Upon further reflexion, re-reading the Carney speech, I have concluded that it is nothing more than a large, steaming pile of horse hockey. It is dishonest, hypocritical and driven by virtue signalling that is designed to elicit the kind of approval it has received. It has actually been compared to MLK's "I Have a Dream" speech, believe it or not. Probably by a paid troll, or a bot.
First, he explains how countries like Canada benefitted from the "old order", which he compares to communism, with a straight face.
"For decades, countries like Canada prospered under what we called the rules-based international order. We joined its institutions, praised its principles, and benefited from its predictability. We could pursue values-based foreign policies under its protection."
"We participated in the rituals. And largely avoided calling out the gaps between rhetoric and reality."
"Havel called this “living within a lie.” The system’s power comes not from its truth but from everyone’s willingness to perform as if it were true."
Many have interpreted this as an admission that countries were turning a blind eye to the abuses of power perpetrated around the world by the US because they were benefitting from that relationship. However, he says the following in contradiction to such an admission:
"Today, I’ll talk about the rupture in the world order, the end of a nice story, and the beginning of a brutal reality where geopolitics among the great powers is not subject to any constraints." - A nice story? But you said it was about ignoring the rhetoric and living within a lie.
"Canada was amongst the first to hear the wake-up call, leading us to fundamentally shift our strategic posture."
"Canadians know that our old, comfortable assumption that our geography and alliance memberships automatically conferred prosperity and security is no longer valid."
"And there is another truth: if great powers abandon even the pretence of rules and values for the unhindered pursuit of their power and interests, the gains from “transactionalism” become harder to replicate. Hegemons cannot continually monetize their relationships."
"Every day we are reminded that we live in an era of great power rivalry. That the rules-based order is fading."
He's making it sound like the great powers (the US in particular) not being subject to any constraints is something new!! Really? So leaders of western countries have been totally unaware that the US has been committing crimes around the world for at least the past 80 years, and that they've never been punished? So... we didn't know what was going on until now? (That sounds familiar... covid, anyone?)
People on this forum know full-well what's really been going on, so I'm not going to waste your time getting into that. So let's look at his proposed solutions.
"In a world of great power rivalry, the countries in between have a choice: to compete with each other for favour or to combine to create a third path with impact."
"As I said, such classic risk management comes at a price, but that cost of strategic autonomy, of sovereignty, can also be shared. Collective investments in resilience are cheaper than everyone building their own fortress. Shared standards reduce fragmentation. Complementarities are positive sum."
"Middle powers must act together because if you are not at the table, you are on the menu."
All he seems to be proposing is the same globalism only without including the US and Russia. But apparently China's okay as a partner, human rights abuses and all. And the fact that China is pretty tight with Russia doesn't seem to be a problem, either.
He mentions that doing all this will come at a price - "... such classic risk management comes at a price, but that cost of strategic autonomy, of sovereignty, can also be shared." But wait. What did he say near the beginning of his speech?
"But I also submit to you that other countries, particularly middle powers like Canada, are not powerless. They have the capacity to build a new order that embodies our values, like respect for human rights, sustainable development, solidarity, sovereignty, and territorial integrity of states."
Apparently his plan has the capacity to build autonomy and sovereignty, but comes with a LOSS of autonomy and sovereignty. That doesn't sound too coherent. And that loss of autonomy and sovereignty? No problem, because we'll all suffer that loss together! Kumbaya!
Which brings me to the virtue signalling.
"Our new approach rests on what Alexander Stubb has termed “values-based realism” – or, to put it another way, we aim to be principled and pragmatic."
"Principled in our commitment to fundamental values: sovereignty and territorial integrity, the prohibition of the use of force except when consistent with the UN Charter, respect for human rights.
Pragmatic in recognising that progress is often incremental, that interests diverge, that not every partner shares our values."
"Canada is calibrating our relationships so their depth reflects our values."
"We are no longer relying on just the strength of our values, but also on the value of our strength." - Soundbite.
"To help solve global problems, we are pursuing variable geometry— different coalitions for different issues, based on values and interests." - Variable geometry... okay.
In my opinion, this simply translates to, "WE have decent values, the US does not. WE are virtuous, the US is not." It's the same old woke virtue signalling that will appeal to those among the masses who have allowed that mindset to creep into their thinking. As we all know, the woke mindset is all about stripping away everyone's rights in order to help the marginalized groups. At the same time, his words present nothing concrete - nothing specific, nothing defined.
I get the impression that the populations of the middle power countries that sign on to his vague plan may find themselves stripped of all their rights in order to help that coalition of countries, as a whole. This is wokeism, this is globalism, this is communism.
I think special attention should be given to the phrase, "not every partner shares our values". This seems to be the narrative that will permit partnerships with China and other abusive regimes, which really means staying with the way of the "old order" of turning a blind eye to human rights abuses simply because we are benefitting from the relationship. Although I think it will eventually be more about joining in on the abuse.
All in all, it sounds to me like Carney has no problem with the big boys bullying the little countries as long as Canada benefits, and Canada doesn't get bullied. But now it's getting bullied, and that's unacceptable. Pure hypocrisy.