Brace Yourselves For War Between Iran and Israel

I'd say thit is the part where the Israelis and their CIA friends reach for the bag of dirty tricks. False flag, either a terrorist attack or an attack on an aircraft carrier or US base; or a scandal involving Trump; or impeachment; or blackmail; or increased pressure from his inner circle; or another murder attempt; or a combination of any of those.
If we keep track of Trump's statements day by day, it is obvious that he was under tremendous pressure. Having watched company managers flip flop on their position, it is bau (business as usual) aka 'they don't have control' over the situation or can't even understand the depth of the variables in the situation. IMO, the same with trump.

Remember one of the hypothesis suggested during last Nov/Dec UFO flap. It was told that Israel might have sneaked dirty nuke into US to explain "Flap". During the last 20 years, the same narration was used to explain some other events. i.e. If the Israel becomes desperate, they can use the same narration to blackmail Trump, if Israel becomes desperate. We don't know whether it is real or not, but there is a high possibility given the history.

There is another one from few days back Iran wants to kill Trump, plotted assassination: Netanyahu's explosive claim - aka Israel wants to do it. So blackmails always going on.

What would have happened if Trump was not the president or "some body" like Biden/Kamala was the president? Probably Bibi wouldn't have felt the desperation to attack Iran. IF he found desperation, US would have jumped on to the war by this time. i.e. Trump flip flopping means, he is resisting with all these contradictory statements. At least that is how looks to me.
 
I think it is worth to repost what Dugin said here:

There could be some truth to what Dugin just said:


„We have to be strategic. Trump is still the chance for humanity to avoid final catastrophe imposed on us by globalists. It is better to support him, trying to correct and improve his mistakes rather than abandon him at all.“


and here:

Another good one by Dugin:


Sure US doesn't need suicidal wars. Trump theoretically can stop them. The others can not and will not. Globalists are pure evil. Trump is in the middle between evil and good. His hesitation between two metaphysical poles is already great thing in very dark times. Be patient.

What about this idea:

Trump in one way or the other is a channel for forces while he probably isn’t really aware of it and it is our job (and quite literally all of us in the world who aim for something higher/good!) to in one way or the other try to make the channel aware that he can also tune in to the good side of the “information field“ if he wants and make a decision based not only on the bad radio stations but also the good stations and compare it to what is in his own instincts that is probably leaning more towards STO.

If so, what everyone of us does in this and upcoming crucial crossways might be of significant importance to how things will turn out at the end. Sharing and discussing here and in places like X might create butterfly effects between all people with good will worldwide, eventually co-informing each other on what is really going on nonlinearly, and by doing so, eventually constantly also reaching people close to Trump with good will who then can inform the channel. And then the channel can decide.

Are we seeing a battle fought trough people like Trump through the influence of people worldwide?
 
I think it is worth to repost what Dugin said here:




and here:



What about this idea:

Trump in one way or the other is a channel for forces while he probably isn’t really aware of it and it is our job (and quite literally all of us in the world who aim for something higher/good!) to in one way or the other try to make the channel aware that he can also tune in to the good side of the “information field“ if he wants and make a decision based not only on the bad radio stations but also the good stations and compare it to what is in his own instincts that is probably leaning more towards STO.

If so, what everyone of us does in this and upcoming crucial crossways might be of significant importance to how things will turn out at the end. Sharing and discussing here and in places like X might create butterfly effects between all people with good will worldwide, eventually co-informing each other on what is really going on nonlinearly, and by doing so, eventually constantly also reaching people close to Trump with good will who then can inform the channel. And then the channel can decide.

Are we seeing a battle fought trough people like Trump through the influence of people worldwide?

I was thinking of writing something... not sure exactly what... 🧐
 
photo_2025-06-19_22-13-38.jpg

Key Statements from Senior IRGC Official Mohsen Rezaei

➡️On Punishing Israel & Strategic Deterrence:

“We have punished the Israelis severely until today, but it is not enough. Our punishment must serve as insurance for the future so that the enemy does not dare repeat its actions.”

“The Zionist regime aimed to assassinate our senior commanders to spark internal chaos. That failed within the first 48 hours. Then they tried to turn Iran into Syria—now, it is they who have become Syria.”

“The Iranian nation should not worry about the end of this war. Israel must be punished so harshly that it never again considers creating insecurity in Iran.”

➡️On Military Strategy & Capabilities:

“We’ve used less than 30% of our military capabilities. The gradual escalation is deliberate—partly to allow civilians to evacuate.”

“We’ve not yet employed our land, sea, oil, or Strait of Hormuz capabilities, nor have we activated our allies abroad. They have offered to join the fight, but we’ve told them it’s not needed—yet.”

“In the past 48 hours, we used a new tactic: combining Fattah and Sejjil missiles. Together, they seriously disrupted the enemy’s defense systems.”

“After our strategic analysis in February–March confirmed war was inevitable, we boosted our missile and cyber capabilities fivefold within months.”

➡️On Nuclear Sites & Infrastructure:

“Israel targeted Natanz, Isfahan, Khandab, and Arak. But those sites had already been evacuated. All enriched materials have been secured in safe locations.”

“Our nuclear scientists and production facilities are intact. These attacks achieved nothing of substance.”

“The US might be able to damage the Fordow facility, but it can’t do more to strengthen Israel’s defenses than it already is.”

➡️On Ceasefire & U.S. Involvement:

“Any ceasefire now will only revive the enemy. We must not allow the Zionist regime to recover while it is weak.”

“Netanyahu has begged the U.S.: either help me or declare a ceasefire.”

➡️On Protecting Civilians & Targeting Strategy:

“We’ve warned settlers to evacuate areas near government, military, and intelligence sites in the occupied territories. Our intent is not to harm civilians.”

“They cannot build command centers next to hospitals and fire at us—then expect us not to respond.”
 
Yeah, that's the problem. It's hard to see Israel backing out now.
I think you are onto something and we might be faced with another "TACO" situation here (on the surface at least).

It's noteworthy that Trump went so far this time that many of us even went past the point of exasperation, and have fully mentally washed our hands of the whole MAGA thing. Personally I am ready to accept that the assassination spectacle was just a 4d manipulation, am fully expecting a return to the Bush era, and wishing for the comets again.

If Trump does pull back now, he will have fooled everyone. No matter the core reason, it will go down in history his most epic "dance" (as Niall often describes it). Whether it's intentional, or channeled, or just sheer random chaos, I suppose is inconsequential. Of course, this is a big if.

In such a situation, the Israelis will be left off balance, floundering, and will almost certainly lash out desperately. They will take out their rage on whoever they can.

Notice that, in line with this, their cruelty and barbarism against Gaza has seen a resurgence in the past 2 days, which coincides with the major vibe shift in the war: Iran has proven much tougher than was hoped and they've hit Israel very hard in return.
 
Alright, I'll open a book for bets on this

a) fizzling out

or

b) the US still eventually getting directly involved
Once Trump was elected, I thought one of his main weak points, which could be used against him, was his take on Iran and obvious support for Israel/the jewish folk, and that the intel agencies, MIC, and Israel, etc could or would manipulate him into the situation we are seeing unfold right now. This has unfolded pretty fast and feels and is much different than the various exchanges Israel and Iran have had in recent times.

I hope I'm wrong, but I'm going with 'the US is still eventually getting directly involved'. I feel pretty strongly about this. Even if Trump is able to delay, he will be manipulated and made to take part via something like a false flag move... I don't think he has it in him and the people surrounding him to see through such a manipulation.

I think I read or heard via video that Israel had been planning the attack on Iran for 8 months or so. That would put the planning a little before the US election and Trump win. Figure Israel determined Trump would win and started to plan for what is happening now and set the plan in motion when negotiations with Iran were about to be finalized. Also, figure they have a planned for and will execute it to bring Trump and the US into the mix directly, even if Trump delays and ultimately doesn't want to get the US directly involved.
 
I cannot see how they cannot stop the momentum now either. It is clear from the Perfidy and his comments on Friday he was in on this. I am sure the Israelis probably recorded everything, not to mention what other blackmail materials they have on Trump, and has threatened to release EVERYTHING if he does not go forward. They will probably instruct all AIPAC congressmen (basically most) to impeach him (and Perfidy would be one that is a slam dunk now). And they probably also told him all their nukes will be released not just against Iran, but the US and its allies if he does not comply. They probably told him they would also kill all his family and blame it on Iran if necessary to get the ball rolling. Netanyahu is literally the DEVIL so nothing is beneath him. And honestly I was never convinced Trump was a good guy after observing his first term, especially what happened to Syria when he stole their oil, which destroyed their finances country so much that they could barely pay their military - one of the reasons the country. I mean if you want WWIII, wouldn't you rather have a "patriotic" president who is a good liar like Trump than a moron like Kamala. Little did they know, Trump's mouth makes him say even more moronic things under stress as has happened this week...

I don't think they need a false flag. Trump will do what he is told ultimately, or he will face the consequences along with Israel. I think both Trump and Israel are hosed either way.
 
FWIW as a data point, two days ago Polymarket was leaning to a US strike. They've had pretty decent track record for predictions. It's so crazy right now though, things could turn on a dime.
FYI, Polymarket as a "they", and as you are describing here, is not involved in predicting events.

Rather it's a marketplace for betting on the likelihood of events. The odds/likelihood are based on the most recent events and what the big money thinks will happen. The likelihood moves with all new data.

Imagine it was a live betting market on a horse race. My horse called Bibi is in the lead with 200 metres til the finish line. Polymarket predicts a 99% chance he will win.

Then out of nowhere my horse breaks a leg, and is passed by all the other horses. Now the % chance on Polymarket suddenly drops to 0%.

Currently the Polymarket consensus on US military action in Iran before July is back below 50%.
 
I'll share a little observation here fwiw.

I've had an account on Truth Social (owned by Trump) for about a year. I've never posted, just used it to check what Trump was posting since he only really posts there, and repost on my X acct.

The other day after he sent those "unconditional surrender" posts, a bunch of TS members were giving him shit in the comments, basically: "This is NOT why we voted for you!" So I decided to throw in my 2 cents with much the same comment. A short while later when I went back to check the comments again, I was told I had to log in again. Tried a few times, nothing worked, so resolved to having to create a new account. To create an acct. you have to get a code to your cell phone. I used the same French number I used to open the first acct. and was told "this number is associated with a banned account." :-O

I suspect I was banned because TS seems to be fairly closely monitored, and someone there saw the comment I posted ragging on Trump about Iran and decided - based on my non existent posting history and french number and IP address - that I wasn't really a true blue American Trump voter (how DARE they! What if I identify as one?! :lol:)

Anyway, that's not the point. The point is that it seems TS is closely monitored by Trump's people to get a read on the opinion of his base, and based on the comments I saw, they may have concluded that a decent majority are NOT happy about his attitude on Iran, and that data point was probably included in his and his team's deliberations over what to do about Iran, leading to today's 'two week hiatus for possible negotiations' announcement.

Anyway, since I have a UK cell phone number, I used that to create a new acct. so I'm back on TS, but in super spy mode this time (no more larping as a Trump voter! Pity, I was starting to enjoy it :halo:)


I think it is worth to repost what Dugin said here:




and here:



What about this idea:

Trump in one way or the other is a channel for forces while he probably isn’t really aware of it and it is our job (and quite literally all of us in the world who aim for something higher/good!) to in one way or the other try to make the channel aware that he can also tune in to the good side of the “information field“ if he wants and make a decision based not only on the bad radio stations but also the good stations and compare it to what is in his own instincts that is probably leaning more towards STO.

If so, what everyone of us does in this and upcoming crucial crossways might be of significant importance to how things will turn out at the end. Sharing and discussing here and in places like X might create butterfly effects between all people with good will worldwide, eventually co-informing each other on what is really going on nonlinearly, and by doing so, eventually constantly also reaching people close to Trump with good will who then can inform the channel. And then the channel can decide.

Are we seeing a battle fought trough people like Trump through the influence of people worldwide?

Speaking of which. I don’t know how many of you have seen the following, which struck me as more than a little interesting when I first saw it! We know that Trump likes to listen to as many opinions of people as possible and most often he seems to make a decision largely based on all those opinions and his gut instincts rather then knowing or thinking about things in great detail.

If you thought that (some, if not many of) Trumps tweets on Truth Social are long thought over before being posted by him or that he is the only one forming them, think again!

Trump seems to literally spitball most of his tweets on the spot based on the input he is receiving around him and his own thinking and instincts and then he construct a sentence out of it. In some ways it is quite fascinating to watch. It is sort of networking:

 
Somewhere here it was mentioned that Iran is one of the most mountainous countries in the world. I also heard and saw that the Iranians have quite some fleets of drones in underground systems. My bet is that quite a significant amount of their conventional arsenal and unconventional arsenal (meaning nukes) is probably well beneath mountains, which IMO could probably mean that even the biggest bunker busting bombs in the world can’t get anywhere close to taking those facilities/weapons out. I would also think that the nukes are under such mountains and that they have created ways to keep them safe and secret until the last minute where they are then transported to many possible launching sights on more flat land via underground tunnels, out from the protection of the mountains. Same is possibly true for more conventional weapons. In other words: It is hard if not impossible to stop those crucial equipments from being found, destroyed and not launched, no matter how much they get bombed.
 
According to this german article (based on what the Wall Street Journal has said) Trump has already agreed with an attack plan from the US against Iran but has not yet given the green light to start it. So it seems now that the only thing left standing in the way of an attack on Iran (which Trump will probably be unable to keep small and short) is Trumps decision on giving it the green light or not.

I hope I'm wrong, but I'm going with 'the US is still eventually getting directly involved'.

I cannot see how they cannot stop the momentum now either.

Yeah, I'm in this camp. Historically, we've seen all of this rhetoric and media and govt. build-up and narrative creating and population management before, and it has never ended in a complete 180 and no attack. So I think the decision to attack Iran was already taken quite a while ago. All that's left is the timing.
 
“We’ve not yet employed our land, sea, oil, or Strait of Hormuz capabilities, nor have we activated our allies abroad. They have offered to join the fight, but we’ve told them it’s not needed—yet.”

If true, who could be those allies? China might be one possibility. Anyone else more directly in the region? Maybe even some allies who could invade with troops? Looking at the map there might be a number of possibilities who either border on Israel or are not too far away via the Mediterranean. How great would it be if Israel gets invaded?! Probably very unlikely, but one can hope, right?
 
I would also think that the nukes are under such mountains and that they have created ways to keep them safe and secret until the last minute where they are then transported to many possible launching sights on more flat land via underground tunnels, out from the protection of the mountains.

I would assume they would be able to launch from the mountains. If they depended on launching ordinance from flat areas easily bombed, then they would just be sitting on a lot of ordinance with nowhere to launch it.

Love the commentary you’ve been sharing lately.
 

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