There is another type of war besides SMO being waged in Russia now. The state is trying to block Telegram and VPN services and the citizens are finding new ways around new blocks.
This game was going on for a while with other services like YouTube and WhatsApp, but with Telegram it became a red line for many in giving up their personal freedoms. Also a great deal of SMO front-line communications were done with Telegram because it turned out to be the best for the purpose.
Recent blocking measures started to paralyze essential Internet services like payment processors. IP address whitelists — where you can access only predefined list of sites — were implemented in regions and tested in Moscow for mobile connections. Currently most of Russian Internet users are using VPN to access their usual resources. And now we hear about plans to switch to whitelists for cable connections.
People were given different reasons for blocking through the time: law infringements (LGBT and stuff), terrorist activity, enemy drone navigation. But in the end the whole picture doesn't make much sense. Authorities must understand that moving to strict whitelists will cause enormous economic damage for the country and its people. The cost of blocking infrastructure is very high too, it's billions for sure, while Russian economy is not in its best shape. Yet, they still continue with their plans.
We still do not know who is the mastermind behind these restrictions. Authorities speak about it like it is a natural disaster. And this alone gives a clue. Putin is probably the only one whose name cannot be named in this situation. Let's explore this version.
Earlier Putin stated that Internet restrictions is not the way to solve problems. So there must be something really important to make him change his mind. Could it be that he found out of something really dangerous approaching — like comets — and decided to prepare a kill-switch for Internet infrastructure to minimize panic when it's needed?
Also such modus operandi would be consistent with recent cattle culling story -- keep quite, fix the problem, ignore reputation damage.
I know it sounds kinda crazy, but at least this version is the most consistent one for me.
From a technical point of view this campaign is doomed. It's easy to block some traffic for laymen and it's almost impossible to block everything you want to block without destroying the whole Internet ecosystem.