Crazy Storm Weather and Lightning - Global
- Thread starter mabar
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It is beautiful, though I also wonder if the video hasn't been slowed down?
Olivierlejardinier
Jedi Council Member
From this article (nytimes) ,some info on hailstone formation during big storms :
photo from Imperial, Neb. 2019
Every hailstone has a story cryptically etched in its shape and layers. To decode the story, scientists use mathematical models to predict where hail will fall and what it will look like; they then collect and analyze actual hailstones to refine those models, piecing together a stone’s path from the storm to the ground.
But some of the most basic features of large hail remain shrouded in mystery; survey procedures are inconsistent, and funding is scarce. How fast do these hailstones fall? What gives a hailstone its shape? How large can a hailstone possibly get?
“Hail data are terrible,” Dr. Brimelow said. “It is probably one of the worst data sets on the planet.”
Almost all hail is created in supercells, or storms with updrafts of rising air that slowly rotate. Small pieces of ice, called embryos, get swept into those updrafts like “a fountain of particles,” said Matt Kumjian, a meteorologist at Penn State University who studies the internal dynamics of storms. The embryos smash into water droplets, becoming hailstones that continue to grow until they are too heavy to stay suspended and then fall to the ground.
Over the past couple of years, Dr. Giammanco and his colleagues have traveled around North America making 3-D scans of large hailstones. Later in the lab, using “probably the most sophisticated ice machine on the planet,” Dr. Giammanco said, the team recreates the hailstones to calculate their fall speed and the damage they could cause.
Mr. Ortega and his colleagues have been using high-speed photography to capture large hailstones in motion. This entails sprinting in front of supercells and setting up camera systems to better understand how fast the ice is moving when it hits the ground and what shape it takes just before impact.
Each detail is a clue. A cloudy hailstone layer indicates that the water froze instantly on the embryo, trapping air bubbles inside. Clear ice means the water had time to expand around the embryo before freezing. Spherical hailstones are thought to have tumbled around in the supercell; spiky ones shoot like comets through the storm.
The end of a hailstone’s story is often what attracts public attention. If some ice breaks your windshield, do you really care what path it took through a supercell? But, Dr. Kumjian said, retracing the ontogeny of hail can help scientists better predict where and when large hailstones will fall next.
photo from Imperial, Neb. 2019
Every hailstone has a story cryptically etched in its shape and layers. To decode the story, scientists use mathematical models to predict where hail will fall and what it will look like; they then collect and analyze actual hailstones to refine those models, piecing together a stone’s path from the storm to the ground.
But some of the most basic features of large hail remain shrouded in mystery; survey procedures are inconsistent, and funding is scarce. How fast do these hailstones fall? What gives a hailstone its shape? How large can a hailstone possibly get?
“Hail data are terrible,” Dr. Brimelow said. “It is probably one of the worst data sets on the planet.”
Almost all hail is created in supercells, or storms with updrafts of rising air that slowly rotate. Small pieces of ice, called embryos, get swept into those updrafts like “a fountain of particles,” said Matt Kumjian, a meteorologist at Penn State University who studies the internal dynamics of storms. The embryos smash into water droplets, becoming hailstones that continue to grow until they are too heavy to stay suspended and then fall to the ground.
Over the past couple of years, Dr. Giammanco and his colleagues have traveled around North America making 3-D scans of large hailstones. Later in the lab, using “probably the most sophisticated ice machine on the planet,” Dr. Giammanco said, the team recreates the hailstones to calculate their fall speed and the damage they could cause.
Mr. Ortega and his colleagues have been using high-speed photography to capture large hailstones in motion. This entails sprinting in front of supercells and setting up camera systems to better understand how fast the ice is moving when it hits the ground and what shape it takes just before impact.
Each detail is a clue. A cloudy hailstone layer indicates that the water froze instantly on the embryo, trapping air bubbles inside. Clear ice means the water had time to expand around the embryo before freezing. Spherical hailstones are thought to have tumbled around in the supercell; spiky ones shoot like comets through the storm.
The end of a hailstone’s story is often what attracts public attention. If some ice breaks your windshield, do you really care what path it took through a supercell? But, Dr. Kumjian said, retracing the ontogeny of hail can help scientists better predict where and when large hailstones will fall next.
Powerful typhoon Hinnamnor batters South Korea with 3 feet of rain, 3,500 evacuated
The most powerful typhoon to hit South Korea in years battered its southern region Tuesday, dumping 3 feet of rain, destroying roads and felling power lines, leaving tens of thousands of homes without electricity before weakening at sea. Two people died, and some of the missing were stuck in a submerged basement parking lot.
Typhoon Hinnamnor grazed the resort island of Jeju and hit the mainland near the port city of Busan before blowing into the waters between the Korean Peninsula and Japan.
The damage seemed most severe in the southern city of Pohang, where one person was found dead and at least nine others were missing after the storm submerged roads and buildings, triggered landslides and flooded a shopping mall.
Storm-damaged cars – their windows smashed or trunks open – were scattered on roads like garbage, while an entire two-story pool villa was uprooted from the ground and swept away in flash floods. Troops were deployed to assist with rescue and restoration efforts, moving in armored vehicles rolling through streets that turned into chocolate-colored rivers.
Video: Powerful typhoon Hinnamnor batters South Korea with 3 feet of rain, 3,500 evacuated
A woman in her 70s died in Pohang after being swept away in flash floods, while another woman in her 80s died in nearby Gyeongju after her home was buried in a landslide.
▪︎ Western Europe
UPDATE
September 7/15:00h/2022
Hurricane #Danielle Category 1 in the North Atlantic Ocean.
-winds 130km/h
-1005km NW of the Azores.
Forecasts predict potential to reach the Iberian Peninsula as a strong storm
Danielle, the first hurricane of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, continued to churn in the open ocean on Wednesday. The hurricane has yet to be a threat to any country during its lifetime, but that is set to change as early as this weekend, AccuWeather forecasters say.
Danielle, after taking a leisurely, meandering journey across the open Atlantic, will approach a populated landmass for the first time since it formed on Sept. 1.
Forecasters say portions of Western Europe, including Portugal, Spain, France, Ireland and the United Kingdom, will need to remain on alert for possible impacts from Danielle from Sunday into the early week.
▪︎France
Heavy storm in #Paris #France
.
Strong storms reported in #Îlede France
Images near Porte de Clichy by @BriceGERMAIN
Via @meteo60
UPDATE
September 7/15:00h/2022
Hurricane #Danielle Category 1 in the North Atlantic Ocean.
-winds 130km/h
-1005km NW of the Azores.
Forecasts predict potential to reach the Iberian Peninsula as a strong storm
Hurricane Danielle to head toward Europe following Atlantic adventure
Danielle, the first hurricane of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, continued to churn in the open ocean on Wednesday. The hurricane has yet to be a threat to any country during its lifetime, but that is set to change as early as this weekend, AccuWeather forecasters say.
Danielle, after taking a leisurely, meandering journey across the open Atlantic, will approach a populated landmass for the first time since it formed on Sept. 1.
Forecasters say portions of Western Europe, including Portugal, Spain, France, Ireland and the United Kingdom, will need to remain on alert for possible impacts from Danielle from Sunday into the early week.
▪︎France
Heavy storm in #Paris #France
.Strong storms reported in #Îlede France
Images near Porte de Clichy by @BriceGERMAIN
Via @meteo60
Colombia: Floods in Medellin keep residents on alert
The Administrative Department of Disaster Risk Management (DAGRD) indicated that on Wednesday, September 7, heavy rains were recorded that left flooding in Medellin, Colombia.
In addition, they extended to the Aburrá Valley and the locality of San Antonio de Prado is one of the most affected, so it is on alert due to the overflowing of the streams in the sector.
"The rains of the last hours have generated different emergencies in the township of San Antonio de Prado. So far, 48 calls have been received on the 123 line with incidents of flooding due to insufficient drainage, falling trees, roofless houses and overflowing streams," said the DAGRD through a statement.
The agency reiterated that the situation is due to the rainy season along with La Niña phenomenon, which will affect the country until the beginning of 2023.
eltiempolatino.com
▪︎ Mexico
Heavy rains cause overflow of Arroyo Pereyra in #Colima. Affecting the urban area of Colima and Villa de Álvarez.
▪︎Italy
Strong #storm #orage in #Trieste #Italy
.
heavy rain and gusty winds today september 9, 2022.
The Administrative Department of Disaster Risk Management (DAGRD) indicated that on Wednesday, September 7, heavy rains were recorded that left flooding in Medellin, Colombia.
In addition, they extended to the Aburrá Valley and the locality of San Antonio de Prado is one of the most affected, so it is on alert due to the overflowing of the streams in the sector.
"The rains of the last hours have generated different emergencies in the township of San Antonio de Prado. So far, 48 calls have been received on the 123 line with incidents of flooding due to insufficient drainage, falling trees, roofless houses and overflowing streams," said the DAGRD through a statement.
The agency reiterated that the situation is due to the rainy season along with La Niña phenomenon, which will affect the country until the beginning of 2023.
Inundaciones en Medellín por el fenómeno La Niña
La localidad de San Antonio de Prado es una de las más afectadas tras las fuertes inundaciones en Medellín, Colombia.
eltiempolatino.com
▪︎ Mexico
Heavy rains cause overflow of Arroyo Pereyra in #Colima. Affecting the urban area of Colima and Villa de Álvarez.
▪︎Italy
Strong #storm #orage in #Trieste #Italy
.heavy rain and gusty winds today september 9, 2022.
Carrington-like Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) To Strike Earth On Friday, September 23... - Electroverse
...according to a multidisciplinary scientific approach made by Ali Al-Rubaidi and published on ResearchGate.
electroverse.co
In this article, Cap Allon speculates about the prediction in a recent paper, which is based on science and the Koran (!), that a catastrophic Carrington-like magnetic storm will hit the Earth on September 23rd. Very interesting speculation.
I had decided not to write this article–about a week ago when I first heard about it. Giving credence to EOTW predictions that put an exact date on the catastrophe only ever leaves you with egg on your face–and this one not only provides a date, but an exact time, too! Still, the multidisciplinary approach is interesting, and the date isn’t very far away, meaning we don’t have to wait long to test the hypothesis.
On Friday, September 23, 2022 at 05:07 UT a powerful Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) will strike Earth –a Carrington-like event– that will ring in the end of the world as we know it. This is according to scientist Ali Al-Rubaidi in a paper published last month on ResearchGate that is “based on Science and The Quran”–a multidisciplinary approach I find curious.
Lifted directly from the study:
“This short paper forecasts the next Solar Storm, commencing with CME at the Sun’s location in the zenith at Riau, Indonesia, during the Autumnal equinox on 23 September 2022, at around 5:07 UTC. Based on our method of interpreting the Cave chapter verse (18:17), the term [tazāwaru] signifies the negative and southerly orientation associated with the Sun in verse.
“Furthermore, the southward direction and negative polarity of the IMF-Bz component, signifying a strong interaction with the magnetosphere, are also crucial for developing a geomagnetic storm. Consequently, the term [tazāwaru] in verse may correlate with the Sun to suggest the occurrence of CME at the zenith position of the Sun on 23 September 2022.”
Another interesting section:
“The Solar storm consequences for humans vary from awe-inspiring celestial displays, such as auroras, to subtle but possibly harmful impacts on technology systems that are becoming more vital to everyday life.
“For instance, electric power transmission networks and communication lines have been shown to be susceptible to solar phenomena (Joselyn 1992). Internet outage for a day in the US costs $7 billion, while electrical network failure costs $40 billion. All other systems depend on the electricity network (Jyothi 2021).
“Hence, It is certain that if the Carrington event reoccurrence occurred today, it could devastate our modern technological infrastructure. That would offer a high probability of a complex situation of global food crisis that will wreak havoc on local economies and trigger civil unrest.
“In the world bank food security report on 15 August 2022 (The world bank 2022), record high food prices have sparked a worldwide crisis that will push millions more into severe poverty, exacerbate hunger and malnutrition, and threaten to reverse years of development progress. For example, more than 17.4 million Yemenis are food insecure; in the coming months, 7.3 million are expected to fall into emergency hunger (UN 2022).
“As a result, we contend that preparing people for the next Carrington event, which we foresee, is a critical step in shifting from a negative to a positive influence that should be shown to evoke people’s perceptions to reduce the impact of solar storms on people’s lives.”
The paper concludes:
“The world is now experiencing a food scarcity issue. The emergence of a Solar Storm would greatly complicate people’s life.
“As a result, we propose that preparing people for the next Solar Storm, which we anticipate, is a vital step in transitioning from a negative to a significant outcome that should be shown to evoke people’s perceptions to reduce the impact of a solar storm on people’s lives.
“We contend that uncovering the evidence in God’s cave probably will contribute to raising people’s awareness to deal with the repercussions of a solar storm with caution. Myth and legend are likely embedded in the subconscious mind. Therefore, as the best creator, God provides the Seven Sleepers tale with a purpose that likely leads to a change in people’s perspectives during challenging situations.
“Furthermore, we claim that the verse (18:17) that encodes our identity corresponds with the Solar Storm, and you may use our interpretation approach to reveal our identity within a word of the verse.”
THE SCIENCE BEHIND THE FORECAST
Solar flares and CMEs are caused by explosive discharges of magnetic energy from the solar atmosphere.
Al-Rubaidi’s paper aims to notify the scientific community of the threats posed by the Solar Storms expected on Sept 23, and also to “prepare the community to become acquainted with the consequences of said storms and how to limit their impact.”
Solar storms are comprised of three primary elements: solar flares, solar proton events (SPEs), and coronal mass ejections (CMEs). Interactions between CMEs and the earth’s magnetic field may result in a geomagnetic storm. Not all solar storms create all three components, although the most powerful ones often do (Marusek 2007).
Although flare radiation and solar energetic particles have substantial and observable impacts, magnetic storms, which are the reaction of the earth’s magnetic field to unavoidable inhomogeneities in the solar wind, are responsible for the most ubiquitous human consequences (Joselyn 1992).
CMEs include the release of electrically charged solar particles and magnetic fields into space. This magnetic cloud takes 13 to 5 days to reach earth (although the fastest can arrive in 15-18 hours), and interact with earth’s magnetic field to create intense electric currents that may damage and destroy human technology (Jyothi 2021).
Adding further intriguement, there just so happens to be a monstrous sunspot currently blowing its top on the farside of the sun. NASA’s STEREO-A spacecraft recorded this magnificent full-halo CME during the late hours of Sept 5:
A NASA model of the CME shows it heading away from Earth and directly toward Venus:
This will make it the second time in a week that Venus has been hammered by a significant solar storm (an earlier CME struck on Sept 1, probably launched by the same farside sunspot).
“This is no run of the mill event,” says George Ho of the Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Lab. “Many science papers will be studying this for years to come.”
Ho is the principal investigator for an energetic particle detector onboard Europe’s Solar Orbiter spacecraft–and he is getting a lot of data right now. Solar Orbiter just performed a close flyby of Venus (only 6420 km away) to adjust its orbit around the sun. It is in the perfect position to observe the storm.
This plot shows a wave of energetic particles washing over the spacecraft:
“I can safely say the Sept 5 event is one of the largest (if not THE largest) Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) storms that we have seen … In fact, the >10 MeV and >50 MeV particle intensity has not subsided since the beginning of the storm,” continued Ho.
“This is indicative of a very fast and powerful interplanetary shock, and the inner heliosphere may be filled with these high-energy particles for a long time. I think I’ve only seen couple of these in the last couple solar cycles.”
To clarify, Earth is not affected by this storm, which is happening on the opposite side of the sun. However, the underlying explosion occurred in the magnetic canopy of AR3088 –that monstrous and strangely magnetized (perpendicular) sunspot that we discussed in late August (link here)– is now transiting the farside, apparently even bigger and angrier than before, with the sun’s rotation set to turn it toward Earth again later in the month, timing ominously-well with Al-Rubaidi’s call for ‘the big one’.
NASA model of the 1859 Carrington Event.
Do I personally think that a powerful Carrington-like CME will strike earth’s atmosphere on September 23?
No.
Still, will my eyes be aimed up at the skies three Friday’s from now?
Yes. They will.
Religious scriptures are powerful tools. They often contain warnings of past cyclical catastrophes that are doomed to repeat, from which heedance can be drawn. In other words, I’m not rejecting this prediction out of hand — not least because I can see with my own eyes the fiery AR3088 that is slowly but surely making its way around the farside of the sun.
Also, and just to add further confluences, Al-Rubaidi’s prediction also coincides with the Federal Reserves next meeting, which is also a date that financial expert Jim Rickards has claimed will ring in the next big financial crash, the next Great Depression.
And all this without even mentioning the clear correlation between solar bombardments and tropical storm intensity.
Something is coming, that’s for sure — stay tuned for updates.
We will have to wait and see but according to SDO images and seismic data of what is happening on the non-visible side of the sun, the return of two large regions (AR3088 and AR3089) that in the past weeks were very active producing M-class flares but lack sufficient energy to generate X-class flares is expected. (the X-ray intensity of the Carrington flare was estimated to be X45. This was significantly larger than the X35 class event of the famous Halloween storm of 2003) So we will have to wait to see the accuracy of the Koran.
It seems that Newsweek is also getting into the speculation business:
Sunspot Turning Towards Earth Is so Big It's Changing How the Sun Vibrates
Sunspot turning towards Earth is so big it's changing how the sun vibrates
Scientists have discovered a sunspot on the back of the sun using helioseismology—the study of the solar soundwaves.
www.newsweek.com
‘Supercell’ Storm Soaks Chicago, Causing Massive Flooding Amid Torrential Downpour
— A “supercell” rainstorm Sunday inundated streets and caused cars to stall and water pipes to burst across the city’s North Side, leaving hundreds of Chicagoans with flooded basements and entire blocks under water.Residents reported basements flooded with more than 1 foot of water and impassable intersections on the North Side, including in Lincoln Square, Albany Park, Portage Park, Uptown, Edgewater and Ravenswood.
By 7 p.m. Sunday, the rain had largely subsided and water had receded into the city’s sewer system, providing some relief for residents who spent the better part of Sunday pumping water out of their homes, slogging through swamped sidewalks and checking inundated car engines.
Noe Torres, of Lincoln Square, said his basement was flooded with 2-3 feet of rain. Water rose up to the produce crisper section of his refrigerator, knocked over shelves and took hours to drain, even with the assistance of a Shop-Vac.
“I don’t remember anything like it, and I’ve been here 25 years,” Torres said. “Where the table is floating? Water in the fridge? I’ve never had that happen before.”
'Supercell' Storm Soaks Chicago, Causing Massive Flooding Amid Torrential Downpour
PHOTOS: The flooding caused cars to stall and water pipes to burst across the city, leaving hundreds with soggy basements and entire city blocks under water.
blockclubchicago.org
Torrential rain and flooding inundate Chicago, southeastern Wisconsin
Widespread heavy rainfall doused the Chicago area Sunday, with nearly six inches of rain flooding streets, drenching fans at the Chicago Bears’ season-opening football game and turning storm drains into massive geysers.The rain spread into the area on Sunday morning before quickly ramping up and turning dangerous. In just a one-hour period from 8:40 to 9:40 a.m. local time, 3.5 inches of rain fell in Chicago’s Albany Park. In total, 5.63 inches of rain fell there, according to local storm reports published by the National Weather Service.
▪︎Pakistan
Once again, Karachi #Pakistan faces torrential rains.
-Nearly 1,400 people have died in the floods.
-Millions have been left homeless
Southern region is among the hardest hit by the monsoon rains. Via @TimesGlo
▪︎México
Heavy rain this Sunday in Tecate Baja California Mexico left damage and flooding on roads, homes and businesses.
They report that 14 people were referred to shelters due to the affectations.
Via @epi_ona
Kay’s remnants bring flooding to Southwest, 76 mph wind gust to Phoenix
In an extremely odd meteorological setup, the remnants of a tropical storm are delivering flooding rains and damaging winds to the desert. Broad swaths of Arizona, Nevada and California are dealing with downpours, and could be facing severe thunderstorms again Monday night.The moist flow around the storm remnants has fueled heavy thunderstorms over central and northern Arizona, which unleashed a 76 mph wind gust in Phoenix on Sunday, more than 3.3 inches of rain near Tucson and towering plumes of dust.
That was just the first round of heavy and flooding rains, with another bout of moisture-loaded thunderstorms likely to affect Arizona and Nevada on Monday afternoon and night.
Flood watches blanket the majority of Nevada and Arizona, including Phoenix and Las Vegas. Weekend mudslides in the mountains of Southern California caused two dozen vehicles to become stuck in mud in the vicinity of Lake Hughes, and Interstate 8 was reportedly a minefield of boulders and debris.