The Situation in Mexico

I don't know the date nor place of the shooting of these videos. This was posted today morning and the poster says:

Terror in the early hours in Jalisco
Roadblocks, clashes, and burned-out vehicles bring towns such as Tonayán, Cihuatlán, Tecolotlán, and Autlán to a standstill.
A red alert is issued and the population experiences hours of fear and uncertainty.
The nightmare continues...


Supposedly the country is back to normal after the first day, but I keep seeing videos like these ones on social media. I guess we can conclude it's not all that quiet after all.

Another video of an attack on a government building in the town of Jiquilpan, Michoacán (apparently yesterday):

 
Supposedly the country is back to normal after the first day, but I keep seeing videos like these ones on social media. I guess we can conclude it's not all that quiet after all.

Supposedly. I saw similar videos/reports at Facebook yesterday night. There were also alarms due to grass fires.

And there are also from this morning.
Burned vehicles reported on the Lagos de Moreno highway, before reaching the Jalostotitlán toll booth and heading towards Guadalajara.
Tuesday, February 24, 7:08 a.m.

According to this guy, the second phase has started. The elite military team called Murciélagos (Bats) has arrived for surgical operations, so to speak. But I don't know what that means for the population, small towns, or large cities.
 
A viral video shows two foreign men stealing merchandise and causing damage in a convenience store in Puerto Vallarta, Jalisco, amid the climate of confusion and violence that erupted after the death of Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, leader of the CJNG, on February 22.
Outrage grew on social media over the lack of consequences; some reports suggest that the men ended up returning the items due to the pressure exerted on them after being exposed.
At the same time, FEMSA reported more than 200 incidents at OXXO stores and gas stations, forcing preventive closures and the activation of security protocols; reopening began gradually in coordination with authorities.



 
I don't know this guy but he makes an interesting point:


Here's the translation:

Mexico ruined Donald Trump's party.

In music, theater, and politics, silences are part of the message. Sometimes it is the silences that make all the other elements make sense.

Don't you find it strange that neither Donald Trump nor Marco Rubio have come out to congratulate or take a stance with Mexico on what happened over the weekend? It was only the White House press secretary who, out of mere formal and institutional diplomacy, addressed the issue, without the political component that characterizes Trump. The president takes credit every time one of his government's demands is met by Mexico, but he has remained silent on the most important one.

Considering that Trump made Mexico and its criminal groups the main focus of his last campaign, it makes no sense that he has not come out to address the issue. At the time of writing, there has been no message. Everything points to him being unhappy that the political trophy has been taken away from him. It was not the Navy Seals or Delta Force who carried out the operation, as in Venezuela, but the Army Special Forces, the National Guard Reaction Group, and the Air Force. There is data to support this hypothesis:

Defense Secretary General Trevilla mentioned in the morning briefing that the operation was carried out with intelligence from U.S. agencies, without operational presence. The operation was planned in less than two days and carried out immediately. The first thing that stands out is that the Navy, which had been the institution that collaborated most directly with the neighboring country, was left out.

The United States had the perfect trap: a few months before the World Cup, they shared intelligence with the Army about his location, valid for a weekend, with the threat that if Mexico didn't do it, they would. Classifying the cartels as terrorists allows the joint forces of the US Armed Forces or the well-known JSOC, which operated in the Middle East, to carry out precision attacks with drones. The attack on Nemesio Oseguera under this regulatory framework was very attractive; far from urban centers, in a remote location with no or few casualties among the armed forces or civilians. Mexico does not have a regulatory framework that allows for such attacks because it is still governed by the rules of combat from the previous generation: repelling attacks, advancing troops on the ground to surround a target and seek to apprehend them, as it is illegal to formally target a criminal.

What Trump did not believe would happen did happen: the Army carried out the operation, with information of little use, with great risks of casualties and with the pressure of having the threat of the United States hanging over it prior to the World Cup. Trump's silence is explained by the fact that he will no longer be able to accuse the Mexican government of corruption and inefficiency, putting an end to his internal discourse ahead of the upcoming midterm elections.

In short, if Mexico is doing its job, there's no excuse for further intervention. I too was wondering where was Trump's colorful reaction. The only thing I would point out from the text is that the intel that the US provided I believe was complementary but not what determined the actual location of 'Mencho'. That came apparently through a girlfriend that was either in contact or being tracked by the Mexican Army.
 
A viral video shows two foreign men stealing merchandise and causing damage in a convenience store in Puerto Vallarta, Jalisco, amid the climate of confusion and violence that erupted after the death of Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, leader of the CJNG, on February 22.
Outrage grew on social media over the lack of consequences; some reports suggest that the men ended up returning the items due to the pressure exerted on them after being exposed.
At the same time, FEMSA reported more than 200 incidents at OXXO stores and gas stations, forcing preventive closures and the activation of security protocols; reopening began gradually in coordination with authorities.
This is what people saw/experienced on Sunday in Puerto Vallarta (tourists, residents, citizens). I can understand their circumstances to some extent... I wonder if I wouldn't do the same if... I don't know...if I were in Uganda and suddenly found myself in a similar violent situation and my family needed to eat. Pretty much every grocery store was closed on Sunday, yesterday some opened.

 
After months of Trump pushing the "Mexico is run by Cartels" narrative, and threatening to send US troops to Mexican territory, it seems to me that Sheinbaum had no choice but to comply and "do something", or at least to allow for something to happen.

I'm appreciating all you guys' posts about the situation. Keep 'em coming!

I stumbled upon this today (unfortunately heavily written with the use of AI), and I'm not sure I buy it, but they postulate that instead of it being that Sheinbaum had to comply/do something/allow for something to happen, she/her govt. wanted to remove a CIA asset to send a message.


This didn’t happen under a president aligned with Washington.

It happened under a president who:
  • supports Cuba
  • criticizes Israel
  • challenges U.S. influence
  • signals a more independent foreign policy
That context changes the meaning of the event.

If Mexico is repositioning itself geopolitically, then removing a cartel leader who may have benefited from past arrangements becomes more than a law‑enforcement victory. It becomes a political statement.

It doesn't seem very plausible if we believe that the US govt helped. But having just read @Windmill knight's post as I'm writing this, maybe there is something there? I don't know... Trump's lack of boasting is interesting...

To me, FWIW, if it's about timing, this would fit better: Geopolitics and the Weaponizing of the periodic table A desperate attempt to control resources because the US is seeing its options more and more limited.
 
The American couple Doug and Mish from Puerto Vallarta say that even with what happened yesterday, they feel safer in Mexico than in the United States. The woman says she went out for a walk in the morning and that everything is calm and beautiful.

Laura Loomer, among others, is not going to like this. There are even voices here and there demanding that the World Cup not be held in Mexico. A World Cup that brings no fiscal benefit to Mexico thanks to the contract signed by former President Peña Nieto.

An elitist World Cup, since very few, not the average Mexican, can afford tickets costing more than $20,000 pesos (approximately $1,176).
Sheinbaum considers lawsuit against Elon Musk
President @Claudiashein said her team is evaluating legal action against businessman @elonmusk after he claimed that she "repeats what cartel leaders tell her to say."
However, she downplayed the allegations and said that the only thing that matters to her is the opinion of the people.​

Sheinbaum continues to enjoy approval ratings above 50%, and this is something the opposition is fighting against. The incidents in Jalisco represented a great opportunity that was exploited with fake news and videos generated with IA

Mexico is not on fire.
 
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