Putin Recognizes Donbass Republics, Sends Russian Military to 'Denazify' Ukraine

In the latest NewsReal with Joe & Niall, there was topics relevant for this thread:

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In this episode, topics include
- Why the riots in France stopped so quickly, Beginning
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tKnFJ9NRTO4
- The links previously found between European criminal gangs, violence and mercenary recruits
https://youtu.be/tKnFJ9NRTO4?t=336
- Comments on "Sound of Freedom" and child sex trafficking
https://youtu.be/tKnFJ9NRTO4?t=1150
- Cocaine at the WH
https://youtu.be/tKnFJ9NRTO4?t=2099
- Ukraine war, self-censorship and reporting
https://youtu.be/tKnFJ9NRTO4?t=2266
- US to send cluster ammunition to Ukraine
https://youtu.be/tKnFJ9NRTO4?t=2941
- NATO summit and US interests in Europe
https://youtu.be/tKnFJ9NRTO4?t=3188
- US would not have a problem with more war in Europe, say Poland?
https://youtu.be/tKnFJ9NRTO4?t=3462
- UK interests regarding Russia translates to their writers
https://youtu.be/tKnFJ9NRTO4?t=4071
- Update on Prigozhin
https://youtu.be/tKnFJ9NRTO4?t=4371
- Comments on climate Armageddon
https://youtu.be/tKnFJ9NRTO4?t=4461
 
FWIW, from an article by John Helmer

The apprehension of the allies in Europe was revealed a few days ago when Jacques Attali answered a telephone call he thought was from former Ukrainian president Petro Poroshenko, but which came instead from the Russian pranksters Vovan and Lexus. Attali, French presidential adviser, US retainer, and ex-head of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, said he knew French President Emmanuel Macron well and that Macron was afraid the US would abandon the Ukrainians to save itself. There was the same fear among the Germans and British, Attali added. “The weak point is what happens in Washington.”

“[This is] a nightmare scenario. That would be the US saying, well, enough is enough. We are not going to help Ukraine more. You have to go to negotiations, to the negotiating table. And that’s it. … Neither France, Germany or the UK can do that. But the US could arm-twist your [Poroshenko’s] government and your country [Ukraine] to say we want a ceasefire whatever it costs and stop [the war]. The most important thing is to avoid that.

“There is no other way than a total win and to get rid of Putin…We have to take all risks for that. No compromise is possible, no compromise.”

This is the European allies’ last stand, their backs to the wall at the Dnieper River. It is the rationale for desperate measures on the battlefield, and at the NATO summit on July 11.
 
While this is speculation and speculation, but it would be logical against the background of what is happening.
Vladimir Putin could cancel his visit to Turkey because of Erdogan's antics with the release of the Azov commanders
. According to some sources, Russian President Vladimir Putin decided to cancel his planned visit to the Republic of Turkey. There is no official confirmation of this information at the moment, but such messages are already being distributed by Turkish information resources.

As the main reason for the cancellation of the visit, some sources point to the return of the commanders of the Azov regiment (a terrorist organization whose activities are prohibited in Russia – ed.) to Ukrainian territory. It is reported that this circumstance could serve as the basis for the revision of the plans of the head of the Russian state.

The information about the return of its commanders to Ukraine caused a resonance in public circles, since in fact, Turkey violated these obligations, since the Azov commanders were supposed to be in Turkey before the conflict was resolved.

Erdogan's actions to release the Azov commanders have already been called another stab in the back by Turkey, however. In response to such measures, Russia may well refuse to extend the grain deal promoted by Turkey.
Владимир Путин мог отменить визит в Турцию из-за выходки Эрдогана с освобождением командиров "Азова"

There is an inaccuracy here. Volynsky, in question, is incorrectly called the fighter of Azov. Before these people surrendered and during the captivity, they talked a lot about him as one of the commanders of this whole gang, who was holed up in the catacombs of Azovstal. So then he was called either the commander, or the deputy commander of the battalion of paratroopers, i.e. the AFU, but Azov is the National Guard.
The fighter of "Azov": We were "for propaganda" held for almost a month in the catacombs under "Azovstal" to rescue American officers
Ukrainian serviceman Sergei Volynsky, known by the call sign "Volyn", who recently arrived from Turkey, where he was supposed to stay until the end of hostilities in Ukraine, shared information about how the Mariupol garrison of the Azov regiment (a terrorist organization banned in the Russian Federation - ed.) was forced to surrender in exchange for an exit from the entourage of the high-ranking American military.

"We were kept "for propaganda" for almost a month in the catacombs under Azovstal, where we senselessly lost hundreds of our fighters. And, probably, almost everyone would have died there if it hadn't been for the intervention of the Americans, who agreed with the Russians to withdraw their high-ranking officers from the facility in exchange for the surrender of the garrison," Volynsky said.

The American side has not yet confirmed such information, however, shortly before the capture of Mariupol, it was reported that high-ranking American officers, including those in the highest officer ranks, were on the territory of the city.
Боевик "Азова": Нас "для пропаганды" продержали почти месяц в катакомбах под "Азовсталью" для спасения американских офицеров

The fact that Ukrainian creatures trade in people is not a secret. Since the days of the infamous Donbass battalion. Those "bespredelschik" ("bespredel" is a term from the criminal environment, denoting people and cases that violate the rules and concepts of this environment. In the criminal environment, someone who is recognized as a "bespredelschik" is usually killed) they did things that even the Ukrainian junta itself could not bear. The battalion was disbanded, and the commanders and active figures were imprisoned.
In this article, it is interesting how this man managed to escape from captivity. He was led to the Russian positions, the approaches to which were mined, as a means of mine clearance and he was just lucky that he did not explode and in the process of the resulting battle he managed to escape from control.
The volunteer told what ransom the APU extorts from prisoners

LUGANSK, July 10 - RIA Novosti. The ransom from Ukrainian captivity for Russian fighters cost 20 thousand dollars and did not guarantee life, the Kiev security forces from the Skala battalion did not offer them an exchange of prisoners of war, a volunteer with the call sign "Topaz" who escaped from captivity told reporters.
"The exchange option was considered only a payoff. There was no such exchange. Payoff, they say, you pay 20 thousand dollars - we let you go... The guys who were prisoners, they said that they let you go how – you pay, they take you out into the field, these commanders directly told them so: "If you want, take a white flag and go to your own. If you reach it, then you will reach it, and if you don't reach it, then this is the fate." That's the only way, and that's it," Topaz said.

"Topaz" was captured in the Donetsk direction by the Ukrainian volunteer battalion "Skala". This unit specializes in reconnaissance and assault operations.
Subsequently, the Ukrainian acrobat was transferred to the Zaporozhye region. "Topaz" and another prisoner were allowed by the Ukrainian military as a "human shield" ahead of their reconnaissance group in case there were minefields on the way to the Russian positions. The prisoner managed to escape later during a battle between a Ukrainian reconnaissance group and Russian fighters. The second Russian prisoner of war died after being blown up by a mine.
Доброволец рассказал, какой выкуп вымогают ВСУ у пленных

Пока это домыслы и предположения, но это было бы логично на фоне происходящего.
Здесь есть неточность. Волынского, о котором идет речь, неверно называют бойцом Азова. Перед тем как эти люди сдались и во время пленения о нем много говорили, как об одном из командиров всей этой банды , засевшей в катакомбах Азовстали. Так вот тогда его называли то ли командиром, то ли заместителем командира батальона десантников, т.е. ВСУ, Азов же это национальная гвардия.

То что украинские твари торгуют людьми, дано не секрет. Еще со времен печально знаменитого батальона "Донбасс". Те "беспредельщики" ("беспредел" это термин из уголовной среды, обозначающий людей и дела нарушающие правила и понятия этой среды. В уголовной среде того, кого признают "беспредельщиком" как правило убивают) творили такие дела, которые не смогла вынести даже сама Украинская хунта. Батальон расформировали, а командиров и активных деятелей посадили.
В этой статье интересно то, как этому человеку удалось сбежать из плена. Его повели к российским позициям, подходы к которым были заминированы, в качестве средства разминирования и ему просто повезло, что он не взорвался и в процессе возникшего боя ему удалось сбежать из под контроля.
 
De Villepin... "le monde est avec la Russie"... pas avec nous !
Dans l’océan de mensonges et de propagande il existe quelques trop rares moments d’intelligence et de tempérance dans les analyses géopolitiques. Vous ne serez pas étonnés de retrouver un homme que vous avez déjà croisé dans sa capacité à dire non à la guerre. Je n’oublierai jamais le discours prononcé par de Villepin à la Tribune de l’ONU pour s’opposer à la guerre en Irak, qui comme cela était prévisible et prévu, fût un immense gâchis et un terrible échec. Ecoutez de Villepin et fait...
1688976596478.png
De Villepin... "the world is with Russia"... not with us!
In the ocean of lies and propaganda there are a few too rare moments of intelligence and temperance in geopolitical analyses. You will not be surprised to find a man you have already met in his ability to say no to war. I will never forget the speech given by de Villepin at the UN Tribune to oppose the war in Iraq, which as was foreseeable and expected, was a huge waste and a terrible failure. Listen to de Villepin and do...
 
I recommend this article on SOTTNET.
And I would also add here what a friend of mine said at our last meeting this weekend:
-"... you know, alien civilizations that help us do not give permission to use nuclear weapons..." ( so let's have a peaceful barbecue...)- mine.

 
I just saw this interview about the Nordstream event:


It is about the possibility that the detonation was from a mini nuke.
What speaks for that:
1) Seismic data.
2) Caesiumisotopes where found that are usual when you detonate a nuke.
3) The clouds in this region showed a pattern like from an underwater detonation of a nuke.
4) The temperature of the seabed rose in everage about 5°C in comparison of last year, what is not normal.
5) There was an unusual underwather flow that hints to a nuke.

The Video is in german language.
I hope I havent forgotten anything.

What do you think about it?
 
I just saw this interview about the Nordstream event:


It is about the possibility that the detonation was from a mini nuke.
What speaks for that:
1) Seismic data.
2) Caesiumisotopes where found that are usual when you detonate a nuke.
3) The clouds in this region showed a pattern like from an underwater detonation of a nuke.
4) The temperature of the seabed rose in everage about 5°C in comparison of last year, what is not normal.
5) There was an unusual underwather flow that hints to a nuke.

The Video is in german language.
I hope I havent forgotten anything.

What do you think about it?
There's an article in english, from 2020NEWS:

"

“Nord Stream 1-Blast: It Was a Mini Nuke!”​


July 2, 2023

Swiss physicist Dr. Hans-Benjamin Braun has meticulously analyzed the Nord Stream 1 explosion. His finding, presented to the Corona Investigative Committee on June 30, 2023: the blast was made using a thermonuclear (fusion) mini-nuke with the greatest possible shockwave impact on Russia’s Kaliningrad. Like the investigative journalist and Pulizer Prize winner Seymour Hersch, Dr. Braun suspects the USA behind the attack. Among the authorities, politicians, journalists and scientists whom he has informed of the results of his analyses since December 2022, there is one thing above all: radio silence.


Dr. Braun is a renowned scientist specializing in statistical physics, quantum physics, neutron scattering, condensed matter physics and materials science, magnetism and topology. For years he taught as Professor of Theoretical Physics at the Catholic University of Dublin. In 2014, he was honored to be one of four “Distinguished Lecturers” (editor’s note) worldwide from the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers IEEE, Magnetics Society, who has given 50 lectures internationally at the invitation of individual institutions or sections. Dr. Braun has widely cited publications in Nature Physics, Nature Communications, and Advances in Physics.


The puzzling, in contradictory public interpretations of the explosion event at the pipeline at 17:03 UTC on September 26, 2022, had piqued his scientific curiosity as a physicist who also holds a master’s degree in earth sciences, Dr. Braun reports. Why, he wondered in this context, did the UN Security Council not initiate an investigation despite the many unanswered questions.


In October 2022, he set to work analyzing what had happened via six entirely independent methods: Evaluation of seismic data according to two methods, analysis of the development of aerosol clouds after the detonation, consideration of underwater currents in the Baltic Sea, especially in an underwater canyon between Bornholm and Kaliningrad during the following days, temperature development on the seafloor, and spread of a possible radioactive fallout after the blast.


The surprising result: the seismic measurements suggest an explosive force in the equivalent of up to 1-4 kilotons TNT, a strong contrast to the estimated data of an equivalent of 250 kg TNT published e.g. in the renowned magazine Nature.

© Dr. Hans-Benjamin Braun
The comparison of seismic measurements in the Baltic Sea, e.g. of Sweden and Finland with the values of the well-documented North Korean nuclear event also identified by the Columbia University Earth Institute on the basis of IRIS data shows a very similar pattern.

© Dr. Hans-Benjamin Braun
According to the infrared satellite data, four hours after the detonation a distinct aerosol cloud with an extension of up to 100 km was formed away from the explosion site in wind direction and in the Kaliningrad region due to the impact of shock waves on the steep Kaliningrad shoreline. Such a phenomenon would not occur to this extent with a much smaller explosive charge, Dr. Braun said. The opening photo of this paper shows aerosol formation during the U.S. “Wigwam” nuclear test, with an explosive force equivalent of 32 kT, in 1955 in the Pacific Ocean, 900 km southwest of San Diego.

© Dr. Hans-Benjamin Braun
During the days following the detonation moment, significant underwater currents have been formed in the Baltic Sea (~50km and more), focusing into the underwater canyon directed directly towards Kaliningrad. As a result, a vortex current formed in the Bornholm Basin. According to the Nature publication of March 15, 2023, the explosion stirred up 250,000 tons of sediments that were subsequently deposited. Indeed, it appears that this process also affected water temperatures on the seafloor during the whole winter time.


Remarkably, according to satellite data, the water temperature at the seafloor increased by up to 5 degrees Celsius year-on-year over an area of circa 100 km x 100 km in the winter of 2023 compared to 2022. Dr. Braun clarifies that this cannot be explained by natural fluctuations, especially since the mean temperature in the more distant regions of the Baltic Sea tends to be even lower.

© Dr. Hans-Benjamin Braun
In Poland, radioactive fallout was detected one day after the blast; in Switzerland, it showed up three days after the event.


Highly noteworthy, Dr. Braun said, is that the blast site apparently must have been chosen to reflect and amplify shock waves due to the elliptically shaped Swedish coastline, allowing them to focus precisely on Kaliningrad via the underwater canyon. The city, 500 km away, experienced a seismic effect 10 times greater than that of neighboring Bornholm, which is only 70 km from the pipeline blast site.


Dr. Braun’s investigative conclusion: “None of the seven independent geophysical observations can be explained by the use of a conventional explosive; a thermonuclear weapon must have been used. The Nord Stream sabotage was also a targeted shockwave attack on Kaliningrad, which to me makes the U.S. the only plausible culprit.” He considers a tactical self-endangerment of the Russians by the detonation unlikely, Ukraine as another possible aggressor does not possess nuclear weapons. The U.S., however, had nuclear weapons, delivery systems and, through NATO’s BALTOPS 22 exercise in the Baltic Sea, which took place in June 2022, extensive fresh barythmetric knowledge of conditions at the eventual site. “BALTOPS also provides a unique opportunity for the U.S. Research, Development, and Acquisition communities to exercise the current and emerging UUV technology in real-world operational environments. This year featured the current and future programs of record for mine hunting UUVs in the MK-18 and Lionfish systems. Both systems were put through the paces over 10 days of mine hunting operations, collecting over 200 hours of undersea data,” writes the U.S. NAVY under the heading “BALTOPS 22 a perfect opportunitey for research and testing new technologies.” Of course, a collaboration of other geopolitical interest groups besides the U.S. would also be conceivable, Dr. Braun adds.


Precisely such an autonomous underwater drone as the Lionfish, which was tested during the NATO exercise BALTOPS 22, could have been used to transport the explosive charge to the scene, Dr. Braun elaborates. To actually carry out the detonation using such an unmanned vehicle would have required the involvement of only a few people. It is clear, however, that if the USA were involved, it would have to be assumed that the blast was carried out with the knowledge and will of US President Joe Biden. The U.S. company Sandia Labs, a longtime partner of the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), writes on its website: “The nation’s nuclear weapons must always work when commanded and authorized by the president of the United States, and must never detonate otherwise.” The U.S., Dr. Braun notes, is incidentally the only country in the world that has not joined the international ban on a nuclear first strike.


Dr. Braun reports that he made his findings available to selected journalists and politicians on December 22, 2022, seven weeks before Seymour Hersh’s article appeared. On January 3, 2023, he reportedly informed the Swiss government, and on January 25, 2023, he informed the Swiss parliament. At the same time, he wrote to a colleague at MIT, who drew his attention to the imminent article by Seymour Hersch. On March 27, 2023, he had contacted Prof. J. Sachs as a representative of the UN Security Council, and on April 4, 2023, he had formulated an open letter to the Secretary General of NATO, the Finnish and Swedish governments, and three Nobel laureates in physics. On April 4, 2023, he had written to the International Criminal Court in The Hague, the White House, the Kremlin, the Russian and Chinese embassies in Switzerland, and on April 24, 2023, again to the UN Security Council, this time under the new Russian chairmanship. The answer: radio silence.


Dr. Braun demands that the matter be completely clarified. Due to their easy scalability, with which one can adjust the detonation strength by a factor of 100 with a flick of the wrist (so-called “dial a yield”), thermonuclear weapons pose an increasing threat to humanity, especially through the combination with rapidly advancing artificial intelligence, which is used in autonomous air and underwater vehicles, and can also be used in covert operations."

And from Tass, we learn:

"

Putin met with Prigozhin, Wagner commanding officers in Kremlin on June 29 — spokesman​

Dmitry Peskov mentioned that the commanders shared their version of what happened on June 24, emphasizing their support of the head of state and the supreme commander-in-chief

MOSCOW, July 10. /TASS/. Russian President Vladimir Putin had a nearly three-hour-long meeting with Yevgeny Prigozhin and PMC Wagner commanding officers in the Kremlin on June 29, Putin’s press secretary Dmitry Peskov said on Monday.
Commenting on a piece by the Liberation newspaper about Putin’s meeting with Prigozhin after what happened on June 24, the Kremlin spokesman said, "The president did hold such a meeting."
"He invited 35 people - all the squad commanders and the leadership of the [private military] company, including Prigozhin," he said. "The meeting took place in the Kremlin on June 29 and lasted for nearly three hours."
"We are unaware of the details (of the meeting - TASS), but the one thing we can say is that the president gave his assessment of the [private military] company’s actions on the frontline during the special military operation and the June 24 events," Peskov noted.

"Putin listened to explanations from [Wagner] commanders and offered them further options for employment and further use in combat," the presidential spokesman said. "The commanders themselves shared their version of what happened [on June 24], they emphasized that they are staunch supporters and soldiers of the head of state and the supreme commander-in-chief, and also said that they are ready to continue fighting for the Fatherland."
"This is all we can say about this meeting," he added."
 
'Is rift deepening between NATO members over Ukraine?'

10 Jul, 2023

Ukraine has failed to bomb Crimean Bridge with S-200 missile.

10 Jul, 2023
 
News that Wagner met with Putin days after the "coup" attempt is invariably spun by Western media as "Prigozhin met with Putin after coup". Yet the details tell another story.

No less than 35 "Wagner commanders" were invited to the meeting with Putin, and among them was Prigozhin, although Prigozhin isn't exactly a "Wagner commander" but rather Wagner's PR man.

Speaking about the meeting, Kremlin spokesman Peskov stated:

"Putin listened to explanations from [Wagner] commanders and offered them further options for employment and further use in combat”, while they reaffirmed their loyalty “and also said that they are ready to continue fighting for the Fatherland.”

This paints a very different picture of the meeting and, more importantly, the structure of Wagner and who really calls the shots in it. The theory that Prigozhin's "coup" was mostly a deranged larp of his own making (along with a small percentage of gullible rank and file members of Wagner) still stands.

The reason Putin hasn't thrown him in jail yet is very likely related to him still having significant clout in Wagner, enjoying the support, to one extent or another, of other members, in particular the rank and file. For Putin to unceremoniously (or ceremoniously) and precipitously throw him in jail would possibly endanger the loyalty of Wagner members to Putin, and thereby threaten the usefulness of Wagner to Putin and the Russian MOD, because they have been, and remain, a very useful and efficient PMC.
 
An interesting view of the current situation on the battlefield by Moon of Alabama:

July 10, 2023 - Ukraine SitRep: 'Mosquito' Tactics - S-200 Land Attacks

The U.S./NATO doctrine, as it had been taught to the Ukrainian units that were prepared for the counter-offensive, has failed.

As a comment allegedly made on a forum of veterans of the West Point Academy describes it:

Classic attacks under our combat regulations involve the preliminary suppression and destruction of enemy defensive positions by artillery and aircraft, as well as the simultaneous destruction of its combat controls to the depth of the defense zone and the prevention of the approaches of its reserves. Since Ukrainians have almost no aviation and they are significantly inferior to the Russians in the amount of artillery, classic attacks lead to nothing but a massive loss of expensive military equipment on the way to Russian positions, disorganization and demoralization of attackers with subsequent retreat. Almost three weeks of such attacks could not break through the Russian support band, in addition, as I was told by the G-3 from USAR EUR-AF in Stuttgart, they lost up to a quarter of our Bradleys, and they are now forced to urgently send two companies of Bradleys and a large quantity of other equipment to replenish and restore the combat readiness of two brigades of the Ukrainian strike unit.​

When I was in officer school, pre-1991, NATO was less dependent on air-superiority than it is today. We also had some good air defense systems. Our artillery was not superior to the Soviet one but was well layered - from short, medium to long ranged systems - and would have created very significant damages. We also had good pioneer equipment that allowed for the crossing rivers and ditches as well as serious mine fields.

All this changed after the 1991 Gulf war in which U.S. air superiority and tank fist destroyed the Iraqi defense forces. That war was misconstrued as a big win when it in fact was simply the effect of a by far superior professional force over a unmotivated conscript army with old and often defunct weapons.

As an effect of the first Gulf war and later operations in Serbia, Afghanistan and again in Iraq the believe in NATO air-land doctrine was reinforced. Air superiority was the holy grail while the strong land force capabilities atrophied. An emphasis on guerilla suppression and on vehicles that could withstand simple improvised explosive devices (IEDs) in Iraq and Afghanistan further unbalanced the force.

It explains why the Ukrainian troops were miss-trained and miss-equipped for a counter-offensive even when the opposing force was a much harder to crack one than some goat herders from Helmand, Afghanistan.

The Ukrainian combined-arms-warfare units, without air-support and little artillery, were defeated. Western mining equipment failed to clear real 20 kilogram anti-tank mines from the heavy Ukrainian grounds. Armored Ukrainian troops were destroyed in mine fields (video) well before they could reach their targets.

Seeing that the tank heavy concept was failing the Ukrainians switched to a much older and more bloody technic:
In these conditions, our guys, together with Ukrainian commanders, developed tactics of “mosquito” promotion: continuous attacks of Russian positions by small tactical groups of Ukrainian infantry. The Russians, who are much more sensitive to losses in manpower, try to prevent close (“contact”) battles and retreat when Ukrainians reach their trenches, allowing artillery to destroy the enemy. This usually succeeds: Ukrainians die or retreat. But this tactic has a positive effect. Several such attacks almost completely destroy the Russian position, most often with their own fire, after which the Russians are forced to retreat to a new line, where this tactic is repeated. That’s how in two weeks the Russians were pushed back three miles from Makarov’s strategically important position. And this tactic is constantly improving. Our side believe that, at the continuing pace of such progress, in two weeks Ukrainians will be able to overcome the Russian support band and start storming their main line of defense, while maintaining the offensive potential of their strongest brigades. Perhaps that’s what General Milley meant yesterday about the ten weeks of the Ukrainian offensive.​

This tactical technique has another important effect. Russians are forced to spend more artillery shells to repel such “mosquito” attacks, the stocks of which they replenish more slowly than they spend. And in two weeks of such battles, they may well approach the depletion of their stocks. Of course, this leads to great losses of Ukrainians but, as I said at the beginning, they are not sensitive to the death of their soldiers. In addition, advances however small are a better justification for their death than unsuccessful attacks. And here, we must admit that the Russians today are much closer to the armies of Western countries than the Ukrainians are in this respect: the Russians take care of their soldiers ...

The "mosquito" technic replaces losses in armored vehicles will more heavy losses of infantry. The 128th Mountain Assault Brigade, which had led the fight on the western part of the Zaporozhia front, has just been pull back from the front line because it had lost too many of its soldiers.

After the Russian lost a few trenches to storming Ukrainian troops that did not care for their own losses they modified their own tactic. Its troops still leave the forward trenches when under pressure but they now booby-trap those before taking off. These videos show how Ukrainian troops jump into an empty Russian trench only to be blown up by several small explosions. The Russian's need no artillery to do that. The trenches are kept intact but for a number Ukrainian corpses that can easily be moved aside.

A few days ago the Austrian Colonel Markus Reisner said in an interview (in German) that Ukraine had deployed all but four of its twelve reserve brigades that were supposed to be the armored counter-offensive fist that would defeat Russian defenses. Since than the 116th, 117th, and 118th Mechanized Brigades, part of last reserve, have been deployed near the Zaparozhia front. They will replace the 128th and other units that were mostly destroyed while gaining only a few kilometer in the sparsely inhabited countryside. Half of Milley's ten weeks of counter-offensive operations have passed with no relevant gains for the Ukrainian side. The next five weeks will likely destroy the rest of the battle ready Ukrainian forces.

Another change has been made in long range fire capabilities on the Ukrainian side. Yesterday it launched several S-200 missiles against the Kerch bridge and other Russian targets. The Russian side says that all these attacks were defeated by its air-defense forces.

The S-200 is an air-defense missile first deployed in the mid 1960s. Unlike the Nike-Hercules and S-300 it does not have inherent land attack capabilities. Its original targeting system is unable to steer it towards certain points on the map:

The missile uses radio illumination mid-course correction to fly towards the target with a terminal semi-active radar homing phase.

The Ukrainians, likely with some foreign help, must have developed and tested a completely new targeting system to give the S-200 some land attack capability. Its maximum range of about 300 kilometer is sufficient to attack strategic targets on the Russian side. But even standard Russian air-defenses have no problem with it.

That this was even tried, shows again the hybris of western military thinking. Like 80 years ago there is still a believe that Russia is, economically and militarily, incapable of defending itself. Please read Conor Gallagher's latest piece on this:


NATO's doctrine is still depending on air-superiority. It lacks infantry and good tanks. It constantly underestimates Russian capabilities.

How would the real fight look if it had to overcome the superior Russian air-defenses while depending itself on system like the very expensive Patriot with a poor record of hitting anything but its own forces?

Posted by b on July 10, 2023 at 14:56 UTC

 
That was mid Feb 2023
Sweden will transfer 51 CV90 infantry fighting vehicles, Archer self-propelled guns and NLAW anti-tank weapons to Ukraine.

Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson confirmed this during his meeting with Zelensky in Kiev today.

Jul 6, 2023

Quote:
The first CV90 infantry fighting vehicle was destroyed on the front in Ukraine. This is reported by several sources from the Svatovo-Kremennaya front, where the Swedish equipment was destroyed. A video of the destruction of the CV90 IFV is circulating on social media.

BulgarianMilitary.com recalls that this is the first documented destruction of a CV90 IFV in Ukraine. Thus, this bona fide machine enters a list that includes the Leopard 2, Bradley, Humvees, MaxPro, M113, M109, Caesar, and dozens of other Western-supplied weapon platforms.


Jul 10, 2023

Quote:
The Russian military recently intercepted a British-made Storm Shadow tactical cruise missile as it sped toward Berdyansk. The damage to the missile’s hull suggests it may have been taken down by the 57E6 missile of the Pantsir-S1/SM complex, or possibly the advanced 9М338К air defense system of the Tor-M2U military air defense system.

What’s worth highlighting is that the missile’s electrical equipment has largely remained intact. This preservation has piqued the interest of specialists in the field.

Components that stand out include the missile’s inertial navigation unit, GPS correction module, and the infrared sensor used for correlation and guidance in the final part of the missile’s trajectory. Also intriguing is the target selection controller, which uses the infrared sensor to pick out targets from a distance of 15-20km, depending on the target’s size and heat signature.

Other key features that have caught the eye of experts are the avionics power controllers, the missile battery, the digital fuel supply circuit for the Turbomeca Microturbo TRI 60-30 turbojet engine, and the design elements of the engine shielding integrated into the tail section of the engine nacelle.

Additionally, the Storm Shadow’s ability to disrupt Russian radar systems is under scrutiny. This information could help in the development of more advanced ground and air electronic warfare systems. Experts are also keen on examining the characteristics of the infrared sensors operating across different wave ranges, as well as the preserved elements of the aircraft body and wing.
[more, including pictures, in the article]

The same time, Ukraine is looking for more mercenaries in new countries, according to Russian MoD:


10.07.2023 (14:35)
Statement by the Russian Defence Ministry

Against the background of the failure of the next wave of mobilisation in Ukraine and in order to conceal the catastrophic losses of the AFU personnel, the Kiev regime has intensified recruitment efforts in Asian, Latin American and Middle Eastern countries to attract foreign mercenaries. [...]

As of 30 June, 4,845 foreign mercenaries, mostly from the United States, Canada and European countries, were reliably confirmed to have been killed in the course of combat operations. Another 4,801 foreign fighters escaped from the territory of Ukraine after dealing with the Kiev regime's attitude towards them. Today, 2,29 thousand 29 mercenaries continue to operate in the ranks of the AFU.

According to information obtained during interrogations of captured Ukrainian servicemen, commanders of AFU units operating on the line of contact are not held accountable for losses among foreign mercenaries. The Ukrainian command is throwing units manned primarily by foreign mercenaries into "meat assaults" on Russian positions. The evacuation of wounded mercenaries is organised on a residual principle, only after Ukrainian servicemen have been removed.

Reportedly, due to the high losses of personnel, the Kyiv regime has in the past month deployed the recruitment of foreign mercenaries in Argentina, Brazil, Afghanistan, Iraq and in the American-controlled areas of Syria. In connection with the multiple drop in interest in dying "for the Kyiv regime" in Poland, the United Kingdom and other European countries, recruitment activities have been stepped up in the United States of America and Canada. This work is being carried out on the basis of Ukrainian foreign institutions with the assistance of Western intelligence services, primarily the CIA and private military companies under its control (Akedemi, Kyubik and Dean Corporation).

Foreign mercenaries are used by the Kiev regime as "cannon fodder". Their lives are not spared by anyone in the Ukrainian command. Therefore, they have only one choice - to escape from Ukraine or die.

The Russian Armed Forces will continue to eliminate foreign mercenaries in the course of the special military operation, regardless of their location on Ukrainian territory.
 
Any chance that guy is wrong? 8 min long
Backstopped with his historical reference to South America, Honduras the U.S. hub of chaos, it made me think of Doug Valentines look, albeit not Vietnam, to the far reaching and destabilizing Phoenix Program. Doug said, if it looks like x or y, think Phoenix Program.

Yeah, Mark Brzezinski, great. His Poppa's Geostrategic Imperative lives.
 
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