Passenger Plane Crashes at Rostov-on-Don Airport in Russia

Yozilla said:
Pierre said:
That's a possibility, the plane could act as a needle but not necessarily a mechanical one (punching hole by modifying pressure or draft) but an electric one. Indeed, plane can carry an electric charge different from the one carried by the surrounding (see discharge of the Boeing hitting the WTC tower, or planes struck by lightning for example). A negatively charged plane could attract positive charges (including ionised air molecules) from higher atmosphere.

Yup Pierre, i wanted to write something like that this could be only a mechanical part of problem - i have had some vague idea that some electrical phenomenon could be at play there too - even if just the very circling of the plane could create some additional electromagnetic effect in that area to precipitate tings further south. Another speculation: could high winds in some area create some kind of vacuum effect, strong flow of air which could enhance "sucking/pulling" even more freezing air from upper layers if the hole/portal is punched through "warmer" lower atmospheric layer..?

Well i just suck considering speculating :-[

Many official and unofficial weather phenomena can bring down a plane. One of the most documented one is called microburst, a localized downdraft than can generate winds up to 170 mph. It's considered as the cause of 9 crashes over the last decades.
 
Richard S said:
For those who don't understand how a pilot can be so fooled, even if rated for such conditions and very experienced, please remember that what an occupant of an aircraft feels is simply the force of the wings interacting with the flow of air the plane is passing through. It does not matter at all what the attitude of the plane is in relation to the ground below. Even if totally upside down in relation to the Earth, the passengers will still feel as if the plane is straight and level in relation to the Earth, even though it is not. So, there is absolutely no way to tell by what one feels about a plane's attitude and the pilot must totally rely on the instruments to determine the attitude.

Not sure I understand you here. I've been in planes where the "attitude" changed abruptly and I was very aware of what the plane was doing.
 
Joe said:
asino said:
As a side note, at least since the Air France 447 accident over the south Atlantic in 2009, we know that the majority of professional pilots lack the skills to recognize and recover from a serious aerodynamic upset. Slowly, airlines and regulatory bodies are reacting, requiring mandatory training (Upset Recovery Training, URT) not just on simulators, but in real aircraft.

Thanks for the input. On Flight AF447 though, I'm pretty sure that wasn't any kind of pilot error or mechanical failure. A more likely explanation is outlined here:

http://www.sott.net/article/186672-What-are-they-hiding-Flight-447-and-Tunguska-Type-Events

Sure Joe,
I wasn't using AF447 to suggest a pilot error as the original cause of its crash. Regardless of that it has been found that for the duration of the "dive" (which lasted a fairly long time), the pilots were clueless about the aircraft's attitude (a flat spin IIRC) and thus unable to attempt a recovery.
My point was to highlight the fact that the currently accepted traning syllabus for airliner pilots doesn't require a single minute in an out-of-flight-envelope situation. Not even in the simulator.
If you prefer, the paragraph can be rephrased as follows:
"Learning one thing from the investigation into the AF447 accident, airlines and regulatory bodies have begun pushing for more intensive pilot training in the field of LOC-I and Upset Recovery"
:(
 
Joe said:
Richard S said:
For those who don't understand how a pilot can be so fooled, even if rated for such conditions and very experienced, please remember that what an occupant of an aircraft feels is simply the force of the wings interacting with the flow of air the plane is passing through. It does not matter at all what the attitude of the plane is in relation to the ground below. Even if totally upside down in relation to the Earth, the passengers will still feel as if the plane is straight and level in relation to the Earth, even though it is not. So, there is absolutely no way to tell by what one feels about a plane's attitude and the pilot must totally rely on the instruments to determine the attitude.

Not sure I understand you here. I've been in planes where the "attitude" changed abruptly and I was very aware of what the plane was doing.

Joe, it's not easy to explain although I know exactly how it feels. Anyway allow me to give it a try.
The situation is you in an aircraft (no matter what size BTW) at the controls, in fog, i.e. deprived of any visual clue to confirm you about your plane's attitude with respect to ground. What happens in a nutshell is that your actions on the controls (stick and rudder) will be such as to counteract any sensoric input which might tell you about your real attitude (especially gravity).
In other words, you will move the stick and rudder in a way to keep your inner ear sensors satisfied so to speak: specifically you will create an acceleration towards your lower body of about 1G. That is the goal of this game, to generate an artificial sensory input which matches, confirms and reinforces your inner image of the situation (which is most always "straight ahead, perfectly level, no problems").
Now note that in this respect your inner sensors can be easily satisfied/fooled in just about any real attitude: If your airplane is objectively banking at a 90 degree angle, you just pull the sticks towards you by the right amount to generate a 1G centrifugal acceleration, and supplement it with a sideways-downward action on the rudder to "cover up" the perceived side weight.
And voilà while the airplane is in a tight descending spiral, your inner image is still "straight ahead, perfectly level, no problem".

Note that in such a situation any passenger will feel exactly like you, i.e. very well and balanced!
In fact, after my little adventure in the clouds, my 2 passengers hadn't noticed anything at all even while the airplane was upside down for a few seconds. (They noticed the stall horn however, which "annoyed them a bit")


:(
 
Pierre said:
Many official and unofficial weather phenomena can bring down a plane. One of the most documented one is called microburst, a localized downdraft than can generate winds up to 170 mph. It's considered as the cause of 9 crashes over the last decades.

Thx Pierre for clarification - i've already checked microburst link provided by Data's post... Thanks heavens that "macrobursts" don't occur - ain't they?

P.S.

Eh, they do - another name for strong downdraft! Just checked on net...

Microbursts and macrobursts are generally based on the same process; rapidly cooling air high up in thunderstorms becomes more dense than the environment around it. This can cause this air to rapidly plunge to the ground. As the downdraft slams into the ground, it spreads out in all directions. As the air spreads out, it generally does so in a straight line…hence the term straight line wind. When experts access storm damage, one of the clues they look for is the pattern of damage. If they see downed trees that are all pointing the same direction, this is an indication of a microburst or a macroburst. If they see downed trees pointing in different directions (more of a spiral pattern of damage), then this is an indication that a tornado occurred.

Macrobursts produce damage that is GREATER than 2.5 miles in width, while microbursts produce damage that is less than 2.5 miles in width. Both microbursts and macrobursts fall under the general category of a downburst.

...

Both microbursts and marcobursts can have winds that are stronger than some tornadoes. Microbursts can have winds up to 168 mph, and macrobursts can have winds up to 134 mph

From: _http://wpri.com/blog/2015/08/05/tuesday-morning-storm-was-macroburst/
 
flydubai crash in Russia: the facts (Photos - Video)
http://aerotime.aero/en/civil/10967-flydubai-crash-in-russia-the-facts

What happened - A scheduled flight from Dubai to Rostov-On-Don departed from Dubai International Airport at 22:20 local time (18:20 UTC) on 18 March 2016. The aircraft was scheduled to reach the destination point at 1:20 local time (UTC+3) on 19 March 2016. At 1:38 the aircraft commenced final approach to Rostov-On-Don airport, but 4 minutes later the pilots aborted the first approach at approx. 525 m (1725 ft). At 2:27 flydubai's Boeing 737-800 entered holding pattern at 4572 m (15 000 ft) to the southeast of the airport and leaves the pattern for a second approach at 3:28. Twelves minutes later, at 3:40 the pilots aborted the second approach at 472 m (1550 ft) and 5.6 km short of the runway. At 03:41 the aircraft disappeared from the radars and impacted terrain after a steep descent from 1211 m (3975 ft). The airplane completely disintegrated 253 m (830 ft) left of the runway, killing all 62 people on board.

The victims - With approx. 178 seats, the Boeing 737-800 aircraft (Reg No. A6-FDN) was carrying only 55 passengers and 7 crew members. Among the victims: 44 Russians, 8 Ukrainians, 2 Indians and 1 Uzbekistani as well as cabin crew members from Russia, Spain, Seychelles, Colombia and Kyrgyzstan. The aircraft was piloted by a Cypriot Pilot-in-Command and Spanish co-pilot with 5965 and 5769 hours of flying time respectively.

The cause - While it is still too early to state a certain reason why the aircraft crashed, the investigation team holds to two main versions - a pilot error in deteriorating weather conditions or technical failure. The investigation is headed by the Interstate Aviation Committee (the supervising body overseeing civil aviation in the Commonwealth of Independent States) with participation of representatives of aviation authorities of the United Arab Emirates (the state of the aircraft's registration and operator), the United States (the state of the aircraft's production) and France (the state of the engines' design). Local emergency services have already found both flight recorders and passed it to the accident investigators for the analysis of the flight data.

The weather - During the night, the services reported that the wind speed ranged from 14–22 m/s (31–49 mph). Prior to the crash, Air Traffic Controller informed the pilots that the wind speed is 12 m/s (27 mph) with gusts up to 18 m/s (40 mph). The reported visibility - 3500 m (11 500 ft). In addition, there were reports of a rare weather phenomenon - low-altitude jet stream with a wind speed above 30 m/s. The stream was observed at 629 m height (usually, it's observed only above 5000 m (16 400 ft).

Vasily Golubev, the governor of the Rostov region, said that a strongly gusting wind, approaching a hurricane level, may have caused the accident. A sudden gust of wind could be particularly dangerous at low altitude while the plane is flying slowly at low power and the pilot is throttling up the engines to make another landing attempt.

Other flights - Despite difficult weather conditions, Rostov-On-Don airport was operating during the night. Two aircraft - Airbus A319 and A320 - landed at the airport after their first approaches at 1:23 and 1:28 local time respectively. However, a flight SU1166 from Moscow after three failed attempts diverted towards Krasnodar. As stated by Aleksandr Neradko, the Head of the Russian civil aviation authority Rosaviatsya, the decision whether to land or not is always up to the aircraft's captain.

flydubai - Established by the Government of Dubai, the carrier is a low-cost airline connecting the emirate with 95 locations worldwide. flydubai operates an all-Boeing 737-800 fleet with an average age of just 3.4 years. The crashed aircraft had its first flight on 21 December 2010. The crash is the first fatal accident for flydubai since the start of its operations back in 2009. During a special press conference, the company's CEO, Ghaith Al Ghaith shared his condolences to the victims' relatives and added that the company's team is contacting the family members to offer any help needed. The company's Emergency Response Team has also left for the crash scene to aid the investigation.

The aftermath - Russia's transport oversight body Rostransnadzor declared it will conduct ramp inspections of flydubai's aircraft and pilots flying to Russia. Rostov-On-Don airport is closed at least until 21 March, Monday. According to the Russian Transport Minister, the runway didn't suffer any substantial damage, the removal of the aircraft wrecks will require 10 hours. Approx. 800 people are involved in the works. flydubai's return flight to Dubai (FZ 8984) departed from Krasnodar at 18:35 local time (21:25 UTC) with at least 50 out of 140 passengers are reported to have refused the flight. The FZ 8984 successfully landed at 23:44 local time.
 
Data Retrieved From Crashed FlyDubai Plane’s Black Box of Good Quality
http://sputniknews.com/russia/20160320/1036634407/data-flydubai-quality.html

The Interstate Aviation Committee (IAC or MAK) has deciphered information from the flight data recorder of the crashed FlyDubai Boeing, the MAK deputy chief said on Sunday.

On Saturday, FlyDubai Boeing 737-800 plane coming from Dubai crashed while attempting landing amid poor weather conditions at the Rostov-on-Don Airport (ROV). All people on board, including 55 passengers and seven crew members, died in the crash.

"The flight data recorder has been opened, its memory module tested and switched on. Data from it has been copied and its quality has been assessed as good," MAK’s Sergei Zaiko told Russian newspaper Kommersant.

He added that the black box was recording flight parameters until the very moment the Boeing 737-800 hit the ground.
 
Yozilla said:
Pierre said:
Many official and unofficial weather phenomena can bring down a plane. One of the most documented one is called microburst, a localized downdraft than can generate winds up to 170 mph. It's considered as the cause of 9 crashes over the last decades.

Thx Pierre for clarification - i've already checked microburst link provided by Data's post... Thanks heavens that "macrobursts" don't occur - ain't they?

P.S.

Eh, they do - another name for strong downdraft! Just checked on net...

Yes. There are several documented macrobursts:
Arlington (2011)
Calhoun (2002)
Woodbury (2015)

You're right, since 'macroburst' is a technical term that was created relatively recently (Fujita, 1985), such phenomena are still sometimes described as 'strong downdraft' or 'severe storm'
 
First Deciphered Data From Crashed FlyDubai Plane Expected in a Month
http://sputniknews.com/world/20160321/1036665037/mak-expects-data.html

The Interstate Aviation Committee (IAC or MAK) plans to obtain preliminary results from deciphering the flight recorders recovered from the crashed FlyDubai Boeing 737 within a month, the MAK deputy head said on Monday.

On Sunday, MAK said that experts from the United States, the United Arab Emirates, France, and countries whose citizens were killed in the plane crash in Russia, have been invited to participate in the decoding of the black boxes. According to MAK, the cockpit voice recorder retrieved from the passenger jet was badly damaged in the fall.

“Under favorable circumstances, I think that within a month, we will deliver some intermediate result, preliminary results will be announced on the flight recorders, on the results of our work,” MAK’s Sergei Zaiko said in an interview with the Rossiya-24 TV channel.
 
This video was just published in RT, i know it's probably the thickness of the clouds but it looks like this airplane came "out of nowhere" into our reality.

Also that same thickness of the clouds is visible by the fact that the airplane explosion lights up a huge portion of the sky above it.

_https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/202661-nuevo-video-siniestro-boeing-rusia

 
Alejo said:
This video was just published in RT, i know it's probably the thickness of the clouds but it looks like this airplane came "out of nowhere" into our reality.

Also that same thickness of the clouds is visible by the fact that the airplane explosion lights up a huge portion of the sky above it.

_https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/202661-nuevo-video-siniestro-boeing-rusia


Thanks alejo, how impressive, and sad!
So apparently it was flying in the clouds (ie without visual horizon reference) during the go-around maneuver.
Reminds me of Air China flight 006 pilot who also lost visual reference, didn't believe the artificial horizon indication, and dived for about 20'000 ft before coming out of the clouds, only then managing to recover the 747.
 
Hi Alejo, I'm getting a message - video removed by owner. Is it the same video, shown in this article and in this link (below)?

Russia Boeing-737 crash: New video appears
http://www.pravdareport.com/news/hotspots/disasters/22-03-2016/133886-boeing_crash_russia-0/

A new video of the crash of Fly Dubai Boeing-737 in Russia's south has appeared on the Internet. The video shows an object, supposedly above the Rostov airport, falling down on the ground and then exploding, RIA Novosti reports. The video was made from the district of Aleksandrovka. Boeing-737-800 of Fly Dubai airline crashed in Rostov-on-Don in Russia's south on March 19. The aircraft crashed while landing, killing all 55 passengers and seven crew members on board. There are three versions of the tragedy: technical malfunction, extremely bad weather conditions and piloting error.

Падение Боинга в Ростове-на-Дону. Вид с Александровки

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ifJ9osyLRqQ

Published on Mar 21, 2016
 
Another video of the crash from another angle. The plane can be seen plummeting from the 1:12 mark.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7a2MJQbc5Zg
 
angelburst29 said:
Hi Alejo, I'm getting a message - video removed by owner. Is it the same video, shown in this article and in this link (below)?

Russia Boeing-737 crash: New video appears
http://www.pravdareport.com/news/hotspots/disasters/22-03-2016/133886-boeing_crash_russia-0/

A new video of the crash of Fly Dubai Boeing-737 in Russia's south has appeared on the Internet. The video shows an object, supposedly above the Rostov airport, falling down on the ground and then exploding, RIA Novosti reports. The video was made from the district of Aleksandrovka. Boeing-737-800 of Fly Dubai airline crashed in Rostov-on-Don in Russia's south on March 19. The aircraft crashed while landing, killing all 55 passengers and seven crew members on board. There are three versions of the tragedy: technical malfunction, extremely bad weather conditions and piloting error.

Падение Боинга в Ростове-на-Дону. Вид с Александровки

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ifJ9osyLRqQ

Published on Mar 21, 2016

Yes angelburst, it's the same. Actually, this one is a bit clearer, the original one had some text blended in, partially covering the spot where the plane dropped out of the clouds.
 
Joe said:
Richard S said:
For those who don't understand how a pilot can be so fooled, even if rated for such conditions and very experienced, please remember that what an occupant of an aircraft feels is simply the force of the wings interacting with the flow of air the plane is passing through. It does not matter at all what the attitude of the plane is in relation to the ground below. Even if totally upside down in relation to the Earth, the passengers will still feel as if the plane is straight and level in relation to the Earth, even though it is not. So, there is absolutely no way to tell by what one feels about a plane's attitude and the pilot must totally rely on the instruments to determine the attitude.

Not sure I understand you here. I've been in planes where the "attitude" changed abruptly and I was very aware of what the plane was doing.

Yes Joe, you are perfectly correct when you say that abrupt changes are easily felt.

However, when a plane is in serious turbulence and there are gusts which arrive and suddenly disappear, where there are sudden updrafts and downdrafts, it is rather difficult to separate all these effects and determine what is actually happening. In addition, the airspeed indicator and vertical speed indicator and possibly the altimiter will be bouncing around all over the place and what you see at one second may be quite a bit different a few seconds later. The pilots are also being bounced around quite a bit making it often difficult to read the instruments in very turbulent conditions.

Asino has explained that what you may feel does not necessarily correspond to the actual attitude of an aircraft. This is why so many of the early Air Mail pilots crashed and were killed in cases where they could not see the ground because of clouds and fog. Before the invention of gyroscopic attitude instruments there was absolutely no way to tell what the attitude of an airplane actually was. Even now, when these instruments are in almost every plane, someone not well trained may be led to trust his 'feel' rather than the instruments and end up spiraling in to a crash.

I once had a few passengers who thought they could determine the plane's attitude by 'feel'. I found a lone cloud and flew into it. I asked them to tell me what the plane's attitude would be when we left the cloud and could again see the ground. I did it several times and they were wrong each time. So much for 'feel'!

The most dangerous time for aircraft is usually landing approach because the plane is relatively slow and not very high. The reason for this is that there is not enough speed and altitude to recover from an unusual situation. It is also in a relatively high-drag condition with landing gear and flaps extended and low power from the engines as it descends.

A microburst in a downward direction would suddenly and rapidly force the plane to lose altitude at a great rate. What would be needed would be to raise the nose and apply full power to halt the sudden rapid descent. Large jet engines do not accelerate their rotational speed very quickly and can take up to 10 seconds to raise from near idle speed to full power. Meanwhile, as you have raised the nose, perhaps quite a bit in the attempt to halt the rapid downforce, in a high-drag configuration, airspeed drops rapidly. Below a certain speed the drag on a plane increases rapidly as the speed decreases, and it is a fact that below a certain speed even full power is not enough to maintain flight unless the nose is dropped quite a bit and the pull of gravity is additionally used to increase the airspeed. At a low altitude, there may not be enough time and space to recover.

The same is true for a wind shear condition which has downed many a plane. This happens when an air mass which is moving toward the plane is suddenly replaced with one which is not moving, or is moving in the direction with the plane instead of against it. The air speed can suddenly drop to nearly the stall speed of the plane or even below that. The same scenario as above happens and can be fatal.

Because it was shown that the plane hit tail first, it seems to me that something like that was likely the cause of the accident because the pilots would have been doing their best to make the plane reverse the downward path and make the plane climb. Once something like the above occurs, even if the reaction is immediate, sometimes there is just no way to recover from it.

Hope this helps.
 
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