Alon Mizrahi's latest
tweet:
...Iran, on the other hand, is most likely throwing first some of its older models to deplete Israel's interceptors. ...
Al Mayadeen reports the same:
Iran has not yet used its most powerful weapons, top official says
- ByAl Mayadeen English
- Source: Agencies
- Today 04:31
Mohsen Rezaee says Iran has only used old-generation weapons so far and warns that future retaliation against the Israeli occupation will be much more severe.
Mohsen Rezaee, senior Iranian official and former commander of the Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC), declared Sunday evening that the
Islamic Republic has so far only employed older-generation weapons in its response to Israeli aggression, warning that the more powerful phases of Iran’s retaliation are yet to come.
Rezaee, who is also a member of the Expediency Discernment Council, emphasized that “major surprises have not yet been revealed” and that what awaits the Israeli occupation is “greater and far more severe.” He asserted, “The war will continue until the complete defeat of the occupying entity.”
According to Rezaee, Iran has exercised extreme restraint, using
missiles with 1.5-ton warheads while refraining from deploying its most powerful payloads. “We have not yet used stronger warheads,” he said, warning that new types of weapons may soon enter the battlefield.
In his first public appearance in military uniform since the start of the conflict, Rezaee described the current battle as existential; “This is a decisive war… and Iran will be the one to determine its conclusion.”
Confrontation could last weeks
He predicted that
the confrontation could stretch on for several more weeks and noted that what has been deployed so far marks only the beginning of Iran’s response. He reiterated that Iran’s longstanding policy since the 1979 Islamic Revolution had been to avoid direct military conflict with with the Israeli occupation unless the broader Islamic world was united in that fight. However, the recent escalation has pushed Tehran to reassess that stance.
Rezaee also accused US President Donald Trump of authorizing "Israel" to carry out its initial strike, claiming that “Trump thought Iran was on the verge of collapse and that Israel could bring it to its knees with a single blow.” But, Rezaee said, “the wisdom of Iran’s leadership exposed their intentions.”
He added that the
real goal behind the aggression was not just Iran’s nuclear program but also its missile capability and national sovereignty.
Iran national security to be guaranteed for 50 years
Looking ahead, Rezaee warned that retreating from the
confrontation would have dire consequences, “This is a fateful war. If Iran holds firm, its national security will be guaranteed for the next 50 years.”
He concluded by stressing that while the Israeli occupation started the war, it will be Iran who decides when and how it ends. “If the United States and Europe do not stop their direct support for Israel, the warfront will expand and we will be forced into the next phase of confrontation,” he warned. “We have tactics that haven’t even been used yet.”
Rezaee also revealed that Israeli occupation forces had planned a second wave of assassinations, which the Iranian armed forces successfully foiled.
Iran can continue launching missiles for three weeks
Before launching True Promise 3, Iran was estimated
to possess up to 2,000 missiles capable of reaching "Israel", with Tehran dramatically increasing its production in recent years to expand its arsenal, according to the IOF.
“The assessment entering this conflict was that Iran has about 2,000 missiles. We understand they have a plan to increase that number dramatically, to 8,000 missiles, in the near future,” Lt Col Shoshani said on Sunday, according to
The Telegraph.
Earlier, Israeli PM Netanyahu had warned that Iran's intensified missile production aimed to manufacture 300 missiles monthly, projecting an arsenal of 20,000 within six years if left unchecked.
Based on these projections and the current launch tempo, chief executive geopolitical risk Sibylline analyst Justin Crump estimated that Iran would exhaust its missile stockpiles within approximately three weeks if maintaining present firing rates.
*****
I doubt that "Iran would exhaust its missile stockpiles within approximately three weeks"; I think that Iran is prepared for the long war.
Here is a snippet from another
report from Al Mayadeen:
Iran has far more missiles than estimated; in the thousands
- ByAl Mayadeen English
- Source: Israeli media
- Today 09:30
"Israel" acknowledges Iran's possession of thousands of ballistic missiles, revealing the scale of Tehran’s defensive capabilities amid the Israeli war on Iran.
In a revealing statement, Netanyahu’s "National Security" Advisor Tzachi Hanegbi acknowledged that
Iran possesses “thousands of ballistic missiles,” a figure that vastly exceeds previous estimates of 1,500 to 2,000.
Speaking to "Israel's"
Army Radio, Hanegbi framed the development as
a significant challenge, admitting, “This is not a battle that over the long term will be able to bring an end to the Iranian threat.”
Tehran fired more than
200 missiles at "Israel" on Friday and Saturday as part of its retaliation,
many of which have penetrated "Israel's" renowned air defenses, forcing the military to warn its people that the
defenses were "not hermetic", according to
The Telegraph.
The Iranian airstrikes underscore the challenges faced by even the most advanced air defense systems in countering ballistic missiles, which travel at hypersonic speeds exceeding Mach-5, leaving few surface-to-air missile batteries capable of effectively intercepting them.
Military force alone can’t destroy Iran’s nuke program: Hanegbi
Hanegbi's recent remarks came shortly after he conceded last Friday that
"Israel’s" military efforts alone would not be sufficient to eliminate Iran’s nuclear program. He stressed that while airstrikes may target infrastructure, the broader goal is to pressure Iran into relinquishing its nuclear ambitions altogether.
“This cannot be done via kinetic means,” Hanegbi said, emphasizing that military action will not dismantle Iran’s missile or nuclear capacities. He referred to past cases like Libya and South Africa, where governments abandoned nuclear programs through political decisions rather than external force.
...