Trump's 'Liberation Day': US govt imposes tariffs to 'reset' global trade, 'MAGA', 'defeat' China - Will it work?

[Puma]

On May 16, Moody's downgraded the credit rating of the United States from "Aaa" to "Aa1", i.e., from exceptional creditworthiness with virtually no risk of default to a slightly lower capacity to meet its obligations compared to Aaa. This was due to the sustained increase in public debt; according to the rating agency, US federal debt has grown significantly, projected to reach 134% of GDP by 2035, up from 98% in 2024. Other factors noted by Moody's include persistent fiscal deficits, political uncertainty and interest costs.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1923758911552692302

The downgrade has only happened twice before, both of which led to volatile market reactions:

1) 8/5/11 - Standard & Poor's downgrade.

S&P downgraded the U.S. rating from AAA to AA+, citing political uncertainty during the debt ceiling crisis and the lack of a credible medium-term fiscal plan.

2) 8/1/23 - Fitch downgrade

Fitch downgraded the U.S. rating from AAA to AA+, due to fiscal deterioration, repeated borderline debt ceiling negotiations and governance concerns.

US Treasury Secretary Bessent commented on Moody's downgrading the US' credit rating: "I don't put much credence in Moody's".

Bessent called Moody's a "lagging indicator," arguing that credit rating agencies often reflect conditions already known to the market. He said the reasons for the downgrade, such as rising debt and interest costs, are already built into investor expectations and do not represent significant news. He also noted that, despite the downgrade, there is strong confidence in the U.S. economy, evidenced by "billions of dollars" of foreign investment coming into the US, especially from nations such as Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1924448704469340218

Credit ratings are used more as a political weapon than a real indicator of what is happening in a country's economy. Mexico, for example, has been downgraded by Moody's several times. On November 14, 2024 Moody's changed Mexico's rating outlook from stable to negative, although it maintained the overall rating at Baa2. This decision was based on institutional weakening, particularly due to the judicial reform, the increase in the fiscal deficit and Pemex's debt burden.

However, the markets reacted (as expected) at the beginning of the week and painted themselves in red.

The trade war continues:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1924454893047148894

Good question

https://twitter.com/x/status/1923752737889485238

 

[Puma]

Here we go.

The trade war is back after a brief pause, Trump just threatened 50% tariffs on the EU beginning June 1st and 25% tariffs on Apple.

Shortly after Trump's announcement to increase tariffs, Bessent said more trade "deals" are coming. Bessent seems to have missed the memo. “These deals are moving quickly, and I think as we approach the end of the 90-day period, we’re going to see more and more of them announced" he said.

As expected, when the 50% tariff was announced, the stock markets reacted downward.




Falling U.S. bond yields generally indicate a decline in interest rates. A fall in yields may reflect expectations that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates or adopt a more accommodative monetary policy.

Let's wait and see the outcome of Trump's strategy as he wages a separate war with Powell.

By the way the U.S. Supreme Court on Thursday noted that the Federal Reserve is immune from personnel changes pushed by President Donald Trump and argued that the Fed was a "uniquely structured quasi-private entity that follows the distinctive historical tradition of the First and Second Banks."

So Trump cannot fire Fed Chairman, i.e Powell, yet the Supreme Court upheld Trump's firing of the two labor board members who challenged their ouster earlier this year.
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[BHelmet]

Falling U.S. bond yields generally indicate a decline in interest rates.

Ya think? It also means someone (the Fed) is buying the bonds which means piling on even more debt. Foreign countries are pissed about the tariffs and not buying US bonds. They also see the skyrocketing debt and US interest on the debt and another bloated budget that creates even more debt. US is a zombie. Japan has always bailed the US out by buying the debt but they need to dump US bonds and buy their own debt. It’s all part of the dynamic financial tension these days. (Next step false flag? You don’t have need to be a psychic to predict what’s coming. Then again, never underestimate the system’s ability to kick the can down the road)

A fall in yields may reflect expectations that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates or adopt a more accommodative monetary policy.

All the Fed can do is lower interest rates on short duration bonds. The longer bonds will stay up or go higher. Lower short rates equals weaker dollar equals higher inflation. IOW the inevitable bubble burst. Slow Mo train wreck. Just a matter of when.

 

[KJS]

If the price goes to 1.01$ I lose everything. If the price goes to 20$ in the next wave at around the end of June (as per my chart idea here), I will have (173k *20$) -160k-170k $ debt. And the knowledge to 'ride' the next multiplier wave (that would likely be coming after a short correction) if the scenario in my chart idea plays out.

Yikes! You've put all your eggs in one basket. Isn't it better to bet on commodities instead? I mean, we do know that we are heading into more significant crop failure times and that, most likely, Israel will finally get into conflict with Iran, causing oil price spikes.

I think that it is very hard to bet on one cryptocurrency. Especially since quite a few "silent" ones are much, much better than Ripple technologically (but I admit that I've looked at the Ripple source code only briefly, and that I hate C++). One that BlackRock is betting on is Ondo. Solana and Cardano have the best developer experiences and support (especially Solana, which is why so many memecoins are based on it). And there's Hedera, which isn't that prominent in the news, but has backing from large corporations:

Hyundai Motor Company and Kia Corporation, both part of the Hyundai Motor Group, utilize the Hedera network for their Supplier CO2 Emission Monitoring System (SCEMS) and the Integrated Greenhouse Gas Information System (IGIS). These systems leverage Hedera's blockchain technology, specifically the Hedera Hashgraph, to track, manage, and monitor carbon emissions across their supply chains with transparency and accuracy.

Honestly, I'm having problems with betting on cryptocurrencies from a moral perspective, as I'm sending a signal to the Universe that I'm willingly participating in the tightening of the control system. Cashing out on the falling fiat and buying farmland feels like a good strategy, but if this works out as intended, one's crop CO2 output will still be managed by Hedera Hashgraph, enforced by the coercive apparatus...

 

[Serendipity]

Yikes! You've put all your eggs in one basket. Isn't it better to bet on commodities instead? I mean, we do know that we are heading into more significant crop failure times and that, most likely, Israel will finally get into conflict with Iran, causing oil price spikes

Based on all the pieces of information/puzzle I have connected, there is no doubt in my mind that the price of XRP is going to reach the levels that it's chart points to. From where I stand it might as well be looked as 'free money', and I'm aware that there is nothing free in the universe, and I paid a price for the knowledge I have that is also giving me confidence in what I am able to see. It's the same concept as knowing that 4D STS entities exist. There is no single direct proof of it, there is only the pieces of the puzzle/information that are pointing to and confirming their existance and their nature.

The only risk that worries me a bit is that I borrowed even more money since then to increase my leveraged long position, so the liquidation price (at which I'd lose it all) is now a bit higher/nearer. It will be tense few more days till early June cycle low and when the price should start going to it's 1.618 target of near to 26$.

And everything, from the long term cycles and fractals, to the short term cycles and fractals inside the charts, to the traces of the hidden hands moving the markets and global liqudity, to the Trump tariffs narrative, to the latest Cs goodbye message hints, and even the mysterious xrp riddler figures (since from around 2018), is pointing to xrp price chart repeating the pattern from it's last cycle, big things/news related to xrp being used in a big way, dotcom bubble like 'digital economy' bubble about to start in earnest, and the transformation of the financial system planned to be coincided with or to follow shortly after a final crash/grand supercycle end of the current system(stock market chart.. DJI).

I wanted to share what I see with people here, but it's not as easy as that. It's the same as being able to share the existence of 4D STS with people who aren't aware of the realities outside of their daily matrix reality. They would have to gather the pieces of the puzzle/information on their own and connect them together to make them their own knowledge. That is how it works. There is no free lunch in the universe. Knowledge has to be (l)earned.
Wish me luck cause I intend to be able to do some good with the money that will come to me soon, and I went in a bit too crazy/greedy and I'm aware of the risk.

 

[Carl]

I wanted to share what I see with people here, but it's not as easy as that. It's the same as being able to share the existence of 4D STS with people who aren't aware of the realities outside of their daily matrix reality. They would have to gather the pieces of the puzzle/information on their own and connect them together to make them their own knowledge. That is how it works. There is no free lunch in the universe. Knowledge has to be (l)earned.
Wish me luck cause I intend to be able to do some good with the money that will come to me soon, and I went in a bit too crazy/greedy and I'm aware of the risk.

Of course, none of us have ever studied markets, fractals, charts, cycles etc. Speaking of 4D STS, guess who controls the markets, and is pushing all your "I'm a genius" buttons right now?

You should not be worried about being wrong on this trade, rather about being right. It will fuel a megalomania that will make the eventual ruin much worse.

I highly advise that you back off the extra leverage while it's still possible.

Let's say you're right: you have cracked the code. Then why do you need to risk it and win it all in one trade? There will be many more opportunities to apply the same methodology, even this year. You can stack ad infinitum. But if you're wrong, at least you're not wanting to jump off a bridge.

 

[axj]

I wanted to share what I see with people here, but it's not as easy as that. It's the same as being able to share the existence of 4D STS with people who aren't aware of the realities outside of their daily matrix reality. They would have to gather the pieces of the puzzle/information on their own and connect them together to make them their own knowledge. That is how it works. There is no free lunch in the universe. Knowledge has to be (l)earned.

If you are as knowledgeable in trading as you claim, you should know that diversification is key, as well as balancing very risky bets with less risky ones. Putting it all in just one leveraged long may be a sign of greed.

Honestly, I'm having problems with betting on cryptocurrencies from a moral perspective, as I'm sending a signal to the Universe that I'm willingly participating in the tightening of the control system.

There may still be some good that can come out of the cryptocurrency space, eg. the fully anononymous cryptocurrencies like Monero. In many ways, open source crypto may be similar to things like the Internet - it depends on what you do with it. On the other hand, something like CBDCs has pretty much no redeeming qualities.

 

[Serendipity]

Of course, none of us have ever studied markets, fractals, charts, cycles etc. Speaking of 4D STS, guess who controls the markets, and is pushing all your "I'm a genius" buttons right now?

You should not be worried about being wrong on this trade, rather about being right. It will fuel a megalomania that will make the eventual ruin much worse.

I highly advise that you back off the extra leverage while it's still possible.

Let's say you're right: you have cracked the code. Then why do you need to risk it and win it all in one trade? There will be many more opportunities to apply the same methodology, even this year. You can stack ad infinitum. But if you're wrong, at least you're not wanting to jump off a bridge.

Wisely said.
I didn't crack the code. I'm just confident about my ability to see the big picture of where it's heading to (markets and the financial system), and I am able to see some patterns that are repeating and coinciding with the other patterns at exactly the right time as if controlled by a hidden hand (man behind the curtain).
My main point is exactly that. If I really do see it correctly, it has already been set in motion. And why not profit from it. Doesnt have to be xrp in specific (there are other opportunities if indeed the 'digital economy' bubble is starting), thats just me (and based on what I see it seems to have already been the chosen one as a important part of the new system)

 

[Serendipity]

If you are as knowledgeable in trading as you claim, you should know that diversification is key, as well as balancing very risky bets with less risky ones. Putting it all in just one leveraged long may be a sign of greed.

Yes I know I acknowledged unwiseness and greed of my decision and in the same time shared it here openly as a way of taking accountability for my action and as an attempt to share something I think I am able to see. If I lose it all fine. If I win I can share, even finer still. So I am aware I might be wrong.
But in the case that time proves what I think I see being true, maybe we could also gain new awareness about the reality we live in from it. It's archived here for that case too.

Maybe I (we) went a bit off topic by discussing my recklesness with money.

Still I insist the Trump tariffs part of the show is directly connected to digitisation of everything -- big shift/transformation of the financial system -- Trump and the powers behind him being aware that the current system and it's cycle is about to end('die') -- and very possibly with XRP already being part of the plan of the renewal of the system, maybe even the way of saving the system from total collapse and the world from huge depression, or at least it could be presented as such.

Let's see what happens.

 

[axj]

and very possibly with XRP already being part of the plan of the renewal of the system, maybe even the way of saving the system from total collapse and the world from huge depression

What Catherine Austin-Fitts says here is most likely the current plan on how the financial system will be renewed - most likely with stablecoins and maybe with RWA projects (tokenization of real world assets).

As far as I can tell, there are no RWA projects on the XRP blockchain, but there are a few stablecoins on it. However, XRP stablecoins are hardly used compared to the stablecoins on Tether, Solana, Ethereum and Tron.

From all this it does not look like XRP will become the center of the renewed system.

Yes I know I acknowledged unwiseness and greed of my decision and in the same time shared it here openly as a way of taking accountability for my action and as an attempt to share something I think I am able to see. If I lose it all fine. If I win I can share, even finer still. So I am aware I might be wrong.
But in the case that time proves what I think I see being true, maybe we could also gain new awareness about the reality we live in from it. It's archived here for that case too.

This doesn't make any sense. You acknowledge the greed and unwiseness of what you are doing, yet somehow you think this will help people "gain new awareness about the reality we live in"?

The fact that the current system will most likely be renewed or replaced is pretty obvious. You are certainly not the only one seeing this. And this has nothing to do with whether your greed pays off or not with the XRP leveraged trading.

 

[iamthatis]

What Catherine Austin-Fitts says here is most likely the current plan on how the financial system will be renewed - most likely with stablecoins and maybe with RWA projects (tokenization of real world assets).

As far as I can tell, there are no RWA projects on the XRP blockchain, but there are a few stablecoins on it. However, XRP stablecoins are hardly used compared to the stablecoins on Tether, Solana, Ethereum and Tron.

From all this it does not look like XRP will become the center of the renewed system.


This doesn't make any sense. You acknowledge the greed and unwiseness of what you are doing, yet somehow you think this will help people "gain new awareness about the reality we live in"?

The fact that the current system will most likely be renewed or replaced is pretty obvious. You are certainly not the only one seeing this. And this has nothing to do with whether your greed pays off or not with the XRP leveraged trading.

I agree. IIRC, Slavoj Zizek wrote about this as 'cynical knowledge' - knowledge that I'm doing something foolish, but doing it anyways. It's the hallmark of being externally driven, taken off by an idea, ideology, program, etc.

And speaking of being externally driven, @Serendipity, the C's have said the following:

(L) Yeah, so we would like to have an end of the year statement. Anything that we haven't asked, that we should have asked, that we would've asked if we'd been in a less discombobulated state of mind? Would you please tell us? We're asking sincerely.

A: Be aware that your own group is under scrutiny and subject to attack if all are not fully aware and communicating. It would be helpful for all of you to read Paul's letter about love a few times per week and ponder each aspect in relation to yourself and others. Times ahead are going to be shocking and unstable. Hold fast to your network and do not allow yourselves to be stampeded or externally driven. Ask when needed and we will be here. Peace be with you. Goodbye.

Stampeded could easily mean seeing a bull market and then, for some strange reason, gambling with everything.

Betting everything, then saying 'Yeah, I may lose it all' in a sort of cavalier way indicates to me that you may not be capable of properly assessing risk, and may have a tendency to dive into things head-first with undue optimism because of left-brain analytic overdrive or inability to manage your dopaminergic urges. Or on a deeper level, you may not really care about yourself (your money is your energy, after all) due to childhood programming. I'm not quite sure, but those are questions to ask yourself. And I say all of this with a personal cringe because I'm quite familiar with all these thing, and I have to ride my brake pretty hard to not get carried away.

I think it'd be a good idea to slow down, think more philosophically about why you do what you do, and how you do it - ask more questions about your motives and your actions and thinking - and spend less time trying to make a ton of money.

"Do not store up for yourselves treasures on earth, where moths and vermin destroy, and where thieves break in and steal. But store up for yourselves treasures in heaven, where moths and vermin do not destroy, and where thieves do not break in and steal. For where your treasure is, there your heart will be also."

That's not to say don't play the stock market or try to make money or whatever, but the way you're doing it seems like a 'stampede' scenario to me.

My two cents.

 

[daddycat]

The only risk that worries me a bit is that I borrowed even more money since then to increase my leveraged long position, so the liquidation price (at which I'd lose it all) is now a bit higher/nearer.

Sell longs, go flat.

Sell.

Sell.

 

[Puma]

I have a bad feeling about this..

The U.S. Court of International Trade unanimously ruled that President Donald Trump exceeded his authority by imposing sweeping tariffs on imports from numerous countries under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). The court issued a permanent injunction, nullifying tariffs including 25% duties on Canadian and Mexican products, a 20% tariff on Chinese goods, and a 10% universal tariff on most imported U.S. goods, citing that IEEPA does not grant the president "unbounded tariff authority."

The Trump administration immediately appealed the decision to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit, with potential for further escalation to the Supreme Court.

Financial markets reacted positively, with the U.S. dollar and equities rising. However, tariffs on specific industries like steel, aluminum, and automobiles, imposed under Section 232, were unaffected by this ruling.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1927879493328183317

The invalidation of the tariffs resulted in the #TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) trend. This term, coined by Wall Street analysts, describes a pattern in which Trump's threats to impose high tariffs generate initial declines in the markets, but then he backs off or the measures are blocked, leading to a rally in stocks.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1927768620504948765

Please don't make this man angry, the rest of the world is going to pay the price.


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[axj]

Please don't make this man angry, the rest of the world is going to pay the price.

You still keep avoiding this:

Puma, I think you have a consistently negative bias against Trump and you view everything he does through that lens. Each instance that you write or quote about Trump may not be wrong per se, but you, deliberately or not, tend to ignore the context, the bigger picture that Trump is operating within. It has become so obvious and consistent that I tend to skip and ignore anything you write about Trump although you write a lot about him.

I don't know why you have such bias about Trump. But I think it would be good for you to examine that. Unless, of course, that you prefer your own view of Trump and have no wish to examine that.

Great question, I'd suggest @Puma, if you'd like to address this, then it may be better to discuss it in separate thread. So as to not distract from this discussion.

 

[Puma]

You still keep avoiding this:

Well I suggest you do the same and don't waste your time.

I tend to skip and ignore anything you write about Trump.

If you want to make yourself visible to even get your pass to the private forum possibly confrontation is not a good idea. You are in the forum for 18 years. So bye, I am well within my rights to ignore you (there is even an ignore button on the forum, use it)​