Brace Yourselves For War Between Iran and Israel

[mabar]

It does seem suspicious, though those who point out that these numbers of fires and breakdowns at refineries are not unusual also have a point:

Clusters occur; they're not new.

Of curse, we have been reporting here for decades. I guess is just as Grok say by clusers, in certain point in time, regarding certain circumnstances as with weather, asteroids (and the like), airplanes (Boeings), shootings, food and electric shortages, etc, etc.

We can't pinpoint the causes with certainty, but it's interesting to observe them, observe the signs of the times.

 

[axj]

Fits with a current article I was reading by Clif High today.

I checked Clif High's recent substack posts and he still seems to think that Trump is playing 4D chess and is a master strategist in this war. A lot of the comments criticized him for it.

 

[Niall]

Mohammed Ghalibaf - Speaker of the Parliament of Iran - is quite a character, apparently posting directly on X in fluent English. His latest:

https://twitter.com/x/status/2048492561350717700

If you're scratching your head at his somewhat cryptic post, I think this reply correctly deciphers it:

https://twitter.com/x/status/2048511500432912879

The West has “cards” like oil reserves, demand cuts, and price control.

But Iran has real physical cards: Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb, and pipeline pressure.

Oil is not just numbers on a screen. It must move through real chokepoints.

And with US summer travel coming, demand will rise unless Americans cancel vacation.

So his message is: don’t brag about paper market power when Iran can pressure the real oil routes.

 

[Philippe]

This war's untold business model:

 

[hesperides]

This war's untold business model:

I've only been listening half of the video, and so far the way she explains why Iran/usa war has nothing to do with what we think is quite well broken down. Thank you Philippe, I didn't know this woman.

 

[sToRmR1dR]

The US is preparing to deploy its fourth aircraft carrier to the Middle East, the biggest build up since 2003.

 

[axj]

This war's untold business model:

Her main point seems to be:

The US wants to disrupt the main maritime trade routes and create new ones that they control, eg. the IMEC route (India-Middle-East-Europe-Corridor) for Asian trade to go through Saudi Arabia and Israel and then to Greece, Italy or France by ship, by-passing the Suez Canal.

This may be indeed part of what Israel and the US hope (and the EU also wants it, especially after the EU-India free trade deal signed this year), but this trade route depends on the Saudis and Israel getting along. The Saudis stopped construction of the railway for it due to the Gaza genocide.

She does not seem to mention the Greater Israel plans, which seem to include Israel taking Saudi land at some point. If anything, this IMEC plan seems to be how Israel wants to position itself "at the center of everything".

India–Middle East–Europe Economic Corridor - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

 

[Joe]

Her main point seems to be:

The US wants to disrupt the main maritime trade routes and create new ones that they control, eg. the IMEC route (India-Middle-East-Europe-Corridor) for Asian trade to go through Saudi Arabia and Israel and then to Greece, Italy or France by ship, by-passing the Suez Canal.

This may be indeed part of what Israel and the US hope (and the EU also wants it, especially after the EU-India free trade deal signed this year), but this trade route depends on the Saudis and Israel getting along. The Saudis stopped construction of the railway for it due to the Gaza genocide.

She does not seem to mention the Greater Israel plans, which seem to include Israel taking Saudi land at some point. If anything, this IMEC plan seems to be how Israel wants to position itself "at the center of everything".

Yeah, nothing new there. Basic American geopolitical positioning in the context of an emerging multi-polar world. We've been talking about that for years. She's a bit deluded about Israel. She thinks Hamas decided to do Oct 7th to stop a rapprochement between Saudi and Israel. Clueless!

 

[A Jay]

This war's untold business model:

Stopped watching after hearing this brilliant bit of insight from her intro:

"I don't think Iran was days away from a nuke and there's no universe where Trump was blind-sided by Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz."

Who wants to tell her?

 

[Adobe]

FWIW:

I thought it was common knowledge that Jillian Michaels was pro Israel.

"watch Jillian Michaels walk out on #anakasparian as the crew begins controversial comments on #israel"

A short clip 3-4 minutes long, @ minutes 2 Ana K takes off the cloves goes full potty mouth.

 

[Adobe]

Note Keeping:

United Arab Emirates to leave OPEC May 1, energy chief says still committed to oil price stability​

Key Points

• The United Arab Emirates said it will exit OPEC on May 1.
• The UAE was the third-largest producer in OPEC behind Saudi Arabia and Iraq.
• The shock announcement comes after the UAE was the target of missile and drone attacks for weeks by fellow OPEC member Iran.

"Trump TS claim: Tehran has informed Washington they are in a "state of collapse" and that the Iranians want the US to "open the Hormuz Strait" - as 'tank tops' loom."

(Iran has said nothing all this time, at least not officially.)

"So at least there is some back-and-forth." (no proof of this)

"time is running out for Tehran... as oil blockade stalls the flow state of Iran's economy permanently..."

"Iran’s oil system is not built to pause. It’s built to flow. It’s a flow system."

"Pause long enough, and the whole machine breaks."

(Iran is said to have 22 day or less of storage ability. Other states must be in similar positions.)

"Iran has total disdain for Trump’s Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and views him as both oblivious of diplomatic processes and totally ignorant of technical issues."

"Kushner is viewed by Iran as Israel’s man at the table."

Articles below:

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/28/uae-opec-oil-iran.html

Iran To Send Revised Proposal To US In 'Days' As 'Tank Tops' Loom, Trump Claims Iran "Informed Us They Are In State Of Collapse"<!-- --> | ZeroHedge

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

www.zerohedge.com

 

[axj]

Quite surprsing that this former Mossad boss (2011-2016) seems not to be a psychopath:

Israeli violence against Palestinians echoes Holocaust – ex-Mossad chief​

Violence by Israeli settlers against Palestinians in the West Bank echoes attacks on Jews during the Holocaust and poses an “existential threat” to Israel, former Mossad chief Tamir Pardo has said.

Pardo spoke to local media on Monday while touring Palestinian villages that have come under settler attacks in recent months.

”My mother was a Holocaust survivor, and what I saw reminded me of the events that happened against Jews in the last century,” Pardo said. “What I saw today made me feel ashamed to be Jewish.”

Israeli settler violence against Palestinians in West Bank has echoes of Holocaust, ex-Mossad chief says

Escalating Israeli settler attacks on Palestinians in the West Bank echo the Holocaust and could lead to an attack on Israel, former Mossad chief Tamir Pardo says

www.rt.com

 

[candasiri]

Maybe, as the C’s said, it’s a stroke, located in the prefrontal cortex:

“A stroke in the prefrontal cortex (PFC) affects the front-most part of the brain, causing significant shifts in personality, behavior, and higher-level cognitive "executive" functions rather than just motor skills. Common effects include impulsiveness, apathy, difficulty planning, poor judgment, emotional instability, and memory deficits.”

I think the behavior Trump is displaying is most likely due to narcissistic collapse in the face of loosing to Israel, loosing to Iran and being, he and his family being threatened by Israel, it becoming common knowledge that Melania had "relations" with Epstein for a while, and that he was part of Epstein's friend circle if not part of his trafficking operation through all the modeling BS.

And I feel that he really has no one to confide it. To me, it seems that Melania barely tolerates him. Who else can he share with? His sons perhaps? And narcissists have trouble admitting vulnerabilities, so unlikely that he would be honest with another person let alone himself.

 

[Mark7]

I think the behavior Trump is displaying is most likely due to narcissistic collapse in the face of loosing to Israel,

I watched the video, and it seems like he's describing a child before he or she learns to share. Is it true that many narcissists are either spoiled rotten or, on the other extreme, abused? Something happens to them in early childhood development, I think. Trump may have been held to high standards and given a strong false personality at an early age, but that is just me speculating.

 

[Fluffy]

I watched the video, and it seems like he's describing a child before he or she learns to share. Is it true that many narcissists are either spoiled rotten or, on the other extreme, abused? Something happens to them in early childhood development, I think. Trump may have been held to high standards and given a strong false personality at an early age, but that is just me speculating.

In Gabor Maté’s book the Myth of Normal he says that he believes the Trump persona is the result of a traumatic childhood from having a sociopathic father.

I read the book, I’m not totally convinced of Gabor’s analysis though because he seems to lack some deeper awareness of the structure that holds up the structure in the public and political spheres and talked in a similar vein about Hillary Clinton and Oprah Winfrey.

Here’s an AI overview on Gabor’s take on Trump

In The Myth of Normal: Trauma, Illness, and Healing in a Toxic Culture, Dr. Gabor Maté presents Donald Trump as a quintessential example of how early childhood trauma and a "toxic culture" shape personality, behavior, and power dynamics.

Maté generally analyzes political figures through a trauma-informed lens, looking past political policy to the underlying psychological woundedness.


Key Points on Donald Trump

• "Poster Child" for Childhood Trauma:Maté highlights that Trump's behavior—including grandiosity, aggressive self-promotion, and a need to be the "winner"—is a direct result of a traumatized, insecure childhood. He refers to Trump's father as an "abusive" or "sociopathic" figure, creating a need for a false persona to survive.
• Narcissism as Survival Mechanism:Instead of just treating Trump’s behaviors as mere character flaws or personality disorders, Maté interprets them as coping patterns or "adaptive" mechanisms formed early in life to handle a harsh environment, which have now been magnified on a national stage.
• "Woundedness" Becomes Public Problem: Maté argues that when "wounded people" (like Trump) rise to power and refuse to address their own trauma, their unresolved wounds become the public's problem. He suggests Trump’s anger and "fear" are projected onto society.
• A Mirror of Society: Crucially, Maté uses Trump to reflect back on our culture, arguing that the flaws of leaders are a mirror of the emotional underdevelopment of the society that elevates them to power.
• Reflection on "Abnormality": He argues that people mistake Trump's trauma-driven "grandiosity as authority" and "paranoia as security," demonstrating how our society confuses healthy leadership with traumatic defenses.