/ April, depending on the weather.
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Today we have the 15th of February:
The current storage of the total official gas chambers is about 24,40% filled (it always lags about two days behind). As I wrote above, the pressure and the different chambers (pore storage and cushion gas) can become a problem at a certain percentage, plus the actual demand. That means, in a high demand (too cold), i.e. the industry cannot be delivered with that much gas as it is needed. Markus Schall wrote an extensive article about the gas chambers in Germany, and that it is a non-linear effect. That means it still can work with a storage below 20%.
Code:
https://www.markus-schall.de/2026/01/sinkende-gasspeicher-in-deutschland-technik-grenzen-und-politische-konsequenzen/
The problem I, personally, see at this moment:
On the 8th of March are state elections in one of the (former) engines of Germany, Baden-Wuerttemberg (Mercedes, Daimler-Truck, Bosch, Porsche (VW group), SAP, and some chemical plants). Chancellor Merz seems to avoid the topic until the elections, since the Greens are still running the state, though Kretschmann won't apply anymore. CDU is leading in current polls, followed by the Greens and the AfD. And it was the Greens under Habeck who reduced the total gas chamber storage last May. Though I was wrong that it was already the new government. Interestingly enough, some commentators on mainstream media wish the Greens and Habeck back.
Furthermore, the car industry still suffers, and so do its suppliers. Mercedes suffered about another 5 billion in net profit. In 2023: About 14 billion net profit; in 2024, 10 billion; and in 2025, about 5 billion. And VW surprised with another 6 billion of a more or less sudden net profit (cash flow), with which they like to pay the managers their bonuses. And it should not be forgotten that VW already sent 2025 11.000 workers home under a voluntary severance program (older workers, for example), and VW transformed a former fabric in Dresden into a development thingy. Of course, the trade union isn't happy about it.
It is interesting to see that the pressure of the gas chambers is falling and the pressure and heat of the industry and politics are rising. Again, let's wait and see.