This is a testimony or interview with a centenarian, Mrs. Edna Register Boone on her experience with the pandemic of 1918. I highly recommend it. Especially watch (at minute 4:30) where she tells us what she believe got her family through it (sodium), even at what dose…. how did her mom know? It also gives us an idea of what a real pandemic looks like.

Quite an interesting testimony, thanks Adobe! And by the way, I believe she was talking about "soda", i.e. baking soda, i.e. sodium bicarbonate. Half a teaspoon every morning before breakfast.
 
The longer this obvious craziness continues the more I'm leaning towards the idea that the Powers-To-Be (at least in western countries) are ruthlessly using this "non-issue" as an excuse to test out how far they can go in controlling, scaring and managing people. A dry run, so to say. Sadly, so far it seems to work out just fine. It is actually kind of scary how good it seems to work out. The C's phrase "the programming is complete" comes to my mind regularly recently.

I mean, if that Virus would even slightly approach other mundane Viruses/Infections/Illnesses or Pandemics in terms of numbers and effects, I could sort of understand why so many fall for it, go crazy about it and say "yes" to everything that those on top demand as "counter measure"; but this one is so very obviously (in your face!) hugely over hyped in every way you look at it, that you really have to wonder about the state of our society as a whole.

If people can be so easily panicked by a non-issue like that and say "yes" to all the measures implemented by our "benevolent leaders", how do you think they would react if the PTB really step up the game and demand more outrages stuff? I'm afraid that our society has seldom before been as susceptible (and willing to follow) authoritarian nonsense by Psychopaths as today, globally speaking.

This all leaves a very bad taste in my mouth, to say the least. Doesn't look good IMO. Brave new world.
 
The longer this obvious craziness continues the more I'm leaning towards the idea that the Powers-To-Be (at least in western countries) are ruthlessly using this "non-issue" as an excuse to test out how far they can go in controlling, scaring and managing people. A dry run, so to say. Sadly, so far it seems to work out just fine. It is actually kind of scary how good it seems to work out. The C's phrase "the programming is complete" comes to my mind regularly recently.

I mean, if that Virus would even slightly approach other mundane Viruses/Infections/Illnesses or Pandemics in terms of numbers and effects, I could sort of understand why so many fall for it, go crazy about it and say "yes" to everything that those on top demand as "counter measure"; but this one is so very obviously (in your face!) hugely over hyped in every way you look at it, that you really have to wonder about the state of our society as a whole.

If people can be so easily panicked by a non-issue like that and say "yes" to all the measures implemented by our "benevolent leaders", how do you think they would react if the PTB really step up the game and demand more outrages stuff? I'm afraid that our society has seldom before been as susceptible (and willing to follow) authoritarian nonsense by Psychopaths as today, globally speaking.

This all leaves a very bad taste in my mouth, to say the least. Doesn't look good IMO. Brave new world.
You are so right. It doesn't look beautiful at all what is coming. And to see all this panic is really disgusting. Really really disgusting how the PTB accept to be manipulated putting humanity in peril. But eh, that's what humanity decided.

Everything is going fast, the tsunami is huge and is coming! In Italy all schools are closed all March. All. In all the country. Oh my.


This is absolutely ridiculous.

Also I read in a French page that a doctor was saying that it is very convenient to take the flu vaccine to help not to have the Corona virus!!! oh my my.

According to LCI emergency doctor and health consultant Gérald Kierzek, there is no doubt that there is still time to get vaccinated. "The flu epidemic is not over and we must delay the arrival of the coronavirus epidemic to avoid having to manage both at the same time," he explains, "so it seems quite relevant to me to continue to get vaccinated, especially for people at risk". The problem is that the vaccine is no longer being taken care of, as the flu vaccination campaign ended on February 29th. It therefore has a cost for the patient.

Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)
The page is here

This situation make me sad, really. We live in a idiotic world. :cry:
 
The longer this obvious craziness continues the more I'm leaning towards the idea that the Powers-To-Be (at least in western countries) are ruthlessly using this "non-issue" as an excuse to test out how far they can go in controlling, scaring and managing people. A dry run, so to say. Sadly, so far it seems to work out just fine. It is actually kind of scary how good it seems to work out. The C's phrase "the programming is complete" comes to my mind regularly recently.

I mean, if that Virus would even slightly approach other mundane Viruses/Infections/Illnesses or Pandemics in terms of numbers and effects, I could sort of understand why so many fall for it, go crazy about it and say "yes" to everything that those on top demand as "counter measure"; but this one is so very obviously (in your face!) hugely over hyped in every way you look at it, that you really have to wonder about the state of our society as a whole.

If people can be so easily panicked by a non-issue like that and say "yes" to all the measures implemented by our "benevolent leaders", how do you think they would react if the PTB really step up the game and demand more outrages stuff? I'm afraid that our society has seldom before been as susceptible (and willing to follow) authoritarian nonsense by Psychopaths as today, globally speaking.

This all leaves a very bad taste in my mouth, to say the least. Doesn't look good IMO. Brave new world.


I'm keen to know, if it is new, how do you know it is a non issue?

Keen to know.
 
Anyways, if covid-19 is 52% asymptomatic, that means there are at least 180,000 cases, and probably more than that to account for the number of mild cases who haven't gotten tested. That also halves the current mortality rate to around 1% (based on the 2% figure being thrown around recently). Could be lower than that, but we can't know for sure by how much - there are probably also deaths that haven't been properly tested and recorded. Based on the Princess Diamond figures we get: 6 deaths so far out of 705 cases = 0.85%. For symptomatic cases, the death rate would be 1.8% (6 / [0.48 x 705]). Some are still sick and haven't recovered yet, though, so that number could rise in the coming weeks.
Good analysis, but bear in mind that the cruise ship population largely comprised the oldest age brackets, and thus the cohort most susceptible to this virus. If that sample reflected the population distribution in most countries, the number of those presenting symptoms and dying would be lower.

Then we have to factor in cases where people tested negative for SARS-Cov-2 (the virus) one day, and positive the next day - while remaining apparently free of COVID-19 (the disease) throughout. False positives, false negatives... why and when a virus activates or not... we really know so little about them and what they do when interacting with the human genome.

I mean, the first COVID-19 case in Europe and France was confirmed in Bordeaux on January 24th, 6 weeks ago. Bordeaux is just a two-hour drive away from us; we're smack in the middle of a transportation corridor between two major French cities.

If France is only now starting to think about maybe cancelling events at which large crowds gather, along with other 'containment measures', what do we imagine this virus has been doing in Bordeaux in the meantime? Sitting tight?! Waiting for the opportune moment?? Some of us have been to Bordeaux in the meantime - to a hospital! (for a friend)

James Corbett weighs in on Coronavirus and the problems with case numbers

Those are our thoughts on it. The numbers, even in highly monitored, controlled environments, are inherently unreliable.
 
I'm keen to know, if it is new, how do you know it is a non issue?

Keen to know.

Dependin' on the angle - for dupes buyin' official narrative it is a big issue; and it is symptomatic for people still sitting on the fence that it turns them into morons from just readin' fishy web sources - so i have a moniker of mine: morona virus.

Also, all of a sudden i have a premonition too: next in line of global schmandemics will be a Canine - lets say - flu... In fact today read somewhere that morona virus already jumped on one mutt somewhere in China - so start serachin' for dog masks as soon as possible!

😷
 
I'm keen to know, if it is new, how do you know it is a non issue?

Keen to know.
It's not new. It's history repeating. This report came out after the 2009 Swine Flu Pandemic hysteria passed...

Swine Flu Cases Overestimated?

By Sharyl Attkisson

October 21, 2009 - CBS

If you've been diagnosed "probable" or "presumed" 2009 H1N1 or "swine flu" in recent months, you may be surprised to know this: odds are you didn't have H1N1 flu.

In fact, you probably didn't have flu at all. That's according to state-by-state test results obtained in a three-month-long CBS News investigation
.

The ramifications of this finding are important. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and Britain's National Health Service, once you have H1N1 flu, you're immune from future outbreaks of the same virus. Those who think they've had H1N1 flu -- but haven't -- might mistakenly presume they're immune. As a result, they might skip taking a vaccine that could help them, and expose themselves to others with H1N1 flu under the mistaken belief they won't catch it. Parents might not keep sick children home from school, mistakenly believing they've already had H1N1 flu.

Why the uncertainty about who has and who hasn't had H1N1 flu?

In late July [mid-'pandemic'], the CDC abruptly advised states to stop testing for H1N1 flu, and stopped counting individual cases. The rationale given for the CDC guidance to forego testing and tracking individual cases was: why waste resources testing for H1N1 flu when the government has already confirmed there's an epidemic?

In other words, why bother test and count cases when everyone already believes we're in the midst of a health crisis anyway?! Who needs facts and data? Everyone 'knows'!

We may well see similar announced in the coming weeks, presumably once the WHO and its puppet masters are satisfied enough people believe...

Some public health officials privately disagreed with the decision to stop testing and counting, telling CBS News that continued tracking of this new and possibly changing virus was important because H1N1 has a different epidemiology, affects younger people more than seasonal flu and has been shown to have a higher case fatality rate than other flu virus strains.

CBS News learned that the decision to stop counting H1N1 flu cases was made so hastily that states weren't given the opportunity to provide input. Instead, on July 24, the Council for State and Territorial Epidemiologists, CSTE, issued the following notice to state public health officials on behalf of the CDC:

"Attached are the Q&As that will be posted on the CDC website tomorrow explaining why CDC is no longer reporting case counts for novel H1N1. CDC would have liked to have run these by you for input but unfortunately there was not enough time before these needed to be posted."

When CDC did not provide us with the material, we filed a Freedom of Information request with the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS). More than two months later, the request has not been fulfilled. We also asked CDC for state-by-state test results prior to halting of testing and tracking, but CDC was again, initially, unresponsive.

While we waited for CDC to provide the data, which it eventually did, we asked all 50 states for their statistics on state lab-confirmed H1N1 prior to the halt of individual testing and counting in July. The results reveal a pattern that surprised a number of health care professionals we consulted. The vast majority of cases were negative for H1N1 as well as seasonal flu, despite the fact that many states were specifically testing patients deemed to be most likely to have H1N1 flu, based on symptoms and risk factors, such as travel to Mexico [Mexico then was China today, where the outbreak began].

It's unknown what patients who tested negative for flu were actually afflicted with since the illness was not otherwise determined. Health experts say it's assumed the patients had some sort of cold or upper respiratory infection that is just not influenza.

With most cases diagnosed solely on symptoms and risk factors, the H1N1 flu epidemic may seem worse than it is
. For example, on Sept. 22, this alarming headline came from Georgetown University in Washington D.C.: "H1N1 Flu Infects Over 250 Georgetown Students."

H1N1 flu can be deadly and an outbreak of 250 students would be an especially troubling cluster. However, the number of sick students came not from lab-confirmed tests but from "estimates" made by counting "students who went to the Student Health Center with flu symptoms, students who called the H1N1 hotline or the Health Center's doctor-on-call, and students who went to the hospital's emergency room."

Without lab testing, it's impossible to know how many of the students actually had H1N1 flu. But the statistical trend indicates it was likely much fewer than 250.

CDC continues to monitor flu in general and H1N1 through "sentinels," which basically act as spot-checks to detect trends around the nation. But at least one state, California, has found value in tracking H1N1 flu in greater detail.

"What we are doing is much more detailed and expensive than what CDC wants," said Dr. Bela Matyas, California's Acting Chief of Emergency Preparedness and Response. "We're gathering data better to answer how severe is the illness. With CDC's fallback position, there are so many uncertainties with who's being counted, it's hard to know how much we're seeing is due to H1N1 flu rather than a mix of influenza diseases generally. We can tell that apart but they can't."

After our conversation with Dr. Matyas, public affairs officials with the California Department of Public Health emphasized to CBS News that they support CDC policy to stop counting individual cases, maintaining that the state has the resources to gather more specific testing data than the CDC.

Because of the uncertainties, the CDC advises even those who were told they had H1N1 to get vaccinated unless they had lab confirmation. "Persons who are uncertain about how they were diagnosed should get the 2009 H1N1 vaccine."


In other words... "Don't mind all those devils in the details, just go get your vaccine!"

That's unwelcome news for a Marietta, Georgia mom whose two children were diagnosed with "probable" H1N1 flu over the summer. She hoped that would mean they wouldn't need the hastily developed H1N1 flu vaccine. However, since their cases were never confirmed with lab tests, the CDC advises they get the vaccine. "I wish they had tested and that I knew for sure whether they had it. I'm not anxious to give them an experimental vaccine if they don't need it."

Speaking to CBS' "60 Minutes," CDC Director Dr. Frieden said he has confidence that the vaccine will be safe and effective: "We're confident it will be effective we have every reason to believe that it will be safe."

However, the CDC recommendation for those who had "probable" or "presumed" H1N1 flu to go ahead and get vaccinated anyway means the relatively small proportion of those who actually did have H1N1 flu will be getting the vaccine unnecessarily. This exposes them to rare but significant side effects, such as paralysis from Guillain-Barre syndrome.

It also uses up vaccine, which is said to be in short supply. The CDC was hoping to have shipped 40 million doses by the end of October, but only about 30 million doses will be available this month.

The CDC did not response to questions from CBS News for this report.

Positive for H1N1, 'probable' for H1N1, 'negative for H1N1'... the WHO and CDC didn't care - they just wanted to boost as many vaccines as possible and - more generally - get everyone onboard with 'doing what the nice man in the white coat tells you'.

It's all about the vaccines - and/or other medical mafia means of implementing ever finer orders of control. Like I said earlier in this thread, the manufactured 'War on Terror' has nothing on manufactured 'global pandemics' when it comes to 'spooking the herd' and 'creating new facts on the ground'. Most just 'freeze' in terror, suspend their critical faculties, and hand over their power to the authorities.
 
Regarding this whole issue, I know everyone has a their instincts. I know the house view is this is a non issue and will fizzle out in the spring / summer.

The professional views you hear out there is this is not necessarily a non issue or a civilization stopping pandemic but an issue that will come to affect you personally, no matter how much you try to ignore it.

My personal instincts tell me at this moment in time it's not decided whether it'll be an issue or not but it's something to pay attention to.

We wait to see what will transpire.
 
1st and 2nd cases here in Chile landia.

A Chilean doctor who lied on his health entry form that he had visited multiple East and SE Asian countries before returning to Chile and who then attended patients was hospitalized at the beginning of the month but is now in the recovered category while his wife has now been diagnosed as the 2nd official case in the country.

The panic has also arrived here but is not totally irrational yet...

The far left Chile Social Crisis protestors are already claiming this is a government conspiracy to halt the protests (I say bullshit on that as the current Chile government is pretty inept).

Time will tell, fall is coming but then historically real and true pandemics tend to fizzle out in South America.
 
Good analysis, but bear in mind that the cruise ship population largely comprised the oldest age brackets, and thus the cohort most susceptible to this virus. If that sample reflected the population distribution in most countries, the number of those presenting symptoms and dying would be lower.

Yeah, I hadn't taken the age factor into account (thanks, Siberia, for finding that chart!). That WILL adjust the mortality and number of cases downward. Not sure by how much - that's beyond my math skills - maybe around a factor of 2 for people getting symptoms? (60-99+ year-olds account for 31% of cases, but make up just 18% of the Chinese population.)

One thing to consider though is that the oldest age brackets are not strictly speaking the most susceptible to getting the virus, just to dying - at least according to the stats we've been given. For example, people in the 80s and 90s make up 2.1% of China's population, but 3.2% of cases. Here's the graph based on the Chinese data showing "confirmed" (i.e. blood test, not including "clinically diagnosed") cases. It's still a bell curve, just shifted slightly in the elderly direction when compared to China's population demographics (see here and here to compare). So if you're anywhere older than 30, you'll have a higher chance of infection than if it affected everyone equally based on age. People in their 50s and 60s are hit the hardest, though: 25.3% of the population, 41.6% of cases.

COVID-19-1.jpg


Again, that's just based on the Chinese numbers, for what they're worth! (Probably not much.)

Those are our thoughts on it. The numbers, even in highly monitored, controlled environments, are inherently unreliable.

Yep, Corbett's report was very good. The only thing I'm not sure about is related to the spike of around 15,000 cases. I might be wrong, but I'm pretty sure I read that China only changed its diagnostic criteria for that single day or so, and then reverted to using blood tests to (presumably) test for the actual virus. So while it's true that those in the spike hadn't actually been tested, I'm pretty sure all the cases before and after were. Of course, even that isn't a sure thing, as you point out (false negatives and positives) - the reliability of the test itself has to be taken into account.

As Corbett points out, everyone has an agenda, and those agendas are sometimes in conflict. Whose numbers to trust? Are they downplayed or exaggerated? All I'm really trying to say is that with so much uncertainty, I can understand why people and governments are reacting the way they are - for a variety of reasons, whether sinister or just over-cautious worst-case-scenario planning. Not saying any of them are necessarily right to do so, just that it doesn't strike me as particularly surprising.
 
Yesterday in Poland before midnight a new law was adopted introducing mandatory hospitalization, the possibility of introducing mandatory quarantine for everyone, even if the person is not sick for 21 days, if someone refuses the mandatory treatment, it can be done by force or even the army. The Minister of Health can order, by means of an administrative decision, the takeover of any products for fighting the virus for the benefit of the State Treasury. The government can also limit the activities of private companies in the affected areas and introduce rationing of certain goods. The new law also provides for draconian penalties for pharmaceutical wholesalers who try to sell medical devices classified as strategic, in the event of a possible epidemic (not even the epidemic itself!) the army may be placed under the command of sanitary inspectors.
 
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