I seriously doubt there are many troops left to retreat from Kursk. Russia's tactics akin to killing fish in a barrel.
Geopolitical Analysis: A Bird's-Eye View of the Global Situation
- Thread starter Possibility of Being
- Start date
And this is entirely understood by the European arm of the WEF gang in the E.U., see the immediate reaction after Trump election win.
Von der Leyen to prepare EU for war – defense commission nominee
One of the priorities for the next European Commission will be preparing Europe for war, according to the EU’s top defense nominee
How much the Trump win is an obstacle to projected plan for the near future? If they were in a desperate mode before to attain full control of the planet prior to the wave, they must be panicking I think and they may know that 4 more years with Trump as president will greatly minimise their chance of achieving this goal. So is the article above showing the first sign of this panic in European elite who realise that maybe the American GI won’t be coming to save their hide if they start their plan to bring total chaos in Europe. Remember what the C’s told us many years ago that eventually, everyone will speak English in the E.U.
I’m very happy for Trump is win but have serious doubt that they will let him live to the inauguration. STS do not accept defeat easily and may have realised the perilous situation that Trump win brought to their plan. Was it why the C’s told us last session that we have certifiable, insane persons in position of power? They probably knew that Trump would win and saw these insane persons reaction and what they are ready to do to hold on to power and it show as well, how important the US under a democrat government is for achieving the globalist goal of global control. Time will tell and in this case, we won’t have long to wait, just a couple of months.
If it was important to pray for Trump is safety before the election, it is as important if not more than before now, I think.
In opposition to the other Russian analyst I cited (didn't catch his name) Dmitry Trenin thinks that Pentagon plans will remain basically unchanged under Trump. Both Trump and JD Vance has made statements suggesting that Team America World Police will be put to rest. But for Trenin, No MAGA/BRICS+ alignment, in economic or in military terms.
www.rt.com
Dmitry Trenin: Here’s what Trump’s victory means for the US, Russia and the world
The Repubican has defeated an enormous propaganda campaign in a massive blow to liberal globalists
Neither Russian nor analyst. It was a Finnish journalist Janus Putkonen, MV-Lehti Chief Editor. You know, despite not being Russian, he still is Russian propagandist. ;)
Keeping up with the Trump overload, time for another great, even if speculative at this point, bird's eye possibilities overview.
Skipping the domestic part, it can be read in the original article. After the US, it covers Europe, Russia and China. South America, Africa and a big part of Asia are unfortunately not covered, although Niemi analised China-India rapprochement, including in a wider context, on November 4.
Assessing preliminary consequences of US presidential elections
Skipping the domestic part, it can be read in the original article. After the US, it covers Europe, Russia and China. South America, Africa and a big part of Asia are unfortunately not covered, although Niemi analised China-India rapprochement, including in a wider context, on November 4.
Assessing preliminary consequences of US presidential elections
November 10, 2024 | Seppo Niemi
Some notes in great power politics, “Trumpquake”
As a well-known independent geopolitical analyst, Pepe Escobar, has stated: “Fasten your seatbelts: whatever happens, Trumpquake is bound to be a bumpy ride”.
With a massive victory in the US presidential election, Donald Trump can now claim a powerful mandate to implement his agenda, both foreign and domestic. Some analysts have focused the key foreign policy issue in the following way: “a grand bargain with Putin and hard pivot to China”.
The global implications of a confident and unchained Trump 2.0 will depend very much on what foreign policy path he charts and who he decides to appoint to key positions. With that in mind, there may be three possible paths a Trump administration might take on the world stage.
America First, with compromises. Having trumpeted his credentials as a peacemaker, it is possible Trump returns the US to a position of isolationism and exceptionalism, essentially being a friend and enemy to no one. That could mean either withdrawing completely from NATO or making US security assistance so conditional on transatlantic allies that Europe is essentially captive to his whims.
Robust Pivot to Asia. A confrontational approach to China, coupled with his frustration with America’s European allies, whom he believes are freeriding on US defense spending, may lead him to pivot to Asia instead. An endless trade war may require a bargain with China. If Trump does abandon America’s NATO allies, it remains to be seen how even its closest Asian partners would regard his commitment to their security or his ability to manage crises in the region.
Peace through strength. A third option would be for Trump to channel former US President Ronald Reagan, seeking to restore and maintain global US primacy. America would lead, but do so pragmatically – and with allies whose interests aligned with its own.
Regional overview
With Donald Trump returning to the White House in January 2025, Washington’s approach to the Ukraine conflict may undergo significant changes. Here it is important to look at statements by future Vice President J.D. Vance. He clearly said that they need to protect their own borders, not the Ukrainian ones. Kiev has been pushed to the back burner. This does not mean that they will simply leave it hanging. The US has a rather strong political elite, including military circles, which certainly wants everything to continue. Yet even the military wants the money to be headed their way, above all, and not to the Ukrainian.
Additionally, new differences of opinion are possible in the US’ relations with the EU and NATO allies. Europe ups defense spending but still relies on the US. A new report highlights significant gaps in Europe’s defenses, amid growing concerns about the impact of a second Trump presidency on the NATO security alliance and transatlantic defense.
Germany’s governing “traffic light” coalition, comprised of the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD), the Free Democratic Party (FDP) and Alliance 90/The Greens, has dissolved. On January 15, 2025 Chancellor Olaf Scholz will call a vote of confidence in the Bundestag. A no-confidence vote could lead to early parliamentary elections in March 2025. The causes of the coalition’s collapse lie in its very composition. However, as the Ukraine conflict dragged on, Germany became more involved by increasing aid to Kiev and all of this was accompanied by growing economic problems domestically.
The reshaping of policy toward China is also possible, for instance, intensifying pressure on Beijing and initiating new trade wars. The prospects of dialogue with North Korea remain unclear.
As a rather pro-Israeli politician, Trump may increase support for the Jewish state while trying to facilitate the settlement of the Middle Eastern conflict. The process of normalization in that region, however, will be complex due to Trump’s anti-Iranian stance observed during his first presidential term.
Europe and the EU
A shocking proof of massive manipulation by European mainstream (legacy) media regarding the public opinion formation in various European countries. The difference between average American voting citizen and European citizen is extremely striking.
This is indeed 100% the result of mass brainwashing by the legacy media in Europe. The EU Commission knows that and that’s why they’re attacking Elon and his X-social media.
GERMAN GOVERNMENT COLLAPSED BECAUSE OF UKRAINE!
Scholz is now ruling Germany with a minority in the parliament. Germany ran out of money to support Ukraine and is legally prevented to make more debt, that caused a clash within the government and it collapsed. There is a “debt break” law, that prevents the German government to take on debt beyond an allowed sum, which Germany exhaust already.
So, Scholz demanded from the finance minister to suspend the law and allow the take on more debt to pay for and send to Ukraine. The plan was to just make more debt for Ukraine. But the finance minister refused to do that. Scholz fired the finance minister Lindner for not obeying his wish. The party of the finance minister FDP, in reaction retracted from the ruling government
Looks like Scholz wants to push through the Ukraine funding no matter what. The opposition demands new elections quickly but Scholz wants to govern with the support of the opposition for now. It is a clown show. For now, the elections are rumored to come in March 2025. The “collective west” collapses on the back of Ukraine. The US with Trump may step back from this nonsense.
Trump’s allies in Europe hope the president-elect will quickly end the war in Ukraine — and boost their standing on the EU stage. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán vowed to pop several bottles of Champagne if his friend, Donald Trump, won the US presidential election.
The conservative populist has long insisted that he and a growing number of his European allies would ultimately find themselves on the winning side of history with agendas that are hostile to immigration and Ukraine and committed to traditional Christian family values.
In addition to Orbán, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Austrian Chancellor Karl Nehammer are both ideologically close to Trump — although Meloni does not share Orbán’s pro-Russian stance. The Dutch ruling coalition is backed by Geert Wilders, an anti-Islam, anti-immigrant, populist politician. Slovakian Prime Minister Robert Fico is locked in a rule-of-law dispute with Brussels, like Orbán, and shares the Hungarian’s pro-Russian leanings. That cadre of potential wreckers is likely to be joined next year by Andrej Babiš, who is expected to return to power in the Czech Republic in elections next year.
Macron and Polish Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski argued on Wednesday that Trump’s return to the White House should push Europe to take greater responsibility for its own security. A few days before the vote, the Polish prime minister wrote on X that the era of “geopolitical outsourcing” was coming to an end.
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban believes that US President-elect Donald Trump will cease funding military efforts in Ukraine, which could assist in peacefully resolving the conflict in that country. Discussing the Ukraine crisis, he reaffirmed that Hungary supports resolving it entirely through peaceful means and maintains that the primary barrier to progress is the “lack of interaction.” Budapest has repeatedly emphasized the need to keep communication channels with Moscow open, urging its EU counterparts to do the same.
November 10, The European Union will have to change its approach to the conflict in Ukraine as a result of Donald Trump’s victory at the presidential election in the US, Hungary’s Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto said. “Europe stands on the threshold of sweeping changes,” the minister said. “The presidential election in the US changed the situation. It is obvious that the European strategy in respect of Ukraine, which has clearly failed, cannot be continued,” Szijjarto noted.
Elon Musk’s X platform was already proving a tough test for the European Union’s efforts to police social media. Donald Trump’s reelection just raised the stakes, giving the tech tycoon some powerful backing that could fuel US-EU tensions. Musk is a “super genius,” Trump said in his victory speech in the early hours of Wednesday morning. “We have to protect our geniuses.”
That genius could be heading for a European Union fine, the first under its Digital Services Act (DSA), which aims to clamp down on illegal and toxic content online. X got EU charges in July for breaching those rules over verified users, advertising transparency and giving researchers access to data.
The UK
No doubt, the “especially close relations” between the US and the UK will be under heavy stress during Trump 2.0 administration. Some insulting Trump comments by Foreign Secretary of the UK, David Lammy, have further aggravated the situation.
Ukraine
Ukraine puts the tail between its legs and prepares to do what Trump says. Ukraine prepares for its new Trump era. The Parliament of Ukraine, the Rada, is calling on Donald Trump to help end the war in order to hold parliamentary elections. In a nutshell, Ukrainian MPs beg him to intervene in Ukraine’s internal affairs.
COL. Douglas Macgregor: Ukraine: A Collapse In Slow Motion.
Judge Napolitano, November 6, 2024
All the brave narratives, propagated by the western MSM have fading away; the “stalemate” narrative has collapsed, much like the Ukraine is winning narrative, the sanctions narrative, the Nord Stream narrative etc. – We are now permitted to recognize that we are losing the war without being smeared by the media for repeating “Kremlin talking points”.
Its Over For Ukraine | 3 Scenarios For The War Ending in 2025 With Trump Re-Election
Weeb Union, November 6, 2024
No Prospect Of Hope For Kiev Regime
South Front, November 7, 2024
Trump, Musk’s Secret Plan To End Ukraine Conflict🕊 Russia AcceleratesMilitary Summary 2024.11.09
Harvest TimeUnacceptable Proposal
Russians Slice Through Kurakhove
China
In the first comment, China hopes for peaceful and mutually beneficial coexistence with the US, Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Mao Ning said at a briefing, commenting on the US presidential election.
“China hopes for peaceful and stable coexistence with the US on the basis of mutual benefits and respect,” the spokeswoman said. She also noted that the current presidential election is a US domestic political issue, and indicated that China “respects any choice of the American people.”
Chinese President Xi Jinping on Thursday, November 7, extended congratulations to Donald Trump on his election as president of the United States. Xi urged the two countries to find the right way to get along in the new era, so as to benefit both countries and the wider world.
History teaches that China and the United States gain from cooperation and lose from confrontation, said Xi, noting that a stable, sound and sustainable China-U.S. relationship serves the two countries’ shared interests and meets the aspiration of the international community. He expressed the hope that the two sides will uphold the principles of mutual respect, peaceful coexistence and win-win cooperation, strengthen dialogue and communication, properly manage differences and expand mutually beneficial cooperation.
On the same day, Chinese Vice President Han Zheng extended congratulations to J.D. Vance on his election as vice president of the United States.
Global Times, November 7, states
Where are China and the US headed? The Chinese side’s answer to this question, including its attitude toward China-US relations, has been consistent. Although the situations of both countries and their relationship have undergone significant changes, China’s commitment to the goal of a stable, healthy and sustainable China-US relationship remains unchanged; its principle in handling the relationship based on mutual respect, peaceful coexistence and win-win cooperation remains unchanged; its position of firmly safeguarding the country’s sovereignty, security and development interests remains unchanged; and its efforts to carry forward the traditional friendship between the Chinese and American people remain unchanged. The four “unchanged” aspects reflect both strategic clarity and a sense of responsibility.
The China-US relationship is the most important bilateral relationship in the world. How China and the US interact will determine the future and destiny of humanity. We hope that the US side will meet the Chinese side halfway to find the right way for two different civilizations, systems, and paths to coexist peacefully and develop together on this planet, promoting stability in China-US relations and striving for improvement and progress on this basis.
Russia
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Wednesday that it is not appropriate to discuss Trump’s future policy toward Russia, as the positions of presidential candidates during the campaign do not always align with their policies once they take office. Currently, US-Russia relations are at a historical low but the Russian side is open to dialogue, he said. “It is almost impossible to worsen the Russia-US ties further, as relations are at their historically lowest point. What happens next will depend on the next US leadership,” said Peskov.
Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov has not ruled out the possibility of Russian President Vladimir Putin holding talks with US President-elect Donald Trump ahead of his swearing-in ceremony. “It is not out of the question,” the spokesman told reporters when asked about the matter. “He did say he would call Putin before the inauguration. These are his words; we have nothing else to add for now,” he added. The United States Presidential Inauguration will be held on January 20, 2025.
November 8, Russian President Vladimir Putin gave a significant statement at the plenary session of the Valdai Discussion Club in Sochi. “The world has entered the long period of turbulence and changes that will eventually result in a multi-polar world order without hegemony of the West” he said. During the discussion, the Russian president spoke about Russia’s role in global development, dialogue with West, crisis in the global sports, Ukrainian reconciliation, relations with China and India. Putin’s statement can be seen as a official declaration for the future of great power relations.
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s congratulations to Donald Trump on winning this year’s presidential election in the United States can be viewed as official, Presidential Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov said. “Everything that the president says is official, of course,” he said.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has congratulated Donald Trump on becoming the US president-elect at the plenary session of the Valdai International Discussion Club on November 7. “I would like to take this opportunity to congratulate him on his victory in the US presidential election. I have already said that we will work with any head of state who is trusted by the American people,” the Russian leader said. So far, the Russian leader has not yet sent a congratulatory letter to the president-elect.
Epilogue
According to Deutsche Bank’s 2024 World Outlook, the year 2024 will see elections in countries covering around half the world’s population. The data is back over 200 years and this is the year with the biggest percentage of elections across the globe. The mains ones to watch are:
So, with the main events of 2024 now in the rearview mirror we can conclude that this has been a catastrophic year for incumbents at elections. Not just in the US, where Democrats have lost ground relative to four years earlier but incumbents have also lost ground in the UK, France, India, Japan and South Africa as well this year. According to Deutsche Bank, it’s also the first time since the late 1800s that the incumbent party in the White House has lost three consecutive presidential elections.
- The Taiwanese election in January 2024
- Indian elections in April/May
- European Parliamentary elections in June
- The US Presidential Election in November
According to Financial Times statistics, another surprising feature: every governing party facing election in a developed country this year lost vote share, the first time this has ever happened!
One thing is certain, that people everywhere are fed up with leaders, who put globalist agendas above their own citizens and are finally voting for leaders who actually serve them.
axj
The Living Force
More about the deep state factions and possible behind-the-scenes conflicts:
It looks like there are basically three major factions in the West:
1) The globalist faction (pursuing the "Great Reset", one world government, totalitarian control, depopulation, transhumanism)
2) The nationalist faction (eg. "American Empire" faction in the US, Orban's Hungary, AfD in Germany, Le Pen in France, etc.)
3) The zionist faction (have quite a lot of power in media, finance, politics, etc.)
I wondered for a while why some of the globalist-controlled EU governments have been so outspoken against Israel and the Zionists lately, while the nationalist leaders are pretty much all in the pro-Zionist camp (including Trump, Orban, AfD, Wilders, and so on).
My theory is that the globalist faction and the Zionist faction had a falling out, maybe regarding who gets how much power in the future. And it looks like the Zionists basically switched sides to the nationalist faction, maybe thinking that together they could take on the globalist faction - which maybe sees itself as powerful enough and not willing to share that power with the Zionists.
That seems to be why Orban (nationalist faction) invites Netanyahu despite the ICC arrest warrant against him, why many of the globalist-controlled countries in the EU and elsewhere say they will arrest Netanyahu or why US-Republicans (nationalist faction) even threaten to take military action against the Netherlands if Netanyahu is arrested.
The "irony" in all this is that the dystopian globalist faction actually has the moral high ground in this, at least as far as Israel's current genocidal expansionist wars go.
It looks like there are basically three major factions in the West:
1) The globalist faction (pursuing the "Great Reset", one world government, totalitarian control, depopulation, transhumanism)
2) The nationalist faction (eg. "American Empire" faction in the US, Orban's Hungary, AfD in Germany, Le Pen in France, etc.)
3) The zionist faction (have quite a lot of power in media, finance, politics, etc.)
I wondered for a while why some of the globalist-controlled EU governments have been so outspoken against Israel and the Zionists lately, while the nationalist leaders are pretty much all in the pro-Zionist camp (including Trump, Orban, AfD, Wilders, and so on).
My theory is that the globalist faction and the Zionist faction had a falling out, maybe regarding who gets how much power in the future. And it looks like the Zionists basically switched sides to the nationalist faction, maybe thinking that together they could take on the globalist faction - which maybe sees itself as powerful enough and not willing to share that power with the Zionists.
That seems to be why Orban (nationalist faction) invites Netanyahu despite the ICC arrest warrant against him, why many of the globalist-controlled countries in the EU and elsewhere say they will arrest Netanyahu or why US-Republicans (nationalist faction) even threaten to take military action against the Netherlands if Netanyahu is arrested.
The "irony" in all this is that the dystopian globalist faction actually has the moral high ground in this, at least as far as Israel's current genocidal expansionist wars go.
Saki
Jedi
Today (16 December) is the birthday of science fiction author Arthur C[harles] Clarke (1917) born in Minehead, Somerset, England. He was known as one of the “Big Three” of sci-fi, along with Robert A. Heinlein and Isaac Asimov. His best-known work is 2001: A Space Odyssey (1968).
In 2007, on his 90th birthday, Clarke recorded a video in which he says goodbye to his friends and fans. In it, he said: “I have great faith in optimism as a guiding principle, if only because it offers us the opportunity of creating a self-fulfilling prophecy. So I hope we’ve learnt something from the most barbaric century in history — the 20th. I would like to see us overcome our tribal divisions and begin to think and act as if we were one family. That would be real globalization.” He died of respiratory failure three months later.
(Bolded text is my emphasis.)
The Writer's Almanac 12/16
In 2007, on his 90th birthday, Clarke recorded a video in which he says goodbye to his friends and fans. In it, he said: “I have great faith in optimism as a guiding principle, if only because it offers us the opportunity of creating a self-fulfilling prophecy. So I hope we’ve learnt something from the most barbaric century in history — the 20th. I would like to see us overcome our tribal divisions and begin to think and act as if we were one family. That would be real globalization.” He died of respiratory failure three months later.
(Bolded text is my emphasis.)
The Writer's Almanac 12/16
