From a Danish paper:
28/09/2022 AT 13:46
Who blew a hole in the Nord Stream? Three countries are brought into play
There is speculation, investigation and analysis on the loose: Who blew a hole in the Nord Stream lines, is the question. And three possibilities repeat themselves - we review them here.
The three leaks on the Nord Stream gas pipelines are the result of explosions. It is a deliberate act.
This is how far Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen would go on Tuesday evening in her description of what has caused the sea to bubble off Bornholm.
But who did it? On that question, Mette Frederiksen kept quite. Her
Swedish colleague Ann Linde has done the same, just as
neither the EU Commission, the USA nor Russia will say to the outside world who they think has blown a hole in the line
However, this does not mean that you cannot take a closer look at the possibilities already now.
In particular, three possible actors are mentioned in the conversation about guilt. We review the arguments here.
Russia
Russia is mentioned in many places as the likely actor behind the explosions. The accusation is that
Russia has both the capabilities and a possible motive.
However, Ukraine is the only state actor that has openly placed the blame in Moscow, as the Ukrainian president's adviser, Mykhaylo Podolyak, called it a 'planned terrorist attack' from Russia on Tuesday. Podolyak calls it a Russian attempt to destabilize the economy in Europe and create panic before winter.
Military researcher and expert in the sea and maritime security at the Norwegian Defense Academy, Kenneth Øhlenschlæger Buhl, is one of several independent experts who can see a Russian motive.
'Even though none of the gas pipelines are currently in use, European energy prices are still determined by the price of Russian gas, and by sabotaging the pipelines, the prospect of sending gas through them again just becomes longer. In this way, the Russians shoot up energy prices and make life miserable for Europeans,' he told Jyllands-Posten.
According to Tagesspiel, the German government also has Russia on the list of suspects.
However, that story is based on anonymous sources.
Some cite it as an argument against Russia as guilty that the gas pipelines are partly the Russians' own infrastructure and a possible source of income for the Russians. However, this again speaks against the argument that for many years Russia has used cutting off gas supplies in conflicts with other countries. The same has apparently also happened during the war against Ukraine, where the Russians have often reduced gas supplies to Ukraine's European allies. For example, the connection via Nord Stream 1 has been interrupted from the Russian side since the middle of the month.
'It must be pretty clear that an act of sabotage has taken place. Apart from Russia, no one can really have an interest in it,' security expert Johannes Peters from the Christian-Albrechts-Universität in Kiel told the news magazine Der Spiegel.